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Background: People hospitalised for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have elevated incidence of diabetes. However, it is unclear whether this is due to shared risk factors, confounding or stress hyperglycaemia in response to acute illness., Methods: We analysed a multicentre prospective cohort study (PHOSP-COVID) of people ≥18 years discharged from NHS hospitals across the United Kingdom following COVID-19. Individuals were included if they attended at least one research visit with a HbA1c measurement within 14 months of discharge and had no history of diabetes at baseline. The primary outcome was new onset diabetes (any type), as defined by a first glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) measurement ≥6.5% (≥48 mmol/mol). Follow-up was censored at the last HbA1c measurement. Age-standardised incidence rates and incidence rate ratios (adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, length of hospital stay, body mass index, smoking, physical activity, deprivation, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia/hypercholesterolaemia, intensive therapy unit admission, invasive mechanical ventilation, corticosteroid use and C-reactive protein score) were calculated using Poisson regression. Incidence rates were compared with the control groups of published clinical trials in the United Kingdom by applying the same inclusion and exclusion criteria, where possible., Results: Incidence of diabetes was 91.4 per 1000 person-years and was higher in South Asian (incidence rate ratios [IRR] = 3.60; 1.77, 7.32; p < 0.001) and Black ethnic groups (IRR = 2.36; 1.07, 5.21; p = 0.03) compared with White ethnic groups. When restricted to similar characteristics, the incidence rates were similar to those in UK clinical trials data., Conclusion: Diabetes incidence following hospitalisation for COVID-19 is high, but it remains uncertain whether it is disproportionately higher than pre-pandemic levels., (© 2024 The Author(s). Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: COVID-19 is known to be associated with increased risks of cognitive and psychiatric outcomes after the acute phase of disease. We aimed to assess whether these symptoms can emerge or persist more than 1 year after hospitalisation for COVID-19, to identify which early aspects of COVID-19 illness predict longer-term symptoms, and to establish how these symptoms relate to occupational functioning., Methods: The Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID) is a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of adults (aged ≥18 years) who were hospitalised with a clinical diagnosis of COVID-19 at participating National Health Service hospitals across the UK. In the C-Fog study, a subset of PHOSP-COVID participants who consented to be recontacted for other research were invited to complete a computerised cognitive assessment and clinical scales between 2 years and 3 years after hospital admission. Participants completed eight cognitive tasks, covering eight cognitive domains, from the Cognitron battery, in addition to the 9-item Patient Health Questionnaire for depression, the Generalised Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale, the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy Fatigue Scale, and the 20-item Cognitive Change Index (CCI-20) questionnaire to assess subjective cognitive decline. We evaluated how the absolute risks of symptoms evolved between follow-ups at 6 months, 12 months, and 2-3 years, and whether symptoms at 2-3 years were predicted by earlier aspects of COVID-19 illness. Participants completed an occupation change questionnaire to establish whether their occupation or working status had changed and, if so, why. We assessed which symptoms at 2-3 years were associated with occupation change. People with lived experience were involved in the study., Findings: 2469 PHOSP-COVID participants were invited to participate in the C-Fog study, and 475 participants (191 [40·2%] females and 284 [59·8%] males; mean age 58·26 [SD 11·13] years) who were discharged from one of 83 hospitals provided data at the 2-3-year follow-up. Participants had worse cognitive scores than would be expected on the basis of their sociodemographic characteristics across all cognitive domains tested (average score 0·71 SD below the mean [IQR 0·16-1·04]; p<0·0001). Most participants reported at least mild depression (263 [74·5%] of 353), anxiety (189 [53·5%] of 353), fatigue (220 [62·3%] of 353), or subjective cognitive decline (184 [52·1%] of 353), and more than a fifth reported severe depression (79 [22·4%] of 353), fatigue (87 [24·6%] of 353), or subjective cognitive decline (88 [24·9%] of 353). Depression, anxiety, and fatigue were worse at 2-3 years than at 6 months or 12 months, with evidence of both worsening of existing symptoms and emergence of new symptoms. Symptoms at 2-3 years were not predicted by the severity of acute COVID-19 illness, but were strongly predicted by the degree of recovery at 6 months (explaining 35·0-48·8% of the variance in anxiety, depression, fatigue, and subjective cognitive decline); by a biocognitive profile linking acutely raised D-dimer relative to C-reactive protein with subjective cognitive deficits at 6 months (explaining 7·0-17·2% of the variance in anxiety, depression, fatigue, and subjective cognitive decline); and by anxiety, depression, fatigue, and subjective cognitive deficit at 6 months. Objective cognitive deficits at 2-3 years were not predicted by any of the factors tested, except for cognitive deficits at 6 months, explaining 10·6% of their variance. 