300 results on '"climate events"'
Search Results
2. The One Health aspect of climate events with impact on foodborne pathogens transmission
- Author
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Igori Balta, Joanne Lemon, Ciara Murnane, Ioan Pet, Teodor Vintila, David McCleery, Todd Callaway, Alastair Douglas, Lavinia Stef, and Nicolae Corcionivoschi
- Subjects
One Health ,Foodborne pathogens ,Climate change ,Climate events ,Medicine (General) ,R5-920 - Abstract
The ongoing effects of climate change have exacerbated two significant challenges to global populations: the transmission of foodborne pathogens and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) through the food chain. Using the latest available scientific information this review explores how climate-related factors such as rainfall, floods, storms, hurricanes, cyclones, dust, temperature and humidity impact the spread of the foodborne pathogens Salmonella, E. coli, Campylobacter, Vibrio, Listeria, and Staphylococcus aureus. We explore the complex dynamics between environmental changes and the heightened risk of foodborne diseases, analysing the contribution of wildlife, insects and contaminated environments in the proliferation of AMR and climate change. This review paper combines a thorough analysis of current literature with a discussion on findings from a wide variety of studies to provide a comprehensive overview of how climatic factors contribute to the survival, persistence and transmission of bacterial pathogens in the food chain. In addition, we discuss the necessity for effective mitigation strategies and policies. By providing insights into the interrelationships between climate change and food safety, this review hopes to inform future research and policy development to promote safer and more sustainable food systems and further integration within the One Health approach.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. High tide, low price? Flooding alerts and hotel prices in Venice.
- Author
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Angelini, Francesco, Figini, Paolo, and Leoni, Veronica
- Subjects
PRICES ,REGRESSION discontinuity design ,COST benefit analysis ,CLIMATE extremes ,PRICE sensitivity - Abstract
This research explores the effects of High Tide alerts on hotel prices in Venice, a city that is vulnerable to the impacts of extreme climate events due to its fragile ecosystem and a long history of floods in the city center. By analyzing and combining price data from Booking.com with publicly available information on tides and weather, this study uses regression discontinuity design to test for changes in hotel prices when tide levels reach a critical threshold. The results offer insights into the sensitivity of hotel prices to weather alerts and provide valuable information on the potential impact of climate change on Venice's tourism-driven economy, with implications for the cost–benefit analysis of activating protective barriers for lagoon protection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Impacts of Climate Change and Local Disturbance on Stream Fish Assemblages in the Amazon
- Author
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Barros, Gabriel Gazzana, Mascarenhas, Barbara, Zuanon, Jansen, de Deus, Cláudia Pereira, de Souza, Samara Silva, editor, Braz-Mota, Susana, editor, and Val, Adalberto Luis, editor
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. Proposal of Cold Seep Carbonate Factory and Its Paleoclimatic Significance.
- Author
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LIU Chao, LI Xin, LIANG Tian, LIU XiaoXiao, CHEN Hao, and AN HaiHua
- Abstract
[Significance] The proposal of a carbonate factory and its classification study are of great significance for promoting the development of carbonate sedimentology. However, the current classification scheme is not sufficient to cover all carbonate sediments, so it is urgent to clarify different carbonate factories at the level of mechanism and process. [Progress] The carbon used by traditional carbonate factories mainly comes from atmospheric and oceanic inorganic carbon pools, whereas certain marine and continental carbonate factories mainly fix carbon from exogenous carbon pools, so the two are fundamentally different. The latter is often highly significant for tracing deep water environments and climate events. [Conclusions and prospects] As an example, this study takes hydrocarbon seep carbonate, and formally puts forward the concept of a cold seep carbonate factory. In addition, its sedimentary characteristics, biological composition and biogeochemical processes are summarized, and an example is discussed to address its geological significance. The type of carbonate factory based on an exogenous carbon pool deserves much attention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Climate SMART Best Practices in Aquaculture and Fisheries with Specific Emphasis on Sierra Leone
- Author
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Julius, Olapade O., Gabriel, Ndakalimwe Naftal, editor, Omoregie, Edosa, editor, and Abasubong, Kenneth Prudence, editor
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Late Pleistocene to Middle Holocene record of sedimentation and carbonate content in the Zervynos paleolake-dune complex, Lithuania
- Author
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Liudas Daumantas, Petras Šinkūnas, Eugenija Rudnickaitė, Nikita Dobrotin, Dalia Kisielienė, and Andrej Spiridonov
- Subjects
european sand belt ,sand ,carbonates ,plant macro-remains ,climate events ,bayesian inference. ,Geology ,QE1-996.5 - Abstract
The Late Pleistocene to the Holocene is a time interval that covers the climate transition from a cold to a warm interglacial regime. In the Baltic region, many studies have focused on estimating environmental responses to climatic forcing using palynological and stratigraphic proxies of glacial and periglacial settings. Herein we describe the mixed lacustrine-aeolian succession of the Zervynos-2 section (south-eastern Lithuania), located in the north-eastern part of the European Sand Belt. The succession and the sedimentation styles were characterized by granulometric parameters, structural features, dolomite/calcite ratio, and paleobotanical macro-remains. Our analyses revealed that the Zervynos-2 paleolake formed on the sandur (outwash) plain during the final stage of the Pleistocene. The onset of lake sedimentation was caused by sudden submergence of a sandbody-constrained paleovalley. Carbonate ratios and macro-remains from the lower gyttja material showed the presence of substantial millennial-scale oscillations, which suggests a delayed response to the isotopically derived paleotemperatures. The transition to the fast sand sedimentation started approximately in the Middle Holocene and is interpreted here as being caused by warming and drying of the climate in the Baltic region. The upper Holocene portion of the section represents the transition to exclusively aeolian sedimentation with lower accumulation rates that are likely related to a long-term cooling trend. The obtained results support the conjecture that there is a direct but delayed positive correlation between dolomite and calcite ratios in lake sediments and the climatic signal in the Greenland GISP2 record.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Ecosystem Resistance and Resilience after Dry and Wet Events across Central Asia Based on Remote Sensing Data.
- Author
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Zou, Jie, Ding, Jianli, Huang, Shuai, and Liu, Bohua
- Subjects
- *
SHRUBLANDS , *DROUGHTS , *MODIS (Spectroradiometer) , *ECOLOGICAL resilience , *CLIMATE change forecasts , *EXTREME weather , *REMOTE sensing - Abstract
Climate change forecasts indicate that the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events will increase in the future; these changes will have important effects on ecosystem stability and function. An important arid region of the world, Central Asia has ecosystems that are extremely vulnerable to extreme weather events. However, few studies have investigated the resistance and resilience of this region's ecosystems to extreme weather events. In this study, first, the extreme drought/wet threshold was calculated based on the 113-year (1901–2013) standardized precipitation–evapotranspiration index (SPEI); second, moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) remote sensing data were applied to calculate ecosystem water use efficiency (WUE) and quantify ecosystem resistance and resilience after different extreme climate events; and finally, differences in the changes of various ecosystem types before and after climate events were assessed. The results showed the following: (1) The average SPEI was 0.073, and the thresholds of extreme wetness and drought were 0.91 and −0.67, respectively. Central Asia experienced extreme wet periods in 2002 and 2003 and a drought period in 2008. (2) Suitable wetness levels can increase the resistance of an ecosystem; however, continuous wetness reduces ecosystem resistance, as does drought. Wet areas had strong resilience after wet events, and arid areas had strong resilience after drought events. (3) During both wet and drought years, the transition between shrubland and grassland caused changes in ecosystem resistance and resilience. These findings are important for understanding the impact of future climate change on ecosystem stability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Reliability-based optimization in climate-adaptive design of embedded footing.
