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Aims: The distal radius is a major site of osteoporotic bone loss resulting in a high risk of fragility fracture. This study evaluated the capability of a cortical index (CI) at the distal radius to predict the local bone mineral density (BMD). Methods: A total of 54 human cadaver forearms (ten singles, 22 pairs) (19 to 90 years) were systematically assessed by clinical radiograph (XR), dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), CT, as well as high-resolution peripheral quantitative CT (HR-pQCT). Cortical bone thickness (CBT) of the distal radius was measured on XR and CT scans, and two cortical indices mean average (CBTavg) and gauge (CBTg) were determined. These cortical indices were compared to the BMD of the distal radius determined by DXA (areal BMD (aBMD)) and HR-pQCT (volumetric BMD (vBMD)). Pearson correlation coefficient (r) and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) were used to compare the results and degree of reliability. Results: The CBT could accurately be determined on XRs and highly correlated to those determined on CT scans (r = 0.87 to 0.93). The CBTavg index of the XRs significantly correlated with the BMD measured by DXA (r = 0.78) and HR-pQCT (r = 0.63), as did the CBTg index with the DXA (r = 0.55) and HR-pQCT (r = 0.64) (all p < 0.001). A high correlation of the BMD and CBT was observed between paired specimens (r = 0.79 to 0.96). The intra- and inter-rater reliability was excellent (ICC 0.79 to 0.92). Conclusion: The cortical index (CBTavg) at the distal radius shows a close correlation to the local BMD. It thus can serve as an initial screening tool to estimate the local bone quality if quantitative BMD measurements are unavailable, and enhance decision-making in acute settings on fracture management or further osteoporosis screening. Cite this article: Bone Joint Res 2021;10(12):820–829.

Summary: Cortical thickness determined at the humerus can serve as an easy and reliable screening tool to predict the local bone status when quantitative bone mineral density (BMD) measurements are not available. It can therefore serve as a rapid screening tool in fragility fractures to identify patients requiring further diagnostic or osteoporosis treatment. Introduction: Quantitative bone mineral density (BMD) of the humerus is difficult to determine but relevant for osteoporosis and fracture treatment. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) of the femur and lumbar spine overestimates the humeral BMD and is not ubiquitously available. Therefore, this study evaluated whether the cortical bone thickness (CBT) of the humerus or DXA of the forearm is able to predict humeral BMD. Methods: Humeral BMD of 54 upper cadaver extremities (22 pairs, 10 single) (19–90 years) was determined by high-resolution peripheral-quantitative-computed-tomography (HR-pQCT) (volumetric BMD (vBMD)) and DXA (areal BMD (aBMD)) of the proximal humerus and distal forearm. Average and gauge cortical bone thickness (CBTavg/ CBTg) of the humeral diaphysis was determined from standard radiographs (XR) and computed-tomography (CT) and compared to the humeral BMD. Pearson (r) and intraclass-correlation-coefficients (ICC) were used to compare results and rater-reliability. Results: CBTavg from XR strongly correlated with the humeral BMD (r = 0.78 aBMD (DXA) and r = 0.64 vBMD (HR-pQCT) (p < 0.0001)). The CBTg revealed a weaker correlation (r = 0.57 aBMD and r = 0.43 vBMD). CBT derived from XR strongly correlated to those from the CT (r = 0.82–0.90) and showed an excellent intra- and inter-rater correlation (ICC 0.79–0.92). Distal forearm aBMD correlated well with the humeral aBMD (DXA) (r = 0.77) and paired specimens highly correlated to the contralateral side (humerus r = 0.89, radius r = 0.97). Conclusions: The CBTavg can reliably be determined from standard radiographs and allows a good prediction of quantitative humeral bone mineral density (aBMD or vBMD) if measurements are not available. Furthermore, the distal forearm or the contralateral humerus can serve as a side to estimate the BMD if the ipsilateral side is impaired. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]