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There is conventional wisdom developing in Washington and on Wall Street that President-elect Donald Trump has been handed a gift when it (https://www.businessinsider.com/kamala-harris-economy-inflation-polling-donald-trump-joe-biden-2024-8) comes to the US economy. I get [...]

BNY Wealth is bullish about US stocks and economic growth heading into 2025. Investors may be overestimating the dangers of Donald Trump's tariff policy on the stock market. A top [...]

US stocks surged on Wednesday, with the major averages S&P rising to all-time highs. Powell's remarks at the NYT's DealBook Summit bolstered confidence in the US economy. Investors upped their [...]

Morgan Stanley estimated that bringing manufacturing back to the US could add $10 trillion to the economy. The bank pointed to a 20-year stagnation of the industrial economy as production [...]

The US economy looks strong, but that's tough news for those hoping for cheaper borrowing costs. Borrowers have been waiting for lower rates to improve the affordability of everything from [...]

The US is in an industrial recession, according to Piper Sandler economist Jake Oubina. Manufacturing activity has contracted for the last six months in a row, per the latest ISM [...]

The market's understanding of how lower rates affect the economy may be all wrong, according to one expert. JPMorgan Asset Management's David Kelly warned about the hidden danger double-sized rate [...]

The Fed looks like it's following the same path it did in 1995, according to TS Lombard. That sets the stage for the economy to avoid a recession as it [...]

The Fed's big rate cut won't stop a recession, economist David Rosenberg says. He's concerned about weaknesses in housing, commercial construction, and the industrial sector. 'As was the case in [...]

The Fed should have cut interest rates a lot sooner, according to Jeff Gundlach. The 'Bond King' thinks the (https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/are-we-in-a-recession) economy is already in recession, as evidenced by rising layoffs. [...]

Gen Z and millennial consumers are helping keep the US economy strong, Meredith Whitney wrote in the Financial Times. Many in this group still live with parents, helping ease costs [...]

Economist Claudia Sahm urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points next week. Sahm cites solid inflation progress and a slowing labor market as reasons for [...]

The US economy is not facing a recession, says Apollo chief economist Torsten Slk. Slk cites strong employment data, wage growth, and consumer spending as key indicators. Corporate profits are [...]

This post originally appeared in the Insider Today newsletter. You can sign up for (https://www.businessinsider.com/subscription/newsletter/insider-today) Business Insider's daily newsletter here . Are you ready for some football?! The NFL season [...]

The US economy faces a potential negative feedback loop ahead of Friday's jobs data release. Nomura analysts compared current indicators to the 2000s dot.com crash and subsequent recession. Rising unemployment [...]

The Federal Reserve plans to ease policy to prevent a US recession amid rising unemployment. Historically, rate cuts have often failed to prevent recessions, with 80% leading to downturns. Experts [...]

Recession risk in the US is rising, says economist David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research. Rosenberg's analysis shows 45% of recession indicators have been triggered, up from 10% in 2022. He [...]

The Perkins Rule suggests a recession is imminent when monthly payrolls decline. Unlike other indicators, the Perkins Rule focuses solely on negative monthly payroll reports. The US economy continues to [...]

The US economy added 818,000 fewer jobs than initially reported from April 2023 to March 2024. The revision may figure into the Fed's thinking on rate cuts. Investors need not [...]

The Fed will cut rates once in September, then stop for the year, Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok said. He argued that the US economy is strong enough to only [...]

The Fed is likely to cut interest rate just once this year, according to Ed Yardeni. The market vet brushed off the market's bets on ambitious rate cuts as the [...]

Leading economic indicators, such as the inverted yield curve, have warned that a recession is imminent. But these gauges are misleading amid strength in credit conditions, Ed Yardeni wrote on [...]

The housing market's lock-in effect cost the US economy $20 billion last year. High mortgage rates led to economic stagnation and reduced housing activity. Americans who moved paid an extra [...]

Jamie Dimon has been warning of an economic downturn for several years. The JP Morgan chief told CNBC this week that he still thinks a recession is the most likely [...]

Bank of America's Michael Hartnett advises selling stocks at the first Federal Reserve rate cut. Hartnett's analysis of past rate-cutting cycles shows stocks fall during hard-landing cuts. Recession risks have [...]