- Author
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Mahmoudabadi, Vahidreza and Ravichandran, Nadarajah
- Subjects
OPTIMIZATION algorithms ,CLIMATE extremes ,BEARING capacity of soils ,WATERLOGGING (Soils) ,SOIL mechanics ,GENETIC algorithms ,CONSTRUCTION costs - Abstract
This paper presents a quantitative framework to optimise embedded footing performance subjected to extreme historical climate events with respect to the uncertainties associated with site-specific soil and climatic parameters. The proposed framework is developed based on partially saturated soil mechanics principles in conjunction with a multi-objective optimisation algorithm called Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) to develop a robust optimised design procedure. The proposed method was applied to two semi-arid climate sites, Riverside and Victorville, both situated in California, United States. The results show that the proposed method generally improves the embedded footing design compared to conventional methods in terms of cost and performance. Based on the findings, under the extreme climate conditions, the proposed method estimates the average soil degree of saturation within the footing influence zone between 52% and 95%, with a mean value of 63.1% for the Victorville site, and 57% and 90% with a mean value of 81.6% for the site in Riverside. It is also found that the optimal design from the proposed method shows a lower total construction cost, 44% and 19%, for the Victorville and Riverside sites, respectively, compared to the ones designed by the conventional methods. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. Effects of Climate Events on Abundance and Distribution of Major Commercial Fishes in the Beibu Gulf, South China Sea.
- Author
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Hong, Xiaofan, Zhang, Kui, Li, Jiajun, Xu, Youwei, Sun, Mingshuai, Wang, Yuezhong, Xu, Shannan, Cai, Yancong, Qiu, Yongsong, and Chen, Zuozhi
- Subjects
- *
FISHERIES , *WINTER , *FISH populations , *SEAWATER salinity , *GEOGRAPHICAL distribution of fishes - Abstract
Highlights: What are the main findings? The abundance of most of fish stocks in the Beibu Gulf continued to decline over the last 15 years. What is the implication of the main finding? Environmental variations caused by climate events can episodically enhance the abundance of certain fish stocks. Warming may be the reason of northward shifts in distribution of most fishes. Improving prediction of ecological responses to climate variability requires understanding how local fish population dynamics are impacted by climate events. The present study was conducted in the Beibu Gulf of the northwestern South China Sea where the fisheries are characterized by high ecological and commercial value. We evaluated the relationship between major commercial fish population dynamics (abundance and distribution) and climate periods, using survey data from 2006–2020. The analysis using random forest and GAM models show that climate events are not the best predictors for the variations of fish abundance, because abundance of most fish stocks decreases significantly with the year, and the increasing fishing pressure over time can better explain the overall downward trend in fishery stocks. However, environmental variables that correlate significantly with interannual variation in ONI may impact fish abundance in short terms. Our research suggests that climate events leading to higher surface seawater salinity in winter favors pelagic fishes by improving habitat availability, and higher near-surface chlorophyll-α concentration during La Niña events provides better food condition for overwintering fish. In addition, there is no clear evidence that climatic events have a significant impact on gravity center of fish distribution, whereas climate change has caused most fishes to move to cooler coastal waters in the north. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Eliciting indigenous knowledge to predict climate events for the food security of agro-pastoral households in North Benin.
- Author
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Egah, Janvier, Yegbemey, Rosaine N., Idrissou, Fadilath Abikè, and Baco, Mohamed Nasser
- Subjects
TRADITIONAL knowledge ,DROUGHTS ,FOOD security ,DISCOURSE analysis ,SNOWBALL sampling ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,PASTORAL societies ,MILITARY dependents - Abstract
Populations are subjected to climatic uncertainties, the predictions of which are major challenges for the scientific community. This study analyzes indigenous climate event prediction and adaptation based on indigenous knowledge in North Benin. A sample of 80 holders of indigenous knowledge of prediction of climate events was selected using snowball sampling in the district of Gogonou. Data were collected during semi-structured interviews with the indigenous knowledge holders. Data included the profile of the knowledge holders, climate events and their prediction signs, and the planned responses in the face of climate events. Data were analyzed using discourse analysis and descriptive statistics. The results showed that the holders of indigenous knowledge of prediction of climate events are agropastoralists and some of their wives. They are over 60 years old and rooted in traditional religion. Climate events predicted were floods, pockets of drought, early cessation of rains, and invasion of fields by caterpillars. These climate events are predicted from animal, vegetable, and nature behaviors. The responses developed in the face of climate events are mainly the relocation of fields to firm land, the use of drought-tolerant varieties, the relocation of planting periods, and the planning of the suspension of children's schooling for spreading and planting operations. These findings demonstrate the necessity for policymakers to consider the value of indigenous knowledge to reduce the eects of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. A climate index collection based on model data.
- Author
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Landt-Hayen, Marco, Rath, Willi, Wahl, Sebastian, Niebaum, Nils, Claus, Martin, and Kröger, Peer
- Subjects
MACHINE learning ,DEEP learning ,AUTOMATIC speech recognition ,DATA science ,BENCHMARKING (Management) - Abstract
Machine learning (ML) and in particular deep learning (DL) methods push state-of-the-art solutions for many hard problems, for example, image classification, speech recognition, or time series forecasting. In the domain of climate science, ML and DL are known to be effective for identifying causally linked modes of climate variability as key to understand the climate system and to improve the predictive skills of forecast systems. To attribute climate events in a data-driven way, we need sufficient training data, which is often limited for real-world measurements. The data science community provides standard data sets for many applications. As a new data set, we introduce a consistent and comprehensive collection of climate indices typically used to describe Earth System dynamics. Therefore, we use 1000-year control simulations from Earth System Models. The data set is provided as an open-source framework that can be extended and customized to individual needs. It allows users to develop new ML methodologies and to compare results to existing methods and models as benchmark. For example, we use the data set to predict rainfall in the African Sahel region and El Niño Southern Oscillation with various ML models. Our aim is to build a bridge between the data science community and researchers and practitioners from the domain of climate science to jointly improve our understanding of the climate system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Late Pleistocene to Middle Holocene record of sedimentation and carbonate content in the Zervynos paleolake-dune complex, Lithuania.
- Author
-
Daumantasa, Liudas, Šinkūnasa, Petras, Rudnickaitė, Eugenija, Dobrotin, Nikita, Kisielienė, Dalia, and Spiridonov, Andrej
- Subjects
- *
SEDIMENTATION & deposition , *HOLOCENE Epoch , *PLEISTOCENE Epoch , *LAKE sediments , *DOLOMITE , *CALCITE , *CARBONATES - Abstract
The Late Pleistocene to the Holocene is a time interval that covers the climate transition from a cold to a warm interglacial regime. In the Baltic region, many studies have focused on estimating environmental responses to climatic forcing using palynological and stratigraphic proxies of glacial and periglacial settings. Herein we describe the mixed lacustrine-aeolian succession of the Zervynos-2 section (south-eastern Lithuania), located in the north-eastern part of the European Sand Belt. The succession and the sedimentation styles were characterized by granulometric parameters, structural features, dolomite/calcite ratio, and paleobotanical macro-remains. Our analyses revealed that the Zervynos-2 paleolake formed on the sandur (outwash) plain during the final stage of the Pleistocene. The onset of lake sedimentation was caused by sudden submergence of a sandbody-constrained paleovalley. Carbonate ratios and macro-remains from the lower gyttja material showed the presence of substantial millennial-scale oscillations, which suggests a delayed response to the isotopically derived paleotemperatures. The transition to the fast sand sedimentation started approximately in the Middle Holocene and is interpreted here as being caused by warming and drying of the climate in the Baltic region. The upper Holocene portion of the section represents the transition to exclusively aeolian sedimentation with lower accumulation rates that are likely related to a long-term cooling trend. The obtained results support the conjecture that there is a direct but delayed positive correlation between dolomite and calcite ratios in lake sediments and the climatic signal in the Greenland GISP2 record. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. Climate Change Extent and Dipteran Pollinators Diversity in Africa
- Author
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Banda, Annabel, Madamba, Dorothy Chipo, Gumbo, Tapiwa, Chanyandura, Admire, Luetz, Johannes M., editor, Ayal, Desalegn, editor, and Leal Filho, Walter, Editor-in-Chief
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. A climate index collection based on model data
- Author
-
Marco Landt-Hayen, Willi Rath, Sebastian Wahl, Nils Niebaum, Martin Claus, and Peer Kröger
- Subjects
Climate events ,data mining ,deep learning ,machine learning ,time series forecasting ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 ,Electronic computers. Computer science ,QA75.5-76.95 - Abstract
