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The present paper focuses on reliability prediction of composite structure under hygro-thermo-mechanical loading, conditioned by Tsai-Wu failure criterion, where the Monte–Carlo method is used to estimate the failure probability(Pf). This model was developed in two steps: first, the development of a deterministic model, based on an analytical and numerical approach, and then, a probabilistic computation. Using the hoop stress for each ply, a sensitivity analysis was performed for random design variables, such as materials properties, geometry, manufacturing, and loading, on composite cylindrical structure reliability. The probabilistic results show the very high increase of failure probability when all parameters are considered. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The diversified use of filamentary composites in harsh marine environments, recorded in recent years, has prompted researchers to focus their work on the reliability prediction. Through failure criteria, Tsai-Wu and the maximum stress, the reliability of multilayer tubular structures under mechanical loading is the subject of this paper, where Monte Carlo method estimated the failure probability. A sensitivity analysis was performed in order to identify the influence of the different parameters, such as materials' properties, geometry, manufacturing and loading, on the reliability of the composite cylindrical structure studied. To achieve a high accuracy of the results, we have carried out 105 simulations. The results showed great influence on pressure loading, ply thickness and finally winding angle of filament composite. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]