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Aims: To describe the pharmacokinetics (PK) of cefotaxime as pre‐emptive treatment in critically ill adult patients, including covariates and to determine the probability of target attainment (PTA) of different dosage regimens for Enterobacterales and Staphylococcus aureus. Methods: Five samples were drawn during 1 dosage interval in critically ill patients treated with cefotaxime 1 g q6h or q4h. PK parameters were estimated using NONMEM (v7.4.2). The percentage of patients reaching 100% fT>MICECOFF was used to compare different dosage regimens for Enterobacterales and S. aureus. Results: This study included 92 patients (437 samples). The best structural model was a 2‐compartment model with a combined error, interindividual variability on clearance, central volume and intercompartmental clearance. Correlations between interindividual variability were included. Clearance increased with higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; creatinine clearance) and albumin concentration. For Enterobacterales, 1 g q8h reached 95% PTA and continuous infusion (CI) of 4 g 24 h−1 100% PTA at the highest eGFR and albumin concentration. For S. aureus the predefined target of 95% PTA was not reached with higher eGFR and/or albumin concentrations. CI of 6 g 24 h−1 for S. aureus resulted in a minimum of 99% PTA. Conclusion: Cefotaxime PK in critically ill patients was best described by a 2‐compartment model with eGFR and albumin concentration as covariates influencing clearance. For Enterobacterales 1 g q8h or CI of 4 g 24 h−1 was adequate for all combinations of eGFR and albumin concentration. For S. aureus CI of 6 g 24 h−1 would be preferred if eGFR and albumin concentration exceed 80 mL min−1 and 40 g L−1 respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The number of pharmacokinetic (PK) models of meropenem is increasing. However, the daily role of these PK models in the clinic remains unclear, especially for critically ill patients. Therefore, we evaluated the published meropenem models on real-world ICU data to assess their suitability for use in clinical practice. All models were built in NONMEM and evaluated using prediction and simulation-based diagnostics for the ability to predict the subsequent meropenem concentrations without plasma concentrations (a priori), and with plasma concentrations (a posteriori), for use in therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM). Eighteen PopPK models were included for evaluation. The a priori fit of the models, without the use of plasma concentrations, was poor, with a prediction error (PE)% of the interquartile range (IQR) exceeding the ±30% threshold. The fit improved when one to three concentrations were used to improve model predictions for TDM purposes. Two models were in the acceptable range with an IQR PE% within ±30%, when two or three concentrations were used. The role of PK models to determine the starting dose of meropenem in this population seems limited. However, certain models might be suitable for TDM-based dose adjustment using two to three plasma concentrations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Population pharmacokinetic (popPK) models for antibiotics are used to improve dosing strategies and individualize dosing by therapeutic drug monitoring. Little is known about the differences in results of parametric versus nonparametric popPK models and their potential consequences in clinical practice. We developed both parametric and nonparametric models of imipenem using data from critically ill patients and compared their results. Methods: Twenty-six critically ill patients treated with intravenous imipenem/cilastatin were included in this study. Median estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) measured by the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation was 116 mL/min/1.73 m2 (interquartile range 104–124) at inclusion. The usual dosing regimen was 500 mg/500 mg four times daily. On average, five imipenem levels per patient (138 levels in total) were drawn as peak, intermediate, and trough levels. Imipenem concentration-time profiles were analyzed using parametric (NONMEM 7.2) and nonparametric (Pmetrics 1.5.2) popPK software. Results: For both methods, data were best described by a model with two distribution compartments and the CKD-EPI eGFR equation unadjusted for body surface area as a covariate on the elimination rate constant (Ke). The parametric population parameter estimates were Ke 0.637 h−1 (between-subject variability [BSV]: 19.0% coefficient of variation [CV]) and central distribution volume (Vc) 29.6 L (without BSV). The nonparametric values were Ke 0.681 h−1 (34.0% CV) and Vc 31.1 L (42.6% CV). Conclusions: Both models described imipenem popPK well; the parameter estimates were comparable and the included covariate was identical. However, estimated BSV was higher in the nonparametric model. This may have consequences for estimated exposure during dosing simulations and should be further investigated in simulation studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: To develop and validate a population pharmacokinetic model of ciprofloxacin intravenously in critically ill patients, and determine target attainment to provide guidance for more effective regimens. Methods: Non-linear mixed-effects modelling was used for the model development and covariate analysis. Target attainment of an ƒAUC0–24/MIC ≥ 100 for different MICs was calculated for standard dosing regimens. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to define the probability of target attainment (PTA) of several dosing regimens. Results: A total of 204 blood samples were collected from 42 ICU patients treated with ciprofloxacin 400–1200 mg/day, with median values for age of 66 years, APACHE II score of 22, BMI of 26 kg/m2, and eGFR of 58.5 mL/min/1.73 m2. The median ƒAUC0–24 and ƒCmax were 29.9 mg•h/L and 3.1 mg/L, respectively. Ciprofloxacin pharmacokinetics were best described by a two-compartment model. We did not find any significant covariate to add to the structural model. The proportion of patients achieving the target ƒAUC0–24/MIC ≥ 100 were 61.9% and 16.7% with MICs of 0.25 and 0.5 mg/L, respectively. Results of the PTA simulations suggest that a dose of ≥ 1200 mg/day is needed to achieve sufficient ƒAUC0–24/MIC ratios. Conclusions: The model described the pharmacokinetics of ciprofloxacin in ICU patients adequately. No significant covariates were found and high inter-individual variability of ciprofloxacin pharmacokinetics in ICU patients was observed. The poor target attainment supports the use of higher doses such as 1200 mg/day in critically ill patients, while the variability of inter-individual pharmacokinetics parameters emphasizes the need for therapeutic drug monitoring to ensure optimal exposure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Population pharmacokinetic modeling and simulation (M&S) are used to improve antibiotic dosing. Little is known about the differences in parametric and nonparametric M&S. Our objectives were to compare (1) the external validation of parametric and nonparametric models of imipenem in critically ill patients and (2) the probability of target attainment (PTA) calculations using simulations of both models. The M&S software used was NONMEM 7.2 (parametric) and Pmetrics 1.5.2 (nonparametric). The external predictive performance of both models was adequate for eGFRs ≥ 78 mL/min but insufficient for lower eGFRs, indicating that the models (developed using a population with eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min) could not be extrapolated to lower eGFRs. Simulations were performed for three dosing regimens and three eGFRs (90, 120, 150 mL/min). Fifty percent of the PTA results were similar for both models, while for the other 50% the nonparametric model resulted in lower MICs. This was explained by a higher estimated between-subject variability of the nonparametric model. Simulations indicated that 1000 mg q6h is suitable to reach MICs of 2 mg/L for eGFRs of 90–120 mL/min. For MICs of 4 mg/L and for higher eGFRs, dosing recommendations are missing due to largely different PTA values per model. The consequences of the different modeling approaches in clinical practice should be further investigated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]