Machine learning (ML) and in particular deep learning (DL) methods push state-of-the-art solutions for many hard problems, for example, image classification, speech recognition, or time series forecasting. In the domain of climate science, ML and DL are known to be effective for identifying causally linked modes of climate variability as key to understand the climate system and to improve the predictive skills of forecast systems. To attribute climate events in a data-driven way, we need sufficient training data, which is often limited for real-world measurements. The data science community provides standard data sets for many applications. As a new data set, we introduce a consistent and comprehensive collection of climate indices typically used to describe Earth System dynamics. Therefore, we use 1000-year control simulations from Earth System Models. The data set is provided as an open-source framework that can be extended and customized to individual needs. It allows users to develop new ML methodologies and to compare results to existing methods and models as benchmark. For example, we use the data set to predict rainfall in the African Sahel region and El Niño Southern Oscillation with various ML models. Our aim is to build a bridge between the data science community and researchers and practitioners from the domain of climate science to jointly improve our understanding of the climate system.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Ecosystem Resistance and Resilience after Dry and Wet Events across Central Asia Based on Remote Sensing Data
- Author
-
Jie Zou, Jianli Ding, Shuai Huang, and Bohua Liu
- Subjects
climate events ,Central Asia ,water use efficiency ,resistance ,resilience ,Science - Abstract
Climate change forecasts indicate that the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events will increase in the future; these changes will have important effects on ecosystem stability and function. An important arid region of the world, Central Asia has ecosystems that are extremely vulnerable to extreme weather events. However, few studies have investigated the resistance and resilience of this region’s ecosystems to extreme weather events. In this study, first, the extreme drought/wet threshold was calculated based on the 113-year (1901–2013) standardized precipitation–evapotranspiration index (SPEI); second, moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) remote sensing data were applied to calculate ecosystem water use efficiency (WUE) and quantify ecosystem resistance and resilience after different extreme climate events; and finally, differences in the changes of various ecosystem types before and after climate events were assessed. The results showed the following: (1) The average SPEI was 0.073, and the thresholds of extreme wetness and drought were 0.91 and −0.67, respectively. Central Asia experienced extreme wet periods in 2002 and 2003 and a drought period in 2008. (2) Suitable wetness levels can increase the resistance of an ecosystem; however, continuous wetness reduces ecosystem resistance, as does drought. Wet areas had strong resilience after wet events, and arid areas had strong resilience after drought events. (3) During both wet and drought years, the transition between shrubland and grassland caused changes in ecosystem resistance and resilience. These findings are important for understanding the impact of future climate change on ecosystem stability.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Effects of Climate Events on Abundance and Distribution of Major Commercial Fishes in the Beibu Gulf, South China Sea
- Author
-
Xiaofan Hong, Kui Zhang, Jiajun Li, Youwei Xu, Mingshuai Sun, Yuezhong Wang, Shannan Xu, Yancong Cai, Yongsong Qiu, and Zuozhi Chen
- Subjects
Beibu Gulf ,major commercial fish ,abundance ,distribution ,climate events ,Biology (General) ,QH301-705.5 - Abstract
Improving prediction of ecological responses to climate variability requires understanding how local fish population dynamics are impacted by climate events. The present study was conducted in the Beibu Gulf of the northwestern South China Sea where the fisheries are characterized by high ecological and commercial value. We evaluated the relationship between major commercial fish population dynamics (abundance and distribution) and climate periods, using survey data from 2006–2020. The analysis using random forest and GAM models show that climate events are not the best predictors for the variations of fish abundance, because abundance of most fish stocks decreases significantly with the year, and the increasing fishing pressure over time can better explain the overall downward trend in fishery stocks. However, environmental variables that correlate significantly with interannual variation in ONI may impact fish abundance in short terms. Our research suggests that climate events leading to higher surface seawater salinity in winter favors pelagic fishes by improving habitat availability, and higher near-surface chlorophyll-α concentration during La Niña events provides better food condition for overwintering fish. In addition, there is no clear evidence that climatic events have a significant impact on gravity center of fish distribution, whereas climate change has caused most fishes to move to cooler coastal waters in the north.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Anywhere: Enhancing Emergency Management and Response to Extreme Weather and Climate Events
- Author
-
Abily, Morgan, Gourbesville, Philippe, De Carvalho Filho, Eurico, Llort, Xavier, Rebora, Nicolas, Sanchez, Alexandre, Sempere-Torres, Daniel, Kostianoy, Andrey, Series Editor, Gourbesville, Philippe, editor, and Caignaert, Guy, editor
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Climate events and the role of adaptive capacity for (im-)mobility.
- Author
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Koubi, Vally, Schaffer, Lena, Spilker, Gabriele, and Böhmelt, Tobias
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS education , *HIGHER education , *OCCUPATIONAL mobility , *CLIMATE change - Abstract
The study examines the relationship between sudden- and gradual-onset climate events and migration, hypothesizing that this relationship is mediated by the adaptive capacity of affected individuals. We use survey data from regions of Cambodia, Nicaragua, Peru, Uganda, and Vietnam that were affected by both types of events with representative samples of non-migrant residents and referral samples of migrants. Although some patterns are country-specific, the general findings indicate that less educated and lower-income people are less likely to migrate after exposure to sudden-onset climate events compared to their counterparts with higher levels of education and economic resources. These results caution against sweeping predictions that future climate-related events will be accompanied by widespread migration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Marginal Voices, Resilient Acts: Urban Marginality and Responses to Climate-Related Events in Lilongwe City Informal Settlements.
- Author
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Makuwira, Jonathan
- Subjects
- *
SOCIAL marginality , *SOCIOECONOMIC status , *SOCIAL change , *CITIES & towns , *SOCIAL policy - Abstract
Urban informal settlements have, over the years, been centres of conflicting development debates, yet, for people with low socio-economic status, these are areas of opportunities. However, the "peripheral" nature of these locations has far-reaching implications on how people in these areas participate in decision-making processes that affect them. Lately, the effects of climate-related events have also added another layer of socio-economic, political, and environmental challenge to the dynamics of life in the marginal areas of the urban setting. The purpose of this paper is to critically examine how people in marginal informal settlements of Lilongwe City respond to climate-related events and interact with the wider ecosystem of development stakeholders. The major thesis of the paper is that while critical policymakers ignore these peripheral voices in the provision of basic services, an enhanced support to these informal settlements can prove positive if efforts are harnessed to mitigate the effects of climate-related events and urban marginality and amplify marginal voices to change social policies for the good of all. This paper uses the case of Lilongwe City where three informal settlements of Mtandire, Kaliyeka, and Kawale form part of the study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Do changes in the water regime determine the abundance of the copepod trophic group in a Neotropical floodplain?
- Author
-
Lenin Medeiros de Almeida Lino, Tatiane Mantovano, Vanessa G. Tibúrcio, and Fábio Amodêo Lansac-Tôha
- Subjects
climate events ,microcrustaceans ,trophic guilds ,floodplain ,Ecology ,QH540-549.5 - Abstract
Abstract Aim Our study evaluated the effects of extreme weather events and environmental conditions on the trophic groups of copepods (herbivores and omnivores) in the upper Paraná River floodplain. Methods The zooplankton were collected and Copepods and Rotifers were analyzed in nine environments of the upper Paraná River floodplain during 2000 and 2010, during which time the La Niña (drought) and El Niño (flood) climatic events occurred, respectively. Results The results suggest that in periods of extreme drought productivity-related variables act as determining forces on abundance of copepod trophic groups due to the contraction of aquatic ecosystems. Although the abundance of trophic groups is associated with system productivity, the responses between them differ, since herbivore abundance was associated with chlorophyll-a and total phosphorus and omnivores with rotifer abundance. In extreme flood (El Niño), no significant relationship was found between environmental variables and any trophic group. Conclusions In general, it is believed that in periods of extreme drought the variables associated with productivity act as determining forces on the abundance of trophic groups of copepods due to the contraction of aquatic ecosystems. According to the results found, it is suggested that other works be carried out with a greater number of extreme events to corroborate our results and, and also to extrapolate to other aquatic communities.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Change and Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Indices During 1960–2010 and 2011–2100 in Abidjan District (Côte d’Ivoire)
- Author
-
Danumah, Jean Homian, Odai, Samuel Nii, Saley, Mahaman Bachir, Akpa, Lucette You, Szarzynski, Joerg, Kouame, Fernand Koffi, and Leal Filho, Walter, editor
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Assessment of seasonal and spatial variations of biochemical markers in Corydalus sp. (Megaloptera: Corydalidae), a non-conventional biomonitor, in a mountain cloud forest in Mexico.
