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Objective: To evaluate mortality for Parkinson's disease (PD) in Italy during a long time period (1980-2015) and to discuss the role of possible general and specific influencing factors.Methods: Based on mortality data provided by the Italian National Institute of Statistics, sex- and age-specific crude mortality rates were computed, for the whole country and for its main geographical sub-areas. Rates were standardized using both direct (annual mortality rates AMRs) and indirect (standardized mortality rates SMRs) methods. SMRs were used to evaluate geographical differences, whereas AMRs and joinpoint linear regression analysis to study mortality trends.Results: Considering the entire period, highest mortality rates were observed in males (AMR/100,000: 9.0 in males, 5.25 in females), in North-West and Central Italy (SMR > 100). Overall PD mortality decreased from mid-eighties onwards and then rapidly reversed the trend in the period 1998-2002, rising up to a maximum in 2015, with some differences according to sex and geographical areas.Conclusions: Several factors may have contributed to the rapid inversion of decreasing trend in mortality observed in the last part of XX century. Possible explanations of this rising trend are related to the increasing burden of PD (especially in males and in certain Italian regions), caused by different factors as population aging, physiological prevalence rise due to incidence exceeding mortality, and growing exposure to environmental or occupational risk factors. In addition, the accuracy of death certificate compilation could account for geographical differences and for the temporal trend. The role of levodopa and recently introduced dopaminergic drugs is also discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Rationale: An increase of prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) has been reported in several countries, especially taking into account a long-term evaluation. This increasing trend often reflects improved case identification and ascertainment due to the refinement of diagnostic criteria. The aim of this study was to update the prevalence rate of MS in Tuscany (central Italy) as of 2017, and to assess if there has been an increasing trend of prevalence in this Region considering a short period of analysis, from 2014 to 2017.Methods: To capture prevalent cases, a case-finding algorithm based on administrative data, previously created and validated, was used. As data sources, we considered hospital discharge records, drug-dispensing records, disease-specific exemptions from copayment to health care, home and residential long-term care, and inhabitant registry.Results: As of January 1, 2017, 7809 cases were identified, of which 69.4% were females and 30.6% were males. Considering temporal variation, an increasing trend was observed, with standardized rates rising from 189.2 in 2014 to 208.7 per 100,000 in 2017.Conclusions: Results confirm that prevalence increases every year, probably mainly due to the difference between incidence and mortality, resulting in an increasing trend. Moreover, administrative data may accurately identify MS patients in a routinary way and monitor this cohort along disease care pathways. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Italy is a high-risk area for multiple sclerosis with 110,000 prevalent cases estimated at January 2016 and 3400 annual incident cases. To study multiple sclerosis epidemiology, it is preferable to use population-based studies, e.g., with a registry. A valid alternative to obtain data on entire population is from administrative sources.Objective: To estimate the incidence of multiple sclerosis in Tuscany using a case-finding algorithm based on administrative data.Methods: In a previous study, we calculated the prevalence in Tuscany using a validated case-finding algorithm based on administrative data. Incident cases were identified as a subset of prevalent cases among those patients not traced in the years before the analysis period, and the date of the first multiple sclerosis-related claim was considered the incidence date of multiple sclerosis diagnosis. We examined the period 2011-2015.Results: We identified 1147 incident cases with annual rates ranged from 5.60 per 100,000 in 2011 to 6.58 in 2015.Conclusions: We found a high incidence rate, similarly to other Italian areas, especially in women, that may explain the increasing prevalence in Tuscany. To confirm this data and to calculate the possible bias caused by our inclusion method, we will validate our algorithm for incident cases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Tuscany (Central Italy) is a high-risk area for multiple sclerosis (MS) with a prevalence of 188 cases per 100,000 at 2011, and it is characterized by a heterogeneous geographic distribution of this disease. Our objective was to update prevalence at 2013 and to evaluate the presence of spatial clusters in Tuscany. The MS prevalence was evaluated on 31 December 2013 using a validated case-finding algorithm, based on administrative data. To identify spatial clusters, we calculated standardized morbidity ratios (SMRs) for each Tuscan administrative municipality. In addition to the classical approach, we applied the hierarchical Bayesian model to overcome random variability due to the presence of small number of cases per municipality. We identified 7330 MS patients (2251 males and 5079 females) with an overall prevalence of 195.4/100,000. The SMR for each Tuscan municipality ranged from 0 to 271.4, but this approach produced an extremely non-homogeneous map. On the contrary, the Bayesian map was much smoother than the classical one. The posterior probability (PP) map showed prevalence clusters in some areas in the province of Massa-Carrara, Pistoia, and Arezzo, and in the municipalities of Siena, Florence, and Barberino Val d'Elsa. Our prevalence data confirmed that Tuscany is a high-risk area, and we observed an increasing trend during the time. Using the Bayesian method, we estimated area-specific prevalence in each municipality reducing the random variation and the effect of extreme prevalence values in small areas that affected the classical approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Italy is a high risk area for multiple sclerosis (MS) as confirmed by the numerous prevalence and incidence studies conducted in several regions/districts of the country. Nevertheless, there are no recent published epidemiological data, nor studies about the total prevalence of MS in Italy. Our aim was to update as of 2015 the prevalence rates of MS in different geographical areas using already published epidemiological studies, and to estimate the overall prevalence of the disease in Italy. We made a search in MEDLINE database of all published studies on epidemiology of MS in Italy. Then, we applied, to the already published prevalence data, the last published incidence and mortality rates to recalculate, as of 2015, the prevalence of MS. So, we calculated the mean prevalence rate from our extrapolations, and we applied it to the population in 2015 to estimate the number of MS patients in Italy. Our prevalence extrapolations ranged from 122 to 232 cases/100,000 in the mainland and Sicily, with an average of 176/100,000, and from 280 to 317 cases/100,000 in Sardinia with an average of 299/100,000. Applying these media to the Italian population in 2015, we obtained an estimate of more than 109,000 MS patients in Italy. Our estimates were higher than the latest published rates but consistent with the annual increase of prevalence due to incidence that exceeds mortality, with the increase of survival and, maybe, with the probable increase of incidence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]