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Introduction: Observational studies have found lower concentrations of plasma bilirubin in current smokers compared with former and never smokers. However, whether there is a causal relationship between smoking and bilirubin is unknown. In a Mendelian randomization analysis, we tested the hypothesis that higher tobacco consumption is causally associated with lower concentrations of plasma bilirubin.Methods: We genotyped 103 557 individuals aged 20-100 years from the Copenhagen General Population Study for the CHRNA3 rs1051730 genotype, known to be associated with higher tobacco consumption. Tobacco consumption was defined as daily and cumulative tobacco consumption.Results: In observational multivariable-adjusted analyses, a 10 g/day higher daily tobacco consumption was associated with a 0.28 µmol/L (95% confidence interval = 0.20 to 0.35) lower concentration of plasma bilirubin in current smokers, and a 10 pack-year higher cumulative tobacco consumption was associated with a 0.19 µmol/L (0.17 to 0.21) lower concentration of plasma bilirubin in former and current smokers. Using the CHRNA3 rs1051730 genotype as a proxy for daily and cumulative tobacco consumption, the difference in plasma bilirubin per T-allele was -0.12 µmol/L (-0.23 to -0.002) in current smokers and -0.09 µmol/L (-0.15 to -0.01) in current and former smokers combined. Furthermore, observationally bilirubin concentrations increased with time from smoking cessation in former smokers.Conclusion: Higher daily and cumulative tobacco consumption were associated with lower concentrations of plasma bilirubin in observational and genetic analyses, suggesting that the association is causal.Implications: Our results are compatible with two possible interpretations of previous observational studies, either that bilirubin is a mediator of smoking-induced respiratory disease or that the association between plasma bilirubin and respiratory disease stems from residual confounding because of smoking. Future studies should examine whether bilirubin is a causal risk factor for respiratory disease, or merely a marker of smoking status. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Urate is a strong antioxidant in plasma and may protect against lung function impairment. We tested the hypothesis that high plasma urate is causally associated with better lung function and low risk of respiratory symptoms and COPD.Methods: We measured lung function and plasma urate in 114 979 individuals from the Copenhagen City Heart Study and the Copenhagen General Population Study and genotyped for SLC2A9 rs7442295 and ABCG2 rs2231142 variants, previously associated with high plasma urate, in 110 152 individuals.Results: In the two studies combined, multivariable-adjusted 100 µmol/L higher plasma urate was associated with -1.54% (95% CI -1.67 to -1.40) lower FEV1 % predicted and -1.57% (95% CI -1.69 to -1.44) lower FVC % predicted observationally; the corresponding estimates for genetically determined 100 µmol/L higher plasma urate were -0.46% (95% CI -1.17 to 0.25) and -0.40% (95% CI -1.03 to 0.23). High plasma urate was also associated with higher risk of respiratory symptoms; however, genetically determined high plasma urate was not associated with respiratory symptoms. Finally, we identified 14 151 individuals with COPD and found ORs of 1.08 (95% CI 1.06 to 1.11) for COPD observationally and 1.01 (95% CI 0.88 to 1.15) genetically per 100 µmol/L higher plasma urate.Conclusion: High plasma urate was associated with worse lung function and higher risk of respiratory symptoms and COPD in observational analyses; however, genetically high plasma urate was not associated with any of these outcomes. Thus, our data do not support a direct causal relationship. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Results from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have raised concern that the cholesterol-lowering drug ezetimibe might increase the risk of cancer. We tested the hypothesis that genetic variation in NPC1L1, mimicking treatment with ezetimibe, was associated with an increased risk of cancer.Methods: We included 67 257 individuals from the general population. Of these, 8333 developed cancer and 2057 died of cancer from 1968 to 2011. To mimic the effect of ezetimibe, we calculated weighted allele scores based on the low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol-lowering(= NPC1L1-inhibitory) effect of each variant. We tested the associations of the NPC1L1 allele scores with LDL cholesterol and with risk of any cancer, death from any cancer and 27 site-specific cancers. As a positive control, we tested the association of the NPC1L1 allele scores with risk of ischaemic vascular disease (IVD).Results: The NPC1L1 allele scores did not associate with risk of any cancer, death from any cancer or with any of 27 site-specific cancers. Hazard ratios (HRs) for a 1-unit increase in internally weighted allele scores were 1.00 (95% confidence interval: 0.98-1.02) for any cancer, and 1.02 (0.98-1.06) for cancer death. The corresponding HR for IVD was 0.97 (0.94-0.99). Results were similar for an externally weighted allele score and for a simple allele count. Finally, the null association with cancer was robust in sensitivity analyses.Conclusions: Lifelong, genetic inhibition of NPC1L1, mimicking treatment with ezetimibe, does not associate with risk of cancer. These results suggest that long-term treatment with ezetimibe is unlikely to increase the risk of cancer, in agreement with the overall evidence from ezetimibe RCTs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rationale and Objectives: Self-reported smoking underestimates disease risk. Smoking affects DNA methylation, in particular the cg05575921 site in the aryl hydrocarbon receptor repressor (AHRR) gene. We tested the hypothesis that AHRR cg05575921 hypomethylation is associated with risk of smoking-related morbidity and mortality.Methods: From the Copenhagen City Heart Study representing the Danish general population, we studied 9234 individuals. Using bisulphite treated leucocyte DNA, AHRR (cg05575921) methylation was measured. Rs1051730 (CHRN3A) genotype was used to evaluate smoking heaviness. Participants were followed for up to 22 years for exacerbations of COPD, event of lung cancer and all-cause mortality. Six-year lung cancer risk was calculated according to the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCOM2012).Measurements and Main Results: AHRR (cg05575921) hypomethylation was associated with former and current smoking status, high daily and cumulative smoking, short time since smoking cessation (all p values <7×10-31), and the smoking-related CHRN3A genotype (-0.48% per T-allele, p=0.002). The multifactorially adjusted HRs for the lowest versus highest methylation quintiles were 4.58 (95% CI 2.83 to 7.42) for COPD exacerbations, 4.87 (2.31 to 10.3) for lung cancer and 1.67 (1.48 to 1.88) for all-cause mortality. Finally, among 2576 high-risk smokers eligible for lung cancer screening by CT, observed cumulative incidences of lung cancer after 6 years for individuals in the lowest and highest methylation quintiles were 3.7% and 0.0% (p=2×10-7), whereas predicted PLCOM2012 6-year risks were similar (4.3% and 4.4%, p=0.77).Conclusion: AHRR (cg05575921) hypomethylation, a marker of smoking behaviour, provides potentially clinical relevant predictions of future smoking-related morbidity and mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Reduced low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol due to inhibition of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin 9 (PCSK9) reduces cardiovascular events and may therefore also reduce cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.Objectives: This study tested the hypothesis that genetically low LDL cholesterol due to PCSK9 variation is causally associated with low cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in the general population.Methods: A total of 109,566 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study and the Copenhagen City Heart Study were genotyped for PCSK9 R46L (rs11591147), R237W (rs148195424), I474V (rs562556), and E670G (rs505151). During a median follow-up of 10 years (range 0 to 42 years) and 1,247,225 person-years, there were 3,828 cardiovascular deaths and 16,373 deaths from any cause. Results were validated using data on 431,043 individuals from the UK Biobank.Results: An increasing number of weighted PCSK9 alleles were associated with stepwise lower LDL cholesterol of up to 0.61 mmol/l (24 mg/dl; 18.2%; p for trend <0.001) and with lower cardiovascular mortality (p = 0.001), but not with lower all-cause mortality (p = 0.11). In causal, genetic analyses, a 0.5-mmol/l (19.4-mg/dl) lower LDL cholesterol was associated with risk ratios for cardiovascular and all-cause mortality of 0.79 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.63 to 0.99; p = 0.04) and 1.02 (95% CI: 0.94 to 1.12; p = 0.63) in the Copenhagen studies, 0.79 (95% CI: 0.58 to 1.08; p = 0.14) and 0.98 (95% CI: 0.87 to 1.10; p = 0.75) in the UK Biobank, and of 0.79 (95% CI: 0.65 to 0.95; p = 0.01) and 1.01 (95% CI: 0.94 to 1.08; p = 0.85), respectively, in studies combined.Conclusions: Genetically low LDL cholesterol due to PCSK9 variation was causally associated with low risk of cardiovascular mortality, but not with low all-cause mortality in the general population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]