- Author
-
Rico-Sánchez, Axel Eduardo, Rodríguez-Romero, Alexis Joseph, Sedeño-Díaz, Jacinto Elías, and López-López, Eugenia
- Subjects
BIOCHEMICAL variation ,BIOMARKERS ,CLOUD forests ,MOUNTAIN forests ,SPATIAL variation ,GLUTATHIONE peroxidase - Abstract
Rivers are critical ecosystems for protecting and harboring high biodiversity. Tropical rivers particularly are unique for facing extreme climatic events under the current accelerated disruption from human activities. The Bobos-Nautla river basin is exposed to climatic events and disturbances from anthropogenic impacts that stress aquatic organisms. We assessed the health condition of this river system using a non-conventional biomonitor, Corydalus sp., with a set of early-warning biomarkers including lipid peroxidation levels (LPO) and antioxidant activity, superoxide dismutase (SOD), catalase (CAT), glutathione peroxidase (GPx), and the neurotransmitter acetylcholinesterase (AChE) considering their spatial and temporal variations. Biomarkers and water quality parameters were analyzed, and the integrated biomarker response (IBR) was assessed as a stress index. Biomarkers showed no significant spatial differences; however, a high-stress period during the rainy season was detected, evidenced by the highest LPO levels; this period is related to the leaching of allochthonous materials from agricultural and urban zones. The peak IBR value during the rainy season confirmed the seasonality of biomarkers. A slight increase in IBR was recorded in lowlands, seemingly associated with agricultural land and human settlements. A principal component analysis showed nutrient enrichment during the rainy season and depletion during the cold-dry season, together with a peak activity of antioxidant enzymes. These results highlight the importance of climatic events such as the rainy season on the health condition of Corydalus sp., which is highly sensitive to the complex mixtures of pollutants that enter the waterbody during extreme climatic events, promoting oxidative stress. Our results also showed the ability of Corydalus sp. to recover and return to a basal level. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. The effect of climate pacts on the stock market performance of listed firms in Turkey.
- Author
-
Pandey, Dharen Kumar, Ananda, S., Basma, Henchiri, and Kumari, Vineeta
- Abstract
This study employs the event study method on the daily closing prices of 385 listed firms in Turkey from December 2020 to December 2022 to examine the market reactions to two significant climate-related events: the Glasgow Climate Pact (GCP) and the Sharm el-Sheikh Implementation Plan (SSIP). The GCP event triggered predominantly adverse market reactions, with significant and negative abnormal returns observed before and after the event and an adverse event day return. Conversely, the SSIP event generated a mixed market response, characterized by significant negative abnormal returns before the event and significant positive abnormal returns after the event. Additionally, the energy sector firms have been vulnerable to the SSIP, given their declining returns, while other sectors experienced significant positive returns. The cross-sectional regression analysis highlights the impact of firm-level characteristics on abnormal returns. For the GCP event, firm leverage, firm size, book-to-market ratio, and past returns exhibit significant associations with abnormal returns during different periods. Similarly, for the SSIP event, firm size, book-to-market ratio, past returns, and past volatility demonstrate significant relationships with abnormal returns. The findings suggest that firms should align their strategies with climate goals and capitalize on emerging clean energy and sustainability opportunities to maintain share prices. Investors must carefully evaluate climate-related events’ impact and consider firm-level characteristics when making investment decisions. This study contributes to understanding market reactions to climate events and provides insights for firms and investors in navigating the evolving landscape of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. Climate Events and Cycles During the Last Glacial–Interglacial Transition
- Author
-
Eun Hee Lee, Dae-Young Lee, and Mi-Young Park
- Subjects
Climate events ,Bølling-Allerød ,Younger Dryas ,de Vries cycle ,Eddy cycle ,Astronomy ,QB1-991 - Abstract
During the last glacial–interglacial transition, there were multiple intense climatic events such as the Bølling–Allerød warming and Younger Dryas cooling. These events show abrupt and rapid climatic changes. In this study, the climate events and cycles during this interval are examined through wavelet analysis of Arctic and Antarctic ice-core 18O and tropical marine 14C records. The results show that periods of ~1383–1402, ~1029–1043, ~726–736, ~441–497 and ~202–247 years are dominant in the Arctic region, whereas periods of ~1480, ~765, ~518, ~311, and ~207 years are prominent in the Antarctic TALDICE. In addition, cycles of ~1019, ~515, and ~209 years are distinct in the tropical region. Among these variations, the de Vries cycle of ~202–209 years, correlated with variations in solar activity, was detected globally. In particular, this cycle shows a strong signal in the Antarctic between about 13,000 and 10,500 yr before present (BP). In contrast, the Eddy cycle of ~1019–1043 years was prominent in Greenland and the tropical region, but was not detected in the Antarctic TALDICE records. Instead, these records showed that the Heinrich cycle of ~1480 year was very strong and significant throughout the last glacial–interglacial interval.
- Published
- 2017
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26. Ecosystem Resistance and Resilience after Dry and Wet Events across Central Asia Based on Remote Sensing Data
- Author
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Liu, Jie Zou, Jianli Ding, Shuai Huang, and Bohua
- Subjects
climate events ,Central Asia ,water use efficiency ,resistance ,resilience - Abstract
Climate change forecasts indicate that the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events will increase in the future; these changes will have important effects on ecosystem stability and function. An important arid region of the world, Central Asia has ecosystems that are extremely vulnerable to extreme weather events. However, few studies have investigated the resistance and resilience of this region’s ecosystems to extreme weather events. In this study, first, the extreme drought/wet threshold was calculated based on the 113-year (1901–2013) standardized precipitation–evapotranspiration index (SPEI); second, moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) remote sensing data were applied to calculate ecosystem water use efficiency (WUE) and quantify ecosystem resistance and resilience after different extreme climate events; and finally, differences in the changes of various ecosystem types before and after climate events were assessed. The results showed the following: (1) The average SPEI was 0.073, and the thresholds of extreme wetness and drought were 0.91 and −0.67, respectively. Central Asia experienced extreme wet periods in 2002 and 2003 and a drought period in 2008. (2) Suitable wetness levels can increase the resistance of an ecosystem; however, continuous wetness reduces ecosystem resistance, as does drought. Wet areas had strong resilience after wet events, and arid areas had strong resilience after drought events. (3) During both wet and drought years, the transition between shrubland and grassland caused changes in ecosystem resistance and resilience. These findings are important for understanding the impact of future climate change on ecosystem stability.
- Published
- 2023
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27. Climate and Processing Effects on Tea (Camellia sinensis L. Kuntze) Metabolome: Accurate Profiling and Fingerprinting by Comprehensive Two-Dimensional Gas Chromatography/Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometry
- Author
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Federico Stilo, Giulia Tredici, Carlo Bicchi, Albert Robbat, Joshua Morimoto, and Chiara Cordero
- Subjects
comprehensive two-dimensional gas chromatography ,time-of-flight mass spectrometry ,untargeted-targeted UT fingerprinting ,tea metabolome ,tea processing ,climate events ,Organic chemistry ,QD241-441 - Abstract
This study applied an untargeted–targeted (UT) fingerprinting approach, based on comprehensive two-dimensional gas chromatography-time-of-flight mass spectrometry (GC×GC-TOF MS), to assess the effects of rainfall and temperature (both seasonal and elevational) on the tea metabolome. By this strategy, the same compound found in multiple samples need only to be identified once, since chromatograms and mass spectral features are aligned in the data analysis process. Primary and specialized metabolites of leaves from two Chinese provinces, Yunnan (pu′erh) and Fujian (oolong), and a farm in South Carolina (USA, black tea) were studied. UT fingerprinting provided insight into plant metabolism activation/inhibition, taste and trigeminal sensations, and antioxidant properties, not easily attained by other analytical approaches. For example, pu′erh and oolong contained higher relative amounts of amino acids, organic acids, and sugars. Conversely, black tea contained less of all targeted compounds except fructose and glucose, which were more similar to oolong tea. Findings revealed compounds statistically different between spring (pre-monsoon) and summer (monsoon) in pu′erh and oolong teas as well as compounds that exhibited the greatest variability due to seasonal and elevational differences. The UT fingerprinting approach offered unique insights into how differences in growing conditions and commercial processing affect the nutritional benefits and sensory characteristics of tea beverages.
- Published
- 2020
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28. Regionalizing Resilience to Acute Meteorological Events: Comparison of Regions in the U.S.
