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We derive a formula for optimal hard thresholding of the singular value decomposition in the presence of correlated additive noise; although it nominally involves unobservables, we show how to apply it even where the noise covariance structure is not a-priori known or is not independently estimable. The proposed method, which we call ScreeNOT, is a mathematically solid alternative to Cattell's ever-popular but vague Scree Plot heuristic from 1966. ScreeNOT has a surprising oracle property: it typically achieves exactly, in large finite samples, the lowest possible MSE for matrix recovery, on each given problem instance - i.e. the specific threshold it selects gives exactly the smallest achievable MSE loss among all possible threshold choices for that noisy dataset and that unknown underlying true low rank model. The method is computationally efficient and robust against perturbations of the underlying covariance structure. Our results depend on the assumption that the singular values of the noise have a limiting empirical distribution of compact support; this model, which is standard in random matrix theory, is satisfied by many models exhibiting either cross-row correlation structure or cross-column correlation structure, and also by many situations where there is inter-element correlation structure. Simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of the method even at moderate matrix sizes. The paper is supplemented by ready-to-use software packages implementing the proposed algorithm: package ScreeNOT in Python (via PyPI) and R (via CRAN).

The randomized singular value decomposition (R-SVD) is a popular sketching-based algorithm for efficiently computing the partial SVD of a large matrix. When the matrix is low-rank, the R-SVD produces its partial SVD exactly; but when the rank is large, it only yields an approximation. Motivated by applications in data science and principal component analysis (PCA), we analyze the R-SVD under a low-rank signal plus noise measurement model; specifically, when its input is a spiked random matrix. The singular values produced by the R-SVD are shown to exhibit a BBP-like phase transition: when the SNR exceeds a certain detectability threshold, that depends on the dimension reduction factor, the largest singular value is an outlier; below the threshold, no outlier emerges from the bulk of singular values. We further compute asymptotic formulas for the overlap between the ground truth signal singular vectors and the approximations produced by the R-SVD. Dimensionality reduction has the adverse affect of amplifying the noise in a highly nonlinear manner. Our results demonstrate the statistical advantage -- in both signal detection and estimation -- of the R-SVD over more naive sketched PCA variants; the advantage is especially dramatic when the sketching dimension is small. Our analysis is asymptotically exact, and substantially more fine-grained than existing operator-norm error bounds for the R-SVD, which largely fail to give meaningful error estimates in the moderate SNR regime. It applies for a broad family of sketching matrices previously considered in the literature, including Gaussian i.i.d. sketches, random projections, and the sub-sampled Hadamard transform, among others. Lastly, we derive an optimal singular value shrinker for singular values and vectors obtained through the R-SVD, which may be useful for applications in matrix denoising.

This paper studies the sample complexity of learning the $k$ unknown centers of a balanced Gaussian mixture model (GMM) in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with spherical covariance matrix $\sigma^2\mathbf{I}$. In particular, we are interested in the following question: what is the maximal noise level $\sigma^2$, for which the sample complexity is essentially the same as when estimating the centers from labeled measurements? To that end, we restrict attention to a Bayesian formulation of the problem, where the centers are uniformly distributed on the sphere $\sqrt{d}\mathcal{S}^{d-1}$. Our main results characterize the exact noise threshold $\sigma^2$ below which the GMM learning problem, in the large system limit $d,k\to\infty$, is as easy as learning from labeled observations, and above which it is substantially harder. The threshold occurs at $\frac{\log k}{d} = \frac12\log\left( 1+\frac{1}{\sigma^2} \right)$, which is the capacity of the additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN) channel. Thinking of the set of $k$ centers as a code, this noise threshold can be interpreted as the largest noise level for which the error probability of the code over the AWGN channel is small. Previous works on the GMM learning problem have identified the minimum distance between the centers as a key parameter in determining the statistical difficulty of learning the corresponding GMM. While our results are only proved for GMMs whose centers are uniformly distributed over the sphere, they hint that perhaps it is the decoding error probability associated with the center constellation as a channel code that determines the statistical difficulty of learning the corresponding GMM, rather than just the minimum distance., Comment: COLT 2022

We study the problem of estimating a large, low-rank matrix corrupted by additive noise of unknown covariance, assuming one has access to additional side information in the form of noise-only measurements. We study the Whiten-Shrink-reColor (WSC) workflow, where a "noise covariance whitening" transformation is applied to the observations, followed by appropriate singular value shrinkage and a "noise covariance re-coloring" transformation. We show that under the mean square error loss, a unique, asymptotically optimal shrinkage nonlinearity exists for the WSC denoising workflow, and calculate it in closed form. To this end, we calculate the asymptotic eigenvector rotation of the random spiked F-matrix ensemble, a result which may be of independent interest. With sufficiently many pure-noise measurements, our optimally-tuned WSC denoising workflow outperforms, in mean square error, matrix denoising algorithms based on optimal singular value shrinkage which do not make similar use of noise-only side information; numerical experiments show that our procedure's relative performance is particularly strong in challenging statistical settings with high dimensionality and large degree of heteroscedasticity.

Consider the rank-1 spiked model: $\bf{X}=\sqrt{\nu}\xi \bf{u}+ \bf{Z}$, where $\nu$ is the spike intensity, $\bf{u}\in\mathbb{S}^{k-1}$ is an unknown direction and $\xi\sim \mathcal{N}(0,1),\bf{Z}\sim \mathcal{N}(\bf{0},\bf{I})$. Motivated by recent advances in analog-to-digital conversion, we study the problem of recovering $\bf{u}\in \mathbb{S}^{k-1}$ from $n$ i.i.d. modulo-reduced measurements $\bf{Y}=[\bf{X}]\mod \Delta$, focusing on the high-dimensional regime ($k\gg 1$). We develop and analyze an algorithm that, for most directions $\bf{u}$ and $\nu=\mathrm{poly}(k)$, estimates $\bf{u}$ to high accuracy using $n=\mathrm{poly}(k)$ measurements, provided that $\Delta\gtrsim \sqrt{\log k}$. Up to constants, our algorithm accurately estimates $\bf{u}$ at the smallest possible $\Delta$ that allows (in an information-theoretic sense) to recover $\bf{X}$ from $\bf{Y}$. A key step in our analysis involves estimating the probability that a line segment of length $\approx\sqrt{\nu}$ in a random direction $\bf{u}$ passes near a point in the lattice $\Delta \mathbb{Z}^k$. Numerical experiments show that the developed algorithm performs well even in a non-asymptotic setting., Comment: AISTATS, 2022