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An outbreak of enterohaemorrhagic Escherichia coli O157 occurred in multiple prefectures of Japan in November 2009. We conducted two case-control studies with trace-back and trace-forward investigations to determine the source. The case definition was met by 21 individuals; 14 (66.7%) were hospitalised, but no haemolytic uraemic syndrome, acute encephalopathy or deaths occurred. Median age was 23 (range 12-48) years and 14 cases were male (66.7%). No significant associations with food were found in a case-control study by local public health centres, but our matched case-control study using Internet surveys found that beef hanging tender (or hanger steak), derived from the diaphragm of the cattle, was significantly associated with illness (odds ratio = 15.77; 95% confidence interval, 2.00-124.11). Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis analysis of isolates from patients and the suspected food showed five different patterns: two in faecal and food samples, and another three in patient faecal samples only, although there were epidemiological links to the meat consumed at the restaurants. Trace-back investigation implicated a common food processing company from outside Japan. Examination of the logistics of the meat processing company suggested that contamination did not occur in Japan. We concluded that the source of the outbreak was imported hanging tender. This investigation revealed that Internet surveys could be useful for outbreak investigations.

Objectives　In Japan, nationwide data of the incidence of infectious diseases have been collected via the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases (NESID) since 1981. In addition, since March 2014, Kawasaki City has operated its own real-time surveillance (RTS) system to collect data of the incidence of influenza from medical institutions across the city. This study aimed to describe the characteristics of the RTS system and compare the two surveillance systems to improve measures against infectious diseases in the future.Methods　NESID and RTS data from March 2014 to October 2017 were obtained from the Kawasaki City Institute for Public Health. First, the operating methodologies of the two surveillance systems were compared. Second, RTS data were used to analyze the daily epidemic curve, and then the daily number of influenza cases was converted into weekly data for comparison with NESID data. Pearson's correlation coefficients and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Correlations were also analyzed after data for the last and first weeks of each year were excluded because few hospitals remain open around the New Year holiday, resulting in a disproportionately large number of patients visiting the few institutions that remain open.Results　The NESID relies on data provided by a fixed number of medical institutions determined each fiscal year (mean: 56.0±4.2 institutions), while the number of institutions providing data for the RTS varies daily or monthly. In September 2017, 691 of the 1,032 eligible institutions (67.0%) were registered for the RTS. Pearson's correlation coefficient for the two surveillance systems was 0.975 (95%CI, 0.967-0.981); when data for the last and first week of each year were excluded, it was 0.989 (95%CI 0.986-0.992). In each of the three seasons that were investigated, an increase in the incidence of type A influenza preceded an increase in the incidence of type B influenza.Conclusion　The operating methodologies of the two surveillance systems differed; however, the results identified a strong correlation, confirming the reliability of the RTS. The RTS collects daily data by influenza type; therefore, it detects epidemic onsets at an earlier stage, facilitating more detailed epidemiological analysis, compared with that of the NESID. It is necessary to understand differences in the characteristics between two surveillance systems when we analyze influenza surveillance data.

Shiga-toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) infections usually cause haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS) equally in male and female children. This study investigated the localization of globotriaosylceramide (Gb3) in human brain and kidney tissues removed from forensic autopsy cases in Japan. A fatal case was used as a positive control in an outbreak of diarrhoeal disease caused by STEC O157:H7 in a kindergarten in Urawa in 1990. Positive immunodetection of Gb3 was significantly more frequent in female than in male distal and collecting renal tubules. To correlate this finding with a clinical outcome, a retrospective analysis of the predictors of renal failure in the 162 patients of two outbreaks in Japan was performed: one in Tochigi in 2002 and the other in Kagawa Prefecture in 2005. This study concludes renal failure, including HUS, was significantly associated with female sex, and the odds ratio was 4·06 compared to male patients in the two outbreaks. From 2006 to 2009 in Japan, the risk factor of HUS associated with STEC infection was analysed. The number of males and females and the proportion of females who developed HUS were calculated by age and year from 2006 to 2009. In 2006, 2007 and 2009 in adults aged >20 years, adult women were significantly more at risk of developing HUS in Japan.

A large outbreak of enterohaemorrhagic Escherichia coli (EHEC) O111 and O157 occurred in Japan in April 2011. We conducted an unmatched case-control study and trace-back investigation to determine the source of EHEC O111 infection and risk factors for severe complications. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis was performed to help define cases. A total of 86 individuals met the case definition. Of these, 40% experienced haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS), 24% acute encephalopathy, and 6% died. Illness was significantly associated with eating the raw beef dish yukhoe (odds ratio 19·64, 95% confidence interval 7·03-54·83), the likely food vehicle. EHEC O111 and its closely related stx-negative variants were found in the beef. HUS occurred most frequently in individuals aged 5-9 years, and this age group was significantly associated with acute encephalopathy. The prevalence of HUS and acute encephalopathy was higher than in previous non-O157-related outbreaks, indicating a high risk of severe complications.

