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Aim: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) enrolling patients at high cardiovascular risk have found that influenza vaccination may reduce the incidence of cardiovascular events. We performed an updated meta-analysis assessing the effect of influenza vaccination on the incidence of cardiovascular events in patients with ischaemic heart disease or heart failure., Methods and Results: We searched PubMed, EMBASE and other sources to identify RCTs examining the effect of influenza vaccination on the incidence of cardiovascular events assessed as efficacy outcomes in patients with ischaemic heart disease or heart failure. Eligible studies followed patients for at least one influenza season, defined as a minimum duration of 6 months. The primary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, acute coronary syndrome, stent thrombosis or coronary revascularization, stroke or heart failure hospitalization. The secondary endpoints were cardiovascular death and all-cause death. Two investigators independently identified and extracted data from studies. Results were compared using hazard ratios (HRs) in both random effects and fixed effects models. We included five peer-reviewed and one non peer-reviewed RCTs for a total of 9340 patients. Five trials included patients with ischaemic heart disease (n = 4211) and one trial included patients with heart failure (n = 5129). Influenza vaccination was associated with a reduced incidence of the primary composite endpoint (random effects HR [rHR] 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.88, p < 0.001, I 2  = 52%), cardiovascular death (rHR 0.63, 95% CI 0.42-0.95, p = 0.028, I 2  = 58%) and all-cause death (rHR 0.72, 95% CI 0.54-0.95, p = 0.0227, I 2  = 52%). Results were similar when non peer-reviewed data were excluded., Conclusion: In this meta-analysis of available RCTs in patients at high cardiovascular risk, influenza vaccination was associated with a reduced incidence of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular death and all-cause death as compared to placebo or no treatment., (© 2023 European Society of Cardiology.)

Importance: Food insecurity disproportionately affects Black individuals in the US. Its association with coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure (HF), and stroke is unclear., Objective: To evaluate the associations of economic food insecurity and proximity with unhealthy food options with risk of incident CHD, HF, and stroke and the role of diet quality and stress., Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was a time-to-event analysis of 3024 Black adult participants in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS) without prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) at visit 1 (2000-2004). Data analysis was conducted from September 1, 2020, to November 30, 2021., Exposures: Economic food insecurity, defined as receiving food stamps or self-reported not enough money for groceries, and high frequency of unfavorable food stores (>2.5 unfavorable food stores [fast food restaurants, convenience stores] within 1 mile)., Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes were incident CVD including incident CHD, stroke, and HF with preserved ejection fraction and with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). During a median follow-up of 13.8 (IQR, 12.8-14.6) years, the associations of measures of food inadequacy with incident CVD (CHD, stroke, and HF) were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models., Results: Among the 3024 study participants, the mean (SD) age was 54 (12) years, 1987 (66%) were women, 630 (21%) were economically food insecure, and 50% (by definition) had more than 2.5 unfavorable food stores within 1 mile. In analyses adjusted for cardiovascular risk and socioeconomic factors, economic food insecurity was associated with higher risk of incident CHD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.76; 95% CI, 1.06-2.91) and incident HFrEF (HR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.16-3.70), but not stroke. These associations persisted after further adjustment for diet quality and perceived stress. In addition, economic food insecurity was associated with higher high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and renin concentrations. High frequency of unfavorable food stores was not associated with CHD, HF, or stroke., Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that economic food insecurity, but not proximity to unhealthy food options, was associated with risk of incident CHD and HFrEF independent of socioeconomic factors, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, diet quality, perceived stress, and other health behaviors. Economic food insecurity was also associated with markers of inflammation and neurohormonal activation. Economic food insecurity may be a promising potential target for the prevention of CVD.

