1. EXCHANGE RATE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH. THE CASE OF ROMANIA
- Author
-
Nicolae Ghiba
- Subjects
exchange rate ,economic growth ,Romania ,euro ,RON ,depreciation ,appreciation ,Political institutions and public administration (General) ,JF20-2112 - Abstract
Considering the difficulties created by the economic crisis, many exporters have criticized the National Bank of Romania (NBR)’s policy regarding the exchange rate evolution. They argue that depreciation is a necessary condition for recovery and not financial stability. On the contrary, Romania cannot afford a shock in the exchange rate level. The risk associated with such a measure is too high for an emerging country and it annihilates any export competitive advantages. Therefore, depreciation may delay the imperative of Romanian economic recovery. A solid economic recovery should have as starting point a financial system sound and stable. Excessive exchange rate depreciation jeopardizes the financial soundness of banks and the borrower’s ability to repay their loans. Therefore, it creates inflationary flare-ups, particularly dangerous for the economy of any state.
- Published
- 2010