- Author
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Kevin Summers, Linda Harwell, Lisa M. Smith, and Kyle D. Buck
- Subjects
climate events ,resilience ,vulnerability ,recoverability ,natural hazards ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 - Abstract
Using a Climate Resilience Screening Index (CRSI) that was developed to represent resilience to acute weather events at multiple scales for the United States, nine regions of the United States are compared for resilience for these types of natural hazards. The comparison examines the domains, indicators, and metrics of CRSI addressing environmental, economic, and societal aspects of resilience to acute climate events at county scales. The index was applied at the county scale and aggregated to represent select regions of the United States. Comparisons showed higher levels of resilience in the Northeast and West, including Alaska, (>4.0) while counties in the South Atlantic and South-Central regions exhibited lower resilience (0.60), and above national median scores for society, built environment and natural environment domains which enhances their resilience scores. South Atlantic and South-Central regions of the US are characterized by higher risk scores (>0.31) accompanied by lower levels of governance (
- Published
- 2018
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29. Impact of short‐term climate effects and sea ice coverage variation on Japanese scallop aquaculture in Saroma Lake, Japan.
- Author
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Tian, Yongjun, Liu, Yang, Saitoh, Sei–Ichi, Maekawa, Kimihiko, and Mochizuki, Kan‐Ichiro
- Subjects
- *
SCALLOP culture , *CLIMATE change - Abstract
Abstract: Saroma Lake is the southernmost lagoon exhibiting seasonal sea ice coverage in the Northern hemisphere and one of the most important aquaculture areas for Japanese scallops (
Mizuhopecten yessoensis ). Under conditions of adequate food and appropriate temperature, scallops grow well from the time of ice melting in April to harvesting starting in July. However, over the past decade, Saroma Lake frequently has not been completely covered by ice in winter, and the production of Japanese scallops has shown significant changes. Therefore, this study integrated data from satellite remote sensing, buoys, and in situ observations with climatic events [the winter East Asian Monsoon (EAM) and El Niño/La Niña–Southern Oscillation events] to investigate the impact of ice coverage variations on scallop growth in Saroma Lake between 2007 and 2015. Daily ice conditions were detected using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer false colour images and an unsupervised classification method. The results indicated that EAM strongly influenced the ice coverage variation in Saroma Lake through their effects on temperature during winter. Ice coverage variations show a strong correlation with water temperature and spring phytoplankton blooms, which are the two most important environmental factors for scallop growth. In addition, extreme climate events could cause water temperature anomalies (as in 2015) which are unfavourable for scallop growth. Monitoring ice conditions should be considered when developing plans and management strategies for scallop aquaculture in Saroma Lake. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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30. Laissez-Faire Public Spaces: Designing Public Spaces for Calm and Stressful Times
- Author
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Tali Hatuka
- Subjects
Urban Studies ,Climate events ,Value (ethics) ,2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,Laissez-faire ,Public space ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,Political science ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Environmental ethics ,Space (commercial competition) - Abstract
Under extreme conditions, such as wars, pandemics, and climate events, the role of open space and public rituals alters dramatically. Extreme conditions remind us that daily life is fragile. What should dictate the development of public spaces? What does Covid-19 teach us about public space, its use and future design? Should planners and designers address the unexpected when designing public spaces? These questions are the departure point for discussing the social value and design of public space during both extreme conditions and calm times. © 2021. All Rights Reserved.
- Published
- 2021
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31. Framework for Analyzing Compound and Inter-Related Extremes
- Author
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Mazdiyasni, Omid
- Subjects
Hydrologic sciences ,Water resources management ,Civil engineering ,Climate Events ,Climate Extremes ,Compound Events ,Compound Extremes ,Copula ,Multivariate Analysis - Abstract
Extreme climatic events have significant impacts on society and the environment, especially when multiple hazards occur concurrently (e.g., drought and heat waves) or consecutively (wildfires and extreme precipitation). A large number of indicators have been developed to detect and study changes in extreme events across space and time. While the current climate extreme indicators provide useful information, most do not provide any information on compound/concurrent events. A compound event corresponds to a situation in which multiple (often interrelated) hazard drivers lead to an extreme outcome. Therefore, current univariate methods used for frequency analysis and risk assessment may underestimate the risk or occurrence probability of extreme events. After a comprehensive review of the existing methods, this study outlines frameworks for detecting, modeling, and analyzing inter-related events and processes including compound extremes.
- Published
- 2018
32. Rural household welfare in Papua New Guinea: Food security and nutrition challenges
- Author
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Schmidt, Emily; Fang, Peixun; Mahrt, Kristi, http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0109-7687 Schmidt, Emily; http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8543-8244 Fang, Peixun; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4697-7565 Mahrt, Kristi, Schmidt, Emily; Fang, Peixun; Mahrt, Kristi, and http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0109-7687 Schmidt, Emily; http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8543-8244 Fang, Peixun; https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4697-7565 Mahrt, Kristi
- Subjects
- climate events
- Abstract
Non-PR, IFPRI1; 4 Transforming Agricultural and Rural Economies; Papua New Guinea Food Policy Strengthening; Capacity Strengthening; ReSAKSS Asia, DSGD, Papua New Guinea continues to encourage a policy focus on food and nutrition security. The PNG National Nutrition Policy (2016-2026) and Nutrition Strategic Action Plan (2018-2022) (NSAP) set a path to improve coordination, secure sufficient funding, and improve technical capacity of nutrition-focused pro gram implementation. As policy prioritizes improved nutrition outcomes, it is important to understand the cost that households face of securing a higher level of nutrition. Ensuring a healthy diet that meets nutrition standards is relatively expensive in PNG. The analysis presented in this paper, which uses detailed household food and non-food consumption data suggests that 4/5 of households in the survey sample live below the healthy diet poverty line (which sets a calorie threshold and defines healthy diet nutrition targets). That is, these households do not have the income available (or do not consume sufficient food and non-food goods) to meet their basic needs which includes securing a nutritious diet that meets food based die tary guidelines.
- Published
- 2022
33. Hydroclimate changes since the last glacial maximum from sedimentary biomarkers in a crater lake in the Great Khingan Mountains, Northeast China.