Importance: Influenza is temporally associated with cardiopulmonary morbidity and mortality among those with cardiovascular disease who may mount a less vigorous immune response to vaccination. Higher influenza vaccine dose has been associated with reduced risk of influenza illness., Objective: To evaluate whether high-dose trivalent influenza vaccine compared with standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine would reduce all-cause death or cardiopulmonary hospitalization in high-risk patients with cardiovascular disease., Design, Setting, and Participants: Pragmatic multicenter, double-blind, active comparator randomized clinical trial conducted in 5260 participants vaccinated for up to 3 influenza seasons in 157 sites in the US and Canada between September 21, 2016, and January 31, 2019. Patients with a recent acute myocardial infarction or heart failure hospitalization and at least 1 additional risk factor were eligible., Interventions: Participants were randomly assigned to receive high-dose trivalent (n = 2630) or standard-dose quadrivalent (n = 2630) inactivated influenza vaccine and could be revaccinated for up to 3 seasons., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the time to the composite of all-cause death or cardiopulmonary hospitalization during each enrolling season. The final date of follow-up was July 31, 2019. Vaccine-related adverse events were also assessed., Results: Among 5260 randomized participants (mean [SD] age, 65.5 [12.6] years; 3787 [72%] men; 3289 [63%] with heart failure) over 3 influenza seasons, there were 7154 total vaccinations administered and 5226 (99.4%) participants completed the trial. In the high-dose trivalent vaccine group, there were 975 primary outcome events (883 hospitalizations for cardiovascular or pulmonary causes and 92 deaths from any cause) among 884 participants during 3577 participant-seasons (event rate, 45 per 100 patient-years), whereas in the standard-dose quadrivalent vaccine group, there were 924 primary outcome events (846 hospitalizations for cardiovascular or pulmonary causes and 78 deaths from any cause) among 837 participants during 3577 participant-seasons (event rate, 42 per 100 patient-years) (hazard ratio, 1.06 [95% CI, 0.97-1.17]; P = .21). In the high-dose vs standard-dose groups, vaccine-related adverse reactions occurred in 1449 (40.5%) vs 1229 (34.4%) participants and severe adverse reactions occurred in 55 (2.1%) vs 44 (1.7%) participants., Conclusions and Relevance: In patients with high-risk cardiovascular disease, high-dose trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine, compared with standard-dose quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine, did not significantly reduce all-cause mortality or cardiopulmonary hospitalizations. Influenza vaccination remains strongly recommended in this population., Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02787044.

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and cardiovascular disease often co-exist and are both leading causes of death worldwide. Published data have previously suggested trends toward improved survival for patients taking long-acting β agonists combined with inhaled corticosteroids (LABA-ICS) through beneficial actions on the respiratory and cardiovascular systems. We sought to explore this in a real-world setting., Methods: A population-based longitudinal propensity score-matched cohort study was conducted in the United Kingdom, 1998-2015. Patients were identified from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) which is linked to Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) and Office for National Statistics (ONS) mortality records. All patients had a validated diagnosis of COPD and were at high risk for cardiovascular events (history of myocardial infarction, diabetes mellitus, ischaemic heart disease, stroke and peripheral arterial disease). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality., Results: The treatment group was composed of 2687 new users of LABA-ICS with COPD and comparisons were made in a control population of 2687 COPD patients prescribed LABAs alone. At three years follow-up death occurred in 358 (13.3%) patients in the treatment group and 427 (15.9%) patients in the control group. The use of LABA-ICS was modestly associated with improved survival compared to use of LABAs (hazard ratio 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.95, P = 0.007)., Conclusions: Among patients with COPD with either established cardiovascular disease or at high risk of an index cardiovascular event, LABA-ICS inhaled therapy, compared with LABAs alone, was associated with a significantly improved survival., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Importance: Higher income is associated with lower incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, there is limited research on the association between changes in income and incident CVD., Objective: To examine the association between change in household income and subsequent risk of CVD., Design, Setting, and Participants: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) study is an ongoing, prospective cohort of 15 792 community-dwelling men and women, of mostly black or white race, from 4 centers in the United States (Jackson, Mississippi; Washington County, Maryland; suburbs of Minneapolis, Minnesota; and Forsyth County, North Carolina), beginning in 1987. For our analysis, participants were followed up until December 31, 2016., Exposures: Participants were categorized based on whether their household income dropped by more than 50% (income drop), remained unchanged/changed less than 50% (income unchanged), or increased by more than 50% (income rise) over a mean (SD) period of approximately 6 (0.3) years between ARIC visit 1 (1987-1989) and visit 3 (1993-1995)., Main Outcomes and Measures: Our primary outcome was incidence of CVD after ARIC visit 3, including myocardial infarction (MI), fatal coronary heart disease, heart failure (HF), or stroke during a mean (SD) of 17 (7) years. Analyses were adjusted for sociodemographic variables, health behaviors, and CVD biomarkers., Results: Of the 8989 included participants (mean [SD] age at enrollment was 53 [6] years, 1820 participants were black [20%], and 3835 participants were men [43%]), 900 participants (10%) experienced an income drop, 6284 participants (70%) had incomes that remained relatively unchanged, and 1805 participants (20%) experienced an income rise. After full adjustment, those with an income drop experienced significantly higher risk of incident CVD compared with those whose incomes remained relatively unchanged (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.03-1.32). Those with an income rise experienced significantly lower risk of incident CVD compared with those whose incomes remained relatively unchanged (hazard ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77-0.96)., Conclusions and Relevance: Income drop over 6 years was associated with higher risk of subsequent incident CVD over 17 years, while income rise over 6 years was associated with lower risk of subsequent incident CVD over 17 years. Health professionals should have greater awareness of the influence of income change on the health of their patients.

