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Background and Aims: Identifying patients with steatotic liver disease who are at a high risk of developing HCC remains challenging. We present a deep learning (DL) model to predict HCC development using hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole-slide images of biopsy-proven steatotic liver disease., Approach and Results: We included 639 patients who did not develop HCC for ≥7 years after biopsy (non-HCC class) and 46 patients who developed HCC <7 years after biopsy (HCC class). Paired cases of the HCC and non-HCC classes matched by biopsy date and institution were used for training, and the remaining nonpaired cases were used for validation. The DL model was trained using deep convolutional neural networks with 28,000 image tiles cropped from whole-slide images of the paired cases, with an accuracy of 81.0% and an AUC of 0.80 for predicting HCC development. Validation using the nonpaired cases also demonstrated a good accuracy of 82.3% and an AUC of 0.84. These results were comparable to the predictive ability of logistic regression model using fibrosis stage. Notably, the DL model also detected the cases of HCC development in patients with mild fibrosis. The saliency maps generated by the DL model highlighted various pathological features associated with HCC development, including nuclear atypia, hepatocytes with a high nuclear-cytoplasmic ratio, immune cell infiltration, fibrosis, and a lack of large fat droplets., Conclusions: The ability of the DL model to capture subtle pathological features beyond fibrosis suggests its potential for identifying early signs of hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with steatotic liver disease., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.)

Objective: This study aimed to introduce and evaluate a novel software-based system, BioTrace, designed for real-time monitoring of thermal ablation tissue damage during image-guided radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)., Methods: BioTrace utilizes a proprietary algorithm to analyze the temporo-spatial behavior of thermal gas bubble activity during ablation, as seen in conventional B-mode ultrasound imaging. Its predictive accuracy was assessed by comparing the ablation zones it predicted with those annotated by radiologists using contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) 24 hours post-treatment, considered the gold standard. The study included 20 liver tumors., Results: The median tumor measurement along the major axis was 1.2 cm. The median Dice coefficient, Sensitivity, and Precision between BioTrace and CECT were 0.90, 0.91, and 0.91, respectively. The intraclass correlation showed excellent agreement in volume size between BioTrace and CECT findings (0.98)., Conclusion: BioTrace effectively generates an ablation damage prediction map based on real-time ultrasound imaging, accurately predicting the ablation zone as confirmed by 24-hour post-procedural CECT. This system has the potential to enhance the safety and efficacy of ablation procedures in clinical settings., Competing Interests: This study was funded by TechsoMed Medical Technologies and designed in collaboration with the University of Tokyo and SCREEN Holdings Co., Ltd. RT has received lecture fee from TechsoMed Medical Technologies. RY is an employee of SCREEN Holdings Col, Ltd and a shareholder in the company. RY provided technical support for the BioTrace system. YZ is an employee of TechsoMed Medical Technologies. YZ involved in study design, data analysis, and drafting of the manuscript. NE is an employee of TechsoMed Medical Technologies. NE involved in drafting of the manuscript. IA is an employee of TechsoMed Medical Technologies. IA involved in data analysis. YA is an employee of TechsoMed Medical Technologies and a shareholder in the company. YA involved in study design and drafting of the manuscript. This does not alter our adherence to PLOS ONE policies on sharing data and materials., (Copyright: © 2025 Sato et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)

In Asia-Pacific region, hepatocellular carcinoma is a serious health threat attributing to over 600,000 deaths each year and account for over 70% of global cases. Clinically, the major unmet needs are recurrence after curative-intent surgery, liver transplantation or local ablation and disease progression in those with hepatocellular carcinoma not eligible for resection or failed locoregional therapy. In the recent few years, new targeted therapy and immune-checkpoint inhibitors have been registered as systemic therapy to address these issues. Notably, new forms of systemic therapy, either as first-line or second-line therapy for unresectable hepatocellular or those not eligible for locoregional therapy, are now available. New data is also emerging with the use of systemic therapy to prevent hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after curative-intent resection or local ablation therapy and to retard disease progression after locoregional therapy. In the future, further implementation of immune-checkpoint inhibitors and other forms of immunotherapy are expected to bring a new paradigm to the management of hepatocellular carcinoma. New insight related to immune-related adverse events with the use of immunotherapy has allso enabled optimization of the therapeutic approach to patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. The purpose of this clinical practice guideline is to provide an up-to-date recommendation based on clinical evidence and experience from expert Asia-Pacific key opinion leaders in the field of hepatocellular carcinoma. Three key questions will be addressed, namely: (1) Which patients with hepatocellular carcinoma should be considered for systemic therapy? (2) Which systemic therapy should be used? (3) How should a patient planned for immune checkpoint-based systemic therapy be managed and monitored?, Competing Interests: Declarations. Conflict of interest: George LAU reported lecture fees from AstraZeneca. Shuntaro OBI reported research grants from Eisai, Otsuka pharmaceutical, and Mochida pharmaceutical. Ryosuke TATEISHI reported lecture fees from Abbvie, AstraZeneca, Chugai, Eisai, Gilead Sciences, MSD and Takeda. Sadahisa OGASAWARA reported honoraria from Bayer, Eisai, Eli Lilly, consulting or advisory fees from Bayer, Eisai, Merck & Co. Inc., Chugai Pharma, Eli Lilly, and research grants from Bayer and Eisai. Naoya KATO reported honoraria payment from Bayer and Chugai; research funding from Bayer, Chugai, and Roche. Stephen L CHAN reported consulting or advisory board fees from AstraZeneca, Eisai, and MSD; reports being an invited speaker for AstraZeneca, Bayer, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eisai, IPSEN, MSD, and Roche; and research funding from Bayer, Eisai, IPSEN, MSD, and Sirtex Medical. Yoshiyuki UENO reported honoraria payment from Chugai and Eisai. Ann-Lii CHENG reported consulting or advisory board fees from AstraZeneca, Bayer, BeiGene, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eisai, Genentech/Roche, Ipsen, IQVIA, MSD, Ono Pharmaceutical, and Roche; and honoraria from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Eisai, and Genentech/Roche. Yock Young DAN reported consulting or advisory board fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, MSD, Norvo Nordisk, Roche, and research grants from MSD, Norvo Nordisk, Perspectum, Siemens. Jeong Min LEE reported lecture fees from Samsung Medison, GE Healthcare, Philips Healthcare, Starmed, and research grants from Samsung Medison, Siemens Healthineers, Philips Healthcare, GE Healthcare, Bayer, Guerbet, CMS, Canon Healthcare, Dongkuk Pharma. Diana A. Payawal reported lecture, consulting or advisory board fees from Gilead Sciences, Mylan Pharmaceuticals, Echosense, Getz and Abbott. Ekaphop SIRACHAINAN reported honoraria payment from MSD, Sanofi/Aventis, Merck, Amgen, Roche, Mundipharma, AstraZeneca, LF Asia, Diethelm Keller Group, Bristol Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Taiho Pharmaceutical, Dr Reddy's Laboratories, Zuellig Pharma, Meda Pharmaceuticals, Pfizer, Novo Nordisk, Novartis. Tawesak Tanwandee reported research grants from Bristol Myers Squibb and Merck. Masao Omata reported lecture, consulting or advisory board fees from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb, Otsuka, Astellas, Gilead Sciences, Chugai, Mitsubishi Tanabe, Kyorin, Merck Sharp and Dohme, Dainippon Sumitomo, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Takeda, Merck Serono, and Zeria. Jian ZHOU, Shukui QIN, Haitao ZHAO, Motoyuki OTSUKA, Jacob GEORGE, Pierce KH CHOW, Jianqiang CAI, Shuichiro SHIINA, Osamu YOKOSUKA, Kyoko OURA, Thomas YAU, Ming KUANG, Minshan CHEN, Gregory CHENG, Wan-Long CHUANG, Oidov BAATARKHUU, Feng BI, Rino A GANI, Atsushi TANAKA, Wasim JAFRI, Ji-Dong JIA, Jia-Horng KAO, Kiyoshi HASEGAWA, Patrick LAU, Jun LIANG, Zhenwen LIU, Yinying LU, Hongming PAN, Salimur RAHMAN, Jinsil SEONG, Feng SHEN, Gamal SHIHA, Tianqiang SONG, Hui-Chuan SUN, Tsutomu MASAKI, Lai WEI, Jin Mo YANG, Jose D SALLANO, Yanqiao ZHANG,, A Kadir DOKMECI, Shu-sen ZHENG, Jia FAN, Sheung-Tat FAN and Shiv Kumar Sarin reported that they have no conflict of interest. Ethical approval: Not applicable. Informed consent: Not applicable., (© 2024. Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver.)

