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Couples' residential decisions are based on a large variety of factors including housing preferences, family and other social ties, socialisation and residential biography (e.g. earlier experience in the life course) and environmental factors (e.g. housing market, labour market). This study examines, firstly, to what extent people stay in, return to or leave their hometown (referred to as 'migration type'). We refer to the hometown as the place where most of childhood and adolescence is spent. Secondly, we study which conditions shape a person's migration type. We mainly focus on variables capturing elements of the residential biography and both partners' family ties and family socialisation. We focus on the residential choices made at the time of family formation, i.e. when the first child is born. We employ multinomial regression modelling and cross-tabulations, based on two generations in a sample of families who mostly live in the wider Ruhr area, born around 1931 (parents) and 1957 (adult children). We find that migration type is significantly affected by a combination of both partners' place of origin, both partners' parents' places of residence, the number of previous moves, level of education and hometown population size. We conclude that complex patterns of experience made over the life course, socialisation and gendered patterns are at work. These mechanisms should be kept in mind when policymakers develop strategies to attract (return) migrants. Wohnstandortentscheidungen von Paaren basieren auf einer Vielzahl von Faktoren. Dazu gehören ihre individuellen Wohnstandortpräferenzen, sozialen (insbesondere familiären) Bindungen, wohnbiografischen Erfahrungen und Sozialisation und die räumlichen Rahmenbedingungen. Dieser Beitrag geht der Frage nach, in welchem Maße Menschen den Ort der Kindheit und Jugend verlassen, an diesem Ort bleiben oder zu ihm zurückkehren. Zudem wird untersucht, wovon dieser Migrationstyp abhängt. Im Fokus stehen dabei Einflussgrößen, die Elemente der Wohnbiographie, der familiären Bindungen und der familiären Sozialisation beider Partner erfassen. Dies wird zum Zeitpunkt der Familiengründung betrachtet. Es wird ein Familiendatensatz, der hauptsächlich im Ruhrgebiet wohnende erwachsenen Kinder (geboren um 1957) und ihre Eltern (geboren um 1931) umfasst, mithilfe von Kreuztabellen sowie multinomialen Regressionsmodellen ausgewertet. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass der Migrationstyp signifikant von dem Ort der Kindheit und Jugend und dem Wohnort der Eltern beider Partner, der Anzahl vorheriger Umzüge, der Bildung und der Bevölkerungsgröße des Ortes der Kindheit und Jugend abhängt. Es lässt sich schlussfolgern, dass Erfahrungen aus dem Lebensverlauf, Sozialisation und Geschlechterunterschiede komplex zusammenwirken. Für die Planungspraxis, die sich mit Abwanderung und der Aktivierung von Rückwanderung beschäftigt, liefert der Beitrag wertvolle Hinweise.

Diese Dissertation beschäftigt sich mit Wohnstandortentscheidungen. Theoretisch baut sie auf den biografischen Ansatz auf und verbindet ihn mit dem Linked-Lives-Ansatz und der intergenerationalen Transmission. Die Arbeit geht der Forschungsfrage nach, wie Wohnstandortentscheidungen durch die vorausgegangene Wohnbiografie und Personen innerhalb und außerhalb des Haushaltes beeinflusst werden. Dabei wird die Familiengründungsphase fokussiert und die Bedeutung des Ortes der Kindheit und Jugend in dieser Phase untersucht. Es wird ein besonderer Datensatz mit quantitativen intergenerationalen Längsschnittdaten von Familien genutzt. Den Kern der kumulativen Dissertation stellen drei Aufsätze in Fachzeitschriften dar. Die erste Veröffentlichung trifft vor allem Aussagen zur Datenqualität des genutzten Datensatzes. In den beiden empirischen Veröffentlichungen werden binäre und multinomiale logistische Regressionsmodelle präsentiert, die mithilfe des Split-Half-Ansatzes entwickelt werden. Insgesamt verdeutlichen die Ergebnisse die Komplexität und Wechselwirkungen zwischen der Wohn-, Partnerschafts- und Familienbiografie. Es zeigt sich eine enorme Stabilität der Wohnstandorte nicht nur über den individuellen Lebensverlauf, sondern auch über Generationen hinweg. Intergenerationale Transmission innerhalb der Familie wird in den multivariaten Analysen nicht bestätigt, zeigt sich jedoch in den deskriptiven Ergebnissen. Es werden Geschlechterunterschiede festgestellt, die den oftmals gezogenen Schluss der weiblichen tied mover jedoch nicht zulassen. Die Ergebnisse zur Soziodemografie und der räumlichen Einflussgröße deuten vor allem auf die Bedeutung der Bildungsinfrastruktur und des spezialisierten Arbeitsmarktes hin.

