9 results on '"Li, Shiyu"'
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2. Social security reforms, capital accumulation, and welfare: A notional defined contribution system vs a modified PAYG system
- Author
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Li, Shiyu and Lin, Shuanglin
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. How Much Will China Save? Projecting China's National Savings Through 2040*
- Author
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Li, Shiyu, Kotlikoff, Laurence J, Lin, Shuanglin, Woo, Thye, and Jiang, Yunyun
- Subjects
China ,consumption ,earnings profiles ,national saving ,wealth accumulation ,Age- and Sex-relative Consumption and Labor-earnings Profiles ,National Saving ,Wealth Accumulation ,Trade Imbalance ,Economics - Abstract
This paper projects China's national savings through 2040 based on China's national account data, demographic data, and data on rural and urban life-cycle income and consumption. Our baseline projections show that China's national saving in 2040 will be 16 times the current national saving. The annual growth rate of wealth will decline from 16.3 percent in 2012 to 9.5 percent in 2040. Lowering the growth rate of wealth accumulation to the current rate of return to wealth increases consumption through 2040; lowering the growth rate of wealth further may increase consumption more in the short run, but less in the long run.
- Published
- 2016
4. Ecological risk, health risk assessment, and pollution source analysis of Xinli Lake wetland based on triangular fuzzy number
- Author
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Li Shiyu, Wang Haoren, Wang Xuedong, Chaobiao Zhang, Cui Yunhao, and Cui Wang
- Subjects
Pollution ,China ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Environmental pollution ,Wetland ,010501 environmental sciences ,Risk Assessment ,01 natural sciences ,Soil ,Environmental protection ,Metals, Heavy ,Humans ,Soil Pollutants ,Environmental Chemistry ,Ecotoxicology ,Fuzzy number ,Child ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,media_common ,Pollutant ,geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Health risk assessment ,business.industry ,General Medicine ,Lakes ,Agriculture ,Wetlands ,Environmental science ,Environmental Pollution ,business ,Environmental Monitoring - Abstract
Wetland environmental pollution has become a global problem involving the ecological environment and human health. This study measured the concentration of seven potentially toxic elements (PTEs Hg, Cd, Zn, Cu, Cr, Pb, and As) in the soil upstream of the Xinli Lake wetland in China. Based on the fuzzy theory, the sources, spatial distribution, ecological risks, and health risks of pollutants are studied. The result shows that the concentrations of the seven potentially toxic elements are close to or exceed the background value, and their spatial distribution showed irregular changes. The soil upstream of the wetland has not been seriously polluted, and Cd, which has higher bioavailability, is the priority element for ecological risk. Pollutants do not harm human health; children face higher health risks; Pb and As have the highest carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risks, respectively. Zn, Cu, Cr, Pb, and As in the study area are derived from agricultural activities, while Hg and Cd are mainly affected by soil-forming parent materials. Attention should be paid to controlling the intensity of agricultural activities to avoid excessive input and accumulation of pollutants that would harm the ecological environment and human health.
- Published
- 2021
5. Spatial distribution and ecological risk assessment of heavy metals in soil from the Raoyanghe Wetland, China
- Author
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Wang Xuedong, Sun Yanfeng, Hanxi Wang, and Li Shiyu
- Subjects
Topography ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Marine and Aquatic Sciences ,Wetland ,02 engineering and technology ,010501 environmental sciences ,Heavy Metals ,Toxicology ,Pathology and Laboratory Medicine ,01 natural sciences ,Soil ,Agricultural Soil Science ,Medicine and Health Sciences ,Toxins ,Soil Pollutants ,media_common ,Principal Component Analysis ,Multidisciplinary ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Ecology ,Geography ,Soil chemistry ,Agriculture ,Soil classification ,Soil Ecology ,Pollution ,Crop Production ,Chemistry ,Community Ecology ,Agricultural soil science ,Environmental chemistry ,Physical Sciences ,Medicine ,Research Article ,Chemical Elements ,Freshwater Environments ,China ,Buffer zone ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Science ,Toxic Agents ,Soil Science ,Ecological Risk ,Risk Assessment ,Metals, Heavy ,Soil ecology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Landforms ,Spatial Analysis ,021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,geography ,Light Pollution ,Ecology and Environmental Sciences ,Biology and Life Sciences ,Aquatic Environments ,Geomorphology ,Oryza ,Lakes ,Physical Geography ,Wetlands ,Soil water ,Earth Sciences ,Environmental science - Abstract
Wetlands are recognized as one of the most important natural environments for humans. At the same time, heavy metal pollution has an important impact on wetlands. China's Raoyanghe Wetland is one of the most important natural wild species gene banks in China. Eight heavy metal elements (As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, Ni, Pb, and Zn) in surface layer and deep layer soils were analyzed using statistical-, pollution index-, and Nemerow index-based methods, the Hakanson potential ecological risk index method, and principal component and cluster analyses. The results showed that the maximum concentrations of heavy metals exceeded the background values in the core area and buffer zone of the wetland, but the heavy metal content of the soils was generally low and did not exceed 30%. With the exception of Hg, heavy metal concentrations showed strong spatial differentiation. The differences between the surface layer and deep layer soils of the core area were smaller than in the buffer zone. With the exception of Cd, a clear vertical zonation in the buffer zone soils was observed, showing greater evidence of external influences in this zone than the core. With the exception of partial surface soils, which indicated a safe level of pollution in the core area, all other soils were classified as having a 'mild' level of pollution. Thus, the wetland is moderately polluted, with both the core area and the buffer zone presenting a low level of potential ecological risk. According to the results of the present study, heavy metal contaminants in the wetland soils were found to be derived mainly from the natural sources.