The proto-oncogene MYCN expression marked a cancer stem-like cell population in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and served as a therapeutic target of acyclic retinoid (ACR), an orally administered vitamin A derivative that has demonstrated promising efficacy and safety in reducing HCC recurrence. This study investigated the role of MYCN as a predictive biomarker for therapeutic response to ACR and prognosis of HCC. MYCN gene expression in HCC was analyzed in the Cancer Genome Atlas and a Taiwanese cohort (N = 118). Serum MYCN protein levels were assessed in healthy controls (N = 15), patients with HCC (N = 116), pre- and post-surgical patients with HCC (N = 20), and a subset of patients from a phase 3 clinical trial of ACR (N = 68, NCT01640808). The results showed increased MYCN gene expression in HCC tumors, which positively correlated with HCC recurrence in non-cirrhotic or single-tumor patients. Serum MYCN protein levels were higher in patients with HCC, decreased after surgical resection of HCC, and were associated with liver functional reserve and fibrosis markers, as well as long-term HCC prognosis (>4 years). Subgroup analysis of a phase 3 clinical trial of ACR identified serum MYCN as the risk factor most strongly associated with HCC recurrence. Patients with HCC with higher serum MYCN levels after a 4-week treatment of ACR exhibited a significantly higher risk of recurrence (hazard ratio 3.27; p = .022). In conclusion, serum MYCN holds promise for biomarker-based precision medicine for the prevention of HCC, long-term prognosis of early-stage HCC, and identification of high-response subgroups for ACR-based treatment., (© 2024 The Authors. International Journal of Cancer published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of UICC.)

The number of cancer cases diagnosed during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has decreased. This study investigated the impact of the pandemic on the clinical practice of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using a novel nationwide REgistry for Advanced Liver diseases (REAL) in Japan. We retrieved data of patients initially diagnosed with HCC between January 2018 and December 2021. We adopted tumor size as the primary outcome measure and compared it between the pre-COVID-19 (2018 and 2019) and COVID-19 eras (2020 and 2021). We analyzed 13,777 patients initially diagnosed with HCC (8074 in the pre-COVID-19 era and 5703 in the COVID-19 era). The size of the maximal intrahepatic tumor did not change between the two periods (mean [SD] = 4.3 [3.6] cm and 4.4 [3.6] cm), whereas the proportion of patients with a single tumor increased slightly from 72.0 to 74.3%. HCC was diagnosed at a similar Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage. However, the proportion of patients treated with systemic therapy has increased from 5.4 to 8.9%. The proportion of patients with a non-viral etiology significantly increased from 55.3 to 60.4%. Although the tumor size was significantly different among the etiologies, the subgroup analysis showed that the tumor size did not change after stratification by etiology. In conclusion, the characteristics of initially diagnosed HCC remained unchanged during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, regardless of differences in etiology. A robust surveillance system should be established particularly for non-B, non-C etiology to detect HCC in earlier stages., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Introduction: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a widely accepted, minimally invasive treatment modality for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Accurate prognosis prediction is important to identify patients at high risk for cancer progression/recurrence after RFA. Recently, state-of-the-art transformer models showing improved performance over existing deep learning-based models have been developed in several fields. This study was aimed at developing and validating a transformer model to predict the overall survival in HCC patients with treated by RFA., Methods: We enrolled a total of 1778 treatment-naïve HCC patients treated by RFA as the first-line treatment. We developed a transformer-based machine learning model to predict the overall survival in the HCC patients treated by RFA and compared its predictive performance with that of a deep learning-based model. Model performance was evaluated by determining the Harrel's c-index and validated externally by the split-sample method., Results: The Harrel's c-index of the transformer-based model was 0.69, indicating its better discrimination performance than that of the deep learning model (Harrel's c-index, 0.60) in the external validation cohort. The transformer model showed a high discriminative ability for stratifying the external validation cohort into two or three different risk groups (p < 0.001 for both risk groupings). The model also enabled output of a personalized cumulative recurrence prediction curve for each patient., Conclusions: We developed a novel transformer model for personalized prediction of the overall survival in HCC patients after RFA treatment. The current model may offer a personalized survival prediction schema for patients with HCC undergoing RFA treatment., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Diabetes is known to increase the risk of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here we treat male STAM (STelic Animal Model) mice, which develop diabetes, NASH and HCC associated with dysbiosis upon low-dose streptozotocin and high-fat diet (HFD), with insulin or phlorizin. Although both treatments ameliorate hyperglycemia and NASH, insulin treatment alone lead to suppression of HCC accompanied by improvement of dysbiosis and restoration of antimicrobial peptide production. There are some similarities in changes of microflora from insulin-treated patients comorbid with diabetes and NASH. Insulin treatment, however, fails to suppress HCC in the male STAM mice lacking insulin receptor specifically in intestinal epithelial cells (ieIRKO), which show dysbiosis and impaired gut barrier function. Furthermore, male ieIRKO mice are prone to develop HCC merely on HFD. These data suggest that impaired gut insulin signaling increases the risk of HCC, which can be countered by restoration of insulin action in diabetes., (© 2023. Springer Nature Limited.)

Background: Hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is a life-threatening complication of end-stage liver disease. This study aimed to clarify the status of HRS in Japan by analyzing the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database., Methods: Patients hospitalized for cirrhosis and HRS from July 2010 to March 2019 were sampled. They were divided into two groups according to their prognosis upon discharge: the transplant-free survival group and the death or liver transplantation group. The two groups' baseline patient characteristics and treatments were compared., Results: The mean age of the 1,412 participants was 67.3 years (standard deviation: 12.3 years), and 65.4% were male. The Child-Pugh grades was B and C in 18.8% and 81.2%, respectively. Hepatocellular carcinoma was present in 27.1% of the patients, and the proportion of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis was 2.3%. Albumin, noradrenaline, and dopamine were administered to 57.9%, 8.0%, and 14.9% of the patients, respectively; 7.0% of the patients underwent renal replacement therapy; and 5.0% were admitted to the intensive care unit. Intravenous antibiotics were administered to 30.8% of the patients. A total of 925 patients (65.5%) died or underwent liver transplantation. In addition to a higher proportion of patients with poor baseline liver function, the death or liver transplantation group included more males, patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, and those with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis., Conclusions: HRS in Japan has a high mortality rate. Albumin was administered to over 50% of participants. Although noradrenaline is recommended in Japanese clinical guidelines, dopamine was more frequently used as a vasoconstrictor in clinical practice., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

The incidence of diabetes mellitus and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been increasing worldwide during the last few decades, in the context of an increasing prevalence of obesity and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Epidemiologic studies have revealed that patients with diabetes have a 2- to 3-fold increased risk of developing HCC, independent of the severity and cause of the underlying liver disease. A bidirectional relationship exists between diabetes and liver disease: advanced liver disease promotes the onset of diabetes, and HCC is an important cause of death in patients with diabetes; conversely, diabetes is a risk factor for liver fibrosis progression and HCC development, and may worsen the long-term prognosis of patients with HCC. The existence of close interconnections among diabetes, obesity, and NAFLD causes insulin resistance-related hyperinsulinemia, increased oxidative stress, and chronic inflammation, which are assumed to be the underlying causes of hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with diabetes. No appropriate surveillance methods for HCC development in patients with diabetes have been established, and liver diseases, including HCC, are often overlooked as complications of diabetes. Although some antidiabetic drugs are expected to prevent HCC development, further research on the optimal use of antidiabetic drugs aimed at hepatoprotection is warranted. Given the increasing medical and socioeconomic impact of diabetes on HCC development, diabetologists and hepatologists need to work together to develop strategies to address this emerging health issue. This article reviews the current knowledge on the impact of diabetes on the development and progression of HCC.