95 of 353 participants (26·9% [95% CI 22·6-31·8]) reported occupational change, with poor health being the most common reason for this change. Occupation change was strongly and specifically associated with objective cognitive deficits (odds ratio [OR] 1·51 [95% CI 1·04-2·22] for every SD decrease in overall cognitive score) and subjective cognitive decline (OR 1·54 [1·21-1·98] for every point increase in CCI-20)., Interpretation: Psychiatric and cognitive symptoms appear to increase over the first 2-3 years post-hospitalisation due to both worsening of symptoms already present at 6 months and emergence of new symptoms. New symptoms occur mostly in people with other symptoms already present at 6 months. Early identification and management of symptoms might therefore be an effective strategy to prevent later onset of a complex syndrome. Occupation change is common and associated mainly with objective and subjective cognitive deficits. Interventions to promote cognitive recovery or to prevent cognitive decline are therefore needed to limit the functional and economic impacts of COVID-19., Funding: National Institute for Health and Care Research Oxford Health Biomedical Research Centre, Wolfson Foundation, MQ Mental Health Research, MRC-UK Research and Innovation, and National Institute for Health and Care Research., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests AHa is co-director and owner of H2CD, and owner and director of Future Cognition, which support online studies and develop custom cognitive assessment software, respectively. PJHe is director and CEO of H2CD. JDC declares grants from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Insmed, Novartis, Gilead Sciences, and Genentech; and consulting fees from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Insmed, Novartis, Gilead Sciences, Chiesi, Zambon, and Genentech. L-PH declares grants to their institution from UK Research and Innovation (UKRI), Regenerative Medicine Platform, Celgene, British Lung Foundation, and Oxford Boehringer Ingleheim; the author is on the advisory board for the CATALYST trial and acts as chair of the Respiratory Translational Research Collaboration. AHo declares a grant to their institution from UKRI and the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) to complete this work, funding from NIHR Manchester Clinical Research Facility to support study delivery, and personal funding from NIHR Manchester Biomedical Research Centre (BRC). AHo declares institutional payments to support grant-funded research from NIHR, UK Medical Research Council (MRC), Cystic Fibrosis Trust, Cystic Fibrosis Foundation, North West Lung Centre Charity, and Moulton Trust; consulting fees from Mylan Pharmaceuticals for advisory board participation; and payment from Vertex Pharmaceuticals for educational presentation, participation on a clinical trials advisory board, and writing of a review article. AHo's non-paid roles include chair of the Cystic Fibrosis Clinical Trials Accelerator Program, deputy chair of the NIHR Respiratory Translational Research Collaboration, and director of a university spin-out company (Mi-trial). BR declares payments from the British Heart Foundation Oxford Centre of Research Excellence, NIHR Oxford BRC, and UKRI for grants and contracts; and consulting fees from Axcella Therapeutics. ASh, ASi, and MM declare a grant to their institution from UKRI and NIHR to complete this work. ASh declares unremunerated participation on the AstraZeneca Thrombotic Thrombocytopenic Taskforce and Scottish and UK Governments COVID-19 advisory groups. LH-W declares a grant from NIHR unrelated to the submitted work; acting as independent chair of the NIHR Health Technology Assessment Committee for Colour COPD trial; and membership of the American Thoracic Society Pulmonary Rehabilitation Assembly Web and Planning Committees. NIL declares acting as director of research at the Intensive Care Society UK. CEB declares a grant to their institution from UKRI and NIHR to complete this work; the author reports grants from GSK, AstraZeneca, Sanofi, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, Novartis, Roche, Genentech, Mologic, and 4DPharma; and consultancy fees paid to their institution from GSK, AstraZeneca, Sanofi, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, Novartis, Roche, Genentech, Mologic, 4DPharma, and Teva. LVW declares research funding unrelated to the submitted work from GSK and Orion; consulting fees unrelated to the submitted work from Galapagos; a Wellcome Conference speaker honorarium; travel support from Genentech; advisory board participation for Galapagos; and an associate editor role for the European Respiratory Journal. RAE declares a grant to their institution from UKRI and NIHR to complete this work; the author declares speaker fees from Boehringer Ingelheim and unpaid roles as European Respiratory Society Assembly 01·02 Pulmonary Rehabilitation secretary and with the American Thoracic Society Pulmonary Rehabilitation Assembly programme committee. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Topic Importance: COVID-19 can cause ongoing and persistent symptoms (such as breathlessness and fatigue) that lead to reduced functional capacity. There are parallels in symptoms and functional limitations in adults with post-COVID symptoms and adults with chronic respiratory diseases. Pulmonary rehabilitation is a key treatment for adults with chronic respiratory diseases, with the aims to improve symptom management and increase functional capacity. Given the similarities in presentation and aims, a pulmonary rehabilitation program may be optimal to meet the needs of those with ongoing symptoms after COVID-19., Review Findings: Aerobic and strength training has shown benefit for adults living with long COVID, although there is little evidence on structured education in this population. Breathing pattern disorder is common in adults with long COVID, and considerations on treatment before rehabilitation, or alongside rehabilitation, are necessary. Considerations on postexertional malaise are important in this population, and evidence from the chronic fatigue syndrome literature supports the need for individualization of exercise programs, and considerations for those who have an adverse reaction to activity and/or exercise., Summary: This narrative review summarizes the current evidence on pulmonary rehabilitation programs in a long-COVID population. Where the evidence is lacking in long COVID the supporting evidence of these programs in chronic respiratory diseases has highlighted the importance of aerobic and strength training, considerations for fatigue, potential mechanisms for immunology improvement, and management of breathing pattern disorders in these programs., Competing Interests: Financial/Nonfinancial Disclosures The authors have reported to CHEST the following: S. J. S. is a National Institute for Health Research Senior Investigator. None declared (E. D., G. M., J. H. H., N. C. B., M. B., C. B., H. J. C. M., N. J. G.)., (Copyright © 2024 American College of Chest Physicians. All rights reserved.)

