1. Characterization of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the State of Qatar, February 28-April 18, 2020
- Author
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Laith J. Abu Raddad, Muna Al Masalmani, Einas Al Kuwari, Peter Coyle, Ali Nizar Latif, Adeel A. Butt, Abdullatif Al Khal, Salih Al Marri, Abdul-Badi Abou-Samra, Zaina Al Kanaani, Robert Owen, Hanan M. Al Kuwari, Sheikh Mohammad Al Thani, Roberto Bertollini, Hamad Eid Al Romaihi, and Hanan F. Abdul Rahim
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,education.field_of_study ,business.industry ,Public health ,Mortality rate ,Medical record ,Population ,medicine.disease ,Comorbidity ,Intensive care ,Case fatality rate ,Medicine ,business ,education ,Contact tracing ,Demography - Abstract
Objective To define the epidemiologic curve of COVID-19 in Qatar, determine factors associated with severe or critical illness, and study the temporal relation between public health measures and case finding Design Epidemiologic investigation Setting and Participants All confirmed COVID-19 cases in the State of Qatar between February 28 and April 18, 2020 Main Outcome Measures Number of total and daily new COVID-19 infections; demographic characteristics and comorbidity burden and severity of infection; factors associated with severe or critical illness Results Between February 28 and April 18, 2020 (11:00AM local time), 5,685 cases of COVID-19 were identified. Mean age (SD) was 35.8(12.0) years, 88.9% were male and 8.7% were Qatari nationals. Overall, 83.6% had no concomitant comorbidity, and 3.0% had 3 or more comorbidities. The overwhelming majority (90.9%) were asymptomatic or with minimal symptoms, with 2.0% having severe or critical illness. Presence of hypertension or diabetes were associated with a higher risk of severe or critical illness. Seven deaths were observed during the time interval studied. The epidemiologic curve indicated two distinct patterns of infection, a larger cluster among expatriate craft and manual workers, and a smaller one among Qatari nationals returning from abroad during the epidemic. Conclusion COVID-19 infections in Qatar started in two distinct clusters, but then became more widespread in the population through community transmission. Infections were mostly asymptomatic or with minimal symptoms and associated with very low mortality. Severe/critical illness was associated with presence of hypertension or diabetes. Article Summary Strengths and limitations of this study: National study with unified contact tracing and testing All testing done at a single lab, and all tests performed in the State of Qatar during the study period were included, providing a robust national estimate of the number of infected persons among those tested Comorbidities were retrieved from the electronic medical records using ICD-10 AM codes Exact geographic location and contact tracing data were not included in the current report It is possible that some persons still under care on the study end date may have progressed to more severe disease after that date What is already known on this topic As of May 3, 2020, over 3.4 million persons have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 and over 244,000 deaths have been reported in persons with COVID-19 infection. Those at higher risk of complications include persons over age 60 years and those with chronic comorbid conditions. Mortality rate varies widely among different countries, and this can be associated both to the capacity of the health system to provide effective intensive care including ventilators as well as other factors, including demographic differences. Public health measures seem effective, but there is debate on the extent to which the measures need to be aggressive or the duration for which they should be implemented. What this study adds This study reports on the epidemic curve in a population with a unique demographic structure, comprising an overwhelming majority of expatriates and young male craft and manual workers. This is also the first study that reports on the epidemic curve of an Arab country in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR). The study also overlays major public health measures on the epidemic curve, to provide an understanding of the context in which the epidemic is progressing. Patients with confirmed COVID-19 in Qatar were young with few comorbidities. Case fatality rate was very low (only 7 deaths among 5,685 infected persons). Severe and critical illness were associated with presence of hypertension or diabetes.
- Published
- 2020
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