- Author
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Sun, Weiwei, Zhang, Enlou, Liu, Enfeng, You, Yang, Li, Jingjing, Ni, Zhenyu, Meng, Xianqiang, Zhang, Wenfang, and Chen, Rong
- Subjects
- *
CRATER lakes , *LAST Glacial Maximum , *CLIMATE change , *PALEOHYDROLOGY , *LAKE sediments , *GLOBAL warming - Abstract
The scarcity of well-dated, highly temporally resolved, paleoclimate records since the last glacial maximum (LGM) in Northeast China limits our understanding of past climatic variations and the prediction of future hydrological changes in the context of anthropogenic global warming. A high-resolution n -alkane record covering the past ∼25 kyr was retrieved from Lake Tuofengling, a hydrologically closed crater lake in the central Great Khingan Mountains. The sediments contained a suite of mid- and long-chain n -alkanes with a strong odd-to even-carbon number predominance. The relative proportion of mid-to long-chain n -alkane homologues (P aq) was proposed to evaluate the input of submerged/floating plants into lake sediments relative to that from emergent/terrestrial plants, which could be a useful indicator of lake level in lacustrine settings. The P aq proxy demonstrated that lake level increased stably from the shallowest level during the LGM to a maximum depth at 7.5–3.0 cal ka BP, with a minor decreasing trend during the late Holocene. The asynchronous changes in effective moisture in the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) region since the LGM might be directly or indirectly mediated by the shift in the rainfall belt, the position and intensity of the Western Pacific Subtropical High and Okhotsk High at different timescales. Our study provides new insights into climatic evolution in Northeast China, where the main climate pattern may not always be similar to the typical EASM pattern. • Changes in lake level reconstructed using Paq ratio since LGM. • Younger Dryas was characterized by relatively humid conditions in Northeast China. • Pacific Ocean was the main regulator of hydroclimatic pattern in the EASM region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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34. Reconstructing the magnitude of Early Toarcian (Jurassic) warming using the reordered clumped isotope compositions of belemnites
- Author
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Stefano M. Bernasconi, Nathan Looser, Stephan Wohlwend, Christoph Korte, Clemens V. Ullmann, and Alvaro Fernandez
- Subjects
Climate events ,Reordering ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,biology ,Isotope ,Excursion ,Toarcian ,Structural basin ,010502 geochemistry & geophysics ,biology.organism_classification ,Clumped isotopes ,01 natural sciences ,Anoxic waters ,Paleontology ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Paleoclimatology ,Sedimentary rock ,Belemnites ,Geology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
The magnitude of temperature changes in the Early Jurassic are not well known. Clumped isotope measurements can potentially be used to provide better constrains, but unfortunately many of the well-studied sedimentary successions that preserve Lower Jurassic fossils experienced burial temperatures above the limits of preservation of Δ47, which for geological timescales is thought to be between 80–120 °C. Samples from these basins are expected to be partially reordered and yield apparent clumped isotope temperatures that are warmer than original values. Here, we explore whether useful paleoclimate information can be recovered from these samples. We test the hypothesis that relative temperature differences are preserved in partially reordered samples when they experience a common burial history. This was done with the use of reordering models and Δ47 measurements of early Jurassic belemnites from the Aubach section of the SW German Basin, a basin that has a relatively well constrained burial history with maximum burial temperatures above 90 °C. We find that even though partial reordering progressively erases the Δ47 difference between samples, the majority (>50%) of the signal is preserved when samples are buried at temperatures as high of 150 °C for up to 200 Ma. Moreover, the models demonstrate that – regardless of burial conditions – partially reordered samples always preserve minimum records of temperature change across climate events. These inferences are supported by the belemnite Δ47 data that show partially reordered compositions and warming/cooling patterns across the Early Jurassic that closely mimic observations from independent proxies. Model observations are used to interpret a 13 ± 4 °C (95% ci) temperature increase that is observed in the belemnite data across the Early Toarcian. The large magnitude of the temperature excursion is explained as a combination of warming and a change in belemnite habitat before and after the Toarcian Ocean Anoxic Event. Our results demonstrate the usefulness of partially reordered samples and further open the use of this proxy in deep time settings., Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 293, ISSN:0016-7037, ISSN:1872-9533
- Published
- 2021
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35. Factors influencing the re-emergence of plague in Madagascar
- Author
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Jennifer Alderson, Emily Wilson, Max Quastel, and D Bellamy
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Climate events ,Flea ,Yersinia pestis ,re-emergence ,030231 tropical medicine ,Rodentia ,Microbiology ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Host-Microbe Interactions ,parasitic diseases ,Pandemic ,Madagascar ,Animals ,Review Articles ,climate ,Plague ,drug resistance ,biology ,Ecology ,Outbreak ,insecticide resistance ,Ecology & Environmental Biochemistry ,biology.organism_classification ,infection ,030104 developmental biology ,Geography ,Infectious disease (medical specialty) ,Insecticide resistance ,Siphonaptera ,General Agricultural and Biological Sciences ,geographic locations - Abstract
Plague is an infectious disease found worldwide and has been responsible for pandemics throughout history. Yersinia pestis, the causative bacterium, survives in rodent hosts with flea vectors that also transmit it to humans. It has been endemic in Madagascar for a century but the 1990s saw major outbreaks and in 2006 the WHO described the plague as re-emerging in Madagascar and the world. This review highlights the variety of factors leading to plague re-emergence in Madagascar, including climate events, insecticide resistance, and host and human behaviour. It also addresses areas of concern for future epidemics and ways to mitigate these. Pinpointing and addressing current and future drivers of plague re-emergence in Madagascar will be essential to controlling future outbreaks both in Madagascar and worldwide.
- Published
- 2020
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36. Extreme weather and climate events in <scp>Montenegro</scp> – case study, <scp>November</scp> 2019
- Author
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Jovan Dragojlović, Dragan Buric, Miroslav Doderović, and Ivana Penjišević
- Subjects
Climate events ,Atmospheric Science ,Extreme weather ,Climatology ,Environmental science ,Montenegro - Published
- 2020
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37. A Climate Downscaling Deep Learning Model considering the Multiscale Spatial Correlations and Chaos of Meteorological Events
- Author
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Bin Mu, Bo Qin, Xiaoyun Qin, and Shijin Yuan
- Subjects
Climate events ,Article Subject ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Process (engineering) ,Computer science ,General Mathematics ,010502 geochemistry & geophysics ,Machine learning ,computer.software_genre ,01 natural sciences ,Benchmark (surveying) ,QA1-939 ,Precipitation ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,business.industry ,Deep learning ,General Engineering ,Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) ,CHAOS (operating system) ,General Circulation Model ,Artificial intelligence ,TA1-2040 ,business ,computer ,Mathematics ,Downscaling - Abstract
Climate downscaling is a way to provide finer resolution data at local scales, which has been widely used in meteorological research. The two main approaches for climate downscaling are dynamical and statistical. The traditional dynamical downscaling methods are quite time- and resource-consuming based on general circulation models (GCMs). Recently, more and more researchers construct a statistical deep learning model for climate downscaling motivated by the single-image superresolution (SISR) process in computer vision (CV). This is an approach that uses historical climate observations to learn a low-resolution to high-resolution mapping and produces great enhancements in terms of efficiency and effectiveness. Therefore, it has provided an appreciable new insight and successful downscaling solution to multiple climate phenomena. However, most existing models only make a simple analogy between climate downscaling and SISR and ignore the underlying dynamical mechanisms, which leads to the overaveraged downscaling results lacking crucial physical details. In this paper, we incorporate the a priori meteorological knowledge into a deep learning formalization for climate downscaling. More specifically, we consider the multiscale spatial correlations and the chaos in multiple climate events. Depending on two characteristics, we build up a two-stage deep learning model containing a stepwise reconstruction process and ensemble inference, which is named climate downscaling network (CDN). It can extract more local/remote spatial dependencies and provide more comprehensive captures of extreme conditions. We evaluate our model based on two datasets: climate science dataset (CSD) and benchmark image dataset (BID). The results demonstrate that our model shows the effectiveness and superiority in downscaling daily precipitation data from 2.5 degrees to 0.5 degrees over Asia and Europe. In addition, our model exhibits better performance than the other traditional approaches and state-of-the-art deep learning models.
- Published
- 2020
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38. Climate Change Management Strategies to Handle and Cope with Extreme Weather and Climate Events
- Author
-
Safieh Javadinejad, Neda Dolatabadi, Forough Jafary, and Rebwar Dara
- Subjects
Climate events ,Adaptive capacity ,Extreme weather ,Natural resource economics ,Effects of global warming ,Greenhouse gas ,Global warming ,Environmental science ,Climate change ,Climate change management - Abstract
Increasing the concentration of greenhouse gases causes rising in global warming and carbon dioxide emissions. With further efforts to reduce carbon dioxide, it is possible to prevent the warming of the earth, but the effects of climate change that we have already created can not be reduced. Recent observed and predicted alterations in the global climate require a double policy to react to the decline in climate alteration and its adjustment (coexistence) to explain the key factors and their effects. Measures to reduce climate alteration through decreasing greenhouse gas releases or removing them from the atmosphere are possible. Execution of more reduction measures at the present time will require less adaptation in the future. Meanwhile, inadequate measures to curb climate change presently increase the risk of catastrophic consequences, so that adjustment costs will rise unreasonably and adaptive capacity will face further constraints. Climate change adaptation measures concentrate in increasing our capability to deal with or prevent damaging effects or the use of new circumstances. Increasing temperature and changes visible today due to climate change mean that adaptation strategies should be applied. In this paper, strategies for reducing climate change and adaptation are reviewed and various strategies are presented. Meanwhile, this paper looks at the economies affected by climate change, our involvement to climate alteration, and the ways in which the economy has influenced climate change and the ways in which it can provide logical options.
- Published
- 2020
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- View/download PDF
39. Pulse Heat Stress and Parasitism in a Warming World
- Author
-
Danielle C. Claar and Chelsea L. Wood
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,Climate events ,0303 health sciences ,Ecology ,Climate ,Climate Change ,Outbreak ,Climate change ,Parasitism ,Biology ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,Parasitic infection ,Host-Parasite Interactions ,Heat stress ,03 medical and health sciences ,Infectious disease (medical specialty) ,Animals ,Parasites ,Parasite transmission ,Heat-Shock Response ,Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics ,030304 developmental biology - Abstract
Infectious disease outbreaks emerged across the globe during the recent 2015-2016 El Niño event, re-igniting research interest in how climate events influence disease dynamics. While the relationship between long-term warming and the transmission of disease-causing parasites has received substantial attention, we do not yet know how pulse heat events - common phenomena in a warming world - will alter parasite transmission. The effects of pulse warming on ecological and evolutionary processes are complex and context dependent, motivating research to understand how climate oscillations drive host health and disease. Here, we develop a framework for evaluating and predicting the effects of pulse warming on parasitic infection. Specifically, we synthesize how pulse heat stress affects hosts, parasites, and the ecological interactions between them.