Marie Fröhlich, Ronja Schütz und Katharina Wolf (Hg.): Politiken der Reproduktion - Umkämpfte Forschungsperspektiven und Praxisfelder. Bielefeld: transcript Verlag 2022. 978-3-8376-5272-7

Adaptation to host country behaviours encompasses both individual and social change, bringing about rising diversity issues in the host society and societal shifts in the country of origin. This study aims to detect whether Turkish immigrants and their descendants converge towards or diverge from the partnership practices of the native-born population in Western Germany. Specifically, transitions from (1) singlehood to the first partnership, (2) singlehood to the first marriage, (3) singlehood to the first cohabitation, (4) cohabitation to marriage and (5) marriage to divorce are investigated. Data from the Panel Analysis of Intimate Relationships and Family Dynamics (pairfam) survey for the period of 2008-2018 are used, applying Kaplan-Meier survival estimations and Cox proportional hazard models. This is the first study that includes natives, immigrants and their descendants simultaneously in an analysis of extensive partnership transitions covering practices of cohabitation, marriage and divorce and to investigate the proportionality assumption in Cox models. We formulate four research hypotheses based on the hypotheses of socialisation, adaptation and the cultural maintenance and segmented assimilation theory. Supporting our first hypothesis, our findings indicate a difference in partnership patterns between both first- and second-generation immigrants and natives, except for the finding that second-generation immigrants resemble the native pattern in their transition to the first union (including both cohabitation and marriage). Immigrants and their descendants tend to marry directly and have lower divorce hazard ratios than their native counterparts, while consensual unions are uncommon among Turkish immigrants. As suggested by our second hypothesis, the extent of the divergence varies across partnership transitions. Finally, our results provide support for our third hypothesis rather than the fourth in that partnership transition of Turkish immigrants’ descendants more closely resembles that of first-generation immigrants compared to natives.

Easterlin’s relative income hypothesis refers to the current income of young adults compared to the level of material aspirations acquired during childhood. The hypothesis implies that young individuals are expected to reduce fertility if their material aspirations grow at a higher rate than their incomes. This paper examines whether the same hypothesis holds true for marriage. A higher (lower) level of income combined with a lower (higher) level of material aspirations would increase (decrease) relative income and consequently could affect marriage rates. Thus, relative income might be one explanation for the “marriage paradox” which indicates that young adults in the United States retreat from marriage despite perceiving it as a milestone of their lives. One might also expect relative income to be a better predictor of marriage than absolute income. This is because, according to the Easterlin hypothesis, the behaviour of young adults reflects not only their response to changes in external conditions (e.g. absolute income), but also to past events they have experienced. We employ panel dynamic methods and causality tests for the United States that span the period from 1981 to 2016. Empirical analysis supports the relative income hypothesis. Causality tests indicate that the relationship runs mostly from relative income to marriage rather than the other way round. Relative income emerges as a stronger predictor than absolute income in all of the methods employed.