Background: Pre-existing cardiovascular disease (CVD) or cardiovascular risk factors have been associated with an increased risk of complications following hospitalisation with COVID-19, but their impact on the rate of recovery following discharge is not known., Objectives: To determine whether the rate of patient-perceived recovery following hospitalisation with COVID-19 was affected by the presence of CVD or cardiovascular risk factors., Methods: In a multicentre prospective cohort study, patients were recruited following discharge from the hospital with COVID-19 undertaking two comprehensive assessments at 5 months and 12 months. Patients were stratified by the presence of either CVD or cardiovascular risk factors prior to hospitalisation with COVID-19 and compared with controls with neither. Full recovery was determined by the response to a patient-perceived evaluation of full recovery from COVID-19 in the context of physical, physiological and cognitive determinants of health., Results: From a total population of 2545 patients (38.8% women), 472 (18.5%) and 1355 (53.2%) had CVD or cardiovascular risk factors, respectively. Compared with controls (n=718), patients with CVD and cardiovascular risk factors were older and more likely to have had severe COVID-19. Full recovery was significantly lower at 12 months in patients with CVD (adjusted OR (aOR) 0.62, 95% CI 0.43 to 0.89) and cardiovascular risk factors (aOR 0.66, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.86)., Conclusion: Patients with CVD or cardiovascular risk factors had a delayed recovery at 12 months following hospitalisation with COVID-19. Targeted interventions to reduce the impact of COVID-19 in patients with cardiovascular disease remain an unmet need., Trail Registration Number: ISRCTN10980107., Competing Interests: Competing interests: KK is chair of the ethnicity subgroup of the UK Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) and is a member of SAGE. KK (Chair) and RE are members of the Long COVID Epidemiological Research Group that reports to the CMO. CB is an author of the COVID-19 rapid guideline: managing the long-term effects of COVID-19 NICE guideline (NG188) https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng188/history. CB is a member of the NHS National Services Scotland Long COVID group and his employer, the University of Glasgow, holds a research agreement with AstraZeneca and Somalogic for research in COVID-19. AJM is an employee of AstraZeneca., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)

Objective: Endocrine systems are disrupted in acute illness, and symptoms reported following coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are similar to those found with clinical hormone deficiencies. We hypothesised that people with severe acute COVID-19 and with post-COVID symptoms have glucocorticoid and sex hormone deficiencies., Design/patients: Samples were obtained for analysis from two UK multicentre cohorts during hospitalisation with COVID-19 (International Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Consortium/World Health Organisation [WHO] Clinical Characterization Protocol for Severe Emerging Infections in the UK study), and at follow-up 5 months after hospitalisation (Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study)., Measurements: Plasma steroids were quantified by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. Steroid concentrations were compared against disease severity (WHO ordinal scale) and validated symptom scores. Data are presented as geometric mean (SD)., Results: In the acute cohort (n = 239, 66.5% male), plasma cortisol concentration increased with disease severity (cortisol 753.3 [1.6] vs. 429.2 [1.7] nmol/L in fatal vs. least severe, p < .001). In males, testosterone concentrations decreased with severity (testosterone 1.2 [2.2] vs. 6.9 [1.9] nmol/L in fatal vs. least severe, p < .001). In the follow-up cohort (n = 198, 62.1% male, 68.9% ongoing symptoms, 165 [121-192] days postdischarge), plasma cortisol concentrations (275.6 [1.5] nmol/L) did not differ with in-hospital severity, perception of recovery, or patient-reported symptoms. Male testosterone concentrations (12.6 [1.5] nmol/L) were not related to in-hospital severity, perception of recovery or symptom scores., Conclusions: Circulating glucocorticoids in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 reflect acute illness, with a marked rise in cortisol and fall in male testosterone. These findings are not observed 5 months from discharge. The lack of association between hormone concentrations and common post-COVID symptoms suggests steroid insufficiency does not play a causal role in this condition., (© 2024 The Authors. Clinical Endocrinology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

One in ten severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections result in prolonged symptoms termed long coronavirus disease (COVID), yet disease phenotypes and mechanisms are poorly understood 1 . Here we profiled 368 plasma proteins in 657 participants ≥3 months following hospitalization. Of these, 426 had at least one long COVID symptom and 233 had fully recovered. Elevated markers of myeloid inflammation and complement activation were associated with long COVID. IL-1R2, MATN2 and COLEC12 were associated with cardiorespiratory symptoms, fatigue and anxiety/depression; MATN2, CSF3 and C1QA were elevated in gastrointestinal symptoms and C1QA was elevated in cognitive impairment. Additional markers of alterations in nerve tissue repair (SPON-1 and NFASC) were elevated in those with cognitive impairment and SCG3, suggestive of brain-gut axis disturbance, was elevated in gastrointestinal symptoms. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2-specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) was persistently elevated in some individuals with long COVID, but virus was not detected in sputum. Analysis of inflammatory markers in nasal fluids showed no association with symptoms. Our study aimed to understand inflammatory processes that underlie long COVID and was not designed for biomarker discovery. Our findings suggest that specific inflammatory pathways related to tissue damage are implicated in subtypes of long COVID, which might be targeted in future therapeutic trials., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can lead to ongoing symptoms such as breathlessness, fatigue and muscle pain, which can have a substantial impact on an individual. Exercise-based rehabilitation programmes have proven beneficial in many long-term conditions that share similar symptoms. These programmes have favourably influenced breathlessness, fatigue and pain, while also increasing functional capacity. Exercise-based rehabilitation may benefit those with ongoing symptoms following COVID-19. However, some precautions may be necessary prior to embarking on an exercise programme. Areas of concern include ongoing complex lung pathologies, such as fibrosis, cardiovascular abnormalities and fatigue, and concerns regarding post-exertional symptom exacerbation. This article addresses these concerns and proposes that an individually prescribed, symptom-titrated exercise-based intervention may be of value to individuals following infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: S.J. Singh reports grants from NIHR (NIHR Programme Grant (NIHR 202020), HTA Project Grant (NIHR: 131015), NIHR DHSC/UKRI COVID-19 Rapid Response Initiative, NIHR Global Research Group (NIHR 17/63/20), NIHR Senior Investigator), Wellcome Doctoral Training Programme and Actegy Limited; lecture honoraria from GSK, Ministry of Justice, CIPLA and Sherbourne Gibbs; advisory board membership with NICE Expert Adviser Panel – Long COVID, and Wales Long COVID Advisory Board (expired); leadership roles with ATS as Pulmonary Rehabilitation Assembly Chair, Clinical Lead for the RCP Pulmonary Rehabilitation Accreditation Scheme, and Clinical Lead for the NACAP Audit for Pulmonary Rehabilitation, outside the submitted work. E. Daynes reports lecture honoraria from Clinical Physio, outside the submitted work. B. Raman reports grants from BHF Oxford Centre of Research Excellence transition fellowship, NIHR Oxford, Oxford BRC; and lecture honoraria from Axcella Therapeutics, outside the submitted work. N.J. Greening reports grants from GSK, Genentech and Roche; consulting fees from Genentech and Roche; lecture honoraria from AstraZeneca, Chiesi, GSK and PulmonX; travel support from Chiesi and AstraZeneca; and is a member of a number of DSMCs, including rehabilitation, exercise and supplementation trials in COPD, outside the submitted work. T. Chalder reports grants from Guy's and St Thomas’ Charity, National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre, NIHR and UKRI; royalties, consulting fees for workshops, travel expenses, accommodation costs, and honorarium for lectures; was on the Expert Advisory Panel for COVID-19 Rapid Guidelines, and on the scientific committee of the British Association of Cognitive Behavioural Psychotherapy, outside the submitted work. R.A. Evans reports grants from NIHR/UKRI/Wolfson Foundation; consulting fees from AstraZeneca; lecture honoraria from Boehringer; travel support from Chiesi; and a leadership role as ERS Group 01.02 Pulmonary Rehabilitation Secretary, outside the submitted work. C.E. Bolton reports grants from UKRI/MRC, NIHR Nottingham BRC, Nottingham Hospitals Charity and University of Nottingham, outside the submitted work. All other authors have nothing to disclose., (Copyright ©The authors 2023.)