Background: The angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor sacubitril-valsartan led to a reduced risk of hospitalization for heart failure or death from cardiovascular causes among patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction. The effect of angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibition in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is unclear., Methods: We randomly assigned 4822 patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) class II to IV heart failure, ejection fraction of 45% or higher, elevated level of natriuretic peptides, and structural heart disease to receive sacubitril-valsartan (target dose, 97 mg of sacubitril with 103 mg of valsartan twice daily) or valsartan (target dose, 160 mg twice daily). The primary outcome was a composite of total hospitalizations for heart failure and death from cardiovascular causes. Primary outcome components, secondary outcomes (including NYHA class change, worsening renal function, and change in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire [KCCQ] clinical summary score [scale, 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating fewer symptoms and physical limitations]), and safety were also assessed., Results: There were 894 primary events in 526 patients in the sacubitril-valsartan group and 1009 primary events in 557 patients in the valsartan group (rate ratio, 0.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 1.01; P = 0.06). The incidence of death from cardiovascular causes was 8.5% in the sacubitril-valsartan group and 8.9% in the valsartan group (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.79 to 1.16); there were 690 and 797 total hospitalizations for heart failure, respectively (rate ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.72 to 1.00). NYHA class improved in 15.0% of the patients in the sacubitril-valsartan group and in 12.6% of those in the valsartan group (odds ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.86); renal function worsened in 1.4% and 2.7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.33 to 0.77). The mean change in the KCCQ clinical summary score at 8 months was 1.0 point (95% CI, 0.0 to 2.1) higher in the sacubitril-valsartan group. Patients in the sacubitril-valsartan group had a higher incidence of hypotension and angioedema and a lower incidence of hyperkalemia. Among 12 prespecified subgroups, there was suggestion of heterogeneity with possible benefit with sacubitril-valsartan in patients with lower ejection fraction and in women., Conclusions: Sacubitril-valsartan did not result in a significantly lower rate of total hospitalizations for heart failure and death from cardiovascular causes among patients with heart failure and an ejection fraction of 45% or higher. (Funded by Novartis; PARAGON-HF ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01920711.)., (Copyright © 2019 Massachusetts Medical Society.)

Objectives: This study sought to investigate the relationship between malnutrition and adverse cardiovascular (CV) events in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF)., Background: Malnutrition is associated with poor prognosis in a wide range of illnesses, however, the prognostic impact of malnutrition in HFpEF patients is not well known., Methods: Baseline malnutrition risk was determined in 1,677 patients with HFpEF enrolled in the Americas regions of the TOPCAT (Aldosterone Antagonist Therapy for Adults With Heart Failure and Preserved Systolic Function) trial, according to 3 categories of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) as previously validated: moderate to severe, GNRI of <92; low, GNRI of 92 to <98; and absence of risk, GNRI of ≥98. The relationships between malnutrition risk and the primary composite outcome of CV events (CV death, heart failure hospitalization, or resuscitated sudden death) and all-cause death were examined., Results: Approximately one-third of patients were at risk for malnutrition (moderate to severe: 11%; low: 25%; and absence of risk: 64%). Over a median of 2.9-years' follow-up, compared to those with absent risk for malnutrition, moderate to severe risk was associated with significantly increased risk for the primary outcome, CV death and all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.34; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02 to 1.76; HR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.40 to 3.03; and HR: 1.79; 95% CI: 1.33 to 2.42, respectively) after multivariate adjustment for age, sex, history of CV diseases, and laboratory biomarkers., Conclusions: Patients with HFpEF are at an elevated risk for malnutrition, which was associated with an increased risk for CV events in this population., (Copyright © 2019 American College of Cardiology Foundation. All rights reserved.)

Serious and chronic health conditions such as cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are posing challenges to the health system. Recently clinical trials in these fields have focused on composite endpoints that take into account both disease-related mortality and major disease-related morbidity events. It is the time to the first component of the composite endpoint experienced by a patient that is the traditional study endpoint and treatment aims are to delay the time to the first event and to reduce its frequency. As the name implies, the time-to-first composite event analysis approach focuses only on the first composite event and ignores subsequent events. For a chronic disease, this can lead to a substantial loss of potentially important information. For instance, in chronic heart failure (HF) studies, the traditional composite endpoint of HF-related hospitalizations and CVD death will ignore CVD deaths that are preceded by HF-related hospitalizations. This paper explores the limitations of the traditional time-to-first event approach and discusses the potential value of incorporating all events. The authors argue that endpoints capturing recurrent event information can lead to interpretable measures of treatment effect that better reflect disease burden than traditional time-to-first event endpoints by using the available information beyond the first event. This paper aims to raise awareness of the value and potential pitfalls of alternative treatment effect measures to facilitate meaningful cross-functional conversations among trialists and other stakeholders such as regulators, payers, and treating physicians who all are striving to the same goal-to deliver the most effective treatments to patients.