The Visegrád countries (Hungary, Czech Republic, Poland, and Slovakia) faced a sharp decline in fertility rates after the regime change in 1989. Since then, total fertility rates have largely remained below the EU average, although they have increased during the past decade. Family policies (support for the parental caregivingmodel) and the conditions of women’s employment might be shaping these trends. Besides the pronatalist rhetoric, there is another reason why people might alter their fertility plans: climate change‐related worries. Our analysis in this article examines whether such concerns exist in these four countries, pointing out that the efficacy of pronatalist measures depends on the widespread adoption of such attitudes among young people of childbearing age. Pronatalist pressure is strong in the V4 countries but may be diluted by strengthening environmentalist norms. Scholarship about the relationship between climate change‐related concerns and fertility in these pronatalist countries is scarce. I examine this potential relationship by analysing respondents’ ideas about the generally and personally ideal number of children using Eurobarometer data from 2011 through logistic regression analysis. The results are contradictory: Climate change concerns seem to be positively associated with a smaller ideal family size in Hungary, but only from a general perspective (i.e., not for respondents personally). A positive relationship can be found in the Czech Republic regarding climate concerns and personal ideal family size. In Slovakia, a strong negative association was observed between climate change‐related concerns and smaller general and personal ideal family sizes.

This editorial seeks to define fragile pronatalism by highlighting why pronatalism in the examined Central and Eastern European post‐socialist countries should be considered fragile. Moreover, it aims to map desirable future changes in fertility policies in the region. Following a brief presentation of the articles contained in this thematic issue, our concluding thoughts complete this editorial.

Existing research has found that since the late 1960s, the pathway to adulthood in Western countries has undergone complex changes, but few studies have investigated such changes and the effect of childhood family background on the transition to adulthood within the Chinese context. This study aims to examine the role of childhood family background in the transition to adulthood among Chinese youth born between 1930 and 1979. We identified four clusters of trajectories to adulthood in both the family and occupational domain. In the occupational domain, more than a quarter of respondents fall into the cluster of high studies & non-agricultural employment and in the family domain, nearly one-third of the sample follows the clusters of marriage & one child and staying single longer, reflecting the increasing diversity and delay in transition to adulthood. Parents’ occupations during childhood had a significant effect on both occupational trajectory and family trajectory. Higher occupational status of parents delayed the transition to adulthood, while lower occupational status of parents promoted the transition to adulthood. Family economic status during childhood had a greater effect on occupational trajectories. Young people with worse family financial situations in childhood were more likely to enter the labour market earlier, while those with better family financial situations were more likely to receive long-term education and delay entering the workforce. The mother’s religious belief had a more significant effect on the family life course. Youths with non-religious mothers were more likely to fall into the unmarried or childless cluster. In the Chinese context, the political status of the father played an important role in adult transition. A father’s Communist party membership in childhood was positively correlated with the likelihood that individuals would follow the pattern of trajectory to adulthood characterised by long-term education.

Recent research suggests that the fertility-education relationship may be mediated by the educational attainment of the partner, especially among the tertiary-educated. However, there are no studies focusing on the couple-education-fertility nexus among couples who achieved only basic educational attainment, even though resource pooling theory predicts differences in family formation by couples’ joint levels of socio-economic resources. We address this research gap and investigate how educational pairings among married and cohabiting partners relate to second and third birth transitions across 22 European countries, using data from the EU-SILC (European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions) panel and discrete time event history models. Our findings show significantly lower second and third birth transition rates among homogamous low-educated couples compared to heterogamous couples with one low- and one medium or highly-educated partner in the Nordic countries, but not across the rest of Europe. However, couples with one or two low-educated partners have significantly lower second birth rates compared with couples with two highly-educated partners in all European regions.