A novel GII.P17-GII.17 variant norovirus emerged as a major cause of norovirus outbreaks from December 2014 to March 2015 in Japan. Named Hu/GII/JP/2014/GII.P17-GII.17, this variant has a newly identified GII.P17 type RNA-dependent RNA polymerase, while the capsid sequence displays amino acid substitutions around histo-blood group antigen (HBGA) binding sites. Several variants caused by mutations in the capsid region have previously been observed in the GII.4 genotype. Monitoring the GII.17 variant's geographical spread and evolution is important.

This report describes atypical cases of yersiniosis in squirrel monkeys in which aberrant forms of Yersinia pseudotuberculosis were seen. There were 2 outbreaks due to yersiniosis in squirrel monkeys in Japan. The monkeys had systemic necrotizing and hemorrhagic lesions with Gram-negative rod-shaped bacilli and microthromboembolism in the kidneys. Some lesions contained filaments, globular bodies, and other pleomorphic forms of bacteria. All forms were usually seen in the same lesions, and those with pleomorphic morphology appeared to be an intermediate form between the rod-shaped bacteria and the filaments or globular bodies. In addition, they had strong immunolabeling for Y. pseudotuberculosis, as did the rod-shaped bacteria. Therefore, the globular bodies, filaments, and others are strongly suspected to be shape-changed bacilli of Y. pseudotuberculosis. These morphologically altered bacteria could cause errors in diagnosis since they resemble fungi or protozoa, and special staining techniques, including immunohistochemistry, can be helpful in establishing the correct diagnosis., (© The Author(s) 2014.)

Raw fish consumption is increasing worldwide. Since around the year 2000, western regions of Japan have reported a foodborne disease of unknown cause that occurred after the consumption of flounder. In October 2010, a particularly large outbreak was reported in these regions among individuals who consumed flounder fish that had been raised in aquaculture systems. The median incubation period was 5 h (range, 4-19 h), and the most frequently reported symptom was diarrhea (80%). The risk estimate of the consumption of flounder was significantly higher than that of the development of symptoms (odds ratio=9.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.59-∞). According to a trace-back investigation, all of the flounder responsible for the outbreak were raised in aquaculture systems. Microscopic examination revealed that the median amount of Kudoa septempunctata present in the muscle of flounder fish from the aquaculture farm was 4.5×10(3) spores/g (range, 1.0×10(3)-9.6×10(6) spores/g). The number of K. septempunctata spores required for the development of illness, as estimated using the Monte Carlo simulation, was 7.2×10(7) spores/g; therefore, thus this might be the minimum ingestion threshold for the development of gastrointestinal symptoms. As a public health measure, the current study results should be referred to for the prevention of the gastrointestinal symptoms related to the consumption of flounder; the national public health authority has disseminated these results. We concluded that K. septempunctata-contaminated flounder fish were associated with the gastrointestinal symptoms of this recent outbreak.

In May 2011, an outbreak of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157 was reported from Yamagata Prefecture, Japan. Investigations, including a case-control study, revealed that the outbreak was linked to two varieties of rice cakes produced by a local manufacturer between 2 and 7 May. Active and passive surveillance identified 136 suspected cases, 142 confirmed cases, 26 asymptomatic cases, and 25 secondary cases. While no environmental samples taken from the manufacturing premises tested positive for STEC, other than a stool sample taken from one employee, on-site and epidemiological investigations indicated that STEC was introduced during the manufacturing process of rice cakes rather than through contamination of raw materials. This was the first reported outbreak of STEC associated with cakes and confectionery in Japan, which indicates that contamination and outbreaks of STEC can occur in any food unless proper precautions are taken.

Syndromic surveillance, including prescription surveillance, offers a rapid method for the early detection of agents of bioterrorism and emerging infectious diseases. However, it has the disadvantage of not considering definitive diagnoses. Here, we attempted to definitively diagnose pathogens using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) immediately after the prescription surveillance system detected an outbreak. Specimens were collected from 50 patients with respiratory infections. PCR was used to identify the pathogens, which included 14 types of common respiratory viruses and Mycoplasma pneumoniae. Infectious agents including M. pneumoniae, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), rhinovirus, enterovirus, and parainfluenza virus were detected in 54% of patients. For the rapid RSV diagnosis kit, sensitivity was 80% and specificity was 85%. For the rapid adenovirus diagnosis kit, no positive results were obtained; therefore, sensitivity could not be calculated and specificity was 100%. Many patients were found to be treated for upper respiratory tract infections without the diagnosis of a specific pathogen. In Japan, an outbreak of M. pneumoniae infection began in 2011, and our results suggested that this outbreak may have included false-positive cases. By combining syndromic surveillance and PCR, we were able to rapidly and accurately identify causative pathogens during a recent respiratory infection outbreak.