- Published
- 2020
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- View/download PDF
40. Erosion and Flooding Risks in the Marly Basins of the Eastern Prerif Mountains (Morocco): A Response to Exceptional Climate Events or to Anthropogenic Pressure
- Author
-
Abdellatif Tribak
- Subjects
Climate events ,geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Flood myth ,Flooding (psychology) ,Anthropogenic pressure ,Sediment ,lcsh:G1-922 ,rif mountains ,General Medicine ,erosion ,rainfall severity ,Hydric soil ,floods ,Erosion ,anthropogenic actions ,lcsh:H1-99 ,Physical geography ,lcsh:Social sciences (General) ,Wadi ,lcsh:Geography (General) - Abstract
The Eastern Rif Mountains are frequently subject to exceptional rainfall events, whose consequences are sometimes disastrous. The impact of these phenomena on environments is more important as the majorities of slopes are bare and subject to strong human influence. The protective natural forests of the slopes are almost destroyed; they currently cover only a few peaks of mountains in the region. They represent 1.84% of the total area of wadi Tleta sub-basin and only 1.32% of the Tarmast wadi sub-basin. However, croplands, occupying respectively 60% and 34% in the two sub-basins, extend even on the steepest slopes. Similarly, the accelerated and uncontrolled human occupation of the urban peripheries, located downstream of the basins, amplifies the vulnerability of these environments to the hydrological hazards, that threaten several sites surrounding the agglomeration of Taza. Thus, the whole region is subject to different degradation processes. Hydric erosion affects the majority of the slopes; it causes excessive sediment production that may exceed 60 t ha -1 year -1 in some sub-basins. Similarly, flood disasters are quite common in the region. The flood of 20/9/2000 is a reference, with a volume estimated at 4 million m 3 (DRH-Sebou 2000). Human and material damage was enormous in the rural centers and in the northern outlying districts of Taza. This contribution aims to present and analyze the combined impacts of the extreme rains and the actions of the human societies on the dynamics of the prerifain environment and its adjoining spaces.
- Published
- 2020
41. Climate events and the role of adaptive capacity in (im)mobility
- Author
-
Koubi, Vally, Schaffer, Lena Maria, Spilker, Gabriele, and Böhmelt, Tobias
- Subjects
Climate events ,Adaptive capacity ,Climate Change ,(Im-)mobility - Abstract
What factors shape individuals' decisions to stay or migrate in the presence of climate change? We study how the relationship between different types of climate events and migration is moderated by individual and household characteristics pertaining to the adaptive capacity of affected individuals. Empirically, we employ survey data from five developing countries (Cambodia, Nicaragua, Peru, Uganda, and Vietnam) that include both migrants and non-migrants. The empirical results caution against sweeping predictions that future climate-relate events will be accompanied by widespread migration. Rather, the findings provide indicative evidence for immobility on the part of certain groups: less-educated and poor individuals are less likely to migrate and often stay in situ even in the presence of severe short-term climate events., + ID der Publikation: unilu_56486 + Sprache: Englisch + Letzte Aktualisierung: 2022-05-11 16:15:47
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Impact of the aquatic pathobiome in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) quest for safe water and sanitation practices
- Author
-
Elisa Taviani and Olivia Pedro
- Subjects
Climate events ,Sanitation ,Drinking Water ,Biomedical Engineering ,Bioengineering ,Low income and middle income countries ,Microbial contamination ,Contaminated water ,Geography ,Water Supply ,Urbanization ,Environmental health ,Developing Countries ,Phylogeny ,Biotechnology - Abstract
Microbial contamination of surface waters is of particular relevance in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) since they often represent the only available source of water for drinking and domestic use. In the recent years, a growing urbanization, profound demographic shifts and drastic climate events have greatly affected LMICs capacity to reach access to safe drinking water and sanitation practices, and to protect citizens’ health from risks associated to the exposure and use of contaminated water. Detailed phylogenetic and microbiological information on the exact composition of pathogenic organisms in urban and peri-urban water is scarce, especially in rapidly changing settings of sub-Saharan Africa. In this review we aim to highlight how large-scale water pathobiome studies can support the LMICs challenge to global access to safe water and sanitation practices.
- Published
- 2022
43. Climate events and the role of adaptive capacity for (im-)mobility
- Author
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Vally Koubi, Lena Schaffer, Gabriele Spilker, and Tobias Böhmelt
- Subjects
Climate change ,Climate events ,Adaptive capacity ,(Im-)mobility ,ddc:320 ,Environmental Science (miscellaneous) ,Demography - Abstract
The study examines the relationship between sudden- and gradual-onset climate events and migration, hypothesizing that this relationship is mediated by the adaptive capacity of affected individuals. We use survey data from regions of Cambodia, Nicaragua, Peru, Uganda, and Vietnam that were affected by both types of events with representative samples of non-migrant residents and referral samples of migrants. Although some patterns are country-specific, the general findings indicate that less educated and lower-income people are less likely to migrate after exposure to sudden-onset climate events compared to their counterparts with higher levels of education and economic resources. These results caution against sweeping predictions that future climate-related events will be accompanied by widespread migration., Population and environment, 43, ISSN:0199-0039, ISSN:1573-7810
- Published
- 2022
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- View/download PDF
44. Observing the past to better understand thefuture: a synthesis of the Neogene climate inEurope and its perspectives on present climatechange
- Author
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Prista Gonçalo A., Agostinho Rui J., and Cachão Mário A.
- Subjects
neogene ,climate change ,climate events ,europe ,climate analogue ,Geology ,QE1-996.5 - Abstract
A review of the entire Neogene climate in Europeis a useful tool for climate researchers, synthesizingpresent day knowledge on a variety of past warmer climatemodes thus facilitating the debate regarding possiblefuture climate scenarios in the Old Continent. This workcentres on the European scenario, debating possible futureprojections and describing the Miocene and Plioceneclimate in the Old Continent. With present evidences ofa global warming scenario, it is highly important that welook at past climatic events in order to better predict futureclimate changes impact in biodiversity. The review presentedhere synthesizes the literature regarding climate,faunal and floral evolution for the European Neogene, andaims to help palaeoclimatic researchers and climatologiststo characterize some of the boundary conditions for modellingpossible analogous of IPPC climate scenarios. If thefuture climate projections come to be true, it is shown thatthe Pliocene, and particularly the Mid Piacenzian WarmPeriod, should be considered as the best analogue for theimpact of a warming climate in Europe.
- Published
- 2015
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- View/download PDF
45. Time-tagged ticker tapes for intracellular recordings
- Author
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Xiuyuan (Ted) Li, Hao Shen, Jonathan B. Grimm, Pojeong Park, David Baker, Adam E. Cohen, Dingchang Lin, Benjamin Tang, Luke D. Lavis, and Natalie Falco
- Subjects
Climate events ,Neural activity ,Intracellular protein ,Absolute accuracy ,Biology ,Neuroscience ,Intracellular - Abstract
A core taken in a tree today can reveal climate events from centuries past. Here we adapt this idea to record histories of neural activation. We engineered slowly growing intracellular protein fibers which can incorporate diverse fluorescent marks during growth to store linear ticker tape-like histories. An embedded HaloTag reporter incorporated user-supplied HaloTag-ligand dyes, leading to colored stripes whose boundaries mapped fiber growth to wall-clock time. A co-expressed eGFP tag driven by the cFos immediate early gene promoter recorded the history of neural activity. High-resolution multispectral imaging on fixed samples read the cellular histories. We demonstrated recordings of cFos activation in ensembles of cultured neurons with a single-cell absolute accuracy of approximately 39 min over a 12-hour interval. Protein-based ticker tapes have the potential to achieve massively parallel single-cell recordings of multiple physiological modalities.
