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Background In East Asian countries, patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have lower cardiovascular risk profiles and experience fewer cardiovascular events (CVEs) than those in Western countries. Thus the clinical predictive performance of well-known risk factors warrants further testing in this population. Methods The KoreaN cohort study for Outcome in patients With Chronic Kidney Disease (KNOW-CKD) is a multicenter, prospective observational study. We included 1579 participants with CKD G1–G5 without kidney replacement therapy between 2011 and 2016. The main predictor was the coronary artery calcium score (CACS). The primary outcome was a composite of nonfatal CVEs or all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included 3-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs; the composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke), all CVEs and all-cause mortality. Results During a median follow-up of 5.1 years, a total of 123 primary outcome events occurred (incidence rate 1.6/100 person-years). In the multivariable Cox model, a 1-standard deviation log increase in the CACS was associated with a 1.67-fold [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.37–2.04] higher risk of the primary outcome. Compared with a CACS of 0, the hazard ratio associated with a CACS >400 was 4.89 (95% CI 2.68–8.93) for the primary outcome. This association was consistent for secondary outcomes. Moreover, inclusion of the CACS led to modest improvements in prediction indices of the primary outcome compared with well-known conventional risk factors. Conclusions In Korean patients with CKD, the CACS was independently associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause death. The CACS also showed modest improvements in prediction performance over conventional cardiovascular risk factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Although it is well known that low bone mineral density (BMD) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in the general population, the prognostic role of bone mineral density (BMD) has not been established in the chronic kidney disease (CKD) population. Therefore we aimed to evaluate the association between BMD and the risk of CVD and cardiovascular mortality in patients with predialysis CKD. Methods This prospective cohort study was conducted with 1957 patients with predialysis CKD Stages 1–5. BMD was measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and coronary arterial calcification (CAC) scores were evaluated using coronary computed tomography. The primary outcome was a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE). Results When patients were classified based on total hip BMD T -score tertiles stratified by sex, the lowest BMD tertile was significantly associated with an increased risk of MACE {hazard ratio 2.16 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25–3.74]; P = 0.006}. This association was also shown with BMD at the femur neck but not with BMD at lumbar spine. In the subgroup of 977 patients with follow-up CACs at their fourth year, 97 (9.9%) showed accelerated CAC progression (>50/year), and BMD was inversely associated with accelerated CAC progression even after adjusting for the baseline CAC score [odds ratio 0.75 (95% CI 0.58–0.99); P = 0.039]. In addition, baseline CAC was associated with an increased risk of MACEs after adjusting for total hip T -score. Conclusions Low BMD was significantly associated with CAC progression and MACEs in patients with predialysis CKD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Urinary chloride is regulated by kidney transport channels, and high urinary chloride concentration in the distal tubules can trigger tubuloglomerular feedback. However, little attention has been paid to urinary chloride as a biomarker of clinical outcomes. Here, we studied the relationship between urinary chloride concentration and chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. Methods We included 2086 participants with CKD from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcomes in patients With Chronic Kidney Disease. Patients were categorized into three groups, according to baseline urinary chloride concentration tertiles. The study endpoint was a composite of ≥50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline values, or end-stage kidney disease. Results During a median follow-up period of 3.4 years (7452 person-years), 565 participants reached the primary endpoint. There was a higher rate of CKD progression events in the lowest and middle tertiles than in the highest tertile. Compared with the lowest tertile, the highest tertile was associated with 33% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.49–0.90] lower risk for the primary outcome in a cause-specific hazard model after adjustment for confounding variables. In addition, for every 25 mEq/L increase in urinary chloride concentration, there was 11% (95% CI 0.83–0.96) lower risk for CKD progression. This association was consistent in a time-varying model. Urinary chloride concentration correlated well with tubule function and kidney injury markers, and its predictive performance for CKD progression was comparable to that of these markers. Conclusions In this hypothesis-generating study, low urinary chloride concentration was associated with a higher risk for CKD progression. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: No study has compared the clinical impact of indexation of left ventricular mass (LVM) on adverse clinical outcomes in pre-dialysis patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: We reviewed 2,101 patients from a large-scale multi-center prospective study that gathered anthropometric and echocardiographic measurements and clinical outcomes. The LVM was indexed as body surface area (LVMI-BSA) and height raised to the power of 2.7 (LVMI-H2.7). The main outcomes were composite renal and cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) was defined as the highest sex-specific quartile of LVMI-BSA or LVMI-H2.7. Results: During a mean period of 3.5 years, 692 patients developed composite outcomes (32.9%). The area under the curve at 5 year of LVM (60.6%) for composite outcome was smaller than that for LVMI-BSA (63.2%, P <0.001) and LVMI-H2.7 (63.4%, P <0.001). The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) per one unit increase in LVM (g), LVMI-BSA (g/m2), and LVMI-H2.7 (g/m2.7) for composite outcomes were 1.004 (1.002–1.005, P <0.001), 1.011 (1.006–1.016, P <0.001), and 1.023 (1.012–1.035, P <0.001), respectively. Patients with LVH determined by LVMI-BSA and LVMI-H2.7 (HR 1.352, 95% CI 1.123–1.626, P = 0.001) and LVH determined by only LVMI-BSA (HR 1.908, 95% CI 1.233–2.953, P = 0.004) showed an independent increase in the risk of composite-outcome development, when compared with patients without LVH, according to LVMI-BSA and LVMI-H2.7. Conclusion: Indexation of LVM improved the prediction of adverse outcomes. BSA may be as useful as height2.7 in indexing of LVM for predicting adverse outcomes in pre-dialysis patients with CKD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Urine osmolality indicates the ability of the kidney to concentrate the urine and reflects the antidiuretic action of vasopressin. However, results about the association between urine osmolality and adverse renal outcomes in chronic kidney disease (CKD) are conflicting. We investigated the association between urine osmolality and adverse renal outcomes in a nationwide prospective CKD cohort. Methods: A total of 1,999 CKD patients were categorized into 3 groups according to their urine osmolality tertiles. Primary outcome was a composite of 50% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), initiation of dialysis, or kidney transplantation. Results: During a mean follow-up of 35.2 ± 19.0 months, primary outcome occurred in 432 (21.6%) patients; 240 (36.4%), 162 (24.3%), and 30 (4.5%) in the lowest, middle, and highest tertiles, respectively. Low urine osmolality was independently associated with a greater risk of CKD progression (hazard ratio [HR], 1.