Object: We examined the relationship between syndromic surveillance and laboratory confirmation, at an early stage of an outbreak of hand foot and mouth disease and RS virus infection., Method: We observed the epidemiological situation from a surveillance system at a day care facility for young children in Tokyo from one week before onset of the indicator until one month thereafter. For laboratory diagnosis, we collected a rectal swab or a nasal swab from one patient in the early stage of the outbreak., Result: A total of 20 patients, comprising 12 1-year-old, 5 2-year-old and 3 3-year-old children, were found to have hand foot and mouth disease on August 1st, 2011. From a rectal swab from one HFMD patient, enterovirus genome was detected and identified as coxsackievirus type A6 (CA6) with PCR sequencing. The CA6 had 99% identity to CA6 (Genbank No AB663318) in the VP4 coding region. RS virus also was detected from a nasal swab., Discussion: The establishment of a surveillance system at day care facilities for children can monitor infectious diseases among young children promptly. Laboratory confirmation, even though from only one patient as shown in this study, can provide critical information regarding the causative agent of the outbreak. This method is easy to conduct and could be used for activating appropriate countermeasures., Conclusion: We believe that the combination of the timeliness of a surveillance system at day care facility for children and the convenience of laboratory diagnosis of even one patient can detect the causative pathogen, and thus enable the activation of countermeasures before an outbreak become widespread.

We describe the epidemiology of a pertussis outbreak in Japan in 2010-2011 and Bordetella holmesii transmission. Six patients were infected; 4 patients were students and a teacher at the same junior high school. Epidemiologic links were found between 5 patients. B. holmesii may have been transmitted from person to person.

We studied measles outbreak in Ibaraki Prefecture in spring 2002 as members of Field Epidemiology Training Program Japan (FETPJ). Of 84 cases diagnosed by not laboratory test but clinically, 67 (79.8%) were junior high school students, 9 (10.7%) were other students, and 8 (9.5%) were ordinary adult and infant citizens. Of the 84, 46 (54.8%) had been vaccinated. Most did not show typical Koplik spots. The city in which the school was located promoted vaccinations for infants and children aged 7.5 years old to grade 1 in High school. Questionnaire given to junior high students were detected 86 cases, of whom 57 (66.3%) were male. Overall, 4 peaks of clusters were observed in an epidemic curve, among which graduates' farewell parties and graduation ceremonies were the most common opportunities for measles virus exposure. The overall vaccination rate at school was 82.2%, vaccine efficacy extremely low at 72.5%, and vaccine failure high at 15.2%. Symptoms among those vaccinated were significantly milder than those not vaccinated. Immunity of those vaccinated as infants may have been decreased due to scarcity of measles cases in the last 10 years. In such situations--much less in typical measles among susceptible non affected and non vaccinated subjects--atypical or mild measles may be difficult to diagnose. These findings may keep clarify the need to introduce two-dose measles immunization in Japan.

SUMMARYIn December 2006, an outbreak of gastroenteritis occurred involving 372 guests and 72 employees at a hotel after a guest vomited in corridors on the third (F3) and 25th (F25) floors. Norovirus with identical genotype was confirmed by real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction in faecal samples from guest cases and employees. Spread of the outbreak on F25 was compared with that on F3. The attack rate in the guests who visited F25 alone (15·0%, 106/708 guests) was significantly higher than in those who visited F3 alone (3·5%, 163/4710 guests) (relative risk 4·3, 95% confidence interval 3·4-5·5, P < 0·001). The outbreak on F3 ended within 2 days, while that on F25 extended over 7 days. The environmental ratios of F3 to F25 were 7·4 for volume, 6·9 for floor area and 7·6 for ventilation rate. This outbreak suggests that environmental differences can affect the propagation and persistence of a norovirus outbreak following environmental contamination.