Couple formation and migration are the result of interrelated decision-making processes in the life cycle. Using data from the “Social Condition and Integration of Foreign Citizens (SCIF)” survey, conducted in Italy in 2011-2012 by Istat, we aim to investigate how the timing of migration events affects the type and timing of marriages in the destination country. Time-related models investigate the competing-risk transitions to endogamous and exogamous marriages with Italian spouses. Obtained results provide evidence of the complexity of today’s migrations, and they indicate the coexistence of various patterns among first-generation migrants in Italy, characterised by a plurality of origins, with different projects and behavioural models. The “interrelation of events” hypothesis explains the transitions to both endogamous and exogamous marriages among women, while men usually spend more time finding a partner and achieving economic stability. Despite this general picture, our analysis shows different and original pathways shaping transitions to marriage by reason of migration and considering a number of demographic and migratory characteristics. Zusammenfassung Die Gründung eines Paarhaushaltes und Migration sind das Resultat verschiedener, miteinanderverwobener Entscheidungsprozesse im Lebenslauf. Ziel der Studie ist es, die Rolle von temporalen Aspekten im Zusammenhang mit der internationalen Wanderung von Personen in Beziehung zum Heiratsverhalten dieser im Ankunftskontext zu setzen. Genutzt werden Daten, die das Italienische Nationale Institut für Statistik (ISTAT) im Rahmen der Umfrage zur „Sozialen Lage und Integration von ausländischen Bürgern“ (SCIF) im Zeitraum 2011-12 in Italien erhoben hat. Mit Methoden der Ereignisdatenanalyse werden die konkurrierenden Übergänge in eine endogame beziehungsweise exogame Ehe mit einem/r italienischen Ehepartner/in analysiert. Die Herkünfte, Wanderungspläne und Verhaltensmodelle der ersten Migrantengeneration in Italien sind sehr divers. Unsere Ergebnisse spiegeln diese Diversität wider, indem sie die Komplexität der heutigen Wanderungsbewegungen und die Gleichzeitigkeit von verschiedenen Mustern offenlegen. Die Hypothese über die Interdependenz von Ereignissen ist dabei in der Lage, Erklärungen für endogame und exogame Eheschließungen der Migrantinnen zu liefern. Die Heiraten der Migranten hingegen scheinen durch die Dauer geprägt zu sein, die diese aufwenden, um eine Partnerin zu finden und ökonomische Stabilität zu erlangen. Zusätzlich werden in die Analyse migrationsspezifische Variablen und sozio-demografische Merkmale einbezogen, sodass verschiedene Pfade beim Übergang in die Ehe sichtbar werden., JFR - Journal of Family Research, Vol 31 No 3 (2019): Family migration processes in a comparative perspective

In recent studies on the association between education and fertility, increased attention has been paid to the field of study. Women who studied in traditionally more “feminine” fields, like care, teaching, and health, were found to have their children earlier and to have more children than other women. A point of debate in this literature is on the causal direction of this relationship. Does the field of study change the attitudes towards family formation, or do young adults with stronger family-life attitudes self-select into educational fields that emphasize care, teaching, and health? Or do both field of study preferences and family-life attitudes arise before actual choices in these domains are made? We contribute to this debate by examining the relationship between fertility expectations and expected fields of study and occupation among 14-17 year-old adolescents. We use data collected in 2005 from 1500 Dutch adolescents and Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) to examine the associations between expected field of study and occupation and fertility expectations. Our results show that expectations concerning fertility and field of study are already interrelated during secondary education. Both female and male adolescents who expect to pursue studies in fields that focus on care and social interaction (like health care, teaching etc.) are less likely to expect to remain childless. This holds equally for girls and boys. In addition, girls who more strongly aspire to an occupation in which communication skills are important also expect to have more children. We did not find any relationship between expectations of pursuing a communicative field of study and occupation and expectations of earlier parenthood. In addition, among boys, we find that the greater their expectation of opting for an economics, a technical, or a communicative field of study, the less likely they were to expect to remain childless. Boys who expected to study in the economic field also expect to have their first child earlier, but boys expecting to pursue a technical course of studies expect to enter parenthood later. We also found that those who expect to pursue cultural studies are more likely to have a preference for no children, or if they do want children, to have them later in life. Overall, our findings suggest that the processes of elective affinity between the communicative fields of study and work on the one hand and fertility on the other hand are more or less comparable for boys and girls. With respect to the other domains, we find, apart from the gender differences in the relation between fields of study and childlessness, hardly or no gender differences in the expected timing of parenthood and the number of children. The genders do differ in their level of preference for communicative and economics-related fields of study and occupation, but if they do have the same preference, the association with fertility expectations is more or less similar., Comparative Population Studies, Vol 44 (2019)