- Published
- 2021
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- View/download PDF
46. Seasonality of Response to Millennial‐Scale Climate Events of the Last Glacial: Evidence From Loess Records Over Mid‐Latitude Asia
- Author
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Michael E. Meadows, Yijiao Fan, Zhiyuan Wang, Dunsheng Xia, and Jia Jia
- Subjects
Climate events ,Geophysics ,Scale (ratio) ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Middle latitudes ,Loess ,medicine ,Glacial period ,Physical geography ,Seasonality ,medicine.disease ,Geology - Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Modelling forest ruin due to climate hazards
- Author
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Nicolas Viovy, Pascal Yiou, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Extrèmes : Statistiques, Impacts et Régionalisation (ESTIMR), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Modélisation des Surfaces et Interfaces Continentales (MOSAIC), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), and ANR-20-CE01-0008,SAMPRACE,Simuler des Evenements Climatiques Rares(2020)
- Subjects
Climate events ,[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere ,0303 health sciences ,Extreme climate ,QE1-996.5 ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Science ,Climate change ,Geology ,QE500-639.5 ,Ruin theory ,01 natural sciences ,Hazard ,Dynamic and structural geology ,03 medical and health sciences ,13. Climate action ,Econometrics ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Environmental science ,Probability distribution ,[SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment ,Insurance industry ,030304 developmental biology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Estimating the risk of forest collapse due to extreme climate events is one of the challenges of adapting to climate change. We adapt a concept from ruin theory, which is widely used in econometrics and the insurance industry, to design a growth–ruin model for trees which accounts for climate hazards that can jeopardize tree growth. This model is an elaboration of a classical Cramer–Lundberg ruin model that is used in the insurance industry. The model accounts for the interactions between physiological parameters of trees and the occurrence of climate hazards. The physiological parameters describe interannual growth rates and how trees react to hazards. The hazard parameters describe the probability distributions of the occurrence and intensity of climate events. We focus on a drought–heatwave hazard. The goal of the paper is to determine the dependence of the forest ruin and average growth probability distributions on physiological and hazard parameters. Using extensive Monte Carlo experiments, we show the existence of a threshold in the frequency of hazards beyond which forest ruin becomes certain to occur within a centennial horizon. We also detect a small effect of the strategies used to cope with hazards. This paper is a proof of concept for the quantification of forest collapse under climate change.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Climate change adaptation in conflict-affected countries: A systematic assessment of evidence
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M. van Aalst, Asha Sitati, Katharine J. Mach, Elisabeth A. Gilmore, P. Umunay, G. Nagle Alverio, E. Coughlan de Perez, Elphin Tom Joe, Catalina Jaime, Brian Pentz, Idowu Ajibade, Giulia Scarpa, Zinta Zommers, I. Togola, Nicholas Philip Simpson, A. J. Hudson, P. Nayna Schwerdtle, C. Grayson, Eranga K. Galappaththi, L. S. Safaee Chalkasra, Sienna Templeman, A. Khouzam, UT-I-ITC-4DEarth, Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, and Department of Earth Systems Analysis
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Sustainable development ,Climate events ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Vulnerability ,Climate change ,Review ,Environmental sciences ,Scholarship ,Political science ,Development economics ,GE1-350 ,Climate change adaptation ,Adaptation (computer science) ,ITC-GOLD ,Diversity (politics) ,media_common - Abstract
People affected by conflict are particularly vulnerable to climate shocks and climate change, yet little is known about climate change adaptation in fragile contexts. While climate events are one of the many contributing drivers of conflict, feedback from conflict increases vulnerability, thereby creating conditions for a vicious cycle of conflict. In this study, we carry out a systematic review of peer-reviewed literature, taking from the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI) dataset to documenting climate change adaptation occurring in 15 conflict-affected countries and compare the findings with records of climate adaptation finance flows and climate-related disasters in each country. Academic literature is sparse for most conflict-affected countries, and available studies tend to have a narrow focus, particularly on agriculture-related adaptation in rural contexts and adaptation by low-income actors. In contrast, multilateral and bilateral funding for climate change adaptation addresses a greater diversity of adaptation needs, including water systems, humanitarian programming, and urban areas. Even among the conflict-affected countries selected, we find disparity, with several countries being the focus of substantial research and funding, and others seeing little to none. Results indicate that people in conflict-affected contexts are adapting to climate change, but there is a pressing need for diverse scholarship across various sectors that documents a broader range of adaptation types and their results.
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- 2021
49. Population collapse or human resilience in response to the 9.3 and 8.2 ka cooling events: A multi-proxy analysis of Mesolithic occupation in the Scheldt basin (Belgium)
- Author
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Florian Lauryssen, Yves Perdaen, Hans Vandendriessche, Erwin Meylemans, Erik Smolders, Elliot Van Maldegem, Jeroen Verhegge, Philippe Crombé, and Joris Sergant
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Climate events ,Archeology ,History ,Prehistoric demography ,Environmental change ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Population ,Social Sciences ,Human Factors and Ergonomics ,Structural basin ,law.invention ,ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGE ,NEOLITHIC POPULATION ,CULTURAL-EVOLUTION ,law ,TEMPORAL FREQUENCY-DISTRIBUTIONS ,Radiocarbon dating ,EQUILIBRIUM-LINE ALTITUDES ,BONE APATITE ,education ,Holocene ,Mesolithic ,media_common ,education.field_of_study ,Science & Technology ,History and Archaeology ,Hunter-gatherer mobility ,RADIOCARBON-DATES ,NW-Europe ,HOLOCENE CLIMATE VARIABILITY ,Summed Probability Distributions ,Geography ,Archaeology ,Anthropology ,SUMMED PROBABILITY-DISTRIBUTION ,Psychological resilience ,Physical geography ,YR BP EVENT ,Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Abstract
This paper explores the impact of environmental, e.g. sea level rise, and climatic events, e.g. abrupt cooling events, on Mesolithic populations (ca. 11,350 to 6600 cal BP) living in the western Scheldt basin of Belgium and Northern France. The Mesolithic in this study-area has been extensively studied during the last few decades, leading to an extensive database of radiocarbon dates (n = 418), sites (n = 157) and excavated loci (n = 145). A multi-proxy analysis of this database reveals important changes both chronologically and geographically, which are interpreted in terms of population dynamics and changing mobility and land-use. The results suggest a population peak and high residential mobility in the Early Mesolithic, followed by a population shift and increased intra-basin mobility in the Middle Mesolithic, possibly triggered by the rapid inundation of the North Sea basin. The situation during the Late Mesolithic remains less clear but a possible reduction in the mobility seems likely. Currently there is little evidence supporting a causal link between these diachronic changes in human behavior and the 9.3 and 8.2 ka cooling events. Most of the observed changes seem more in response to long-term climatic and environmental changes during the Early and Middle Holocene, hinting at considerable resilience.
- Published
- 2021
50. Evolving the National Weather Service to Build a Weather-Ready Nation: Connecting Observations, Forecasts, and Warnings to Decision-Makers through Impact-Based Decision Support Services
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Louis W. Uccellini and John E. Ten Hoeve
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Climate events ,Strategic planning ,021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,Atmospheric Science ,Decision support system ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,business.industry ,Environmental resource management ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,02 engineering and technology ,National weather service ,01 natural sciences ,Extreme weather ,Business ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
As the cost and societal impacts of extreme weather, water, and climate events continue to rise across the United States, the National Weather Service (NWS) has adopted a strategic vision of a Weather-Ready Nation that aims to help all citizens be ready, responsive, and resilient to extreme weather, water, and climate events. To achieve this vision and to meet the NWS mission of saving lives and property and enhancing the national economy, the NWS must improve the accuracy and timeliness of forecasts and warnings, and must directly connect these forecasts and warnings to critical life- and property-saving decisions through the provision of impact-based decision support services (IDSS). While the NWS has been moving in this direction for years, the shift to delivering IDSS holistically requires an agency-wide transformation. This article discusses the elements driving the need for change at the NWS to build a Weather-Ready Nation; the foundational basis for IDSS; ongoing challenges to provide IDSS across federal, state, local, tribal, and territorial levels of government; the path toward evolving the NWS to deliver more effective IDSS; the importance of partnerships within the weather, water, and climate enterprise and with those responsible for public safety to achieve the Weather-Ready Nation vision; and initial supporting evidence and lessons learned from early efforts.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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