1. Can Inflation be Claimed As A Monetary Phenomenon? The Malaysian Experience
- Author
-
Chor Foon TANG and Ilhan Ozturk
- Subjects
cointegration ,inflation ,money ,recursive regression ,rolling regression ,Business ,HF5001-6182 ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
The purpose of this study is to empirically re-investigate the money-prices nexus for Malaysia through the cointegration and causality techniques. This study covered the monthly data from 1971:M1 to 2014:M8. The Maki multiple breaks cointegration test suggests that the variables are cointegrated. Furthermore, the MWALD test shows a unidirectional causal relationship run from money supply (M2) to aggregate prices, meaning that only the monetarist’s view exist in the Malaysian economy. However, the time-varying causality tests indicate that inflation is not always a monetary phenomenon in Malaysia. Therefore, the contractionary monetary policy may not an effective instrument in managing inflationary behaviour in Malaysia.
- Published
- 2017