- Published
- 2019
6. EXAMINATION ON SUSTAINABLE MANAGEMENT OF BASIN METABOLISM IN ASIA BY MEANS OF ENVIRONMENTAL ACCOUNTING SYSTEM
- Author
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Tohru Morioka, Noboru Yoshida, Tomohiro Okadera, and LI Shiyu
- Subjects
Special economic zone ,Geography ,Industrialisation ,Goods and services ,Sustainable management ,East Asia ,General Medicine ,Structural basin ,Water resource management ,China ,Environmental planning ,Environmental accounting - Abstract
This study attempts to evaluate socio-economical impacts due to consumption of resources and energy with rapid industrialzation in East Asia by means of Environmental Accounting System and to discuss about sustainable industrial transformation. Firstly, we highlighten the basin of Chang Jiang and Pearl River with Open Economic Zones in Coastal Delta and Backward Basins in China. In addition, we look into the regional and industrial profiles of both basin -especially Shanghai and Guangzhou through statistics data. Secondly, we calculate environmental load (i. e. Carbon dioxide and Sulfur oxide) induced by inter-transaction of goods and services in Shanghai and Guangzhou by using the accouting system.
- Published
- 1999
7. Population aging and China's social security reforms.
- Author
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Li, Shiyu and Lin, Shuanglin
- Subjects
- *
POPULATION aging , *SOCIAL security reform , *OVERLAPPING generations model (Economics) , *REFORMS , *RETIREMENT age policy , *ONE-child policy, China - Abstract
China's population aging problem is more severe than other countries because of the one-child policy adopted in the early 1980s, and the current social security system is not sustainable. A two-sector overlapping generations model is developed to analyze China's social security reforms. It is shown that if the government does nothing to reform the system, maintaining the current replacement and contribution rates, social security debt will be explosive. Various reforms are considered, including adjusting the replacement rate while keeping the contribution rate constant, increasing the contribution rate while maintaining the current replacement rate, increasing the retirement age with the contribution rate being unchanged, increasing the retirement age with the replacement rate being unchanged, and switching to a fully-funded system by using government assets to pay the implicit social security debt. The effects of these reforms on capital accumulation, the output, and the welfare for each generation are simulated and compared. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. The size and structure of China's government debt
- Author
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Li, Shiyu and Lin, Shuanglin
- Subjects
- *
PUBLIC debts , *LOCAL government , *CONTINGENT liabilities (Accounting) , *ECONOMICS , *NONPERFORMING loans , *STATE banks , *SUSTAINABILITY , *FISCAL policy - Abstract
Abstract: This paper analyzes the size and structure of China''s government debt. In addition to explicit government debt, we consider three types of government contingent liabilities: local government debt, university debt, and state banks’ nonperforming loans. The size of each types of debt is estimated and the reasons for the emergence of each type of debt are analyzed. International comparisons are made and it is found that China''s government debt is larger than many other developing countries. To insure fiscal sustainability and to leave rooms for future expansionary fiscal policies, the government should reduce contingent liabilities. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Assessing the carrying capacity of tilapia in an intertidal mangrove-based polyculture system of Pearl River Delta, China
- Author
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Xu, Shannan, Chen, Zuozhi, Li, Chunhou, Huang, Xiaoping, and Li, Shiyu
- Subjects
- *
MULTITROPHIC interactions (Ecology) , *ECOLOGICAL carrying capacity , *POLY-aquaculture , *BIOMASS production , *MANGROVE plants , *TILAPIA - Abstract
A trophic model of an intertidal mangrove-based polyculture system in Pearl River Delta, China, was constructed using the Ecopath with Ecosim software. This polyculture system was chosen since it is the first integrated multi-trophic aquaculture (IMTA) system that was constructed on the basis of mangrove planting in China. The energy flows, ecosystem property, and carrying capacity of tilapia in the polyculture system were analyzed and evaluated. The results show the trophic level of 1.00 for primary producers and detritus to 2.85 for grass carp. The geometric mean of the trophic transfer efficiencies was 7.0%, with 7.2% from detritus and 6.8% from primary producers within the system. The ecosystem property indices show that this polyculture system has a high value of total primary production/total respiration (TPP/TR) and total primary production/total biomass (TPP/TB), together with low Finn's cycled index (FCI), Finn's mean path length (FML), and connectance index (CI), indicating that this system is at a development stage according to Odum's theory. The principal fish cultured in the system is tilapia, and mixed trophic impacts (MTI) show that tilapia has a marked impact on most compartments in this system, and the carrying capacity was found to be a tilapia culture biomass of 5.8tha−1 in the system. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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