The prognostic impact of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) on patients with hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma (C-HCC) is still unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the prognosis of C-HCC in the DAA era. We enrolled 1237 consecutive patients with treatment-naive C-HCC who underwent radical radiofrequency ablation between 1999 and 2019. We also enrolled 350 patients with nonviral HCC as controls. We divided these patients into three groups according to the year of initial treatment: 1999-2005 (cohort 1), 2006-2013 (cohort 2), and 2014-2019 (cohort 3). The use of antiviral agents and their effect in patients with C-HCC was investigated. Overall survival was evaluated for each cohort using the Kaplan-Meier method and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. Sustained virologic response (SVR) was achieved in 52 (10%), 157 (26%), and 102 (74%) patients with C-HCC in cohorts 1-3, respectively. The 3- and 5-year survival rates of patients with C-HCC were 82% and 59% in cohort 1; 80% and 64% in cohort 2; and 86% and 78% in cohort 3, respectively (p = 0.003). Multivariable analysis adjusted for age, liver function, and tumor extension showed that the prognosis of C-HCC improved in cohort 3 compared to cohort 1 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.32-0.73; p < 0.001), whereas the prognosis of nonviral HCC did not improve significantly (aHR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.59-1.57; p = 0.88). The prognosis of C-HCC drastically improved with the advent of DAAs., (© 2022 The Authors. Hepatology Communications published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

Background: We developed a nationwide database that stores data of patients with primary liver cancer (PLC) and decompensated cirrhosis (DC) on an admission basis., Methods: A database was constructed using the National Clinical Database, a nationwide registry platform for various diseases in Japan. Mutual data exchange was possible with the Nationwide Follow-up Survey of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan by the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan. The stored data on the admission of patients with PLC, DC, or both, included treatment details as well as patient characteristics., Results: A total of 37,705 admissions (29,489 PLC, 10,077 DC, and 1862 for both) in 21,376 patients from 224 hospitals were analyzed. The proportions of patients with hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and non-viral etiology were 11.9%, 36.2%, and 42.6%, respectively, in PLC, and 7.5%, 23.8%, and 55.0%, respectively, in DC. The mean ages (± standard deviation) on admission with PLC and DC were 73 ± 10 and 68 ± 13 years, respectively. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage for PLC was 0, A, B, C, and D in 22.0%, 17.1%, 29.6%, 15.1%, and 5.1%, respectively. Treatment modalities for PLC were resection, ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and systemic therapy in 18.4%, 22.8%, 33.7%, and 11.4%, respectively. A vasopressin receptor V2 antagonist was used in 38.2% in addition to conventionally used loop diuretics and aldosterone antagonists for DC., Conclusions: The distribution of treatment options for PLC on admission differed from that of the initial treatment. Newly introduced drugs are widely used in patients with DC., (© 2022. Japanese Society of Gastroenterology.)

Gadoxetate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is widely used in clinical practice for liver imaging. For optimal use, we must understand both its advantages and limitations. This article is the outcome of an online advisory board meeting and subsequent discussions by a multidisciplinary group of experts on liver diseases across the Asia-Pacific region, first held on September 28, 2020. Here, we review the technical considerations for the use of gadoxetate, its current role in the management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and its relevance in consensus guidelines for HCC imaging diagnosis. In the latter part of this review, we examine recent evidence evaluating the impact of gadoxetate on clinical outcomes on a continuum from diagnosis to treatment decision-making and follow-up. In conclusion, we outline the potential future roles of gadoxetate MRI based on an evolving understanding of the clinical utility of this contrast agent in the management of patients at risk of, or with, HCC., Competing Interests: Ryosuke Tateishi has received lecture fees from Bayer AG. The remaining authors declare no potential conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2022 The Korean Society of Radiology.)

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is an urgent unmet need in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In cohorts of 409 patients with NAFLD from multiple global regions, we defined and validated hepatic transcriptome and serum secretome signatures predictive of long-term HCC risk in patients with NAFLD. A 133-gene signature, prognostic liver signature (PLS)-NAFLD, predicted incident HCC over up to 15 years of longitudinal observation. High-risk PLS-NAFLD was associated with IDO1 + dendritic cells and dysfunctional CD8 + T cells in fibrotic portal tracts along with impaired metabolic regulators. PLS-NAFLD was validated in independent cohorts of patients with NAFLD who were HCC naïve (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 22.7 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively) or HCC experienced (de novo HCC recurrence rates at 5 years were 71.8 and 42.9% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). PLS-NAFLD was bioinformatically translated into a four-protein secretome signature, PLSec-NAFLD, which was validated in an independent cohort of HCC-naïve patients with NAFLD and cirrhosis (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 37.6 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). Combination of PLSec-NAFLD with our previously defined etiology-agnostic PLSec-AFP yielded improved HCC risk stratification. PLS-NAFLD was modified by bariatric surgery, lipophilic statin, and IDO1 inhibitor, suggesting that the signature can be used for drug discovery and as a surrogate end point in HCC chemoprevention clinical trials. Collectively, PLS/PLSec-NAFLD may enable NAFLD-specific HCC risk prediction and facilitate clinical translation of NAFLD-directed HCC chemoprevention.

