1. Spatio-temporal trends of malaria incidence from 2011 to 2017 and environmental predictors of malaria transmission in Myanmar
- Author
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Zhao, Yan, Aung, Pyae Linn, Ruan, Shishao, Win, Kyawt Mon, Wu, Zifang, Soe, Than Naing, Soe, Myat Thu, Cao, Yaming, Sattabongkot, Jetsumon, Kyaw, Myat Phone, Cui, Liwang, Menezes, Lynette, and Parker, Daniel M
- Subjects
Medical Microbiology ,Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Malaria ,Infectious Diseases ,Vector-Borne Diseases ,Rare Diseases ,Infection ,Good Health and Well Being ,Humans ,Plasmodium vivax ,Incidence ,Myanmar ,Malaria ,Vivax ,Malaria ,Falciparum ,Plasmodium falciparum ,Spatial distribution ,Temporal clustering ,Spatiotemporal clustering ,Environmental predictor ,Public Health and Health Services ,Clinical sciences ,Epidemiology ,Public health - Abstract
BackgroundMyanmar bears the heaviest malaria burden in the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS). This study assessed the spatio-temporal dynamics and environmental predictors of Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax malaria in Myanmar.MethodsMonthly reports of malaria cases at primary health centers during 2011-2017 were analyzed to describe malaria distribution across Myanmar at the township and state/region levels by spatial autocorrelation (Moran index) and spatio-temporal clustering. Negative binomial generalized additive models identified environmental predictors for falciparum and vivax malaria, respectively.ResultsFrom 2011 to 2017, there was an apparent reduction in malaria incidence in Myanmar. Malaria incidence peaked in June each year. There were significant spatial autocorrelation and clustering with extreme spatial heterogeneity in malaria cases and test positivity across the nation (P
- Published
- 2023