»Co-Parenting« als Familienkonzept breitet sich aus und stellt die Versprechen des romantischen Liebesideals mitsamt seinem geschlechterungleichen Normalfamilienmodell in Frage. Doch was bedeutet das für die Liebe selbst? Wird sie zerstört oder transformiert und öffnet sie sich für neue Familien- und Beziehungsformen? Entfaltet sich in der post-romantischen Elternschaft gar ein utopisch-emanzipatives Potenzial, das Frauen und LGBTIQ*s aus patriarchalen, hetero- und paarnormativen Herrschaftsverhältnissen befreit? Neben Gegenwarts- und Zukunftsszenarien erkundet Christine Wimbauer auch die gesellschaftspolitischen Herausforderungen dieser Entwicklungen.

Nowhere in Europe is extramarital childbearing more pervasive than in Iceland. Roughly, 70% of children born in 2018 were conceived outside of marriage, thereof 83% of firstborn, which, on the surface, puts Iceland at the vanguard of a development often associated with a second demographic transition. In this study, we investigate the union formation behaviour of Icelandic women during a period of 20 years (1994–2013) with the objectives of gaining insight into the interplay of childbearing, registered cohabitation, and marriage and to enhance our understanding of the function of registered cohabitation in the family-building process. We use administrative population register data, covering the childbearing and marital history of the total female population born in Iceland during 1962–1997. The data are analysed by means of event history techniques and presented as annual indices of first-registered cohabitation and first-marriage formation, respectively. We find indications of forceful postponement of registering cohabitation over time, but a stable portion of around 80% of women registered cohabitation before any first marriage or age 46. Around 70% of women married before age 46, and the standardized marriage rates remained relatively stable during most of our study period. Our findings suggest that within a context such as the Icelandic one, most people tend to marry, regardless of the prevalence of cohabitation. We propose that registered cohabitation should be seen as providing a semi-regulated union status for prospective parents in relation to childbearing. Marriage on the other hand could be seen as providing an elevated union status to couples.

Using panel data from childless respondents of the German Family Panel (pairfam, n=3,802 respondents), this paper investigates whether fertility orientations (biographical orientations with respect to fertility) influence the risk of different partnership transitions among German men and women over the age of 18 (for n=14,572 observation periods between two panel waves). Significant influences are found for both gender and partnership transition types, and are generally stronger among men than women and for the transition to a coresidential as opposed to a romantic partnership. Uncertainty about anticipated fertility has a stronger negative impact on transition risks among men than among women. Results strongly suggest that the early stages of the partnership formation process are instrumental in terms of future fertility in Germany, at least to some degree. This indicates that a more comprehensive conceptualisation and analysis of fertility within the life course paradigm (as suggested by Huinink/Kohli 2014) should consider the impacts of fertility orientations on life course events in other dimensions, especially among men. Viewed more broadly, the results also underline two factors: the role of agency in coordinating life course dimensions in time and space in order to maximise individual welfare; and the importance of considering the impacts that anticipation of future life course events will have, as suggested by different theoretical approaches.