Post-COVID cognitive deficits, including 'brain fog', are clinically complex, with both objective and subjective components. They are common and debilitating, and can affect the ability to work, yet their biological underpinnings remain unknown. In this prospective cohort study of 1,837 adults hospitalized with COVID-19, we identified two distinct biomarker profiles measured during the acute admission, which predict cognitive outcomes 6 and 12 months after COVID-19. A first profile links elevated fibrinogen relative to C-reactive protein with both objective and subjective cognitive deficits. A second profile links elevated D-dimer relative to C-reactive protein with subjective cognitive deficits and occupational impact. This second profile was mediated by fatigue and shortness of breath. Neither profile was significantly mediated by depression or anxiety. Results were robust across secondary analyses. They were replicated, and their specificity to COVID-19 tested, in a large-scale electronic health records dataset. These findings provide insights into the heterogeneous biology of post-COVID cognitive deficits., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Although the exact prevalence of post-COVID-19 condition (also known as long COVID) is unknown, more than a third of patients with COVID-19 develop symptoms that persist for more than 3 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection. These sequelae are highly heterogeneous in nature and adversely affect multiple biological systems, although breathlessness is a frequently cited symptom. Specific pulmonary sequelae, including pulmonary fibrosis and thromboembolic disease, need careful assessment and might require particular investigations and treatments. COVID-19 outcomes in people with pre-existing respiratory conditions vary according to the nature and severity of the respiratory disease and how well it is controlled. Extrapulmonary complications such as reduced exercise tolerance and frailty might contribute to breathlessness in post-COVID-19 condition. Non-pharmacological therapeutic options, including adapted pulmonary rehabilitation programmes and physiotherapy techniques for breathing management, might help to attenuate breathlessness in people with post-COVID-19 condition. Further research is needed to understand the origins and course of respiratory symptoms and to develop effective therapeutic and rehabilitative strategies., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests SJS has received project funding from the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), UK Research and Innovation, the Department of Health and Social Care, and Actegy. She has received funding for a doctoral training programme from the Wellcome Trust, and reports funding for presentations from GSK, the UK Ministry of Justice, Cipla, and Sherbourne Gibbs. SJS is the American Thoracic Society Pulmonary Rehabilitation Assembly Chair, clinical lead for the Royal College of Physicians Pulmonary Rehabilitation Accreditation Scheme, clinical lead for the National Asthma and COPD Audit Programme for Pulmonary Rehabilitation, and is on the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence expert advisory panel for long COVID. CEB has received funding to his institution for consultancy and investigator roles from GSK, AstraZeneca, Genentech, Roche, Sanofi, Regeneron, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, Mologic, and 4DPharma. RAE reports research funding from the NIHR, UKRI, and the Wolfson Foundation. She has received payment for a consultancy role from AstraZeneca, for invited lectures from Boehringer Ingelheim, and for conference attendance from Chiesi. RAE is secretary of the European Respiratory Society Group 01.02 Rehabilitation and Chronic Care. RGJ has received grants to his institution from AstraZeneca, Biogen, Galecto, GSK, Nordic Biosciences, RedX, and Pilant. He reports consultancy fees from AstraZeneca, Brainomix, Bristol Myers Squibb, Chiesi, Cohbar, Daewoong, GSK, Pliant, Resolution Therapeutics, Roche, and Veracyte, and lecture fees from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, Roche, and PatientMPower. RGJ is on data safety monitoring boards for Boehringer Ingelheim, Galapagos, and Vicore, and is on the advisory board of NuMedii. RGJ is the current president of Action for Pulmonary Fibrosis. MT has received funding from MorphogenIX and Jansen for taking part in advisory boards and has received support from GSK and Jansen to travel and attend meetings. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: Sleep disturbance is common following hospital admission both for COVID-19 and other causes. The clinical associations of this for recovery after hospital admission are poorly understood despite sleep disturbance contributing to morbidity in other scenarios. We aimed to investigate the prevalence and nature of sleep disturbance after discharge following hospital admission for COVID-19 and to assess whether this was associated with dyspnoea., Methods: CircCOVID was a prospective multicentre cohort substudy designed to investigate the effects of circadian disruption and sleep disturbance on recovery after COVID-19 in a cohort of participants aged 18 years or older, admitted to hospital for COVID-19 in the UK, and discharged between March, 2020, and October, 2021. Participants were recruited from the Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID). Follow-up data were collected at two timepoints: an early time point 2-7 months after hospital discharge and a later time point 10-14 months after hospital discharge. Sleep quality was assessed subjectively using the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaire and a numerical rating scale. Sleep quality was also assessed with an accelerometer worn on the wrist (actigraphy) for 14 days. Participants were also clinically phenotyped, including assessment of symptoms (ie, anxiety [Generalised Anxiety Disorder 7-item scale questionnaire], muscle function [SARC-F questionnaire], dyspnoea [Dyspnoea-12 questionnaire] and measurement of lung function), at the early timepoint after discharge. Actigraphy results were also compared to a matched UK Biobank cohort (non-hospitalised individuals and recently hospitalised individuals). Multivariable linear regression was used to define associations of sleep disturbance with the primary outcome of breathlessness and the other clinical symptoms. PHOSP-COVID is registered on the ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN10980107)., Findings: 2320 of 2468 participants in the PHOSP-COVID study attended an early timepoint research visit a median of 5 months (IQR 4-6) following discharge from 83 hospitals in the UK. Data for sleep quality were assessed by subjective measures (the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaire and the numerical rating scale) for 638 participants at the early time point. Sleep quality was also assessed using device-based measures (actigraphy) a median of 7 months (IQR 5-8 months) after discharge from hospital for 729 participants. After discharge from hospital, the majority (396 [62%] of 638) of participants who had been admitted to hospital for COVID-19 reported poor sleep quality in response to the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaire. A comparable proportion (338 [53%] of 638) of participants felt their sleep quality had deteriorated following discharge after COVID-19 admission, as