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Background Many risk models for predicting mortality, hospitalizations, or both in patients with heart failure have been developed but do not have sufficient discriminatory ability. The purpose of this study was to identify predictive biomarkers of hospitalizations in heart failure patients using omics-based technologies applied to blood and electrical monitoring of the heart. Methods Blood samples were collected from 58 heart failure patients during enrollment into this study. Each patient wore a 48-hour Holter monitor that recorded the electrical activity of their heart. The blood samples were profiled for gene expression using microarrays and protein levels using multiple reaction monitoring. Statistical deconvolution was used to estimate cellular frequencies of common blood cells. Classification models were developed using clinical variables, Holter variables, cell types, gene transcripts, and proteins to predict hospitalization status. Results Of the 58 patients recruited, 13 were hospitalized within 3 months after enrollment. These patients had lower diastolic and systolic blood pressures, higher brain natriuretic peptide levels, most had higher blood creatinine levels, and had been diagnosed with heart failure for a longer time period. The best-performing clinical model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76. An ensemble biomarker panel consisting of Holter variables, cell types, gene transcripts, and proteins had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88. Conclusions Molecular-based analyses as well as sensory data might provide sensitive biomarkers for the prediction of hospitalizations in heart failure patients. These approaches may be combined with traditional clinical models for the development of improved risk prediction models for heart failure.

Background Nine mRNA transcripts associated with acute cellular rejection (ACR) in previous microarray studies were ported to the clinically amenable NanoString nCounter platform. Here we report the diagnostic performance of the resulting blood test to exclude ACR in heart allograft recipients: HEARTBiT. Methods Blood samples for transcriptomic profiling were collected during routine post-transplantation monitoring in 8 Canadian transplant centres participating in the Biomarkers in Transplantation initiative, a large (n = 1622) prospective observational study conducted between 2009 and 2014. All adult cardiac transplant patients were invited to participate (median age = 56 [17 to 71]). The reference standard for rejection status was histopathology grading of tissue from endomyocardial biopsy (EMB). All locally graded ISHLT ≥ 2R rejection samples were selected for analysis (n = 36). ISHLT 1R (n = 38) and 0R (n = 86) samples were randomly selected to create a cohort approximately matched for site, age, sex, and days post-transplantation, with a focus on early time points (median days post-transplant = 42 [7 to 506]). Results ISHLT ≥ 2R rejection was confirmed by EMB in 18 and excluded in 92 samples in the test set. HEARTBiT achieved 47% specificity (95% confidence interval [CI], 36%-57%) given ≥ 90% sensitivity, with a corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.69 (95% CI, 0.56-0.81). Conclusions HEARTBiT’s diagnostic performance compares favourably to the only currently approved minimally invasive diagnostic test to rule out ACR, AlloMap (CareDx, Brisbane, CA) and may be used to inform care decisions in the first 2 months post-transplantation, when AlloMap is not approved, and most ACR episodes occur.