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Background: A number of live birth predictive model during assisted reproductive technology treatment have been available in recent years, but few targeted evaluating the chances of live birth in poor ovarian response(POR) patients. The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram based on POSEIDON criteria to predict live birth in patients with expected POR., Methods: This retrospective cohort study using clinical data from 657 patients in POSEIDON Groups 3 and 4 (antral follicle count [AFC] ≤5 and AMH <1.2 ng/ml) in the Center for Reproductive Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, and Construction a nomogram model t., Results: Among 657 expected POR patients, 111 (16.89%) had live births, and 546 (83.11%) did not have live births. These were divided into a training set(n=438) and a validation set (n=219). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the age (OR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.86-0.97), BMI (OR = 1.98, 95% CI: 1.09-3.67), AMH (OR = 3.48, 95% CI: 1.45-8.51), normal fertilized oocytes (OR = 1.40, 95% CI: 1.21-1.63), and the basal FSH (OR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.80-0.98) of the female were independent factors predicting live birth in patients with expected POR. Then, an individualized nomogram prediction model was built from these five factors. The area under the ROC curve of the live birth prediction model was 0.820 in the training set and 0.879 in the validation set., Conclusion: We have developed a nomogram combining clinical and laboratory factors to predict the probability of live birth in patients with an expected POR during IVF/ICSI, which can helpful for clinician in decision-making. However, the data comes from the same center, needs a prospective multicenter study for further in-depth evaluation and validation of this prediction model., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Gong, Zhang, Zhu, Wang, Wang, Liu, Zhang and La.)

Research Question: What is the association between serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) concentrations and the number of utilizable embryos obtained per stimulation cycle of IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) in POSEIDON Groups 3 and 4?, Design: Retrospective cohort study of 412 cycles, in which patients in POSEIDON Groups 3 and 4 (antral follicle count [AFC] ≤5 and AMH <1.2 ng/ml) underwent complete IVF/ICSI treatment cycles in the Reproductive Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University between January 2017 and March 2019. Patients underwent IVF/ICSI treatment using either progestin-primed ovarian stimulation (PPOS) or gonadotrophin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist protocol as ovarian stimulation protocol., Results: Three models were established to analyse the correlation between AMH and the number of utilizable embryos in this study. After adjusting for covariates (age, baseline FSH, stimulation protocol and AFC), the number of embryos increased by 0.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.06-0.14) with each increment of 0.1 ng/ml in AMH concentration. AMH was transformed from a continuous variable to a categorical variable (through trisection of AMH concentrations) and for the sensitivity analysis it was found that the number of embryos in the high AMH group (0.52-1.19 ng/ml) was 0.62 (95% CI 0.37-0.97) higher than in the low AMH group (0.06-0.24 ng/ml)., Conclusions: High AMH in patients in POSEIDON Groups 3 and 4 was found to be associated with an increase in the number of available embryos in IVF/ICSI. The potential reproductive prognosis can be assessed by AMH, to reduce the abandonment of treatment due to underestimation or to implement multiple ineffective stimulation cycles of treatment., (Copyright © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Objective: The use of cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) per ovarian stimulation cycle is proving to be an accurate method to calculate the success of IVF; however, the cycle outcome is closely associated with the number of embryos transferred (ET). Our aim was to report CLBR after IVF according to the number of embryos required to achieve a live birth in women aged ≥35 years, considering age, body mass index (BMI), and ethnicity., Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 1344 patients who underwent IVF between January 2013 and June 2016 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University. The cumulative probability of live birth for each couple was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and survival curves were compared according to age, BMI, and ethnicity using the log-rank test., Results: CLBR increased rapidly from 1 to 5 ETs, moderately from 6 to 10 ETs, and slowly thereafter. CLBR was significantly different across 4 categories based on BMI as well as across those based on age; low CLBR was significantly associated with the age of ≥42 years and obesity., Conclusion: The association between CLBR and number of ET provides realistic and precise information regarding the success of IVF and can be applied to guide clinicians and patients.