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Aim: Warfarin and direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are widely prescribed to patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) to reduce risk of stroke and systemic embolism (SE). This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of apixaban compared with warfarin, dabigatran and rivaroxaban, for patients with NVAF from a US healthcare payer (Medicare) perspective. Methods: A cohort-level Markov model was developed based on a previously published model, for the US setting, factoring in anticipated price decreases due to market entry of generic drugs. Two retrospective cohort studies in US Medicare patients provided inputs to quantify clinical events in the base case setting and in a scenario analysis. For this study, equal value of life-years (evLYs) and health years in total (HYT) were used. Cost-effectiveness was assessed based on a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per evLY gained (evLYG) or HYT gained (HYTG). Results: Apixaban treatment was associated with gains of 2.23, 1.08 and 1.72 evLYs and 2.26, 1.08 and 1.73 HYTs, compared with warfarin, dabigatran and rivaroxaban, respectively. In the base case analysis from a Medicare perspective, apixaban was cost-effective (i.e., value for money) compared with warfarin, dabigatran and rivaroxaban, with corresponding incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per evLYG (and HYTG) of $10,501 ($10,350), $7809 ($7769) and $758 ($768), respectively. When a societal perspective was included, and in a scenario analysis using US Medicare data from the Ray et al. study to quantify treatment effects, apixaban dominated rivaroxaban (i.e., less expensive and more effective) in terms of ICER per evLYG (and HYTG). Conclusion: Using dynamic pricing assumptions, treatment with apixaban compared with warfarin, dabigatran and rivaroxaban was associated with incremental evLYs and HYT and represents a cost-effective treatment option in patients with NVAF, from a US healthcare payer (Medicare) perspective.

Introduction: There is a paucity of real-world studies examining the risks of stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and major bleeding (MB) among non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients switching from warfarin to a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). This retrospective study was conducted to compare the stroke/SE and MB risks between patients switched from warfarin to apixaban, dabigatran, or rivaroxaban in real-world clinical practice., Materials and Methods: This study used data from four United States commercial claims databases from January 1, 2012 to June 30, 2019. The study population included NVAF patients initially treated with warfarin and switched to apixaban, dabigatran, or rivaroxaban within 90 days of their warfarin prescription ending. Patients were matched 1:1 between the DOACs in each database using propensity scores and then pooled for the final analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate the risk of stroke/SE and MB., Results and Conclusions: The final population consisted of 2,611 apixaban-dabigatran, 12,165 apixaban-rivaroxaban, and 2,672 dabigatran-rivaroxaban pairs. Apixaban vs. dabigatran was associated with a lower risk of stroke/SE (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.61; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.39-0.96) and MB (HR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.50-0.91). Apixaban vs. rivaroxaban was associated with a similar risk of stroke/SE (HR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.73-1.07) and a lower risk of MB (HR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.52-0.68). There was no significant difference in either risk between dabigatran and rivaroxaban. These results provide important insights into how the risks of stroke/SE and MB for NVAF patients vary when switching from warfarin to different DOACs., (© 2024. The Author(s).)