Objective: The benefit of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) against HCV following successful treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. This meta-analysis of individual patient data assessed HCC recurrence risk following DAA administration., Design: We pooled the data of 977 consecutive patients from 21 studies of HCV-related cirrhosis and HCC, who achieved complete radiological response after surgical/locoregional treatments and received DAAs (DAA group). Recurrence or death risk was expressed as HCC recurrence or death per 100 person-years (100PY). Propensity score-matched patients from the ITA.LI.CA. cohort (n=328) served as DAA-unexposed controls (no-DAA group). Risk factors for HCC recurrence were identified using random-effects Poisson., Results: Recurrence rate and death risk per 100PY in DAA-treated patients were 20 (95% CI 13.9 to 29.8, I 2 =74.6%) and 5.7 (2.5 to 15.3, I 2 =54.3), respectively. Predictive factors for recurrence were alpha-fetoprotein logarithm (relative risk (RR)=1.11, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.19; p=0.01, per 1 log of ng/mL), HCC recurrence history pre-DAA initiation (RR=1.11, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.16; p<0.001), performance status (2 vs 0, RR=4.35, 95% CI 1.54 to 11.11; 2 vs 1, RR=3.7, 95% CI 1.3 to 11.11; p=0.01) and tumour burden pre-HCC treatment (multifocal vs solitary nodule, RR=1.75, 95% CI 1.25 to 2.43; p<0.001). No significant difference was observed in RR between the DAA-exposed and DAA-unexposed groups in propensity score-matched patients (RR=0.64, 95% CI 0.37 to 1.1; p=0.1)., Conclusion: Effects of DAA exposure on HCC recurrence risk remain inconclusive. Active clinical and radiological follow-up of patients with HCC after HCV eradication with DAA is justified., Competing Interests: Competing interests: VS: travel funding from Bayer. FT: DSMB fees from Basilea Pharmaceutica International and ROVI; educational fees from Janssen and Ferrer. PN: consults for AbbVie, AstraZeneca, Bayer, BMS, Eisai, Gilead, Ipsen, Roche. He received grants from AbbVie and BMS. ZM: speaker fees and consultancy for Gilead and AbbVie. RT: personal fees from Merk Sharp & Dorme, Giliad Sciences and AbbVie GK. TM: personal fees from Merk Sharp & Dorme, Giliad Sciences and AbbVie GK. XF: consultancy fees for AbbVie and Gilead Sciences. HT: speaker fees from AbbVie, Gildead, MSD and Bayer. SB: consultancy fees and educational grants from: Gilead Sciences, MSD, Intercept. ED: advisory board from AbbVie; speaking and teaching from Gilead, MSD, AbbVie. M-LY: research grant from Abbott, BMS, Gilead and Merck; consultant of AbbVie, Abbott, BMS, Gilead, Merck and Roche; speaker of AbbVie, Abbott, BMS, Gilead and Merck. YA: donation-funded department funded by Toray Industries Inc., Gilead Sciences, AbbVie GK and Fuji Rebio Inc. AS: has received research funding from AbbVie and Gilead. He has served as a consultant for Wako Diagnostics, Glycotest, Exact Sciences, Roche, GRAIL, Genentech, Bayer, Eisai, Exelixis, AstraZeneca, BMS and TARGET Pharmasolutions. MK: lecture fees from Abott and AstraZeneca. J-FD: advisory committees: AbbVie, Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Falk, Genfit, Genkyotex, Gilead Sciences, HepaRegenix, Intercept, Lilly, Merck, Novartis. Speaking and teaching: Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Intercept, Genfit, Gilead Sciences, Novartis, Roche. NM: research founding, lecture fees, advisory committees and travel grants from MSD. Lecture fees, advisory committees and travel grants from AbbVie and Gilead. SP: consulting and lecturing fees from Janssen, Gilead, MSD, AbbVie, Biotest, Shinogui, Viiv and grants from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Roche and MSD, without relation to this manuscript. JC: grants and research support from Gilead Sciences, AbbVie, MSD, Shionogi and Intercept Pharmaceuticals (all outside the submitted work). Is a speaker for Gilead Sciences and AbbVie. JLC: reports grant support and/or consultancy and lecture fees from AbbVie, Gilead Sciences, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Janssen and MSD. RV: research grant from AbbVie. GS: consultancy fees and lecture fees from Gilead and AbbVie. FPR: lecture fees AbbVie, Gilead, MSD, Biotest; travel funds AbbVie, Biotest, Kedrion; research funds AbbVie, Gilead, MSD. RB: research grants from MSD, AbbVie and Gilead. JR: educational grants from Amgen, Grüenenthal Pharma, Boehringer Ingelheim España, Janssen-Cilag, Ferrer International, Lilly, Merck Sharp & Dohme and Roche Farma. FT: consultancy fees from AstraZeneca, Bayer, BMS, Eisai and Sirtex. Lecture fees from AlfaSigma and Bayer. Research grants from Bayer. CC: consultancy fees from Bayer, EISAI, MSD, Gilead, ABV. JB: consultancy fees from Arqule, Bayer, Novartis, BMS, BTG-Biocompatibles, Eisai, Kowa, Terumo, Gilead, Bio-Alliance/Onxeo, Roche, AbbVie, Merck, Sirtex, Ipsen, Astra-Medimmune, Incyte, Quirem, Adaptimmune, Lilly, Basilea, Nerviano. Research grants from Bayer and BTG. Educational grants from Bayer and BTG. Lecture fees from Bayer, BTG-Biocompatibles, Eisai, Terumo, Sirtex, Ipsen. GC: consultancy fees from Bayer, Ipsen. MR: consultancy fees from Bayer, BMS, Roche, Ipsen, AstraZeneca and Lilly. Lecture fees from Bayer, BMS, Gilead, Lilly and Roche. Research grants from Bayer and Ipsen., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: Direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy enables a high rate of sustained virologic response (SVR) in patients with hepatitis C virus associated cirrhosis. However, the impact of DAA therapy on liver-related events in patients with cirrhosis is unclear., Methods: A total of 350 patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis administered DAA therapy at 29 Japanese hospitals were enrolled (Child-Pugh class A [CP-A]: 195 patients, CP-B: 131 patients and CP-C: 24 patients)., Results: The SVR rates of patients with CP-A, CP-B and CP-C were 96.9%, 93.1% and 83.3%, respectively (p = 0.006). Seventy patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and male sex, previous HCC treatment, platelet counts < 10.0 × 10 4 /µl, alpha-fetoprotein levels ≥ 5.0 ng/ml and CP-C were identified as significant factors in the multivariate analysis. The cumulative HCC occurrence/recurrence rates at 1 year were 6.6%/45.2%. The cumulative rate of decompensated cirrhotic events requiring hospital admission at 1 year was 9.1%. In the multivariate analysis, CP-B and CP-C were identified as significant factors. During the median observation period of 14.9 months, 13 patients died and one patient received liver transplant. The overall survival rates at 1 year were 98.4% in patients with CP-A, 96.4% in those with CP-B and 85.6% in those with CP-C (CP-A vs. CP-B: p = 0.759, CP-A vs. CP-C: p = 0.001 and CP-B vs. CP-C: p = 0.005)., Conclusions: HCC development and mortality in patients with CP-B were not different from those with CP-A. On the other hand, in patients with CP-C, the development of HCC and decompensated cirrhotic events requiring hospital admission, and death were frequent., Trial Registration: University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000036150)., (© 2022. Japanese Society of Gastroenterology.)

Background and Aim: Prophylactic administration of antibiotics within 24 hours of surgery is recommended to reduce the risk of infection. We conducted a prospective study to compare the efficacy of single administration of antibiotics with a historical control of continuous administration of antibiotics for radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of malignant liver tumors., Methods: Between February 1, 1999 and November 30, 2010, a total of 6,763 RFA treatments were performed in 2,355 patients, using a protocol with continuous administration of prophylactic antibiotics. On December 1, 2010, we began using a revised protocol with a single administration of prophylactic antibiotics, while continuing to use the old continuous administration protocol for patients who declined the new protocol. Interim analysis was performed to assess the safety of the single administration protocol. Thereafter, from April 1, 2012, all patients were treated using the new protocol. Risk factors for infectious complications of RFA were assessed using logistic regression., Results: From December 2010 to March 2012, 766 RFA treatments were performed in 663 patients using the new antibiotic protocol. Infectious complications were observed following 4 of these treatments (0.52%). As the upper limit of the confidence interval (CI) resulting from a one-sided binomial test was exactly the prespecified limit of 1.0%, from April 2012 onwards, we treated all patients using the new protocol with single administration of prophylactic antibiotics. A total of 3,547 RFA treatments were performed using the single administration protocol. Univariable logistic regression indicated that prior transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and maximal tumor diameter were significant risk factors for infectious complications (P = 0.04 and P < 0.001, respectively). Multivariable analysis indicated that the adjusted hazard ratio of single vs. continuous administration of antibiotics was 1.20 (95% CI: 0.53-2.75; P = 0.66)., Conclusions: The rate of infectious complications related to RFA was acceptably low. Single administration of prophylactic antibiotics did not significantly increase the rate of infectious complications related to RFA, compared with a more intensive antibiotic protocol., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Introduction: Most studies predicting survival after resection, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and ablation analyzed diameter and number of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) as dichotomous variables, resulting in an underestimation of risk variation. We aimed to develop and validate a new prognostic model for patients with HCC using largest diameter and number of HCCs as continuous variables., Methods: The prognostic model was developed using data from patients undergoing resection, TACE, and ablation in 645 Japanese institutions. The model results were shown after balanced using the inverse probability of treatment-weighted analysis and were externally validated in an international multi-institution cohort., Results: Of 77,268 patients, 43,904 patients, including 15,313 (34.9%) undergoing liver resection, 13,375 (30.5%) undergoing TACE, and 15,216 (34.7%) undergoing ablation, met the inclusion criteria. Our model (http://www.u-tokyo-hbp-transplant-surgery.jp/about/calculation.html) showed that the 5-year overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC undergoing these procedures decreased with progressive incremental increases in diameter and number of HCCs. For patients undergoing resection, the inverse probability of treatment-weighted-adjusted 5-year OS probabilities were 10%-20% higher compared with patients undergoing TACE for 1-6 HCC lesions <10 cm and were also 10%-20% higher compared with patients undergoing ablation when the HCC diameter was 2-3 cm. For patients undergoing resection and TACE, the model performed well in the external cohort., Discussion: Our novel prognostic model performed well in predicting OS after resection and TACE for HCC and demonstrated that resection may have a survival benefit over TACE and ablation based on the diameter and number of HCCs., (Copyright © 2021 by The American College of Gastroenterology.)