Epidemiological investigation of a March 2007 detected measles outbreak of 28 cases in a 792-student high school in Tokyo. Students with a vaccination history had significantly milder symptoms than those without, and no cases occurred among students having two of measles vaccine in two doses of measles vaccine in their childhood. Vaccine efficacy (VE) calculated in our investigation was 93.9% (95% CI:87-97), and no significant difference was observed in vaccine type or manufacturer product. Students and parents were extremely difficult to persuade to cooperate in control measures such as emergency vaccination and home isolation through notification letters even during outbreaks. Schools should thus develop measles outbreak preparedness and response plans and identify potentially susceptible students in advance through documented proof of case histories and MCV vaccination. Outbreaks should promote early detection of patients and emergency vaccination targetting potentially susceptible students backed through close cooperation with medical facilities, education institutions, and the public health sector, together with school closures as appropriate.

We constructed a syndromic surveillance system to collect directly information on daily health conditions directly from local residents via the internet [web-based daily questionnaire for health surveillance system (WDQH SS)]. This paper considers the feasibility of the WDQH SS and its ability to detect epidemics. A verification study revealed that our system was an effective surveillance system. We then applied an improved WDQH SS as a measure against public health concerns at the G8 Hokkaido Toyako Summit meeting in 2008. While in operation at the Summit, our system reported a fever alert that was consistent with a herpangina epidemic. The highly mobile WDQH SS described in this study has three main advantages: the earlier detection of epidemics, compared to other surveillance systems; the ability to collect data even on weekends and holidays; and a rapid system set-up that can be completed within 3 days.

The first confirmed case of 2009 influenza A (H1N1) in Fukuoka, Japan was reported in early-June 2009. The disease rapidly spread through this area, mainly in schools, until there were no new cases detected 3 weeks later. We describe herein the clinical characteristics of this novel infection that came to light through the investigation of this outbreak. The patient records at hospitals and local public health centers were reviewed, and we defined laboratory-confirmed cases as those of a person who had influenza-like symptoms, such as a fever of 37C or more, cough, sore throat, rhinorrhea, or headache. From May 19 to June 31, 2009, a total of 71 cases were identified. The median age was 11 years, and all the patient took neuraminidase inhibitors and fully recovered. The fevers lasted for 1 to 5 days (median, 2). Cough lasted for 2 to 11 days (median, 7), and in 10 cases (34.5%) cough started before the fever. The incubation period was 2 to 3 days. Infectors transmitted the disease to another person on the day of or the day before fever onset. The findings regarding the onset and duration of symptoms and the timing of disease transmission of 2009 influenza A (H1N1) may be useful for future response.

To assess the degree to which face masks reduce the strength of cough-wind, we measured the wind pressure in front of the mouth with and without the wearing of masks. We found that any conventional masks made from paper, cotton gauze, or non-woven fabrics reduced the wind pressure to less than one-tenth that recorded when no mask was worn.

This report describes the assessment of the secondary attack rate (SAR) and the effectiveness of post-exposure antiviral prophylaxis among household contacts in the first domestic outbreak of a novel influenza A(H1N1)v between mid-May and early June 2009 in Kobe city, Japan. Of the 293 subjects, 14 (4.8%) household contacts met the case definition and most secondary cases were probably infected around the time of symptom onset date of the respective index case. The SAR among household contacts who did not receive prophylaxis was 7.6%, similar to the rate of seasonal influenza, and the attack rate in siblings was significantly higher than that in parents. We conclude that it is important to establish routine infection control measures for households in order to prevent the spread of the virus among household contacts and, possibly, to the community. We could not conclude whether antiviral prophylaxis was effective or not. However, among close contacts with underlying disease who received prophylaxis, nobody developed a severe form of the disease.

Between 9 May and 4 June 2009, a total of 401 laboratory-confirmed cases of influenza A(H1N1)v virus were reported in Japan, from 16 of the 47 Japanese prefectures. The two areas most affected were Osaka prefecture and Kobe city where outbreaks in high schools occurred leading to school closures. To date all cases have had symptoms consistent with seasonal influenza and no severe or fatal cases have been reported.

Objectives: Preparedness plans for pandemic flu are published in many countries. Since the details of pandemic flu are still not clear, mathematical models are widely used for the development of pandemic flu preparedness plans. Obtaining actual numbers for parameters in a mathematic model is very difficult. Our objectives were (1) to obtain realistic estimations of what proportion of people will decide to stay at home during pandemic flu and (2) to investigate reasons for their decisions. If the number of parameters is obtained, we can apply these parameters to the mathematical pandemic model., Methods: In April 2007, we a surveyed 2,614 households, selected randomly from 250,000 in Japan. "Reason to stay at home during a pandemic flu," "Working at Home", and "food inventory" were asked. We analyzed the "decision of whether to stay home" by multivariate analysis., Results: We collected responses from 1,727 households (5,381 individuals). Of these, 46.1% would definitely stay at home, 47.1% would leave if necessary, and 6.7% would leave anyway. We found that "30-40 years old," "vaccination of influenza," and "cars and motorbikes as normal transportation" significantly affect the decision to "stay at home.", Conclusions: We identified major factors for the decision of general Japanese people to stay home during pandemic flu. The fact that people most likely to go out were 30-40 years old suggests a close relationship to workplaces policy. To encourage people to stay at home during pandemic flu, management and human resource management policies in the workplace are thus important.