Rationale & Objective: Evidence from clinical trials to guide patient preparation for maintenance dialysis therapy is limited. Although anemia is associated with mortality and cardiovascular (CV) disease in individuals initiating maintenance dialysis therapy, it is not known if treatment of anemia before dialysis therapy initiation with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents alters outcomes., Study Design: Post hoc analysis of a randomized controlled trial., Setting & Participants: Participants with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease who progressed to dialysis therapy (n=590) in the Trial to Reduce Cardiovascular Events With Aranesp Therapy (TREAT)., Exposure: Randomized treatment assignment (darbepoetin vs placebo)., Outcomes: All-cause mortality, CV mortality, nonfatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, and stroke within the first 180 days of dialysis therapy initiation., Analytical Approach: Proportional hazards regression., Results: Overall, 590 of 4,038 (14.6%) participants initiated dialysis therapy during the trial (n=298 and 292 in the darbepoetin and placebo groups, respectively). Corresponding hemoglobin levels were 11.3±1.6 and 9.5±1.5g/dL (P<0.001). Death from any cause occurred in 31 (10.4%) participants assigned to darbepoetin and 28 (9.6%) assigned to placebo (HR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.69-1.93), while death from CV causes occurred in 15 (5.0%) and 13 (4.5%) participants, respectively (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.58-1.93). There were no differences in risk for nonfatal myocardial infarction or heart failure. Stroke occurred in 8 (2.8%) participants assigned to darbepoetin and 1 (0.3%) assigned to placebo (HR, 8.6; 95% CI, 1.1-68.7)., Limitations: Post hoc analyses of a subgroup of study participants., Conclusions: Despite initiating dialysis therapy with a higher hemoglobin level, prior treatment with darbepoetin was not associated with a reduction in mortality, myocardial infarction, or heart failure in the first 180 days, but a higher frequency of stroke was observed. In the absence of more definitive data, this may inform decisions regarding the use of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents to treat mild to moderate anemia in patients with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease nearing dialysis therapy initiation., (Copyright © 2018. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

H63D has been identified as a novel locus associated with the development of hypertension. The quantitative risks for hypertension, cardiac remodeling, and adverse events are not well studied. We analyzed white participants from the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) with H63D genotyping (N=10 902). We related genotype status to prevalence of hypertension at each of 5 study visits and risk for adverse cardiovascular events. Among visit 5 participants (N=4507), we related genotype status to echocardiographic features. Frequencies of wild type (WT)/WT, H63D/WT, and H63D/H63D were 73%, 24.6%, and 2.4%. The average age at baseline was 54.9±5.7 years and 47% were men. Participants carrying the H63D variant had higher systolic blood pressure ( P=0.004), diastolic blood pressure (0.012), and more frequently had hypertension ( P<0.001). Compared with WT/WT, H63D/WT and H63D/H63D participants had a 2% to 4% and 4% to 7% absolute increase in hypertension risk at each visit, respectively. The population attributable risk of H63D for hypertension among individuals aged 45 to 64 was 3.2% (95% CI, 1.3-5.1%) and 1.3% (95% CI, 0.0-2.4%) among individuals >65 years. After 25 years of follow-up, there was no relationship between genotype status and any outcome ( P>0.05). H63D/WT and H63D/H63D genotypes were associated with small differences in cardiac remodeling. In conclusion, the HFE H63D variant confers an increased risk for hypertension per allele and, given its frequency, accounts for a significant number of cases of hypertension. However, there was no increased risk for adverse cardiovascular events or substantial left ventricular remodeling.

Introduction: We investigated the association of diabetic retinopathy and neuropathy with increased risk of recurrent cardiovascular (CV) events in 6068 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and recent acute coronary syndrome (ACS) enrolled in the Evaluation of Lixisenatide in Acute Coronary Syndrome (ELIXA)., Methods: History of retinopathy and neuropathy as well as duration of T2DM were self-reported at screening. Proportional hazards regression models were used to assess relationships between retinopathy, neuropathy, and recurrent CV events., Results: At screening, retinopathy and neuropathy were reported in 10.7% and 17.5% of patients, respectively, while 5.7% reported both. When adjusted for randomized treatment only, both retinopathy and neuropathy were associated with a primary composite outcome (CV death, nonfatal MI, stroke, or hospitalization for unstable angina) (retinopathy: HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.19-1.75; neuropathy: HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.12-1.57), CV composite (CV death, nonfatal MI, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure (HF)) (retinopathy: HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.31-1.88; neuropathy: HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.19-1.62), myocardial infarction (retinopathy: HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.08-1.76; neuropathy: HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.02-1.54), HF hospitalization (retinopathy: HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.48-2.78; neuropathy: HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.30-2.27), and all-cause mortality (retinopathy: HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.28-2.12; neuropathy: HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.14-1.78). When included in the same model, and adjusted for T2DM duration, there were no independent associations of either with CV outcomes, while T2DM duration remained strongly associated with all outcomes. Addition of demographic characteristics and CV risk factors did not further alter these relationships., Conclusions: In patients with T2DM and recent ACS, a history of retinopathy and/or neuropathy and longer T2DM duration could be considered clinical markers for high risk of recurrent CV events. This trial is registered with the ELIXA (Evaluation of Lixisenatide in Acute Coronary Syndrome), ClinicalTrials.gov registration number NCT01147250.

