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Demographic change theory is based on the opinion that there is a cross relation between the industrialisation and economic advancement, and birth-death rates, and that while countries are undergoing a structural change from farming into industry, both death and birth rates will get smaller. During the process, the population in working age (15-64 age group) increases while the population growth rate decreases, which is a case countries can come across once in their lives; and gives way to an unprecedented development opportunity called Demographic Opportunity Window. This process is being experienced by the developing countries and consequently by Turkey just as almost all the present developed countries used to in the past. During the process effective in economic, social and political structure, Turkey may likely be to enhance income per capita and take the advantage of the economic growth through the right policies to be implemented especially in education, work force market and in health and social security system. The study carried out to this parallel aims at evaluating in an academic point of view, far from the political controversies, what effects "at least three-child policy" can produce on the process through which Turkey has been passing, on which the present political party often puts emphasis and has made it a government policy. In the study, it has been concluded that in Turkey between 2010-2050, the process of window of opportunity expected to cover a period of 40 years or so will be lived both at a longer period of time and with a younger population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It is generally accepted that there is a close relationship between aggregate construction investments and economic growth. The construction industry, especially for developing countries such as Turkey, plays a very important role in economic growth. This topic has been examined by many researchers so far and the construction industry has been concluded to be associated closely with economic growth. In this study to be made by using data from the period 1987-2010 of Turkey, it is attempted to ascertain whether there is a systematic relationship between construction investments of public and private sector and economic growth. In the result of the study being used Granger Causality test, it was determined that there was a unidirectional causality relationship both running from public sector construction investments to GDP and running from public sector construction investment with GDP to the private sector construction investments. In the light of these findings, it can be said that as construction investments to be made in Turkey have influence on economic growth, economic growth also to be effective on construction spending. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In 2008, the conjuncture of the world's financial crisis significantly affected the developed countries, as well as emerging economies. It is the fact that the global financial crisis effects on developed countries have shown itself in 2008; on the other hand the influences of the crisis occurred in 2009 in developing countries. In this study, determined as a common denominator in the upper-middle income by the World Bank Group of 23 countries whether facing the crisis of 2008 with using cluster analysis of similar or diverging reactions are presented. After analysis, it is observed that chosen countries formed in 5 clusters. In general, it is possible to say that the countries exhibits similar responses within groups; China, Malaysia, Thailand, as a group; Belarus, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Mexico and Venezuela, as a group; Bosnia and Herzegovina, Macedonia and Romania, as a group; Brazil, Chile, Panama, and South Africa, as a group; Bulgaria, Kazakhstan and Latvia, as a group, Turkey, Uruguay, and Costa Rica, as a group. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Historically all the countries have been in a constant effort to increase the level of prosperity of their societies. The policies implemented together with this effort affected significantly the level of development. When considering the economy of Turkey, the outward oriented and export-led growth policies followed in the period after 1980, have led to a rapid increase in exports and also to a change in the nature of the products exported. In this context it is clear that, the labor-intensive export structure emerged after the mid-1990s has evolved into a technology-intensive dominant structure in recent years. It is very certain that this structural transformation will also affect the amount of R&D needed in export sectors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

One of the important problems that the developing countries face is the defıciency of savings. This problem has oriented the countries to benefıt from foreign sources and foreign direct investments. Hence, both developed and developing countries strive densely to attract foreign direct investments in their own countries. The reason behind this attempt is the wish to exploit capital, new technology and the increase of the employment provided by the foreign direct investments. In this study, the effects on the economic growth of the foreign direct investments for Turkish economy in the period of 1980-2008, are analyzed by using econometric methods. Two variables, gross domestic product and foreign direct investment, are involved in the analysis. Time series datas related to the variables have been tested by ADF unit root test and the results have shown that the first difference values of the two variables are stationary. Granger causality test has been applied to determine the causality relationship between the variables and one-way causality relationship from foreign direct investments to economic growth has been found. Moreover, EG cointegration test has been applied to the variables and it has been observed that both of them are cointegrated. The estimation results have shown that foreign direct investments create the positive effects on the economic growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study evaluates the macroeconomic performance of Turkish economy after the year 2002. This evaluation is based on "non-hierarchical cluster" analysis of 10 macroeconomic performance criterions of 17 emerging markets. This study covers 1990-2006 period annual data and each indicator is clustered for the period of 1990-2001, 2002-2006 and 1990-2006 separately. By this way, macroeconomic performance of Turkey is compared not only with its former data but also with the other 16 emerging countries' market data. Findings about the macroeconomic performance of Turkey after the year 2002, signal an absolute success for some variables (G and MBR), an absolute failure for some variables (U, CDGDP and GDPTW), and "neither success nor failure" for some variables (PCGDP and FDI). The condition of some variables is different: When after the year 2002 performance of these variables is compared with its former condition, it signals an absolute success and when compared with the other countries it signals an absolute failure. As a result of the study, it is observed that high level of interest rate of Turkish economy continues to be the most critical indicator relatively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]