1. Lung cancer risk in persons enrolled in low-dose CT screening (LDCT) versus incidental lung nodule programs (ILNP)
- Author
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Wei Liao, Nicholas Faris, Carrie Fehnel, Jordan Goss, Alicia Pacheco, Paul F Pinsky, Matthew Smeltzer, and Raymond U. Osarogiagbon
- Subjects
Cancer Research ,Oncology - Abstract
8553 Background: LDCT screening saves lives, but 80 years (C2, too old); 50 – 80 years (C3, ineligible smoking history); 50 – 80 years (C4, eligible). For certain analyses, we stratified the LDCT cohort by baseline (T0) Lung-RADS score (0-2 v 3-4). We used a Cox model to calculate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for lung cancer diagnosis within 24 months of enrollment. Results: From 2015-2021, 7050 persons were in LDCT- 6073 (86%) Lung-RADS 0-2 (no/benign lesions), 977 (14%) Lung-RADS 3 or 4 (possibly malignant lesion) on T0 scan; 17,579 were in ILNP, 16%, 10%, 57% and 16% respectively in C1-4. Demographics and tobacco use history of the ILNP cohorts differed strikingly; C4 was very similar to LDCT (Table). Black persons were significantly more in C1 (too young) and C3 (insufficient tobacco use). Diagnosis of lung cancer at 36 months ranged from 1% in C1 to 15% in C4, compared to 3% in LDCT; aHR for lung cancer diagnosis within 2 years ranged from 0.23 to 5.12 (all LDCT ref), but ranged from 0.04 to 1.02 with reference to LDCT Lung-RADS 3-4. Most patients in LDCT and ILNP C2-4 had early stage. There were proportionately more Black lung cancer patients in C1-4, and 3 times more Black patients in C3 and 4 than in LDCT. Conclusions: ILNP provides early-detection access to a larger, more diverse population than LDCT, potentially alleviating race and socio-economics-based outcomes disparities. [Table: see text]
- Published
- 2022
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