An outbreak of psittacosis related to a bird park occurred in Matsue City, Shimane Prefecture, Japan, during winter 2001. Seventeen cases of psittacosis (12 visitors, three staff, and two student interns) were confirmed. A cohort study was conducted among the park staff and students to determine the risk factors for the development of acute serologically confirmed psittacosis (SCP) infection. Being 'bird staff' had an increased risk of SCP infection (RR 3.96, 95% CI 1.48-10.58). Entering the staff building, where ill birds were maintained without proper isolation, was also associated with an increased risk of SCP infection (RR 3.61, 95% CI 1.03-12.6). Isolation of ill birds and quarantine measures were found to be insufficient. Dehumidifiers and a high-pressure water spray under a closed ventilation environment may have raised the concentration of Chlamydophila psittaci in the hothouses. Bird park staff and visitors should be educated about psittacosis.

Background: H5N2 avian influenza virus infection of humans has not been reported thus far. The first H5N2 avian influenza infection of poultry in Japan occurred in Ibaraki., Methods: The subjects were workers at 35 chicken farms in Ibaraki Prefecture, where the H5N2 virus or antibody was isolated from chickens. None of the subjects exhibited influenza symptoms. The H5N2-neutralizing antibody titers of the first and second paired sera samples were compared. To investigate the possible factors for this increase, the H5N2-neutralizing antibody titer (1:40 or more) was calculated for the second samples. A logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the association of these factors with H5N2-neutralizing antibody positivity., Results: We performed Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-ranked test on data collected from 257 subjects, and determined that the H5N2 antibody titers of the second paired sera samples were significantly higher than those of the first samples (P < 0.001). The H5N2 antibody titers of paired sera of 13 subjects without a history of seasonal influenza vaccination within the previous 12 months increased 4-fold or more. The percentage of antibody positivity was 32% for subjects with a history of seasonal influenza vaccination (28% of all subjects) and 13% for those without a history of the same. The adjusted odds ratio of H5N2-neutralizing antibody positivity was 4.6 (95% confidence interval: 1.6-13.7) for those aged over 40 and 3.1 (95% confidence interval: 1.6-6.1) for those with a history of seasonal influenza vaccination within the previous 12 months., Conclusion: The results suggest that this may have been the first avian influenza H5N2 infection of poultry to affect humans. A history of seasonal influenza vaccination might be associated with H5N2-neutralizing antibody positivity.

Objective: To detect nosocomial outbreaks early we construct syndromic surveillance for inpatients with fever, respiratory symptoms, diarrhea, vomiting, or rash and evaluate it statistically., Methods and Materials: In hospital using electronic medical records since August 1999, we studied the number of inpatients with a certain symptoms from 1999 to 2005. To prospectively detect outbreaks after January 1, 2005, we first estimated the baseline using data from August 1, 1999 to the day before any given day. We then predicted the number of patients on the day and judge whether an outbreak has occurred, evaluating this by checking it sensitivity and specificity to detect outbreaks other than those with previous patterns., Results: From August 1999 to December 2005, 115,532 patients had fever, 126,443 respiratory symptoms, 87,923 diarrhea, 32,858 vomiting, and 11,212 In 2005, in prospective detection, 23,617 had fever, 23,698 respiratory symptoms, 14,671 diarrhea, 5,893 vomiting, and 2,486 rash., Discussion: This hospital had a nosocomial Noro virus outbreak on January 27, 2005. Syndromic surveillance identified an outbreak of vomiting at a 0.1% criterion. Our system thus detects nosocomial outbreaks and is of practical use. The next step will be ward-by-ward examination, after which we will experiment with rapid information collection, analysis, reports of results, and investigation by infection control teams.