Americans are flocking to the South for jobs, lower taxes, and more affordable housing. But by some economic measures, the South has some of the poorest states in the nation. [...]

Immigration provides a huge boost to the economy, according to Paul Krugman. Claims that immigrants are taking jobs from Americans aren't supported by facts, he said. Immigration could also be [...]

Former President Trump's remarks about Taiwan have raised uncertainty within the chip industry. Trump in a recent Bloomberg Businessweek interview said Taiwan should pay the US for its defense. Taiwan's [...]

The economy is already in a'selective recession,' according to JPMorgan's Matthew Boss. Low-income consumers are pulling back on spending while top-earners are fueling the economy. The top 10% of American [...]

Taylor Swift's economic impact boosted the US economy by billions. Now, she might do the same thing in Europe on the latest leg of her Eras Tour. In Italy, some [...]

The US is heading into a bankruptcy cycle that could spark more job losses, Danielle DiMartino Booth said. The veteran forecaster pointed to the rise in large bankruptcies so far [...]

The Fed should be more worried about sparking a recession than rampant inflation, Mohamed El-Erian said. The top economist estimated there was a 35% chance the US economy could enter [...]

A recession isn't going to materialize for the US economy, Steve Eisman said. 'The Big Short' investor thinks the US economy is on solid footing. That's evidenced by the enthusiasm [...]

This post originally appeared in the Insider Today newsletter. You can sign up for (https://www.businessinsider.com/subscription/newsletter/insider-today) Business Insider's daily newsletter here . Hello! Next time you shop at T.J. Maxx or [...]

The economy is flashing fresh warning signs a recession is on its way, according to Societe Generale. The French bank pointed to three worrying data points that have raised red [...]

Meredith Whitney hasn't been afraid to stray from the pack, even when it's unpopular. The top researcher shared her latest ideas about consumer spending and the economy. Here's the key [...]

A majority of Americans polled by Harris believe the US is already in an economic recession. About half of Americans polled also believe the S&P 500 is down this year [...]

Lower-income Americans are already in a recession, according to JPMorgan's Matthew Boss. The analyst said the US was in a 'selective' recession as some consumers . 67% of middle-class Americans [...]

The US economy is headed for an economic hard landing driven by a deteriorating labor market, Citigroup's chief US economist told CNBC. 'Gradual softening has already started. That tends to [...]

Consumers are finally slowing their spending and experts say that's a warning sign of the economy. Americans have propped up the economy with a powerful spending spree in the last [...]

America's falling population isn't necessarily bad for the economy, Fisher Investments said. The US birth rate just fell to its lowest level in over 40 years, according to provisional CDC [...]

The US economy is still firing on all cylinders despite slowing GDP growth in the first quarter. Carson Group strategist Sonu Varghese highlighted five economic indicators that show the strength. [...]

Trump's re-election could bring loads of problems to the US economy, Paul Krugman warned. The former president is prone to 'magical thinking' and could pursue 'destructive' policies, Krugman said. Inflation [...]

The bottom 20% of American earners have been left out of the economic boom, Jamie Dimon said. Their incomes have hardly budged for 20 years, fueling societal problems, the JPMorgan [...]

US real GDP rose at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first quarter. That's far below the 3.4% increase in last year's fourth quarter. While a slowdown was expected [...]

Wall Street's head honchos are wary of economic threats like inflation, recession, and war. JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon, Goldman's David Solomon, and Citi's Jane Fraser warned against complacency. BlackRock's Larry Fink [...]

Bank of America's Michael Hartnett predicts a no-landing scenario for the US economy for now. But the longer this scenario plays out, the higher recession risks become. Signs of trouble [...]

Israel's strike on Iran caused oil prices to spike, sparking fears of rising inflation. But US inflation is more impacted by strong domestic demand than by oil prices, an economist [...]

The stock market could face a 10% correction even as economic strength supports a 'no landing' scenario, according to Ed Yardeni. Yardeni observed strong retail sales in March and an [...]

The US economy may have already stuck the soft landing, according to Evercore founder Roger Altman. The investing veteran pointed to resilient growth, which has crushed expectations over the last [...]