assessed by the numerical rating scale. Device-based measurements were compared to an age-matched, sex-matched, BMI-matched, and time from discharge-matched UK Biobank cohort who had recently been admitted to hospital. Compared to the recently hospitalised matched UK Biobank cohort, participants in our study slept on average 65 min (95% CI 59 to 71) longer, had a lower sleep regularity index (-19%; 95% CI -20 to -16), and a lower sleep efficiency (3·83 percentage points; 95% CI 3·40 to 4·26). Similar results were obtained when comparisons were made with the non-hospitalised UK Biobank cohort. Overall sleep quality (unadjusted effect estimate 3·94; 95% CI 2·78 to 5·10), deterioration in sleep quality following hospital admission (3·00; 1·82 to 4·28), and sleep regularity (4·38; 2·10 to 6·65) were associated with higher dyspnoea scores. Poor sleep quality, deterioration in sleep quality, and sleep regularity were also associated with impaired lung function, as assessed by forced vital capacity. Depending on the sleep metric, anxiety mediated 18-39% of the effect of sleep disturbance on dyspnoea, while muscle weakness mediated 27-41% of this effect., Interpretation: Sleep disturbance following hospital admission for COVID-19 is associated with dyspnoea, anxiety, and muscle weakness. Due to the association with multiple symptoms, targeting sleep disturbance might be beneficial in treating the post-COVID-19 condition., Funding: UK Research and Innovation, National Institute for Health Research, and Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests IDS declares a statistical editor honoraria role with Thorax. TP declares support from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Leicester Biomedical Research Centre (BRC) to complete the work. ALH declares an editor-in-chief role for Computer Physics Communications. RA declares speaker fees and travel support from Boehringer Ingelheim. CEB declares their institute was awarded a grant from the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)/NIHR and institutional support from NIHR Nottingham BRC to complete this work; the author reports grants from Nottingham Hospitals Charity and Nottingham University Hospitals Research and Innovation Department. TC declares support from the NIHR South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, King's College London BRC to complete the work; the author reports grants from Guy's and St Thomas' Charity, NIHR, and UKRI; the author has published self-help books on chronic fatigue for which she receives royalties; the author has received ad-hoc payments for workshops carried out in long-term conditions; the author declares travel and accommodation support; the author is part of the scientific committee of the British Association for Behavioural and Cognitive Psychotherapies (BABCP) and she is on the expert advisory panel for COVID-19 Rapid Guidelines. JDC declares grants from AstraZeneca, Novartis, Boehringer Ingelheim, Genentech, Gilead Sciences, Insmed, GlaxoSmithKline, and Grifols; the author reports consulting fees from AstraZeneca, Insmed, Boehringer Ingelheim, Janssen, Antabio, Chiesi, Novartis, Pfizer, Zambon, GlaxoSmithKline, and Grifols. GD declares support from the NIHR Imperial BRC, Royal Brompton and Harefield NGS Foundation Trust, Royal Brompton & Harefield Hospitals Charity, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, and the Medical Research Council (MRC) to complete this work; the author reports grants from Genentech, AstraZeneca, British Lung Foundation (BLF) Early Cohort, GlaxoSmithKline, Novartis, Chiesi, and Boehringer Ingelheim; the author has a published chapter in a textbook for which he receives payment; the author declares a role in the advisory boards for AstraZeneca and Novartis and as honorarium as deputy editor of the American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine (AJRCCM). L-PH declares grants from NIHR Oxford BRC. MGJ declares grants from the Royal Society, MRC, BLF, Boehringer Ingelheim, and the Asthma, Allergy and Inflammatory Research Charity. BR declares support from the British Heart Foundation (BHF) Oxford Centre of Research Excellence (CRE) to complete this work. SLR-J declares support for her institute from UKRI to complete the work; the author reports grants from UKRI, The European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership (EDCTP), MRC, Rosetrees Trust, and the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF); the author reports an honorarium for chapter contribution from the Federation of European Academies of Medicine; the author is Data and Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB) Chair for a Bexsero trial funded by Wellcome Trust; the author declares an editor role for AIDS journal. AVR declares support from NIHR Leicester BRC to complete the work. MS declares support for his institute from MRC/Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) to complete the work. ASi declares support for her institute from UKRI/NIHR to complete the work. DGW declares an advanced Fellowship grant from NIHR; the author receives an honorarium from bioMérieux to present. TY declares support from the NIHR Leicester BRC to complete the work. RGJ declares grants from AstraZeneca, Biogen, Galecto, GlaxoSmithKline, Nordic Biosciences, RedX, Pliant; the author received consulting fees from AstraZeneca, Brainomix, Bristol Myers Squibb, Chiesi, Cohbar, Daewoong, GlaxoSmithKline, Veracyte, Resolution Therapeutics, and Pliant; the author has received payments from Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, Roche, patientMpower, and AstraZeneca; the author was paid for expert testimony by Pinsent Masons LLP; the author has participated on a DSMB for Boehringer Ingelheim, Galapagos, and Vicore; the author has held a leadership role at NuMedii and is President of Action for Pulmonary Fibrosis. SJS declares grants from NIHR, Wellcome Doctoral Training Programme (DTP), the Human Tissue Authority, NIHR DHSC/UKRI COVID-19 Rapid Response Initiative, NIHR Global Research Group, Actegy Limited, and as an NIHR Senior Investigator; the author has presented for GlaxoSmithKline, Ministry of Justice, CIPLA, and Sherbourne Gibbs; the author is on the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) Expert Advisor Panel for Long COVID and was on the Wales Long COVID Advisory Board; the author is the American Thoracic Society (ATS) Pulmonary Rehabilitation Assembly Chair, Clinical Lead Royal Society of Physicians (RSP) Pulmonary Rehabilitation Accreditation Scheme, and Clinical Lead Nation Asthma and COPD Audit Programme (NACAP) for Pulmonary Rehabilitation. WD-CM declares grants for his institution from NIHR, National Health Service (NHS) Accelerated Access Collaborative, and BLF; the author is the honorary President of the Association for Respiratory Technology and Physiology but receives no payment. CEBr declares support from UKRI/DHSC and NIHR Leicester BRC to complete the work; the author reports grants from GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca, Sanofi, CI, Chiesi, Novartis, Roche, Genentech, Mologic, and 4DPharma; the author received consulting fees paid to his institution from GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca, Sanofi, BI, Chiesi, Novartis, Roche, Genentech, Mologic, 4DPharma, and TEVA. LVW declares support from UKRI, GlaxoSmithKline/Asthma + Lung UK, and NIHR to complete this work; the author receives grants from Orion