Objective: To identify risk factors for infection and severe illness due to Chlamydia pneumoniae., Methods: To identify risk factors for infection, we conducted a case-control study among nursing home residents who had onset of symptoms during December 1, 1999, to February 20, 2000. To identify risk factors for severe illness among nursing home residents, we conducted a retrospective cohort study., Setting: A nursing home providing long-term and day care services for elderly patients in Japan.Participants. Fifty-nine residents and 41 staff members of a nursing home., Results: The attack rates for respiratory illness were 53% (31 of 59) among residents and 22% (9 of 41) among staff. Infection was confirmed in 15 resident and 2 staff case patients by isolation of C. pneumoniae from nasal swab specimens. Fifteen resident case patients developed severe illness (ie, bronchitis, pneumonia, and hypoxia); one case patient died. The median age of resident case patients was 87 years. We could identify neither the source of the outbreak nor significant risk factors for infection and severe illness in residents. However, residents with a higher level of physical activity were more likely to become infected, whereas older residents (aged more than 85 years) and those with a lower level of physical activity were more likely to develop severe illness (P>.05). Contact with residents was a risk factor for infection in staff (relative risk, undefined; P=.04)., Conclusions: C. pneumoniae can cause large outbreaks of infection and severe illness among elderly persons, and its transmission is likely to be enhanced by close contacts among people in nursing homes. Therefore, early detection of an outbreak by means of better surveillance, and subsequent isolation of patients, may be effective control measures.

Objective: To review complaints (such as fever, respiratory symptoms, diarrhea, vomiting, and rashes) in the medical records of outpatients as potential sources of data for syndromic surveillance, and to examine the possibility of practical application from a statistical view point., Materials and Methods: Using data obtained from a certain internal and pediatric clinic, we count the number of patients each day who suffered from one of the above five symptoms from January 1st, 2003 to June 30th, 2005. In order to detect outbreaks prospectively after January 1st, 2005, we at first estimate the baseline using the data from January 1st, 2003 to the day before any given day. We then predict the number of patients there ought to be in any given day and judge whether or not an outbreak has occurred. So as to evaluate the system, we check the sensitivity and specificity in its ability to detect outbreaks other than those seen in previous patterns., Results: The total number of cases in which each of the above symptoms occurred were respectively: 11,896 cases of fever, 16,273 cases of respiratory symptoms, 3,672 cases of diarrhea, 3,485 cases of vomiting, and 542 cases of rash. We found prolonged outbreaks of fever and respiratory symptoms in February and March and shorter outbreaks of vomiting and diarrhea in January. The sensitivity and specificity of this system' s ability to detect outbreaks was very high and thus we can confirm that it showed satisfactory performance., Discussion: We found large-scale outbreaks of influenza late in the 2004/2005 season, and small outbreaks of GI that seemed to be particularly related to the Noro virus. In both cases, these outbreaks seemed to be natural phenomena, not artificial, human induced phenomena such as outbreaks caused by bioterrorism attacks. However, since this system was able to detect these outbreaks, we would also be able to use it to detect an outbreak caused by a bioterrorism attack if the size of the outbreak was similar to these cases., Conclusion: In order to use this system to detect outbreaks in the community on a smaller level we would have to increase the number of medical institutions cooperating in this study. Moreover, we would need to find a way to handle the different electronic medical record systems and different writing styles used by different medical institutions in order to move toward the practical use of Syndromic Surveillance.

Objectives: This report describes a study to explore the possibility of using data on sales of over-the- counter (OTC) medications as part of a routine syndromic surveillance system aimed at early detection of infections of public health concern. A retrospective evaluation was conducted of sales of OTC medications used to treat the common cold. This report discusses the correlation of these data to influenza activity in Japan during the 2003-04 influenza season and evaluates the potential of using such data to predict influenza epidemics., Methods: Data from approximately 1,100 pharmacies throughout Japan collected during November 2003-April 2004 were analyzed. OTC sales data were compared with influenza incidence data (one weekly and two daily data sets) to determine correlations and predictability. Adjusted R-square was used as an index of goodness of-fit in the estimation. Data reflecting daily influenza activity were obtained from the National Surveillance of Daily Influenza Outpatients and the Mailing List-Based Influenza Epidemic Database. National sentinel surveillance data for influenza from approximately 5,000 sites nationwide also were analyzed., Results: Although a correlation was demonstrated between sales of OTC medications used to treat the common cold and concurrent influenza activity, analysis of sales data alone was not sufficient to determine influenza activity in advance even when sales promotion effects were excluded from the analysis., Conclusion: Because visiting a health-care provider costs more than purchasing OTC medications, the hypothesis was formed that an ill person will purchase OTC medications first and visit a physician only if the condition does not resolve or worsens. The results of this study do not provide any clear evidence to support this hypothesis. For this reason, OTC sales do not appear to be a good candidate for a national real-time detection system for influenza epidemics in Japan.

