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Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-associated mortality worldwide. Here we analysed 1,644 tumour regions sampled at surgery or during follow-up from the first 421 patients with non-small cell lung cancer prospectively enrolled into the TRACERx study. This project aims to decipher lung cancer evolution and address the primary study endpoint: determining the relationship between intratumour heterogeneity and clinical outcome. In lung adenocarcinoma, mutations in 22 out of 40 common cancer genes were under significant subclonal selection, including classical tumour initiators such as TP53 and KRAS. We defined evolutionary dependencies between drivers, mutational processes and whole genome doubling (WGD) events. Despite patients having a history of smoking, 8% of lung adenocarcinomas lacked evidence of tobacco-induced mutagenesis. These tumours also had similar detection rates for EGFR mutations and for RET, ROS1, ALK and MET oncogenic isoforms compared with tumours in never-smokers, which suggests that they have a similar aetiology and pathogenesis. Large subclonal expansions were associated with positive subclonal selection. Patients with tumours harbouring recent subclonal expansions, on the terminus of a phylogenetic branch, had significantly shorter disease-free survival. Subclonal WGD was detected in 19% of tumours, and 10% of tumours harboured multiple subclonal WGDs in parallel. Subclonal, but not truncal, WGD was associated with shorter disease-free survival. Copy number heterogeneity was associated with extrathoracic relapse within 1 year after surgery. These data demonstrate the importance of clonal expansion, WGD and copy number instability in determining the timing and patterns of relapse in non-small cell lung cancer and provide a comprehensive clinical cancer evolutionary data resource.

Metastatic disease is responsible for the majority of cancer-related deaths1. We report the longitudinal evolutionary analysis of 126 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) tumours from 421 prospectively recruited patients in TRACERx who developed metastatic disease, compared with a control cohort of 144 non-metastatic tumours. In 25% of cases, metastases diverged early, before the last clonal sweep in the primary tumour, and early divergence was enriched for patients who were smokers at the time of initial diagnosis. Simulations suggested that early metastatic divergence more frequently occurred at smaller tumour diameters (less than 8 mm). Single-region primary tumour sampling resulted in 83% of late divergence cases being misclassified as early, highlighting the importance of extensive primary tumour sampling. Polyclonal dissemination, which was associated with extrathoracic disease recurrence, was found in 32% of cases. Primary lymph node disease contributed to metastatic relapse in less than 20% of cases, representing a hallmark of metastatic potential rather than a route to subsequent recurrences/disease progression. Metastasis-seeding subclones exhibited subclonal expansions within primary tumours, probably reflecting positive selection. Our findings highlight the importance of selection in metastatic clone evolution within untreated primary tumours, the distinction between monoclonal versus polyclonal seeding in dictating site of recurrence, the limitations of current radiological screening approaches for early diverging tumours and the need to develop strategies to target metastasis-seeding subclones before relapse.

Metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) results from a complex evolutionary process in which cancer cells migrate from a primary tumour to a new anatomical site. Immunotherapy is frequently used to treat NSCLC, but drug resistance is frequent (>50%) and metastasis remains the most common cause of death. Recent studies of primary and metastatic tumours suggest that anti-cancer treatments can impact cancer evolutionary dynamics by applying selective pressures that promote the development of treatment resistance in genetically distinct subpopulations of cancer cells, or tumour clones. However, the relationship between metastatic progression and the development of resistance to immunotherapy has not been fully explored. In particular, whether metastases become resistant to immunotherapy as a result of the migration of resistant cells or whether distinct metastatic sites converge in parallel toward an immunotherapy resistance phenotype irrespective of cell migration, is not known. In this work, we investigate the role of metastatic cell migration in the development of immunotherapy resistance using DNA sequencing data from primary and metastatic tumour samples from twelve immunotherapy-treated patients with NSCLC co-recruited to the national TRACERx and PEACE studies. Using computational approaches, we identified distinct tumour clones in primary and metastatic tumours and used these to reconstruct tumour phylogenies for each patient. By evaluating tumour clonal dynamics in relation to treatment, we classified tumour clones as either sensitive or resistant to immunotherapy. We reconstructed the metastatic migration histories of these clones using existing computational methods based on somatic single nucleotide variants. Our results suggest that heterogeneous mechanisms of immune evasion develop in parallel at distinct metastatic sites. The ongoing analysis of the genetic changes that distinguish resistant from sensitive clones, and migrating from non-migrating clones, will provide further detail regarding the impact of metastatic migrations on immunotherapy resistance. Using this approach to map the evolutionary history of metastatic NSCLC, we provide insight into the mechanism by which immunotherapy resistance develops at distinct metastatic sites. Citation Format: Sonya Hessey, Ariana Huebner, Oriol Pich, Abi Bunkum, Wing Liu, David A. Moore, Cristina Naceur-Lombardelli, Selvaraju Veeriah, Sophie Ward, Roberto Salgado, Nicholas McGranahan, Simone Zaccaria, Charles Swanton, Mariam Jamal-Hanjani. Tracking the emergence of immunotherapy resistance in lung cancer metastases [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 2037.