1. Evidence of Decreased Long-term Risk of Cervical Precancer after Negative Primary HPV Screens Compared with Negative Cytology Screens in a Longitudinal Cohort Study.
- Author
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Gottschlich A, Hong Q, Gondara L, Alam MS, Cook DA, Martin RE, Lee M, Melnikow J, Peacock S, Proctor L, Stuart G, Franco EL, Krajden M, Smith LW, and Ogilvie GS
- Subjects
- Humans, Female, Longitudinal Studies, Adult, Middle Aged, Uterine Cervical Dysplasia virology, Uterine Cervical Dysplasia pathology, Uterine Cervical Dysplasia diagnosis, Uterine Cervical Dysplasia epidemiology, British Columbia epidemiology, Vaginal Smears methods, Precancerous Conditions virology, Precancerous Conditions pathology, Precancerous Conditions diagnosis, Precancerous Conditions epidemiology, Papillomaviridae isolation & purification, Cytodiagnosis, Uterine Cervical Neoplasms virology, Uterine Cervical Neoplasms pathology, Uterine Cervical Neoplasms diagnosis, Uterine Cervical Neoplasms epidemiology, Papillomavirus Infections virology, Papillomavirus Infections diagnosis, Papillomavirus Infections epidemiology, Early Detection of Cancer methods
- Abstract
Background: The growing use of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) cervical cancer screening requires determining appropriate screening intervals to avoid overtreatment of transient disease. This study examined the long-term risk of cervical precancer after HPV screening to inform screening interval recommendations., Methods: This longitudinal cohort study (British Columbia, Canada, 2008 to 2022) recruited women and individuals with a cervix who received 1 to 2 negative HPV screens (HPV1 cohort, N = 5,546; HPV2 cohort, N = 6,624) during a randomized trial and women and individuals with a cervix with 1 to 2 normal cytology results (BCS1 cohort, N = 782,297; BCS2 cohort, N = 673,778) extracted from the provincial screening registry. All participants were followed through the registry for 14 years. Long-term risk of cervical precancer or worse [cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+)] was compared between HPV and cytology cohorts., Results: Cumulative risks of CIN2+ were 3.2/1,000 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.6-4.7] in HPV1 and 2.7/1,000 (95% CI, 1.2-4.2) in HPV2 after 8 years. This was comparable with the risk in the cytology cohorts after 3 years [BCS1: 3.3/1,000 (95% CI, 3.1-3.4); BCS2: 2.5/1,000 (95% CI, 2.4-2.6)]. The cumulative risk of CIN2+ after 10 years was low in the HPV cohorts [HPV1: 4.7/1,000 (95% CI, 2.6-6.7); HPV2: 3.9 (95% CI, 1.1-6.6)]., Conclusions: Risk of CIN2+ 8 years after a negative screen in the HPV cohorts was comparable with risk after 3 years in the cytology cohorts (the benchmark for acceptable risk)., Impact: These findings suggest that primary HPV screening intervals could be extended beyond the current 5-year recommendation, potentially reducing barriers to screening., (©2024 American Association for Cancer Research.)
- Published
- 2024
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