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12–2.59). This association was particularly evident in patients with CKD stages 3–4 (per 10 mosm/kg decrease; HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00–1.03). Adding urine osmolality to a base model with conventional factors significantly increased the ability to predict CKD progression (C-statistics, 0.86; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI], 0.021; both p < 0.001). However, adding both urine osmolality and eGFR did not further improve the predictive ability compared with the addition of eGFR only (C-statistics, p = 0.29; IDI, p = 0.09). Conclusions: Low urine osmolality was an independent risk factor for adverse renal outcomes in CKD patients, but its predictive ability did not surpass eGFR. Thus, kidney function should be considered while interpreting the clinical significance of urine osmolality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To investigate the association between abdominal aortic calcification score (AACS) assessed by plain radiograph of the lateral abdomen and the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events in patients with pre-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD), a total of 2090 pre-dialysis CKD patients from the Korean Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease (KNOW-CKD) were categorized by AACS into 0, 1–2, 3–4, 5–6, and ≥7. The primary outcome of the study was the composite CV events, defined as a composite of non-fatal CV events and all-cause death. The risk of composite CV events was significantly higher in the subjects with AACS ≥ 7 (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.888, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.219 to 2.923), compared to that of the subjects with AACS 0. The risks of fatal and non-fatal CV events (adjusted HR 1.052, 95% CI 1.030 to 1.073) and all-cause death (adjusted HR 1.949, 95% CI 1.073 to 3.539) were also significantly higher in the subjects with AACS ≥ 7. In conclusion, AACS assessed by plain radiograph is independently associated with adverse CV outcomes in patients with pre-dialysis CKD. A simple radiographic examination of the lateral abdomen may help CV risk stratification in this population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Circulating osteoprotegerin (OPG) is a biomarker for cardiovascular complications that are closely related to chronic kidney disease (CKD). To investigate the association between circulating OPG level with long-term visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) in patients with pre-dialysis CKD, a total of 1855 subjects with CKD from stage 1 to pre-dialysis stage 5 from a prospective cohort were analyzed. Long-term visit-to-visit BPV was determined by average real variability (ARV), standard deviation (SD), and coefficient of variation (CoV) of systolic and diastolic blood pressure (SBP and DBP). ARV of SBP (Adjusted β coefficient 0.143, 95% confidence interval 0.021 to 0.264) was significantly associated with serum OPG level. Although SD and CoV of SBP were not significantly associated with serum OPG level in multivariate linear regression analyses, restricted cubic spline visualized the linear correlation of serum OPG level with all of ARV, SD, and CoV. The association between serum OPG level and DBP variability was not significant. Subgroup analyses revealed that the association of serum OPG with BPV is more prominent in the subjects with Charlson comorbidity index ≤3 and in the subjects without history of diabetes mellitus. In conclusion, circulating OPG level is potentially associated with long-term visit-to-visit BPV in patients with pre-dialysis CKD. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Decreased kidney function is an important risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, assessing risk of CVD may be difficult when there is a gap between creatinine- and cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We studied the association of the difference in eGFRs with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This prospective cohort study was conducted in 2076 patients with CKD stages based on the KDIGO guideline (eGFR categories of G1: ≥90; G 2: 60–89; G3: 30–59; G4: 15–29; G5: <15 mL/min/1.73 m2 without kidney replacement therapy). The difference in eGFR (eGFR diff) was calculated by subtracting the cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFR cys) from the creatinine-based eGFR (eGFR creat). The primary outcome was MACE, defined as non-fatal acute myocardial infarction and unstable angina, stroke, congestive heart failure, symptomatic arrhythmia, and cardiac death. During a median follow-up of 4.1 years, MACE occurred in 147 patients (incidence rate, 15.0 per 1000 patient-years). When patients were categorized into baseline eGFR diff tertiles, the highest tertile was associated with a significantly higher risk of MACE (hazard ratio, 2.12; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28–3.51) than the lowest tertile when adjusted for eGFR creat , eGFR cys , or eGFR based on both creatinine and cystatin C. Patients in the highest tertile had more baseline coronary artery calcification (CAC) than those in the lowest tertile (odds ratio [OR], 1.38; 95% CI, 1.03–1.86). In addition, 978 patients had data for both baseline and follow-up CAC at year 4. In this subgroup, baseline eGFR diff was significantly associated with accelerated CAC progression (≥50/year) (OR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01–1.05). A large positive difference between eGFR creat and eGFR cys was associated with a higher risk of MACE and faster CAC progression in patients with CKD. Therefore, careful monitoring of CVD is needed for patients with a higher eGFR diff. [Display omitted] • Cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of death in patients with chronic kidney disease. • Assessing risk of cardiovascular disease may be difficult when there is a gap between creatinine- and cystatin C-based eGFR. • Risk of major adverse cardiovascular events was high in patients with high eGFR difference between creatinine and cystatin C. • Patients with high eGFR difference also had high risk of coronary artery calcification progression. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]