Pharma, GlaxoSmithKline, Genentech, and AstraZeneca; the author received consulting fees paid to her institution from Galapagos and Boehringer Ingelheim; the author received support for attending a meeting from Genentech. JCP received consulting fees from Istesso and The Limbic; the author participated on a DSMB for Vicore. AART declares a fellowship grant from BHF and a grant from NIHR to his institution; the author received an honorarium for lectures from Janssen-Cilag Ltd; the author received support for attending meetings from Janssen-Cilag Ltd. AH declares support from UKRI, NIHR, and NIHR Manchester BRC to complete the work; the author is Chair NIHR Translational Research Collaboration (unpaid). PLM declares a grant for his institution from AstraZeneca; the author received consulting fees from Hoffmann-La Roche, Boehringer Ingelheim, AstraZeneca, Trevi, and Qureight; the author received speaker fees from Boehringer Ingelheim and Hoffmann-La Roche. RAE declares support from UKRI/MRC to complete the work; the author reports a grant from NIHR/Wolfson Foundation; the author received consulting fees from AstraZeneca for Long COVID; the author received a speaker fee from Boehringer Ingelheim for a lecture on Long COVID; the author received support to attend BTS conference virtually from Chiesi; the author is the European Respiratory Society Group 01.02 Pulmonary Rehabilitation Secretary (unpaid). JFB declares support to his institute from an MRC Transition Fellowship, Asthma + Lung UK, NIHR Manchester BRC, and UKRI; the author reports grants paid to his institution from the Small Business Research Initiative Home Spirometer and the National Institute of Academic Anaesthesia; the author has received support for attending meetings from TEVA and Therakos; the author is a committee member of the Royal Society of Medicine (RSM). All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Objective: Identify prevalence of self-reported swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise following hospitalisation for COVID-19., Design: Multicentre prospective observational cohort study using questionnaire data at visit 1 (2-7 months post discharge) and visit 2 (10-14 months post discharge) from hospitalised patients in the UK. Lasso logistic regression analysis was undertaken to identify associations., Setting: 64 UK acute hospital Trusts., Participants: Adults aged >18 years, discharged from an admissions unit or ward at a UK hospital with COVID-19., Main Outcome Measures: Self-reported swallow, communication, voice and cognitive compromise., Results: Compromised swallowing post intensive care unit (post-ICU) admission was reported in 20% (188/955); 60% with swallow problems received invasive mechanical ventilation and were more likely to have undergone proning (p=0.039). Voice problems were reported in 34% (319/946) post-ICU admission who were more likely to have received invasive (p<0.001) or non-invasive ventilation (p=0.001) and to have been proned (p<0.001). Communication compromise was reported in 23% (527/2275) univariable analysis identified associations with younger age (p<0.001), female sex (p<0.001), social deprivation (p<0.001) and being a healthcare worker (p=0.010). Cognitive issues were reported by 70% (1598/2275), consistent at both visits, at visit 1 respondents were more likely to have higher baseline comorbidities and at visit 2 were associated with greater social deprivation (p<0.001)., Conclusion: Swallow, communication, voice and cognitive problems were prevalent post hospitalisation for COVID-19, alongside whole system compromise including reduced mobility and overall health scores. Research and testing of rehabilitation interventions are required at pace to explore these issues., Competing Interests: Competing interests: CEB has a UKRI PHOSP grant through NIHR Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre for support to conduct the PHOSP study, and Nottingham Hospital Trust Charity donations to support her research. JC has grants/contracts with AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Insmed, Gilead Sciences, Grifols and has received consulting fees from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Insmed, Gilead Sciences, Grifols, Pfizer, Zambon, Antabio, Janssen. LVW holds a UK Research and Innovation GSK/Asthma + Lung UK National Institute of Health Research Grant and Orion Pharma GSK Genentech AstraZeneca research funding and has received consulting fees from Galapagos Boehringer Ingelheim and travel fees from Greentech, is on the advisory board for Galapagos and is the Associate Editor for European Respiratory Journal. MR has received consulting fees from Galapagos Boehringer Ingelheim. ASi received joint funding UKRI & NIHR grant references: MR/V027859/1 and COV031. CB has received UKRI/DHSC PHOSP-COVID grant via NIHR Leicester BRC, grants from GSK, AZ, Sanofi, BI, Chiesi, Novartis, Roche, Genentech, Mologic, 4DPharma, consultancy paid to institution from GSK, AZ, Sanofi, BI, Chiesi, Novartis, Roche, Genentech, Mologic, 4DPharma, TEVA. RAE has received NIHR/UKRI/Wolfson Foundation grants, consulting fees from AstraZeneca for long COVID, honoraria payment from Boeringher, support from Chiesi to attend BTS, and is ERS Group 01.02 Pulmonary Rehabilitation Secretary. JKQ is on the Thorax editorial board., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Rationale: Shared symptoms and genetic architecture between coronavirus disease (COVID-19) and lung fibrosis suggest severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may lead to progressive lung damage. Objectives: The UK Interstitial Lung Disease Consortium (UKILD) post-COVID-19 study interim analysis was planned to estimate the prevalence of residual lung abnormalities in people hospitalized with COVID-19 on the basis of risk strata. Methods: The PHOSP-COVID-19 (Post-Hospitalization COVID-19) study was used to capture routine and research follow-up within 240 days from discharge. Thoracic computed tomography linked by PHOSP-COVID-19 identifiers was scored for the percentage of residual lung abnormalities (ground-glass opacities and reticulations). Risk factors in linked computed tomography were estimated with Bayesian binomial regression, and risk strata were generated. Numbers within strata were used to estimate posthospitalization prevalence using Bayesian binomial distributions. Sensitivity analysis was restricted to participants with protocol-driven research follow-up. Measurements and Main Results: The interim cohort comprised 3,700 people. Of 209 subjects with linked computed tomography (median, 119 d; interquartile range, 83-155), 166 people (79.4%) had more than 10% involvement of residual lung abnormalities. Risk factors included abnormal chest X-ray (risk ratio [RR], 1.21; 95% credible interval [CrI], 1.05-1.40), percent predicted Dl CO less than 80% (RR, 1.25; 95% CrI, 1.00-1.56), and severe admission requiring ventilation support (RR, 1.27; 95% CrI, 1.07-1.55). In the remaining 3,491 people, moderate to very high risk of residual lung abnormalities was classified at 7.8%, and posthospitalization prevalence was estimated at 8.5% (95% CrI, 7.6-9.5), rising to 11.7% (95% CrI, 10.3-13.1) in the sensitivity analysis. Conclusions: Residual lung abnormalities were estimated in up to 11% of people discharged after COVID-19-related hospitalization. Health services should monitor at-risk individuals to elucidate long-term functional implications.