Background: Since 1910, there have been many studies on acute gastroenteritis in children in Japan. These diseases, namely Kasei-shoni-kolera (pseudocholera infantum) or banshu-otosho (late autumn vomiting disease), are historically known to occur in the cooler season with a peak in November or December. Earlier we confirmed their causation by rotaviruses but found peaks in January or February from 1974 to 1981. The aim of the present study was to confirm the temporal shift in peak rotavirus activity., Methods: Under the National Epidemiological Surveillance of Infectious Diseases program from 1983 through 2003, rotavirus positive patients 0-3 years old and clinically diagnosed with "infantile vomiting and diarrhea" at sentinel clinics were examined. Fecal samples were screened by electron microscopy and/or using commercial latex agglutination kits at prefectural/municipal Public Health Institutes, and we determined the trend for the "peak" month during 21 seasons., Results: Peak rotavirus activity shifted gradually from January to March during the 21 consecutive seasons. The mean duration from December to the peak month (mean beginning peak duration) of the rotavirus season significantly varied among 3 periods of 7 consecutive seasons (1.7 +/- 0.5 months in 1982/1983-1988/1989, 2.3+/-0.8 months in 1989/1980-1995/1996, and 3.1 +/- 0.7 months in 1996/1997-2002/2003, respectively; P = 0.0026 by 1-way analysis of variance). This time series shift in the peak rotavirus infection was statistically significant (P = 0.0003 for trend)., Conclusion: Our findings confirmed that the temporal trend in peak rotavirus activity in Japan has shifted gradually from winter to early spring for unknown reasons.

A Salmonella Enteritidis (SE) outbreak in Japan was investigated with an observational study, analytical epidemiology and bacteriological examination (including phage typing). The outbreak occurred among 96 schoolchildren, and was caused by SE phage type 1. The outbreak source was dessert buns served at a school lunch (RR 42.55, 95 % CI 5.93-305.11, P < 0.001). The buns were probably cross-contaminated from eggs from a factory with a history of SE-contaminated products. The incubation period was longer than usual (3-16 days, median 8 days). A low contaminating dose may account for the long incubation period and low attack rate. Outbreak detection was hampered by the absence of routine Salmonella surveillance in Japan. The investigation was complicated by concurrent illnesses from other SE phage types. It was successful, in part, because adequate food samples were available for microbiological testing.

In January 2002, 12 patients with Serratia marcescens bloodstream infection (BSI) were identified in a hospital in Tokyo, Japan. We conducted an epidemiological investigation of this outbreak. We undertook a medical-records review and employee interviews, and performed a case-control study to determine risk factors for S. marcescens BSI. An observational study of the hospital's procedures and an environmental microbiologic sampling were performed. We identified 12 suspected and 12 confirmed patients with S. marcescens BSI, including 7 who died. A case-control study showed that vascular access devices (odds ratio [OR] = 30.46; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.5-685.6) and the use of heparin-locks, between December 26 and January 15 (OR = 25.7; 95% CI = 2.3-680.4) were significant risk factors for S. marcescens BSI. The observational study revealed multiple lapses in infection control, including use of multi-dose vials of heparin. The outbreak strain was isolated from a hand-towel in the nurse station. The use of multi-dose vials of heparinized-saline during a particularly busy period was associated with BSI risk. The results underscore the risks inherent in infection-control lapses and the use of multi-dose vials.

Objectives: To investigate and control an outbreak of bloodstream infections (BSIs) caused by Serratia marcescens and to identify risk factors for respiratory colonization or infection with S. marcescens., Design: Epidemiologic investigation, including review of medical and laboratory records, procedural investigations, pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) typing of environmental and patient isolates, statistical study, and recommendation of control measures., Patients and Setting: All patients admitted to a 380-bed, secondary-care hospital in Osaka Prefecture, Japan, from July 1999 through June 2000 (study period)., Results: Seventy-one patients were colonized or infected with S. marcescens; 3 patients who developed primary BSIs on the same ward within 5 days in June 2000 had isolates with indistinguishable PFGE patterns and indwelling intravenous catheters for more than 5 days. On multivariate analysis, among 36 case-patients with positive sputum specimens and 95 control-patients, being bedridden (odds ratio [OR], 15.91; 95% confidence interval [CI95], 4.17-60.77), receiving mechanical ventilation (OR, 7.86; CI95, 2.27-27.16), being older than 80 years (OR, 3.12; CI95, 1.05-9.27), and receiving oral cleaning care (OR, 3.10; CI95, 1-9.58) were significant risk factors. S. marcescens was isolated from the fluid tanks of three nebulizers and a liquid soap dispenser. The hospital did not have written infection control standards, and many infection control practices were found to be inadequate (eg, respiratory equipment was used without disinfection between patients)., Conclusions: Poor hospital hygiene and the lack of standard infection control measures contributed to infections hospital-wide. Recommendations to the hospital included adoption of written infection control policies.

