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In a prospective study on Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) orthogonal electrocardiograms (Frank) were recorded annually for ten years from 1,444 asymptomatic, middle-aged males with a mean age of 57.4 +/- 10.6 years. Cases with overt or suspected CHD were excluded. The purpose of the study was to identify risk indicators in electrocardiograms and to compare them with other known risk factors used for prediction of acute CHD events such as myocardial infarction (MI) and/or cardiac death (CD). Such acute events occurred in 88 cases. Pre-event ECGs of these acute events were compared with all others without events, using logistic regression analysis. Identified ECG risk indicators were then compared with other known risk factors such as smoking, blood pressure, cholesterol, age, weight, etc. The predictive power of the ECG, derived mainly from the ST-T complex, exceeded all others by a wide margin. The amplitude of the first 1/8 of the ST-T complex in lead x (similar to V5-V6) together with relative body weight proved best when one pre-event record was available. Prediction improved when ECG changes between two pre-event recordings were included. Precision of measurements by computer appeared essential for improvements in CHD prediction.

Precursors of sudden death were sought in men--1838 civil servants in Albany, New York, and 2282 residents of Framingham, Massachusetts--under continuous surveillance for 16 years. In men 45-74 years old there were 234 deaths attributed to coronary heart disease (CHD) of which 109 occurred within one hour of onset of symptoms. More than half of all deaths due to CHD occurred outside the hospital and about 80 per cent of these were sudden. Most were unheralded by prior symptoms of CHD. Persons at high risk of death from CHD, including sudden death, can be identified long before the terminal unexpected catastrophe. The same precursive stigmata exist in persons subject ot coronary attacks whether or not immediately fatal. The risk of sudden death in these two populations was positively correlated with high blood pressure, the electrocardiographic pattern of left ventricular enlargement, obesity, and heavy cigarette usage. Sudden death is a common and possibly incidental expression of lethal coronary heart disease. The potential candidate for sudden death cannot be confidently distinguished from the individual who succumbs more slowly of myocardial infarction. The inescapable conclusion is that the prevention of sudden death requires the prevention of coronary attacks.