As is the case in Western countries, more Japanese are marrying later or remaining unmarried and are postponing childbearing or staying childless. Previous studies revealed that those individuals who were unable to secure regular employment due to the serious recession between the mid-1990s and mid-2000s, labelled a “lost generation,” had a very low marriage rate. But what about subsequent cohorts? Using a discrete-time logit model to analyse Japanese Life Course Panel Survey data, this study investigates the effects of employment on first marriages between 2007 and 2015, including cohorts after the lost generation. The results indicate that: (a) among men who are classed as non-regular employees, unemployed, or low-income regular employees, the likelihood of first marriage is low due to their weak economic position; and (b) women have a low likelihood of first marriage if they are non-regular employees or unemployed, not because of their employment status but because they have less chance of meeting a romantic partner and also because of their values regarding work and marriage. These explicit gender differences in the findings contradict observations made in contemporary Europe and North America, where a trend towards gender convergence in the effects of employment and earnings on marriage has been identified. The ambivalence towards gender equality in family and the workplace will be discussed to understand why many young Japanese remain single.

In this article, the significant importance of fertility intentions with respect to number and timing of births is investigated. Based on existing empirical findings, the limitations of these approaches are pointed out: the theory of utility maximization, the theory of planned behavior and the traits-desires- intentions-behavior framework. Next, we present new results with respect to the relationship of couples’ preceding constellations of childbearing preferences and subsequent births. These results are based on current data from a German longitudinal survey (pairfam). It turns out that between one and two years ahead of birth of a child merely 75% of all couples had consensual positive childbearing preferences. For couples with lower education, this proportion is even less with a value of only 65%. On average, 8.1% of the children are born, even though a year ago both parents spoke out against conceiving a child within the next two years. Additionally, for 17% of the children the couple did not yet reach consensus with respect to the children question. In the case of dissent, it depends on the couples' constellations of childbearing preferences, whether or not the egalitarian rule is confirmed by the birth of a child. The authors recognize the necessity of developing a new or extended comprehension of fertility. They pick up the existing approaches analyzing fertility in a partnership context. However, it is proposed to regard the life of couples not only as a combination of intentions and the general framework of their realizations,but also as an assessment of everyday routines. Yet, in the everyday life of couples, sexuality does not only serve for reproduction. For this reason, pregnancies also result constantly as unintended consequences of couples having sex, who not yet have decided about a joint future with a child. Zusammenfassung In diesem Beitrag wird rekonstruiert, welch zentrale Bedeutung der Fertilitätsintention zur Erklärung der Anzahl und des Timing von Geburten beigemessen wird. Auf der Basis vorliegender empirischer Befunde wird auf die Grenzen der entsprechenden Ansätze aufmerksam gemacht: die Theorie der Nutzenmaximierung, die Theorie des geplanten Verhaltens und das traits-desires-intentions-behavior framework. Anschließend werden eigene Auswertungen zum Zusammenhang von vorgängigen Kinderwunschkonstellationen von Paaren und anschließenden Geburten vorgelegt. Diese basieren auf aktuellen Daten einer deutschen Längsschnittstudie (pairfam). Dabei zeigt sich, dass ein bis zwei Jahre vor der Geburt eines Kindes nur bei drei Viertel aller Paare eine konsensuelle positive Fertilitätsintention bestand. Bei Paaren mit geringer Bildung liegt dieser Anteil bei nur 65%. Im Durchschnitt werden 8,1% der Kinder geboren, obwohl sich ihre Eltern ein Jahr zuvor noch beide gegen ein Kind in den nächsten zwei Jahren ausgesprochen hatten, weitere 17%, obwohl das Paar noch keinen Konsens in der Kinderfrage erzielt hatte. Bei Dissens ist es von der Kinderwunschkonstellation in der Paarbeziehung abhängig, ob sich mit der Geburt die egalitarian rule bestätigt oder nicht. Die Autorinnen sehen die Notwendigkeit, ein neues bzw. erweitertes Verständnis für Fertilität zu entwickeln. Sie plädieren dafür, das Leben von Paaren nicht nur als eine Verknüpfung von Intentionen und Rahmenbedingungen für de-ren Umsetzung zu betrachten, sondern auch als eine Verknüpfung von Alltagspraxen. Im Alltag von Paaren aber dient Sexualität nicht nur dem Zweck der Zeugung von Nachwuchs. Schwangerschaften entstehen deshalb regelmäßig auch als nicht intendierte Folgen von Sex bei Paaren, die sich zu einer gemeinsamen Zukunft mit Kind noch gar nicht entschieden haben., JFR - Journal of Family Research, Vol 29 No 2 (2017)

