1. Optimal Capacities of Large- and Small-Scale Power Plants in the Face of Uncertain Demand.
- Author
-
Matsuhashi, Ryuji, Ishitani, Hisashi, Hayashi, Takehito, and Kaya, Yoichi
- Subjects
- *
ELECTRIC power , *ECONOMIC demand , *ELECTRIC power production , *POWER resources , *ECONOMIES of scale , *ELECTRIC power plants - Abstract
The future demand for electricity is uncertain and difficult to forecast, but it is necessary to do so in order to construct power plants. In that sense, a large-scale power plant is disadvantageous because it takes a long time to construct. On the other hand, although it takes less time to construct, a small-scale power plant is more expensive. Therefore large- and small-scale power plants could complement the disadvantages of each other. This paper develops a stochastic dynamic programming model to investigate the possibility. The model determines the capacities of large- and small-scale power plants in the face of uncertain demand to minimize the expected value of the total cost. Computed results have shown that small-scale plants can play a significant role in this case even if they are more expensive than large-scale plants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1992
- Full Text
- View/download PDF