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Objective: This study aims to investigate the predictive factors and efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine Shengji Ointment in the treatment of diabetic foot ulcers in the elderly population, with the intent of formulating an effective predictive model for deep diabetic foot ulcer healing. The importance of this research lies in its provision of new perspectives and tools for addressing the severe health impact of diabetic foot ulcers in the elderly population, considering the complexity and diversity of its treatment methods.Methods: The study includes 180 elderly patients with Wagner grade 3-4 diabetic foot ulcers that involve the tendon or fascia. The dependent variable is the initiation time of granulation tissue development. Independent variables encompass demographic information, a treatment strategy including Shengji Ointment, pre-treatment trauma assessment data, routine blood count, and biochemical index test results. Lasso regression is employed for variable selection, and Cox regression is utilized for the construction of a prediction model. A nomogram is generated to authenticate the model.Results: The Chinese Medicine treatment approach, ulcer location, creatinine levels, BMI, and haemoglobin levels are identified as independent predictors of granulation tissue development in diabetic foot ulcers. The combined treatment of Chinese herbal Shengji ointment and bromelain positively influenced granulation tissue development. The location of plantar ulcers, impaired renal functionality, obesity, and anaemia are established as independent risk factors that might influence the speed and probability of ulcer healing. The area under the time-dependent ROC curve fluctuates between 0.7 and 0.8, demonstrating substantial discrimination and calibration of the model.Conclusion: The study ascertains that a combined treatment strategy incorporating Shengji Ointment demonstrates greater effectiveness than the use of cleansing gel debridement alone in facilitating the healing of Wagner grade 3 or higher diabetic foot ulcers. Furthermore, the predictive model developed in this research serves as a valuable tool in evaluating the efficacy of Chinese Medicine treatments like Shengji Ointment for diabetic foot ulcers in the elderly. It aids clinicians in effectively assessing and adjusting treatment strategies, thereby proving its significant application value in clinical practice.Clinical Trial Registration: (https://www.chictr.org.cn/hvshowproject.html?id=73862&v=1.5&u_atoken=b403af53-d3b9-41ae-a7e2-db5498609b0c&u_asession=01tNh69p235bMUO4CmHIXcv8Hxirl5-557Duue9QB5lGfl3mf8IvPlcs2kN2zC30voX0KNBwm7Lovlpxjd_P_q4JsKWYrT3W_NKPr8w6oU7K_AyPrQhedMUWBMR2-ZDL_KO0uwDPR9XlF566xraDvT9mBkFo3NEHBv0PZUm6pbxQU&u_asig=05Kd_Q8fjv-24MVbZpOS9ef3xuCCN-tSVH5eUoJKgNLM7E0-n0zMpW6xLq9gh9aUhkKEEA15rdDoCydncF99APBwVSaTPgEG_V_B1iT4wimdCTxV_4ZVbTlDewxyQtE4YgU4-Oza7KPi94RJ64Utel0yZfqg3Tlm-bVxFNOY-zXFP9JS7q8ZD7Xtz2Ly-b0kmuyAKRFSVJkkdwVUnyHAIJzSYJ6SfhFl0WMTCCasZ7zV2I2qfyrp5m-SELPVeREKgX_6yRmLu26qT8kGfcS-Yaeu3h9VXwMyh6PgyDIVSG1W-7D_Sko5YQtpDbs3uvezYkZcUUY4o9-zDPaoYelmMDs8u7I4TPvtCXaPp44YUJcQ9bHr-_RmKA5V8nji3daArhmWspDxyAEEo4kbsryBKb9Q&u_aref=NNH1nHSUCE6pNvCilV%2F1MD0aERs%3D), identifier (ChiCTR2000039327).

BackgroundDiabetic Foot (DF) is one of the most common complications of diabetes, and it is characterized by high morbidity, disability, lethality and low cure rate. Traditional Chinese medicine treatment has certain characteristics and advantages in diabetic foot. Due to selective reporting bias and heterogeneity of research results, on the one hand, relevant clinical studies are of low quality and poor practicability, and on the other hand, similar studies cannot be included in meta-analysis to form high-quality evidence-based evidence and evaluate the value of studies. Therefore, the development of a core set of outcomes (COS-TCM-DF) for traditional Chinese medicine for the treatment of diabetic foot is an important way to address these issues.MethodsThe COS-TCM-DF project will refer to the developed COS methodology and the steps are divided into four stages: (1) a scoping review and analysis of enrolled research protocols to collect and analyze all existing outcomes that have been used in trials on the prevention or treatment of diabetic foot with Chinese Medicine; (2) qualitative interviews with Diabetic foot patient and attendants to Collect additional outcomes related to them; (3) Gather opinionest and obtain initial consensus from key stakeholders, including patients, clinicians, researchers, and pharmaceutical company staff, through a Delphi survey; (4) a consensus meeting was held to develop the final COS-TCM-DF.DiscussionCurrently, there is no COS on measuring or monitoring diabetic foot with TCM in trials or clinical practice. The COS-TCM-DF will be developed to advance the synthesis of evidence regarding the prevention and treatment of diabetic foot in TCM and to promote the standardized and consistent application of results in future studies in this field.Trial registrationRegistered with the Core Outcome Measures in Effectiveness Trials (COMET) database, December 2019 https://www.comet-initiative.org/Studies/Details/1553.