Background: Loss-of-function mutations in the SGLT1 (sodium/glucose co-transporter-1) gene result in a rare glucose/galactose malabsorption disorder and neonatal death if untreated. In the general population, variants related to intestinal glucose absorption remain uncharacterized., Objectives: The goal of this study was to identify functional SGLT1 gene variants and characterize their clinical consequences., Methods: Whole exome sequencing was performed in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study participants enrolled from 4 U.S. communities. The association of functional, nonsynonymous substitutions in SGLT1 with 2-h oral glucose tolerance test results was determined. Variants related to impaired glucose tolerance were studied, and Mendelian randomization analysis of cardiometabolic outcomes was performed., Results: Among 5,687 European-American subjects (mean age 54 ± 6 years; 47% male), those who carried a haplotype of 3 missense mutations (frequency of 6.7%)-Asn51Ser, Ala411Thr, and His615Gln-had lower 2-h glucose and odds of impaired glucose tolerance than noncarriers (β-coefficient: -8.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -12.7 to -3.3; OR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.59 to 0.86, respectively). The association of the haplotype with oral glucose tolerance test results was consistent in a replication sample of 2,791 African-American subjects (β = -16.3; 95% CI: -36.6 to 4.1; OR: 0.39; 95% CI: 0.17 to 0.91) and an external European-Finnish population sample of 6,784 subjects (β = -3.2; 95% CI: -6.4 to -0.02; OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.68 to 0.98). Using a Mendelian randomization approach in the index cohort, the estimated 25-year effect of a reduction of 20 mg/dl in 2-h glucose via SGLT1 inhibition would be reduced prevalent obesity (OR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.23 to 0.63), incident diabetes (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.35 to 0.81), heart failure (HR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.24 to 0.83), and death (HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.42 to 0.90)., Conclusions: Functionally damaging missense variants in SGLT1 protect from diet-induced hyperglycemia in multiple populations. Reduced intestinal glucose uptake may protect from long-term cardiometabolic outcomes, providing support for therapies that target SGLT1 function to prevent and treat metabolic conditions., (Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Aims/hypothesis: The self-administered Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MNSI) is used to diagnose diabetic peripheral neuropathy. We examined whether the MNSI might also provide information on risk of death and cardiovascular outcomes., Methods: In this post hoc analysis of the Aliskiren Trial in Type 2 Diabetes Using Cardio-Renal Endpoints (ALTITUDE) trial, we divided 8463 participants with type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD) and/or cardiovascular disease (CVD) into independent training (n = 3252) and validation (n = 5211) sets. In the training set, we identified specific questions that were independently associated with a cardiovascular composite outcome (cardiovascular death, resuscitated cardiac arrest, non-fatal myocardial infarction/stroke, heart failure hospitalisation). We then evaluated the performance of these questions in the validation set., Results: In the training set, three questions ('Are your legs numb?', 'Have you ever had an open sore on your foot?' and 'Do your legs hurt when you walk?') were significantly associated with the cardiovascular composite outcome. In the validation set, after multivariable adjustment for key covariates, one or more positive responses (n = 3079, 59.1%) was associated with a higher risk of the cardiovascular composite outcome (HR 1.54 [95% CI 1.28, 1.85], p < 0.001), heart failure hospitalisation (HR 1.74 [95% CI 1.29, 2.35], p < 0.001), myocardial infarction (HR 1.81 [95% CI 1.23, 2.69], p = 0.003), stroke (HR 1.75 [95% CI 1.20, 2.56], p = 0.003) and three-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke) (HR 1.49 [95% CI 1.20, 1.85], p < 0.001) relative to no positive responses to all questions. Associations were stronger if participants answered positively to all three questions (n = 552, 11%). The addition of the total number of affirmative responses to existing models significantly improved Harrell's C statistic for the cardiovascular composite outcome (0.70 vs 0.71, p = 0.010), continuous net reclassification improvement (+22% [+10%, +31%], p = 0.027) and integrated discrimination improvement (+0.9% [+0.4%, +2.1%], p = 0.007)., Conclusions/interpretation: We identified three questions from the MNSI that provide additional prognostic information for individuals with type 2 diabetes and CKD and/or CVD. If externally validated, these questions may be integrated into the clinical history to augment prediction of CV events in high-risk individuals with type 2 diabetes.

