1. Integrating natriuretic peptides and diastolic dysfunction to predict adverse events in high-risk asymptomatic subjects
- Author
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Emila D'Elia, Carolyn S.P. Lam, Alessandra Fontana, Attilio Iacovoni, Renata De Maria, Paolo Canova, Gianfranco Parati, Aurelia Grosu, Mauro Gori, Michele Senni, Anna Maria Iorio, Alice Calabrese, Giovanni Cioffi, Arianna Ghirardi, Antonello Gavazzi, Paola Ferrari, and Cardiovascular Centre (CVC)
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Epidemiology ,Diastole ,Asymptomatic ,Ventricular Function, Left ,RECOMMENDATIONS ,Electrocardiography ,Ventricular Dysfunction, Left ,community setting ,HIGH-SENSITIVITY TROPONIN ,Internal medicine ,Natriuretic Peptide, Brain ,Humans ,Medicine ,Natriuretic peptides ,Adverse effect ,AMERICAN SOCIETY ,POPULATION ,Aged ,Aged, 80 and over ,Heart Failure ,EUROPEAN ASSOCIATION ,VENTRICULAR DYSFUNCTION ,Ejection fraction ,business.industry ,Stroke Volume ,Middle Aged ,CARE ,medicine.disease ,PRESERVED EJECTION FRACTION ,Heart failure ,Risk stratification ,Cardiology ,Community setting ,HEART-FAILURE ,Female ,diastolic dysfunction ,prognosis ,medicine.symptom ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,ECHOCARDIOGRAPHY ,Biomarkers - Abstract
Background Natriuretic peptides and diastolic dysfunction have prognostic value in asymptomatic subjects at risk for heart failure. Their integration might further refine the risk stratification process in this setting. Aim of this paper was to explore the possibility to predict heart failure and death combining diastolic dysfunction and natriuretic peptides in an asymptomatic population at risk for heart failure. Methods Among 4047 subjects aged ≥55/≤80 years followed by 10 general practitioners in Italy, the DAVID-Berg study prospectively enrolled 623 asymptomatic outpatients at increased risk for heart failure. Baseline evaluation included electrocardiogram, echocardiogram, and natriuretic peptides collection. Based on diastolic dysfunction and natriuretic peptides, subjects were classified in four groups: control group (no diastolic dysfunction/normal natriuretic peptides, 57%), no diastolic dysfunction/high natriuretic peptides (9%), diastolic dysfunction/normal natriuretic peptides (24%), and diastolic dysfunction/high natriuretic peptides (11%). We applied Cox multivariable and Classification and Regression Tree analyses. Results The mean age of the population was 69 ± 7 years, 44% were women, mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 61%, and 35% had diastolic dysfunction. During a median follow-up of 5.7 years, 95 heart failure/death events occurred. Overall, diastolic dysfunction and natriuretic peptides were predictive of adverse events (respectively, hazard ratio 1.91, confidence interval 1.19–3.05, padjusted = 0.007, and hazard ratio 2.25, confidence interval 1.35–3.74, padjusted = 0.002) with Cox analysis. However, considering the four study subgroups, only the group with diastolic dysfunction/high natriuretic peptides had a significantly worse prognosis compared to the control group (hazard ratio 4.48, confidence interval 2.31–8.70, padjusted Conclusions The DAVID-Berg data suggest that we look for the quite common combination of diastolic dysfunction/high natriuretic peptides to correctly identify asymptomatic subjects at greater risk for incident heart failure/death, thus more suitable for preventive interventions.
- Published
- 2021