1. The risk of induced cancer and ischemic heart disease following low dose lung irradiation for COVID-19: estimation based on a virtual case
- Author
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Arruda, Gustavo Viani, Weber, Raissa Renata dos Santos, Bruno, Alexandre Colello, and Pavoni, Juliana Fernandes
- Subjects
Oncology ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Disease ,030218 nuclear medicine & medical imaging ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,whole lung irradiation ,medicine ,Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and imaging ,radiotherapy ,cancer induction ,Lung ,Radiological and Ultrasound Technology ,business.industry ,COVID-19 ,Cancer ,medicine.disease ,respiratory tract diseases ,Radiation therapy ,Pneumonia ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Radiology Nuclear Medicine and imaging ,Rapid Communications ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Biological plausibility ,business ,Ischemic heart ,Research Article - Abstract
Background Recently, low dose radiotherapy delivered to the whole lung has been proposed as treatment for the pneumonia due to COVID-19. Although there is biological plausibility for its use, the evidence supporting its effectiveness is scarce, and the risks associated with it may be significant. Thus, based on a virtual case simulation, we estimated the risks of radiation-induced cancer (RIC) and cardiac disease. Methods Lifetime attributable risks (LAR) of RIC were calculated for the lung, liver, esophagus, and breast of female patients. The cardiovascular risk of exposure-induced death (REID) due to ischemic heart disease was also calculated. The doses received by the organs involved in the treatment were obtained from a simulation of conformal radiotherapy (RT) treatment, delivering a dose of 0.5 Gy–1.5 Gy to the lungs. We considered a LAR and REID 2% unacceptable. Results The lung was at the highest risk for RIC (absolute LAR below 5200 cases/100,000 and 2250 cases/100,000 for women and men, respectively). For women, the breast had the second-highest LAR, especially for young women. The liver and esophagus had LARs below 700/100,000 for both sexes, with a higher incidence of esophageal cancer in women and liver cancer in men. Regarding the LAR cutoff, we observed an unacceptable or cautionary LAR for lung cancer in all women and men 1 Gy. LAR for lung cancer with an RT dose of 1 Gy was cautionary for women >60 years of age and men
- Published
- 2020