Background: Accurate non-invasive prediction of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in advanced liver fibrosis is urgently needed for cost-effective HCC screening; however, this currently remains an unmet need., Methods: A serum-protein-based prognostic liver secretome signature (PLSec) was bioinformatically derived from previously validated hepatic transcriptome signatures and optimized in 79 patients with advanced liver fibrosis. We independently validated PLSec for HCC risk in 331 cirrhosis patients with mixed etiologies (validation set 1 [V1]) and thereafter developed a score with clinical prognostic variables. The score was then validated in two independent cohorts: validation set 2 (V2): 164 patients with advanced liver fibrosis due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection cured after direct-acting antiviral therapy; validation set 3 (V3): 146 patients with advanced liver fibrosis with successfully-treated HCC and cured HCV infection., Findings: An 8-protein blood-based PLSec recapitulated transcriptome-based hepatic HCC risk status. In V1, PLSec was significantly associated with incident HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-4.23). A composite score with serum alpha-fetoprotein (PLSec-AFP) was defined in V1, and validated in V2 (adjusted odds ratio, 3.80 [95%CI, 1.66-8.66]) and V3 (aHR, 3.08 [95%CI, 1.78-5.31]; c-index, 0.74). PLSec-AFP outperformed AFP alone (Brier score, 0.165 vs. 0.186 in V2; 0.196 vs. 0.206 in V3, respectively)., Conclusions: The blood-based PLSec-AFP can accurately stratify patients with advanced liver fibrosis for long-term HCC risk and thereby guide risk-based tailored HCC screening., Competing Interests: DECLARATION OF INTERESTS Y.H. serves as an advisory board member for Helio Health and founding shareholder for Alentis Therapeutics, and received a research funding from Morphic Therapeutics. T.F.B. serves as advisor and is a founding shareholder or Alentis Therapeutics. R.T received a lecture fee from Bayer, Chugai, Eisai, Takeda and Wako/Fujifilm. N.P. has served as a consultant for Bristol Myers-Squibb, Exact Sciences, Eli Lilly, and Freenome. A.G.S. has served on advisory boards of Genentech, Eisai, Bayer, Exelixis, Wako/Fujifilm and has received research funding from Bayer, Target Pharmasolutions, Exact Sciences, and Glycotest.

Background: Liquid biopsies, particularly those involving circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), are rapidly emerging as a non-invasive alternative to tumor biopsies. However, clinical applications of ctDNA analysis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have not been fully elucidated., Methods: We measured the amount of plasma-derived cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in HCC patients before (n = 100) and a few days after treatment (n = 87), including radiofrequency ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and molecular-targeted agents (MTAs), and prospectively analyzed their associations with clinical parameters and prognosis. TERT promoter mutations in cfDNA were analyzed using droplet digital PCR. Furthermore, we performed a comprehensive mutational analysis of post-treatment cfDNA via targeted ultra-deep sequencing (22,000× coverage) in a panel of 275 cancer-related genes in selected patients., Results: Plasma cfDNA levels increased significantly according to HCC clinical stage, and a high cfDNA level was independently associated with a poor prognosis. TERT promoter mutations were detected in 45% of all cases but were not associated with any clinical characteristics. cfDNA levels increased significantly a few days after treatment, and a greater increase in post-treatment cfDNA levels was associated with a greater therapeutic response to MTAs. The detection rate of TERT mutations increased to 57% using post-treatment cfDNA, suggesting that the ctDNA was enriched. Targeted ultra-deep sequencing using post-treatment cfDNA after administering lenvatinib successfully detected various gene mutations and obtained promising results in lenvatinib-responsive cases., Conclusions: Post-treatment cfDNA analysis may facilitate the construction of biomarkers for predicting MTA treatment effects.

Despite recent improvements in therapeutic interventions, hepatocellular carcinoma is still associated with a poor prognosis in patients with an advanced disease at diagnosis. Recently, significant progress has been made in image recognition through advances in the field of artificial intelligence (AI) (or machine learning), especially deep learning. AI is a multidisciplinary field that draws on the fields of computer science and mathematics for developing and implementing computer algorithms capable of maximizing the predictive accuracy from static or dynamic data sources using analytic or probabilistic models. Because of the multifactorial and complex nature of liver diseases, the machine learning approach to integrate multiple factors would appear to be an advantageous approach to improve the likelihood of making a precise diagnosis and predicting the response of treatment and prognosis of liver diseases. In this review, we attempted to summarize the potential use of AI in the diagnosis and management of liver diseases, especially hepatocellular carcinoma., (© 2021 Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Foundation and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.)

Background: Although type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a known risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development, the annual incidence in diabetes patients is far below the threshold of efficient surveillance. This study aimed to elucidate the risk factors for HCC in diabetic patients and to determine the best criteria to identify surveillance candidates., Methods: The study included 239 patients with T2DM who were diagnosed with non-viral HCC between 2010 and 2015, with ≥ 5 years of follow-up at diabetes clinics of 81 teaching hospitals in Japan before HCC diagnosis, and 3277 non-HCC T2DM patients from a prospective cohort study, as controls. Clinical data at the time of and 5 years before HCC diagnosis were collected., Results: The mean patient age at HCC diagnosis was approximately 73 years, and 80% of the patients were male. The proportion of patients with insulin use increased, whereas the body mass index (BMI), proportion of patients with fatty liver, fasting glucose levels, and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels decreased significantly in 5 years. In the cohort study, 18 patients developed HCC during the mean follow-up period of 4.7 years with an annual incidence of 0.11%. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that the FIB-4 index was an outstanding predictor of HCC development along with male sex, presence of hypertension, lower HbA1c and albumin levels, and higher BMI and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels. Receiver-operating characteristic analyses showed that a FIB-4 cut-off value of 3.61 could help identify high-risk patients, with a corresponding annual HCC incidence rate of 1.1%., Conclusion: A simple calculation of the FIB-4 index in diabetes clinics can be the first step toward surveillance of HCC with a non-viral etiology.

The patient was a 67-year-old man with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to chronic hepatitis B. Due to refractoriness to radiofrequency ablation and transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, lenvatinib, a new oral mutikinase inhibitor, was started with a daily dose of 12 mg. However, on day 6 the patient developed acute-onset, right upper quadrant pain associated with fever; laboratory tests revealed leukocytosis and liver dysfunction. CT scan showed the swollen gallbladder with wall thickening with no evidence of gallstones, and the diagnosis of acute acalculous cholecystitis was made. After the resolution of cholecystitis by antibiotics and endoscopic nasogallbladder drainage placement, lenvatinib was resumed at a reduced daily dose of 4 mg. However, acute acalculous cholecystitis recurred, supporting lenvatinib as a cause of acute acalculous cholecystitis. Using the Naranjo adverse drug reaction probability scale, a score of 6 was derived, which indicates that this adverse event was probably caused by lenvatinib. In summary, we present a patient with advanced HCC who underwent repeated episodes of acute acalculous cholecystitis as a rare adverse event associated with lenvatinib.

Background: The clinical course of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is complicated, because it often recurs and shows multiple lesions, some of which progress to a more malignant form, shortening the life of the patient. The hepatocyte growth factor receptor c-Met has been shown to play an important role in the pathogenesis of HCC, but the influence of c-Met expression on the clinical course of HCC remains to be fully elucidated., Methods: We randomly selected and included 600 tumor specimens obtained from the primary and recurrent lesions of 319 HCC cases between 1995 and 2007. The expression of c-Met was determined by immunohistochemistry using archived formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded samples. We analyzed the correlation between c-Met expression and clinical parameters, including survival. In addition, we examined c-Met expression in the malignant transition of HCC in all cases including recurrent lesions., Results: Survival analysis using the multivariate Cox proportional-regression model revealed that the prognosis was significantly better in the primary cases with high c-Met expression than in those with low c-Met expression (hazard ratio 0.159, 95% confidence interval 0.065-0.391; p < 0.001). During the course of recurrence, some cases with high c-Met expression returned to low c-Met expression. Among 40 cases with high c-Met expression, 29 survived more than 2 years after detecting the high c-Met expression., Conclusion: High expression of c-Met may be a prognostic factor for a good, rather than a poor, HCC prognosis. The involvement of c-Met expression in the malignant transition of recurrent HCC is obscure., (© 2019 S. Karger AG, Basel.)

Background: A phase 3, multinational, randomized, non-inferiority trial (REFLECT) compared the efficacy and safety of lenvatinib (LEN) and sorafenib (SOR) in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). LEN had an effect on overall survival (OS) compared to SOR, statistically confirmed by non-inferiority [OS: median = 13.6 months vs. 12.3 months; hazard ratio (HR) 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.79-1.06], and demonstrated statistically significant improvements in progression-free survival (PFS) and the objective response rate (ORR) in the overall population. The results of a subset analysis that evaluated the efficacy and safety of LEN and SOR in the Japanese population are reported., Methods: The intent-to-treat population enrolled in Japan was analyzed., Results: Of 954 patients in the overall population, 168 Japanese patients were assigned to the LEN arm (N = 81) or the SOR arm (N = 87). Median OS was 17.6 months for LEN vs. 17.8 months for SOR (HR 0.90; 95% CI 0.62-1.29). LEN showed statistically significant improvements over SOR in PFS (7.2 months vs. 4.6 months) and ORR (29.6% vs. 6.9%). The relative dose intensity of LEN and SOR in the Japanese population was lower than in the overall population. Frequently observed, related adverse events included palmar-plantar erythrodysaesthesia syndrome (PPES), hypertension, decreased appetite, and proteinuria in the LEN arm, and PPES, hypertension, diarrhea, and alopecia in the SOR arm., Conclusions: The efficacy and safety of LEN in the Japanese population were similar to those in the overall population of REFLECT. With manageable adverse events, LEN is a new treatment option for Japanese patients with uHCC., Trial Registration Id: ClinicalTrials.gov. No. NCT01761266.