Introduction: Many adults hospitalised with COVID-19 have persistent symptoms such as fatigue, breathlessness and brain fog that limit day-to-day activities. These symptoms can last over 2 years. Whilst there is limited controlled studies on interventions that can support those with ongoing symptoms, there has been some promise in rehabilitation interventions in improving function and symptoms either using face-to-face or digital methods, but evidence remains limited and these studies often lack a control group., Methods and Analysis: This is a nested single-blind, parallel group, randomised control trial with embedded qualitative evaluation comparing rehabilitation (face-to-face or digital) to usual care and conducted within the PHOSP-COVID study. The aim of this study is to determine the effectiveness of rehabilitation interventions on exercise capacity, quality of life and symptoms such as breathlessness and fatigue. The primary outcome is the Incremental Shuttle Walking Test following the eight week intervention phase. Secondary outcomes include measures of function, strength and subjective assessment of symptoms. Blood inflammatory markers and muscle biopsies are an exploratory outcome. The interventions last eight weeks and combine symptom-titrated exercise therapy, symptom management and education delivered either in a face-to-face setting or through a digital platform ( www.yourcovidrecovery.nhs.uk ). The proposed sample size is 159 participants, and data will be intention-to-treat analyses comparing rehabilitation (face-to-face or digital) to usual care., Ethics and Dissemination: Ethical approval was gained as part of the PHOSP-COVID study by Yorkshire and the Humber Leeds West Research NHS Ethics Committee, and the study was prospectively registered on the ISRCTN trial registry (ISRCTN13293865). Results will be disseminated to stakeholders, including patients and members of the public, and published in appropriate journals. Strengths and limitations of this study • This protocol utilises two interventions to support those with ongoing symptoms of COVID-19 • This is a two-centre parallel-group randomised controlled trial • The protocol has been supported by patient and public involvement groups who identified treatments of symptoms and activity limitation as a top priority., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Background: The number of individuals recovering from severe COVID-19 is increasing rapidly. However, little is known about physical behaviours that make up the 24-h cycle within these individuals. This study aimed to describe physical behaviours following hospital admission for COVID-19 at eight months post-discharge including associations with acute illness severity and ongoing symptoms., Methods: One thousand seventy-seven patients with COVID-19 discharged from hospital between March and November 2020 were recruited. Using a 14-day wear protocol, wrist-worn accelerometers were sent to participants after a five-month follow-up assessment. Acute illness severity was assessed by the WHO clinical progression scale, and the severity of ongoing symptoms was assessed using four previously reported data-driven clinical recovery clusters. Two existing control populations of office workers and individuals with type 2 diabetes were comparators., Results: Valid accelerometer data from 253 women and 462 men were included. Women engaged in a mean ± SD of 14.9 ± 14.7 min/day of moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA), with 12.1 ± 1.7 h/day spent inactive and 7.2 ± 1.1 h/day asleep. The values for men were 21.0 ± 22.3 and 12.6 ± 1.7 h /day and 6.9 ± 1.1 h/day, respectively. Over 60% of women and men did not have any days containing a 30-min bout of MVPA. Variability in sleep timing was approximately 2 h in men and women. More severe acute illness was associated with lower total activity and MVPA in recovery. The very severe recovery cluster was associated with fewer days/week containing continuous bouts of MVPA, longer total sleep time, and higher variability in sleep timing. Patients post-hospitalisation with COVID-19 had lower levels of physical activity, greater sleep variability, and lower sleep efficiency than a similarly aged cohort of office workers or those with type 2 diabetes., Conclusions: Those recovering from a hospital admission for COVID-19 have low levels of physical activity and disrupted patterns of sleep several months after discharge. Our comparative cohorts indicate that the long-term impact of COVID-19 on physical behaviours is significant., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Gut-related metabolites have been linked with respiratory disease. The crosstalk between the gut and lungs suggests that gut health may be compromised in COVID-19. The aims of the present study were to analyze a panel of gut-related metabolites (acetyl-L-carnitine, betaine, choline, L-carnitine, trimethylamine, and trimethylamine N-oxide) in patients with COVID-19, matched with healthy individuals and patients with non-COVID-19 respiratory symptoms. As results, metabolites from this panel were impaired in patients with COVID-19 and were associated with the symptoms of breathlessness and temperature, and it was possible to differentiate between COVID-19 and asthma. Preliminary results showed that lower levels of betaine appeared to be associated with poor outcomes in patients with COVID-19, suggesting betaine as a marker of gut microbiome health., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The impact of COVID-19 on physical and mental health and employment after hospitalisation with acute disease is not well understood. The aim of this study was to determine the effects of COVID-19-related hospitalisation on health and employment, to identify factors associated with recovery, and to describe recovery phenotypes., Methods: The Post-hospitalisation COVID-19 study (PHOSP-COVID) is a multicentre, long-term follow-up study of adults (aged ≥18 years) discharged from hospital in the UK with a clinical diagnosis of COVID-19, involving an assessment between 2 and 7 months after discharge, including detailed recording of symptoms, and physiological and biochemical testing. Multivariable logistic regression was done for the primary outcome of patient-perceived recovery, with age, sex, ethnicity, body-mass index, comorbidities, and severity of acute illness as covariates. A post-hoc cluster analysis of outcomes for breathlessness, fatigue, mental health, cognitive impairment, and physical performance