Objective: Now that long-term survival after successful renal transplantation is no longer limited by excessive cardiovascular risk, the primary care physician should consider that infection and malignancy are leading noncardiovascular causes of death even in the recipient with diabetes., Methods: We accessed the National Institutes of Health-sponsored Folic Acid for Vascular Outcome Reduction in Transplantation (FAVORIT) study population (4010 renal transplant recipients with elevated homocysteine levels) studied to determine whether folate and B12 supplementation would reduce cardiovascular end points. This trial had a null result. Patients were classified as being nondiabetic or having type 1 or type 2 diabetes., Results: We report an excess (cardiovascular and noncardiovascular) 6-year mortality risk associated with the presence of diabetes mellitus. Two thirds of fatal events in our renal transplant recipients were centrally adjudicated as noncardiovascular. The incidence of noncardiovascular death was 70% higher in the diabetic patient cohort than in the nondiabetic cohort., Conclusions: These results demonstrate that infection (but not malignancy) risks are far higher in diabetic than nondiabetic immunosuppressed individuals (although noncardiovascular death rate in nondiabetic individuals also exceeded cardiovascular deaths) and may play a larger role in the excess mortality populations than previously thought. Given that follow-up in this study was 4 to 10 years after allograft surgery, there was a lesser degree of acute rejection requiring high-dose immunosuppression than in the initial postallograft years. This unique perspective allows transplant recipients to return to primary physicians when taking low doses of immunosuppressive agents and provides focus for follow-up care., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: To better understand a potential association of elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) level with progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), we examined the relationship of CRP level with the development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the Trial to Reduce Cardiovascular Events With Aranesp Therapy (TREAT)., Study Design: Post hoc analysis of a randomized controlled trial., Setting & Participants: 4,038 patients with type 2 diabetes, CKD, and anemia in TREAT., Predictor: Baseline serum CRP concentrations., Outcomes: The primary outcome was development of ESRD; secondary outcomes included doubling of serum creatinine level, a composite of ESRD/serum creatinine doubling, and a composite of death or ESRD., Measurements: We fit unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression models to test the association of baseline CRP level with time to the development of the outcomes of interest., Results: Mean age of participants was 67 years, 43% were men, and 64% were white. Approximately half (48%) the patients had CRP levels > 3.0mg/L; 668 patients developed ESRD, and 1,270 developed the composite outcome of death or ESRD. Compared with patients with baseline CRP levels ≤ 3.0mg/L, those with moderately/markedly elevated CRP levels (≥6.9mg/L; 24% of patients) had a higher adjusted risk for ESRD (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.07-1.63) and the composite outcome of death or ESRD (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.21-1.64). Although nonsignificant, similar trends were noted in competing-risk models., Limitations: Results may not be generalizable to nondiabetic CKD or diabetic CKD in the absence of anemia., Conclusions: Elevated baseline CRP levels are common in type 2 diabetic patients with anemia and CKD and are associated with the future development of ESRD and the composite of death or ESRD., (Copyright © 2016 National Kidney Foundation, Inc. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Although left atrial (LA) enlargement is a recognized risk factor for adverse cardiovascular outcomes, emerging evidence supports the importance of LA function. We examined LA emptying fraction (LAEF) across the spectrum of cardiovascular disease burden in a large cohort of elderly adults living in the community., Methods and Results: We studied 1142 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study who were in sinus rhythm, free of valvular disease, and had acceptable quality 3-dimensional echocardiograms (mean age, 76±5 years; 59% women). We determined the cross-sectional correlates of LAEF and compared LAEF among elderly adults without cardiovascular disease or cardiovascular risk factors (n=201), those with hypertension (n=734), and those with overt heart failure (HF; n=207). In multivariable analysis, lower LAEF was associated with higher LA volumes and worse left ventricular systolic and diastolic functions. Elderly participants free of cardiovascular disease or risk factors had smaller LA volumes than those with hypertension (LA volume max/ body surface area 30.2±6.6 versus 33.0±9.0 mL/m(2); P=0.001), but similar LAEF (55.2±10.3% versus 53.8±11.5%, respectively; P=0.357). Participants with HF had higher LA volume (39.8±13.3 mL/m(2)) and worse LAEF (47.6±14.6%) than participants with hypertension or participants free of cardiovascular disease or risk factors (all P<0.001)., Conclusions: In a community-based cohort, LA function was impaired in participants with prevalent HF, but there were no significant differences in LA function between participants with hypertension and those with free of cardiovascular disease or risk factors, despite