Background/aims: We aimed to investigate incidence, characteristics, and possible risk factors of pancreatic cancer in patients under observation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) because the association of hepatitis virus B infection and pancreatic cancer has been reported., Patients and Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in the Gastroenterology Department of a University Hospital in Japan between 2004 and 2012. A total of 1848 patients who underwent treatment for HCC were included at the initiation of treatment for HCC (mean follow-up period, 33.6 months). The patients received trimonthly radiological follow-ups. Newly developed cases of pancreatic cancer during follow-up for HCC were compared with that of an age- and sex-matched theoretical cohort from national statistics. Possible predisposing factors for pancreatic cancer related to HCC were assessed. Cumulative probabilities of developing a pancreatic cancer were compared using log-rank test., Results: About 13 of 1848 patients developed pancreatic cancer (mean follow-up period, 45.2 months). The risk ratio for all patients was 3.02 (log-rank test: P =0.01). Statistical analyses showed no effects of the following factors on the development of pancreatic cancer: age, sex, follow-up period, alcohol intake, laboratory data, presence of hepatitis virus, characteristics of HCC, type of treatment, number of radiological examinations, and cumulative effective dose., Conclusions: Increased incidence of pancreatic cancer was found in patients under observation for HCC in a relatively small cohort. HCC or other common underlying conditions might be a risk factor for development of pancreatic cancer., Competing Interests: None

Metabolic disturbance of lipids is a hallmark of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In this study, we measured the serum levels of 15 acylcarnitine species of various carbon chain lengths from 2 to 18 in 241 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD, including 23 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and analyzed the relationship between serum acylcarnitine profile and NAFLD status. Long-chain acylcarnitines AC14:1 and AC18:1 increased gradually with the progression of fibrosis and further increased in patients with HCC, whereas the middle-chain acylcarnitine AC5:0 exhibited the opposite trend. In particular, AC18:1, which we previously showed to possess a tumor promoting effect, was significantly elevated in patients with HCC compared to those without HCC. In addition, long-chain acylcarntines including AC18:1 were positively correlated with serum levels of inflammatory cytokines. Although none of the acylcarnitine species were independently associated with the presence of HCC, (AC16:0 + AC18:1)/AC2:0, an index for the diagnosis of carnitine palmitoyltransferase 2 (CPT2) deficiency, was independently associated with the presence of HCC after adjusting for age and liver fibrosis stage, likely reflecting the downregulation of CPT2 in HCC tissues. Thus, serum acylcarnitine profiles changed significantly according to the status of NAFLD, which may be implicated in the pathogenesis of NAFLD.

Objective: We reviewed nationwide follow-up data to determine outcomes of different treatments for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in elderly patients., Summary Background Data: Outcomes of early-stage HCC treatments in elderly patients have not been prospectively compared., Methods: We included 6490 HCC patients, aged ≥75 years at treatment, who underwent curative hepatic resection (HR, n = 2020), radiofrequency ablation (RFA, n = 1888), microwave ablation (MWA, n = 193), or transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE, n = 2389), and compared their characteristics and survival. We used matching propensity score analysis (PSA) between the HR and RFA subgroups with tumors ≤3 cm to overcome baseline bias., Results: The HR group had significantly longer recurrence-free survival (RFS) than the RFA, MWA, and TACE groups [RFA vs HR-hazard ratio: 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.09-1.37, P < 0.001; MWA vs HR-hazard ratio: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.22-1.88, P < 0.001; TACE vs HR-hazard ratio: 2.70, 95% CI: 2.44-2.99, P < 0.001). HR and RFA patients had significantly longer overall survival (OS) than the TACE group (RFA vs HR-hazard ratio: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.87-1.17, P = 0.919, TACE vs HR-hazard ratio: 2.11, 95% CI: 1.86-2.40, P < 0.001). PSA successfully matched HR and RFA patients from with primary HCC tumors ≤3.0 cm and similar liver function and tumor characteristics; and showed significantly longer RFS (hazard ratio: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.29-2.10, P < 0.001) and OS (hazard ratio: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.12-2.20, P = 0.009) for HR than for RFA (including subgroup analyses). In Cox proportional hazard analysis, HR offered better prognosis than RFA., Conclusions: HR decreases recurrence risk and improves OS in patients aged ≥75 years with primary HCC tumors ≤3.0 cm.

Background: With the improvement in survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients, extrahepatic metastases have become a more frequent complication. Although pathological fractures or paralysis due to bone metastases deteriorate the quality of life of patients, no treatment guideline for bone metastases has been established. This study aimed to clarify the risk factors for these events and the clinical course of patients with bone metastases., Methods: Out of 783 hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated in our institution between 2009 and 2016, 76 patients with bone metastases were enrolled. They were divided into two groups by the trigger of bone metastases detection. One was those diagnosed by surveillance (surveillance group), and the other was those based on symptom presentation (non-surveillance group). We investigated the clinical features, risk factors for fractures or paralysis and prognostic factors for survival after bone metastases., Results: Baseline characteristics and survival were not significantly different between two groups. Fractures or paralysis occurred in 10 patients (13.2%), and the frequency was significantly higher in the non-surveillance group (20.9%) than the surveillance group (3.0%) in univariate analysis (p = 0.036). The median survival after diagnosis of bone metastases was 11.7 months. Age over 75 years (p = 0.002), hepatitis C-virus etiology (p = 0.007) and Child-Pugh class B/C (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with a shorter survival in multivariate analysis, but fractures or paralysis did not affect the survival., Conclusions: Early diagnosis through surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma bone metastases may prevent fractures or paralysis and lead to a better quality of life for these patients., (© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Because of its multifactorial nature, predicting the presence of cancer using a single biomarker is difficult. We aimed to establish a novel machine-learning model for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using real-world data obtained during clinical practice. To establish a predictive model, we developed a machine-learning framework which developed optimized classifiers and their respective hyperparameter, depending on the nature of the data, using a grid-search method. We applied the current framework to 539 and 1043 patients with and without HCC to develop a predictive model for the diagnosis of HCC. Using the optimal hyperparameter, gradient boosting provided the highest predictive accuracy for the presence of HCC (87.34%) and produced an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.940. Using cut-offs of 200 ng/mL for AFP, 40 mAu/mL for DCP, and 15% for AFP-L3, the accuracies of AFP, DCP, and AFP-L3 for predicting HCC were 70.67% (AUC, 0.766), 74.91% (AUC, 0.644), and 71.05% (AUC, 0.683), respectively. A novel predictive model using a machine-learning approach reduced the misclassification rate by about half compared with a single tumor marker. The framework used in the current study can be applied to various kinds of data, thus potentially become a translational mechanism between academic research and clinical practice.

Background: We previously reported that the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with non-viral etiologies increased rapidly between 1991 and 2010 in Japan., Methods: To update this investigation, we enrolled patients who were initially diagnosed as having non-B, non-C HCC at participating hospitals between 2011 and 2015. In addition to the patient characteristics investigated in the previous report, we also investigated the duration of alcohol consumption. The overall survival rate was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the hazard function against the body mass index (BMI) was plotted using cubic splines., Results: A total of 2087 patients were enrolled. The proportion of patients with non-viral etiologies has continued to increase from 10.0% in 1991 to 32.5% in 2015. Patients were also older (median ages, 70-73 years) and more obese (median BMIs, 23.9-24.2 kg/m 2 ), and the proportions of patients with diabetes mellitus (46.1% to 51.6%), hypertension (42.7% to 58.6%), dyslipidemia (14.6% to 22.9%), and fatty liver (24.0% to 28.8%) had all increased significantly. There was a significant inverse relationship between the duration and the amount of daily alcohol consumption. The improvement in the overall survival was relatively small, with a decreased proportion of patients under surveillance (41.3% to 31.6%). A hazard function plot showed a curve similar to that in our previous report, with a lowest hazard of ~ 26 kg/m 2 ., Conclusions: The proportion of HCC patients with non-viral etiologies continues to increase in Japan. Lifetime total amount of alcohol consumption may be a risk factor.