We investigate couples’ residential decisions by considering variables capturing elements of both partners’ residential biographies and family ties. We focus on the family formation stage because decisions made in this stage are rather long-term. We are particularly interested in the hometown as individuals have spent a great amount of time and an important life phase there. Our research questions are: (1) To what extent do people live in their hometown at family formation? (2) Which factors influence this choice? We consider previous residential experiences, social ties, socio-demographic and spatial variables in binary logit regressions. The data was collected from a sample of students at TU Dortmund University, their parents, and grandparents. In this paper, the parent couples’ residential location choices are analysed considering family ties to the grandparents. We apply a rigorous split half method for internal model validation. Recent research on residential decisions mostly considers either the partners or the life-course or social ties. Due to our unique dataset, we include all these factors. This allows us to draw conclusions on gendered residential choice. We find the length of residence to be positively and number of moves negatively associated with living at the hometown, two factors that have not been disentangled in previous research. We could not confirm the often proven male dominance. On the contrary, we found that the female’s family ties were more relevant. The hometown has not received the attention it deserves to date and has the potential to enrich demographic research and related fields. The rigorous split half method for internal validation has rarely been undertaken previously. The results point to the importance of model validation and thus present an innovative approach., Comparative Population Studies, Vol 44 (2019)

In Southern Africa, marriage used to be widespread and common. However, over the past decades marriage rates have declined significantly. Julia Pauli explores the meaning of marriage when only few marry. Although marriage rates have dropped sharply, the value of weddings and marriages has not. To marry has become an indicator of upper-class status that less affluent people aspire to. Using the appropriation of marriage by a rural Namibian elite as a case study, the book tells the entwined stories of class formation and marriage decline in post-apartheid Namibia.

This article investigates whether fixed-term employment affects the realization of important partnership events. We are looking at four transitions: entering cohabitation, marriage, parenthood and home ownership. Data were obtained from a random sample of 1,083 young German adults aged 20 to 35 years based on the AGIPEB Survey. We use the Kaplan-Meier method and piecewise-constant exponential models to estimate survival curves and transition rates. Women and men who work under a fixed-term contract are similarly likely to enter cohabitation, marriage and parenthood as persons who work under a permanent contract. In contrast, fixed-term employment compared to working under a permanent contract prolongs the transition into home ownership. Zusammenfassung In diesem Beitrag wird untersucht, ob befristete Beschäftigungsverhältnisse die Realisierung zentraler Partnerschaftsereignisse beeinflussen. Hierfür untersuchen wir vier Übergänge: Eintritt in die Kohabitation, Eheschließung, Elternschaft und Erwerb von Immobilieneigentum. Die Daten wurden aus einer Zufallsstichprobe mit 1.083 jungen deutschen Erwachsenen auf Basis des AGIPEB-Survey gewonnen. Wir wenden die Kaplan-Meyer-Methode und piecewise-constant exponential models an, um Überlebenskurven und Übergangsraten zu schätzen. Frauen und Männer, die in einem befristeten Beschäftigungsverhältnis arbeiten, neigen in ähnlicher Weise wie Personen mit einem unbefristeten Arbeitsvertrag dazu, die Kohabitation zu beginnen, die Ehe zu schließen und Eltern zu werden. Im Gegensatz dazu verzögert das Arbeiten unter befristeten Verträgen ‒ im Vergleich zum Arbeiten unter unbefristeten Verträgen ‒ jedoch den Übergang zum Erwerb von Wohnungseigentum., JFR - Journal of Family Research, Vol 31 No 1 (2019)