Chlamydia pneumoniae (C. pneumoniae) is an emerging pathogen recognized in 1989. Although C. pneumoniae infection is known to give a great impact on public health in western countries, many aspects remain unclarified in Japan. During December 1999 and March 2000, respiratory symptoms among residents and employees in a nursing home for elderly implicated an outbreak of C. pneumoniae infection. Field epidemiological investigation confirmed that this is the first outbreak recognized in a nursing home setting in Japan, involving 31/59 (15 confirmed) residents and 9/41 (2 confirmed) employees. Fifteen residents developed severe C. pneumoniae infections including one fatal outcome with pneumonia. Epidemiological analysis did not identify risk factors which induce infection or severe illness by C. pneumoniae for the residents. However, for the employees, frequent contact with the residents was demonstrated as a significant risk factor for the infection. None of 13 employees who had no contact with the residents presented C. pneumoniae infection, while nine out of 28 employees who had frequent contact developed C. pneumoniae infections (RR infinite, P = 0.04). These results indicated that C. pneumoniae infection spread gradually by human-to-human droplet transmission without specific risk factors. This study raised current problems in diagnosing and treating the C. pneumoniae infection and the need to enhance the awareness of this disease.

We conducted an epidemiological study of a Japanese encephalitis (JE) outbreak in the southwestern part of Nepal in 1997. A high density of JE infections was found and it was estimated that 27.9% the total population were infected with JE virus in the study area. The fatality rate was 13.2% and there was no difference in the fatality rate between males and females over 5 years old. However, the case fatality rate was 2.1 times higher in females than in males (14.6% vs. 6.9%) among children under 5 years of age. Fifty-three blood samples were collected from suspected JE cases during the epidemic period in 1998. Findings for JE specific IgM revealed that clinical diagnoses of JE were serologically confirmed in an average 78% (70-93%) of patients in three collaborating hospitals. These studies demonstrated that JE was highly prevalent in the area and clinical diagnoses were reliable. Effective preventive measures should be taken against this vaccine-preventable disease.

Surveillance results from pediatric cases and outbreaks of viral gastroenteritis in Japan are presented. In winter, both small round structured virus (SRSV, or Norwalk-like viruses) and rotavirus were detected from infants with gastroenteritis; however, in recent years, the prevailing time of SRSV infection has preceded that of rotavirus infection. Most nonbacterial gastroenteritis outbreaks were related to SRSV infection, and >60% of the outbreaks were caused by contaminated food. In small-sized outbreaks, raw oysters were the primary source of transmission. In large-sized outbreaks, school lunches and catered meals that were served at schools, banquet halls, and hospitals were most often implicated in the transmission of foodborne gastroenteritis.

The Traveller's Diarrhoea Network, by which the Infectious Disease Surveillance Center is electronically connected with two major airport quarantine stations and three infectious disease hospitals, was launched in February 1988 in Japan. The data on travellers' diarrhoea detected is reported weekly by e-mail. Two clusters of infection among travellers returning from Italy were reported by two airport quarantine stations at the end of September 1998. A total of 12 salmonella isolates from 2 clusters were examined. All were identified as Salmonella enteritidis, phage type 4 and showed identical banding patterns on pulsed-field gel electrophoresis. A case-control study showed that the scrambled eggs served at the hotel restaurant in Rome were the likely source of this outbreak. This outbreak could not have been detected promptly and investigated easily without the e-mail network. International exchange of data on travellers' diarrhoea is important for preventing and controlling food-borne illnesses infected abroad.

Enterovirus 71 (EV71), one of the major causative agents for hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD), is sometimes associated with severe central nervous system diseases. In 1997, in Malaysia and Japan, and in 1998 in Taiwan, there were HFMD epidemics involving sudden deaths among young children, and EV71 was isolated from the HFMD patients, including the fatal cases. The nucleotide sequences of each EV71 isolate were determined and compared by phylogenetical analysis. EV71 strains from previously reported epidemics belonged to genotype A-1, while those from recent epidemics could be divided into two genotypes, A-2 and B. In Malaysia, genotype A-2 was more prevalent, while in Japan and Taiwan, B genotype was more prevalent. Two isolates from fatal cases in Malaysia and one isolate from a fatal case in Japan were genotype A-2. However, all isolates from three fatal cases in Taiwan belonged to genotype B. The severity of the HFMD did not link directly to certain genotypes of EV71.