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Abstract Background Urban agglomerates play a crucial role in reaching global climate objectives. Many cities have committed to reducing their greenhouse gas emissions, but current emission trends remain unverifiable. Atmospheric monitoring of greenhouse gases offers an independent and transparent strategy to measure urban emissions. However, careful design of the monitoring network is crucial to be able to monitor the most important sectors as well as adjust to rapidly changing urban landscapes. Results Our study of Paris and Munich demonstrates how climate action plans, carbon emission inventories, and urban development plans can help design optimal atmospheric monitoring networks. We show that these two European cities display widely different trajectories in space and time, reflecting different emission reduction strategies and constraints due to administrative boundaries. The projected carbon emissions rely on future actions, hence uncertain, and we demonstrate how emission reductions vary significantly at the sub-city level. Conclusions We conclude that quantified individual cities’ climate actions are essential to construct more robust emissions trajectories at the city scale. Also, harmonization and compatibility of plans from various cities are necessary to make inter-comparisons of city climate targets possible. Furthermore, dense atmospheric networks extending beyond the city limits are needed to track emission trends over the coming decades.

In Europe, the heterogeneous features of crop systems with majority of small to medium sized agricultural holdings, and diversity of crop rotations, require high-resolution information to estimate cropland Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) and its two main components of Gross Ecosystem Exchange (GEE) and the Ecosystem Respiration (RECO). In this context, this paper presents an assimilation of high-resolution Sentinel-2 indices with eddy covariance measurements at selected European cropland flux sites in a new modified version of Vegetation Photosynthesis Respiration Model (VPRM). VRPM is a data-driven model simulating CO2 fluxes previously applied using satellite-derived vegetation indices from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). This study proposes a modification of the VPRM by including an explicit soil moisture stress function to the GEE and changing the equation of RECO. It also compares the model results driven by S2 indices instead of MODIS. The parameters of the VPRM model are calibrated using eddy-covariance data. All possible parameters optimization scenarios include the use of the initial version vs. the proposed modified VPRM, S2, or MODIS vegetation indices, and finally the choice of calibrating a single set of parameters against observations from all crop types, a set of parameters per crop type, or one set of parameters per site. Then, we focus the analysis on the improvement of the model with distinct parameters for different crop types vs. parameters optimized without distinction of crop types. Our main findings are: (1) the superiority of S2 vegetation indices over MODIS for cropland CO2 fluxes simulations, leading to a root mean squared error (RMSE) for NEE of less than 3.5 μmolm-2s-1 with S2 compared to 5 μmolm-2s-1 with MODIS (2) better performances of the modified VPRM version leading to a significant improvement of RECO, and (3) better performances when the parameters are optimized per crop-type instead of for all crop types lumped together, with lower RMSE and Akaike information criterion (AIC), despite a larger number of parameters. Associated with the availability of crop-type land cover maps, the use of S2 data and crop-type modified VPRM parameterization presented in this study, provide a step forward for upscaling cropland carbon fluxes at European scale.

Despite their key role in the low-carbon transition, cities depend on methods with pressing data availability and quality issues for carbon monitoring. Origins.earth and partners have leveraged cutting-edge data and scientific knowledge to deploy an operational digital solution delivering high-quality climate data in under a month. The solution relies on networks of innovative CO2 monitoring stations, big data, and expert knowledge, and delivers historical and current emissions and associated indicators. We demonstrate the robustness of the technology and its applicability for informing policy decisions in Paris and explore its expansion into other mature markets, with a particular focus on Italy.

The quantification of CO2 emissions from cities using atmospheric measurements requires accurate knowledge of the atmospheric transport. Complex urban terrains significantly modify surface roughness, augment surface energy budgets, and create heat islands, all of which lead to lower horizontal winds and enhanced convection over urban areas. The question remains whether these processes should be included in atmospheric transport models that are used for city scale CO2 inversion, and whether they need to be tailored on a city basis. In this study, we use the WRF model over Paris to address the following research question: does WRF runs at a 3 km resolution, including urban effects and the assimilation of local weather data, perform better than ECMWF forecasts that give fields at 16 km resolution? The analysis of model performances focuses on three variables: air temperature, wind and the planetary boundary layer (PBL) height. The results show that the use of objective analysis and nudging tools are required to obtain good agreements between WRF simulated fields with observations. Surface temperature is well reproduced by both WRF and ECMWF forecasts, with correlation coefficients with hourly observations larger than 0.92 and MBEs within 1°C over one month. Wind speed correlations with hourly observations are similar for WRF (range 0.76~0.85 across stations) and ECMWF (0.79~0.84), but the associated RMSEs and MBEs are better for ECMWF. Conversely, WRF outperforms ECMWF forecasts for its description of wind direction, horizontal and vertical gradients. Sensitivity tests with different WRF physics schemes show that the wind speed and the PBL height are strongly influenced by PBL schemes. The marginal advantage of WRF over ECMWF for the desired application is sufficient to motive additional testing with prescribed CO2 flux maps for comparing modeled CO2 concentrations with available observations in an urban environment.