Background: Thrombocytopenia represents an obstacle for invasive procedures in chronic liver disease (CLD) patients. We aimed to estimate the appropriate dose and evaluate the efficacy and safety of lusutrombopag for the treatment of thrombocytopenia before percutaneous liver radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for primary hepatic cancer in patients with CLD., Methods: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study conducted in Japan, 61 CLD patients with platelet count < 50 × 10 3 /µL at screening were randomized to placebo or lusutrombopag 2, 3, or 4 mg once daily for 7 days, followed by a 28-day post-treatment assessment period. The primary efficacy endpoint was the proportion of patients who did not require platelet transfusion before RFA. The pre-specified key secondary efficacy endpoint was the proportion of responders. Adverse events (AEs) and thrombosis-related AEs were evaluated., Results: The proportion of patients who did not require platelet transfusion before RFA and that of responders were significantly higher (p < 0.01) in the 2-mg (80.0, 66.7%), 3-mg (81.3, 68.8%), and 4-mg groups (93.3, 80.0%) compared with the placebo group (20.0, 6.7%) and showed a dose-dependent effect. The incidence of AEs was 97.8 and 100% in the lusutrombopag (all groups) and placebo groups, respectively; no dose-related increase was observed. Four patients experienced thrombosis-related events (one each in the placebo and 2-mg groups, and two in the 4-mg group). A total of 16 (18%) adverse drug reactions occurred in the safety analysis set., Conclusions: Lusutrombopag 3 mg once daily for 7 days was effective without raising concerns about excessive increases in platelet count., Clinical Trial Registration: The study is registered at JapicCTI-121944.

Background & Aims: It remains controversial whether direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) accelerate the recurrence of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative therapy. This study aimed to evaluate HCC recurrence after DAA treatment of chronic hepatitis C., Methods: We enrolled patients with a history of successful radiofrequency ablation treatment for hepatitis C-related HCC who received antiviral therapy with DAAs (DAA group: 147 patients) or with interferon (IFN)-based therapy (IFN group: 156 patients). We assessed HCC recurrence rates from the initiation of antiviral therapy using the Kaplan-Meier method and evaluated risk factors for HCC recurrence by multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. The recurrence pattern was categorized as follows: intrahepatic recurrence with a single tumor <2 cm (stage 0), a single tumor or up to 3 tumors ≤3 cm (stage A), multinodular (stage B), and extrahepatic metastasis or macrovascular invasion (stage C)., Results: The recurrence rates at 1 and 2 years were 39% and 61% in the IFN group and 39% and 60% in the DAA group, respectively (p = 0.43). Multivariate analysis identified higher lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein level, a history of multiple HCC treatments, and a shorter interval between HCC treatment and initiation of antiviral therapy as independent risk factors for HCC recurrence. HCC recurrence in stage 0, A, B, and C was found in 56 (41%), 60 (44%), 19 (14%), and 1 (0.7%) patients in the IFN group and 35 (44%), 32 (40%), 11 (14%), and 2 (2.5%) patients in the DAA group, respectively (p = 0.70)., Conclusions: HCC recurrence rates and patterns after initiation of antiviral therapy did not differ between patients who received IFN-based therapy and DAA therapy., Lay Summary: We detected no significant difference in early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence rates and patterns between patients who received interferon-based and direct-acting antiviral therapy after HCC treatment. High lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein level, short recurrence-free period, and a history of multiple HCC treatments were independent risk factors for early HCC recurrence after the initiation of antiviral therapy., (Copyright © 2018 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: We reported a cross-sectional study on causes of liver injury in Japanese type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) patients (JG 2013). We assessed overall and cause-specific mortality risk during follow-up of patients enrolled in JG 2013., Methods: This was a longitudinal, multicenter cohort study. Of the 5642 Japanese T2D patients who visited T2D clinics of nine hospitals in the original study, 3,999 patients were followed up for an average of 4.5 years. Expected deaths in T2D patients were estimated using age-specific mortality rates in the general population (GP) of Japan. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated to compare mortality between T2D patients and GP., Results: All-cancer mortality was significantly higher in T2D patients than in the GP [SMR 1.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-1.87]. Among malignancies, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) conferred the highest mortality risk in T2D patients (SMR 3.57, 95% CI 2.41-5.10). HCC-associated mortality risk in T2D patients remained significantly high (SMR 2.56, 95% CI 1.64-3.97) after adjusting for high positivity rates of hepatitis B surface antigen (1.7%) and anti-hepatitis C virus (5.3%). In T2D patients with platelet counts < 200 × 10 3 /μl, SMR of HCC increased from 3.57 to 6.58 (95% CI 4.34-9.58). T2D patients with platelet count > 200 × 10 3 /μl showed no increase in mortality risk (SMR 0.68) of HCC., Conclusions: HCC-associated mortality risk was the highest among all cancers in Japanese T2D patients. Regular follow-up may be important for T2D patients with platelet counts < 200 × 10 3 /μl for early detection of HCC.

Proteoglycans, which consist of a protein core and glycosaminoglycan chains, are major components of the extracellular matrix and play physiological roles in maintaining tissue homeostasis. In the carcinogenic tissue microenvironment, proteoglycan expression changes dramatically. Altered proteoglycan expression on tumor and stromal cells affects cancer cell signaling pathways, which alters growth, migration, and angiogenesis and could facilitate tumorigenesis. This dysregulation of proteoglycans has been implicated in the pathogenesis of diseases such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the underlying mechanism has been studied extensively. This review summarizes the current knowledge of the roles of proteoglycans in the genesis and progression of HCC. It focuses on well-investigated proteoglycans such as serglycin, syndecan-1, glypican 3, agrin, collagen XVIII/endostatin, versican, and decorin, with particular emphasis on the potential of these factors as biomarkers and therapeutic targets in HCC regarding the future perspective of precision medicine toward the "cure of HCC".

Objective: Metabolic reprogramming of tumour cells that allows for adaptation to their local environment is a hallmark of cancer. Interestingly, obesity-driven and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-driven hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mouse models commonly exhibit strong steatosis in tumour cells as seen in human steatohepatitic HCC (SH-HCC), which may reflect a characteristic metabolic alteration., Design: Non-tumour and HCC tissues obtained from diethylnitrosamine-injected mice fed either a normal or a high-fat diet (HFD) were subjected to comprehensive metabolome analysis, and the significance of obesity-mediated metabolic alteration in hepatocarcinogenesis was evaluated., Results: The extensive accumulation of acylcarnitine species was seen in HCC tissues and in the serum of HFD-fed mice. A similar increase was found in the serum of patients with NASH-HCC. The accumulation of acylcarnitine could be attributed to the downregulation of carnitine palmitoyltransferase 2 (CPT2), which was also seen in human SH-HCC. CPT2 downregulation induced the suppression of fatty acid β-oxidation, which would account for the steatotic changes in HCC. CPT2 knockdown in HCC cells resulted in their resistance to lipotoxicity by inhibiting the Src-mediated JNK activation. Additionally, oleoylcarnitine enhanced sphere formation by HCC cells via STAT3 activation, suggesting that acylcarnitine accumulation was a surrogate marker of CPT2 downregulation and directly contributed to hepatocarcinogenesis. HFD feeding and carnitine supplementation synergistically enhanced HCC development accompanied by acylcarnitine accumulation in vivo., Conclusion: In obesity-driven and NASH-driven HCC, metabolic reprogramming mediated by the downregulation of CPT2 enables HCC cells to escape lipotoxicity and promotes hepatocarcinogenesis., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2018. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.)