was done using the clustering large applications k-medoids approach. The study is registered on the ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN10980107)., Findings: We report findings for 1077 patients discharged from hospital between March 5 and Nov 30, 2020, who underwent assessment at a median of 5·9 months (IQR 4·9-6·5) after discharge. Participants had a mean age of 58 years (SD 13); 384 (36%) were female, 710 (69%) were of white ethnicity, 288 (27%) had received mechanical ventilation, and 540 (50%) had at least two comorbidities. At follow-up, only 239 (29%) of 830 participants felt fully recovered, 158 (20%) of 806 had a new disability (assessed by the Washington Group Short Set on Functioning), and 124 (19%) of 641 experienced a health-related change in occupation. Factors associated with not recovering were female sex, middle age (40-59 years), two or more comorbidities, and more severe acute illness. The magnitude of the persistent health burden was substantial but only weakly associated with the severity of acute illness. Four clusters were identified with different severities of mental and physical health impairment (n=767): very severe (131 patients, 17%), severe (159, 21%), moderate along with cognitive impairment (127, 17%), and mild (350, 46%). Of the outcomes used in the cluster analysis, all were closely related except for cognitive impairment. Three (3%) of 113 patients in the very severe cluster, nine (7%) of 129 in the severe cluster, 36 (36%) of 99 in the moderate cluster, and 114 (43%) of 267 in the mild cluster reported feeling fully recovered. Persistently elevated serum C-reactive protein was positively associated with cluster severity., Interpretation: We identified factors related to not recovering after hospital admission with COVID-19 at 6 months after discharge (eg, female sex, middle age, two or more comorbidities, and more acute severe illness), and four different recovery phenotypes. The severity of physical and mental health impairments were closely related, whereas cognitive health impairments were independent. In clinical care, a proactive approach is needed across the acute severity spectrum, with interdisciplinary working, wide access to COVID-19 holistic clinical services, and the potential to stratify care., Funding: UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests JDC reports grants and personal fees from AstraZeneca, Boehringer-Ingelheim, GlaxoSmithKline, Novartis, and Insmed, personal fees from Chiesi, Zambon, Janssen, and Grifols, and grants from Gilead Sciences, outside the submitted work. TC reports grants from Guy's and St Thomas' Charity, fees from workshops, and fees from writing self-help books on fatigue, outside the submitted work. NE received a donation of SARS-CoV-2 lateral flow antigen test kits from Mologic, in relation to an unrelated COVID-19 project. Neither NE nor his institution have received any financial compensation and he has no financial relationship of any kind with Mologic. RAE reports grants from GlaxoSmithKline during the conduct of the study; and grants from the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) and personal fees from GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca, and Chiesi, outside the submitted work. AH reports personal fees from Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Mylan Healthcare, and the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation, and grants from JP Moulton Trust and NIHR, outside the submitted work. LGH reports receiving sponsorship for attending international scientific meetings from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Chiesi, GlaxoSmithKline, and Napp Pharmaceuticals, personal fees from Novartis, Hoffman la Roche/Genentech, Sanofi, Evelo Biosciences, GlaxoSmithKline, AstraZeneca, Teva, Theravance, and Circassia, and grants from Medimmune, Novartis UK, Roche/Genentech, GlaxoSmithKline, Amgen, Genentech/Hoffman la Roche, AstraZeneca, Medimmune, Aerocrine, and Vitalograph, outside the submitted work. NH reports that his research group has received unrestricted grants (managed by Guy's & St Thomas' Foundation Trust) from Philips and Resmed. Philips are contributing to the development of the MYOTRACE technology. SH reports personal fees and fees to institution for advisory boards and consultancy from Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly, Zealand Pharma, and Sanofi Aventis, outside the submitted work. JJ reports personal fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Roche, GlaxoSmithKline, and NHSX, outside the submitted work. RGJ reports personal fees and research funding from Biogen, personal fees from Galapagos, Heptares, Boehringer Ingelheim, Pliant, Roche/InterMune, MedImmune, PharmAkea, Bristol Myers Squibb, Chiesi, Roche/Promedior, Veracyte, and GlaxoSmithKline research funding from Galecto, collaborative award from RedX and Nordic Biosciences, and was an advisory board member for NuMedii, outside the submitted work. RGJ is supported by an NIHR Professorship (RP-2017-08-ST2-014) and is a trustee for Action for Pulmonary Fibrosis. GM reports grants from AstraZeneca, outside the submitted work. PJMO reports grants from the Medical Research Council (MRC), the EU, and NIHR, and personal fees from Pfizer, Nestle, and Janssen, outside the submitted work. PP reports a grant from NIHR, outside the submitted work. MRo reports a senior clinical fellowship as part of research training and a 1-year post working in Pharma Development Neurosciences with Roche Pharmaceuticals, outside the submitted work. ADS reports grants and personal fees from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer, Chiesi, Forest Laboratories, GlaxoSmithKline, Grifols, Insmed, MedImmune, Novartis, Pfizer, and 30T, outside the submitted work. MGS reports grants from NIHR, MRC, and the Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging & Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, during the conduct of the study; and reports being a minority owner and chair of the infectious disease scientific advisory board for Integrum Scientific, outside the submitted work. AShe reports being a Member of the Scottish Government's Chief Medical Officer's COVID-19 Advisory Group. MT reports personal fees from Merck Sharp & Dohme and GlaxoSmithKline, and grants and personal fees from Bayer and Actelion, during the conduct of the study. LVW reports grants from GlaxoSmithKline and Orion, outside the submitted work. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)