greater LA size in the former., (© 2016 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Pulse pressure (PP) remains an elusive cardiovascular risk factor with inconsistent findings. We clarified the prognostic value in patients with type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease (CKD) and anemia in the Trial to Reduce cardiovascular Events with Aranesp (darbepoetin alfa) Therapy. In 4038 type 2 diabetes patients, darbepoetin alfa treatment did not affect the primary outcome. Risk related to PP at randomization was evaluated in a multivariable model including age, gender, kidney function, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and other conventional risk factors. End points were myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, end stage renal disease (ESRD) and the composite of cardiovascular death, MI or hospitalization for myocardial ischemia, heart failure or stroke (CVD composite). Median (interquartile range) age, gender, eGFR and PP was 68 (60-75) years, 57.3% women, 33 (27-42) ml min(-1) per 1.73 m2 and 60 (50-74) mm Hg. During 29.1 months (median) follow-up, the number of events for composite CVD, MI, stroke and ESRD was 1010, 253, 154 and 668. In unadjusted analyses, higher quartiles of PP were associated with higher rates per 100 years of follow-up of all end points (P⩽0.04), except stroke (P=0.52). Adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) per one quartile increase in PP were 1.06 (0.99-1.26) for MI, 0.96 (0.83-1.11) for stroke, 1.01 (0.94-1.09) for ESRD and 1.01 (0.96-1.07) for CVD composite. Results were similar in continuous analyses of PP (per 10 mm Hg). In patients with type 2 diabetes, CKD and anemia, PP did not independently predict cardiovascular events or ESRD. This may reflect confounding by aggressive antihypertensive treatment, or PP may be too rough a risk marker in these high-risk patients.

Background: A higher American Heart Association cardiovascular health score (CVHS) predicts a lower incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the relationship of CVHS attainment through midlife to late life with CVD prevalence and cardiovascular structure and function in late life is not well described., Methods and Results: The following 6 ideal cardiovascular health metrics were assessed in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants at 5 examination visits between 1987 and 2013: nonsmoking, body mass index <25 kg/m(2), untreated total cholesterol <200 mg/dL, untreated blood pressure <120/<80 mm Hg, fasting blood glucose <100 mg/dL, and ideal physical activity. Attainment over time was assessed as the percentage of maximum possible CVHS metrics achieved at visits 1 through 5, the slope of change in CVHS per decade of follow-up, and CVHS trajectory through follow-up. At visit 5, participant groups were characterized with respect to CVD prevalence (n=6520) and echocardiographic measures of cardiac structure and function (n=5903 free of CVD). CVHS was low at baseline and declined with age. Both greater CVHS attainment and improvement in CVHS during follow-up were associated with a lower prevalence of CVD and better left ventricular structure and systolic and diastolic function at visit 5., Conclusions: Greater attainment of, and improvements in, ideal cardiovascular health through midlife to late life are associated with lower CVD prevalence and better cardiovascular structure and function when elderly. These findings highlight the importance of consistent primordial and primary prevention efforts throughout midlife to late life as a potential intervention to decrease the burden of CVD among the elderly., (© 2015 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Background: The cause of death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) varies with CKD severity, but variation has not been quantified., Study Design: Retrospective analysis of prospective randomized clinical trial., Setting & Participants: We analyzed 4,038 individuals with anemia and diabetic CKD from TREAT, a randomized trial comparing darbepoetin alfa and placebo., Predictors: Baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and protein-creatinine ratio (PCR)., Outcomes: Cause of death as adjudicated by a blinded committee., Results: Median eGFR and PCR ranged from 20.6 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and 4.1 g/g in quartile 1 (Q1) to 47.0 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and 0.1 g/g in Q4 (P<0.01). Of 806 deaths, 441, 298, and 67 were due to cardiovascular (CV), non-CV, and unknown causes, respectively. Cumulative CV mortality at 3 years was higher with lower eGFR (Q1, 15.5%; Q2, 11.1%; Q3, 11.2%; Q4, 10.3%; P<0.001) or higher PCR (Q1, 15.2%; Q2, 12.3%; Q3, 11.7%; Q4, 9.0%; P<0.001). Similarly, non-CV mortality was higher with lower eGFR (Q1, 12.7%; Q2, 8.4%; Q3, 6.7%; Q4, 6.1%; P<0.001) or higher PCR (Q1, 10.3%; Q2, 7.9%; Q3, 9.4%; Q4, 6.4%; P=0.01). Sudden death was 1.7-fold higher with lower eGFR (P=0.04) and 2.1-fold higher with higher PCR (P<0.001). Infection-related mortality was 3.3-fold higher in the lowest eGFR quartile (P<0.001) and 2.8-fold higher in the highest PCR quartile (P<0.02). The overall proportion of CV and non-CV deaths was not significantly different across eGFR or PCR quartiles., Limitations: Results may not be generalizable to nondiabetic CKD or diabetic CKD in the absence of anemia. Measured GFR was not available., Conclusions: In diabetic CKD, both lower baseline GFR and higher PCR are associated with higher CV and non-CV mortality rates, particularly from sudden death and infection. Efforts to improve outcomes should focus on CV disease and early diagnosis and treatment of infection., (Copyright © 2015 National Kidney Foundation, Inc. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has been consistently shown to be higher among blacks and Hispanics compared to whites with unmeasured risk factors and access to care as suggested explanations. In a high-risk cohort with frequent protocol-directed follow-up, we evaluated the influence of race on cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and incidence of ESRD., Methods: TREAT was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study. This secondary analysis focused on role of race on outcomes. TREAT enrolled 4,038 patients with type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate 20-60 mL/min per 1.73 m(2)), and anemia (hemoglobin level ≤11 g/dL) treated with either darbepoetin alfa or placebo. We compared self-described black and Hispanic patients to white patients with regard to baseline characteristics and outcomes, including mortality, CV outcomes (myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, resuscitated sudden death, and coronary revascularization), and incident ESRD. Multivariate adjusted Cox models were developed for these outcomes., Results: Black and Hispanic patients were younger, more likely women, had less prior CV disease, and higher blood pressure. During a mean follow-up of 2.4 years with comparable access to care, blacks and Hispanics had a greater risk of ESRD but a significant lower risk of myocardial infarction and coronary revascularization than whites. After adjusting for confounders, blacks remained at significantly greater risk of ESRD than whites (hazard ratio 1.53, 95% CI 1.26-1.85, P < .001), whereas this ESRD risk did not persist among Hispanics., Conclusion: Despite similar access to care and lower CV event rates, the risk of ESRD was higher among blacks and Hispanics than whites. For blacks, but not Hispanics, this increase was independent of known attributable risk factors., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The extent to which the relative contributions of traditional cardiovascular risk factors to incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) may have changed over time remains unclear., Methods and Results: We studied 13 541 participants (56% women, 26% black) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, aged 52 to 66 years and free of CVD at exams in 1987 through 1989, 1990 through 1992, 1993 through 1995, or 1996 through 1998. At each examination, we estimated the population attributable risks (PAR) of traditional risk factors (hypertension, diabetes mellitus, obesity, hypercholesterolemia, and smoking) for the 10-year incidence of CVD. Overall, the PAR of all risk factors combined appeared to decrease from the late 1980s to the late 1990s (0.58 to 0.53). The combined PAR was higher in women than men in 1987 through 1989 (0.68 versus 0.51, P<0.001) but not by the late 1990s (0.58 versus 0.48, P=0.08). The combined PAR was higher in blacks than whites in the late 1980s (0.67 versus 0.57, P=0.049), and this difference was more pronounced by the late 1990s (0.67 versus 0.48, P=0.002). By the late 1990s, the PAR of hypertension had become higher in women than men (P=0.02) and also appeared higher in blacks than whites (P=0.08). By the late 1990s, the PAR of diabetes mellitus remained higher in women than men (P<0.0001) and in blacks than whites (P<0.0001)., Conclusions: The contribution to CVD of all traditional risk factors combined is greater in blacks than whites, and this difference may be increasing. The contributions of hypertension and diabetes mellitus remain especially high, in women as well as blacks. These findings underscore the continued need for individual as well as population approaches to CVD risk factor modification., (© 2014 American Heart Association, Inc.)

Elevation in blood pressure (BP) increases risk for all cardiovascular events. Nevertheless, the extent to which different indices of BP elevation may be associated to varying degrees with different cardiovascular outcomes remains unclear. We studied 13340 participants (aged 54 ± 6 years, 56% women and 27% black) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who were free of baseline cardiovascular disease. We used Cox proportional hazards models to compare the relative contributions of systolic BP, diastolic BP, pulse pressure, and mean arterial pressure to risk for coronary heart disease, heart failure, stroke, and all-cause mortality. For each multivariable-adjusted model, the largest area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC) and smallest -2 log-likelihood values were used to identify BP measures with the greatest contribution to risk prediction for each outcome. A total of 2095 coronary heart disease events, 1669 heart failure events, 771 stroke events, and 3016 deaths occurred during 18 ± 5 years of follow-up. In multivariable analyses adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, the BP measures with the greatest risk contributions were the following: systolic BP for coronary heart disease (AUC=0.74); pulse pressure for heart failure (AUC=0.79); systolic BP for stroke (AUC=0.74); and pulse pressure for all-cause mortality (AUC=0.74). With few exceptions, results were similar in analyses stratified by age, sex, and race. Our data indicate that distinct BP components contribute variably to risk for different cardiovascular outcomes.