Background & Aims: Hepatic iron accumulation can accelerate liver injury in patients with various chronic liver diseases and lead to hepatocarcinogenesis. We elucidated the impact of serum levels of ferritin on the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in a large cohort., Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 578 treatment-naïve HCC patients who underwent RFA. We divided our cohort into four groups by the quartile points of serum ferritin level: G1 (≤55 ng/mL, n = 148), G2 (56-130 ng/mL, n = 142), G3 (131-243 ng/mL, n = 144) and G4 (≥244 ng/mL, n = 144). We analyzed the recurrence and survival of patients using the Kaplan-Meier method. We also evaluated pathological iron deposition among patients with a solitary tumor smaller than 2 cm., Results: The cumulative rates of overall recurrence and survival at 5 years were 81.6% and 66.3%, respectively. The serum levels of ferritin were correlated with pathological iron deposition. There were no significant differences in recurrence and survival rates according to serum levels of ferritin and pathological hepatic iron deposition., Conclusions: Serum levels of ferritin do not affect the prognosis of HCC patients undergoing RFA., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Image-guided percutaneous ablation is considered best in the treatment of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Ablation is potentially curative, minimally invasive, and easily repeatable for recurrence. Ethanol injection used to be the standard in ablation. However, radiofrequency ablation has recently been the most prevailing ablation method for HCC. Many investigators have reported that radiofrequency ablation is superior to ethanol injection, from the viewpoints of treatment response, local tumor curativity, and overall survival. New-generation microwave ablation can create a larger ablation volume in a shorter time period. Further comparison studies are, however, mandatory between radiofrequency ablation and microwave ablation, especially in terms of complications and long-term survival. Irreversible electroporation, which is a non-thermal ablation method that delivers short electric pulses to induce cell death due to apoptosis, requires further studies, especially in terms of long-term outcomes. It is considerably difficult to compare outcomes in ablation with those in surgical resection. However, radiofrequency ablation seems to be a satisfactory alternative to resection for HCC 3 cm or smaller in Child-Pugh class A or B cirrhosis. Furthermore, radiofrequency ablation may be a first-line treatment in HCC 2 cm or smaller in Child-Pugh class A or B cirrhosis. Various innovations would further improve outcomes in ablation. Training programs may be effective in providing an excellent opportunity to understand basic concepts and learn cardinal skills for successful ablation. Sophisticated ablation would be more than an adequate alternative of surgery for small- and possibly middle-sized HCC.

Objectives: To investigate the radiological findings prognostic for the development of pancreatic adenocarcinoma in a cohort of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, using multiphasic computed tomography (CT)., Methods: A case-cohort study performed in a single university hospital. A database of patients who received hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment and trimonthly follow-up with four-phase dynamic CT was used (n = 1848). The cohort group was randomly extracted from the database (n = 103). The case group comprised nine patients from the database who developed pancreatic adenocarcinoma. The radiological findings were assessed during follow-up (average, 32 months)., Results: The incidence of pancreatic mass, inhomogeneous parenchyma, loss of fatty marbling and main pancreatic duct dilatation gradually increased from 4 to 13 months before the diagnosis of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. There was a significantly higher incidence of pancreatic mass, inhomogeneous parenchyma and loss of fatty marbling on CT at baseline (average, 34 months before diagnosis) in the case group compared with the cohort group (P values < 0.01) and those findings at baseline were revealed as prognostic factors for pancreatic carcinogenesis, respectively (log-rank test, P values < 0.001)., Conclusions: Several radiological findings observed on multiphasic CT can assist in predicting pancreatic carcinogenesis well in advance., Key Points: • Pancreatic findings in multiphasic CT help predict development of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. • Key findings are mass, inhomogeneous parenchyma and loss of fatty marbling. • Those findings were observed 34 months before confirmed diagnosis of adenocarcinoma. • Those findings were prognostic factors for pancreatic carcinogenesis.

Background and Aim: Because of the rarity of invasive treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients on hemodialysis (HD) for end-stage renal disease (ESRD), the risks associated with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in such patients remain uncertain. We used a nationwide database to investigate in-hospital mortality and hemorrhagic complications following RFA in patients on HD for ESRD., Methods: Using the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we enrolled patients on HD for ESRD who underwent RFA for HCC. For each patient, we randomly selected up to four non-dialyzed patients using a matched-pair sampling method based on patient age, sex, treatment hospital, and treatment year. In-hospital mortality and hemorrhagic complications were compared between dialyzed and non-dialyzed patients following RFA., Results: We compared matched-pair samples of 437 dialyzed and 1345 non-dialyzed patients. In patients on HD for ESRD, mortality was significantly lower in those aged ≤70 years than in older patients (P = 0.02). In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in dialyzed ESRD patients than in non-dialyzed patients (1.1% vs 0.15%, respectively; odds ratio = 7.77, P < 0.001). Hemorrhagic complications differed significantly between dialyzed ESRD patients and non-dialyzed patients (3.4% vs 0.87%, respectively; odds ratio = 4.75, P < 0.001)., Conclusions: In-hospital mortality following RFA was higher in dialyzed ESRD patients than in non-dialyzed patients. The indications for RFA in dialysis-dependent patients should be considered carefully. Patient age may be a useful indicator when considering RFA for HCC in patients on HD for ESRD., (© 2017 Journal of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Foundation and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.)

There is great geographical variation in the distribution of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), with the majority of all cases worldwide found in the Asia-Pacific region, where HCC is one of the leading public health problems. Since the "Toward Revision of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) HCC Guidelines" meeting held at the 25th annual conference of the APASL in Tokyo, the newest guidelines for the treatment of HCC published by the APASL has been discussed. This latest guidelines recommend evidence-based management of HCC and are considered suitable for universal use in the Asia-Pacific region, which has a diversity of medical environments.

Background: REACH evaluated ramucirumab in the second-line treatment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. In the intent-to-treat population (n = 565), a significant improvement in overall survival (OS) was not observed. In patients with an elevated baseline α-fetoprotein (AFP) level (400 ng/mL or greater), an improvement in OS was demonstrated. An analysis of the Japanese patients in REACH was performed., Methods: An analysis was performed with the subset of the intent-to-treat population enrolled in Japan (n = 93)., Results: The median OS was 12.9 months for the ramucirumab arm (n = 45) and 8.0 months for the placebo arm (n = 48) [hazard ratio (HR) 0.621 (95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.391-0.986); P = 0.0416]. The median progression-free survival was 4.1 months for the ramucirumab arm and 1.7 months for the placebo arm [HR 0.449 (95 % CI 0.285-0.706); P = 0.0004]. The objective response rates were 11 % for the ramucirumab arm and 2 % for the placebo arm (P = 0.0817). The grade 3 or higher treatment-emergent adverse events occurring in more than 5 % of patients with a higher incidence for the ramucirumab arm (n = 44) than for the placebo arm (n = 47) were ascites (7% vs 2 %), hypertension (7 % vs 2 %), and cholangitis (7 % vs 0 %). In patients with a baseline AFP level of 400 ng/mL or greater, the median OS was 12.9 months for the ramucirumab arm (n = 20) and 4.3 months for the placebo arm (n = 22) [HR 0.464 (95 % CI 0.232-0.926); P = 0.0263]., Conclusions: In the Japanese patients in REACH, ramucirumab treatment improved OS, including in patients with a baseline AFP level of 400 ng/mL or greater; improvements in progression-free survival and objective response rate were also demonstrated. The safety profile of ramucirumab was acceptable and well tolerated in Japanese patients. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT01140347.

Background & Aims: Obesity defined by body mass index (BMI) significantly increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In contrast, not only obesity but also underweight is associated with poor prognosis in patients with HCC. Differences in body composition rather than BMI were suggested to be true determinants of prognosis. However, this hypothesis has not been demonstrated conclusively., Methods: We measured skeletal muscle index (SMI), mean muscle attenuation (MA), visceral adipose tissue index, subcutaneous adipose tissue index, and visceral to subcutaneous adipose tissue area ratios (VSR) via computed tomography in a large-scale retrospective cohort of 1257 patients with different stages of HCC, and comprehensively analyzed the impact of body composition on the prognoses., Results: Among five body composition components, low SMI (called sarcopenia), low MA (called intramuscular fat [IMF] deposition), and high VSR (called visceral adiposity) were significantly associated with mortality, independently of cancer stage or Child-Pugh class. A multivariate analysis revealed that sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR], 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18-1.96; p=0.001), IMF deposition (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.05-1.71; p=0.020), and visceral adiposity (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.09-1.66; p=0.005) but not BMI were significant predictors of survival. The prevalence of poor prognostic body composition components was significantly higher in underweight and obese patients than in normal weight patients., Conclusions: Sarcopenia, IMF deposition, and visceral adiposity independently predict mortality in patients with HCC. Body composition rather than BMI is a major determinant of prognosis in patients with HCC., (Copyright © 2015 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)