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To investigate the prognostic value of interleukin 6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) in critically ill patients during the first increase of fever, serum levels were measured in 38 patients admitted to intensive care unit of the Department of Medicine, Klinikum Grosshadern, University of Munich, immediately after increase of body temperature more than 38.3 degrees C. Ten healthy controls were also included for comparison. The onset of fever was accompanied by elevated circulating levels of all the 3 markers in comparison with healthy controls. However, only IL-6 levels were significantly higher (P < 0.05) in nonsurvivors (n = 21) compared with survivors. Sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values calculated from median levels was higher for IL-6 compared with PCT and CRP. Areas under receiver characteristic operating curves revealed the highest area under the curve for IL-6 in contrast to PCT and CRP. These data suggest that IL-6 rather than PCT or CRP may be an early predictor of mortality in patients with onset of fever and identify patients, who need intensive monitoring to initiate appropriate therapy at an early stage.

The prognostic relevance of blood markers in cerebral stroke is still a matter of controversial debate. In sera of 63 patients, nucleosomes, neuronspecific enolase (NSE), S100 protein, and C-reactive protein (CRP) were determined daily during the first week after cerebral stroke. Infarction volume was quantified by CT or MRI and the clinical status by Barthel Index (BI) at admission, discharge, and after 12 months (prognosis). All markers were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis on their prognostic relevance. During observation time (12 months), three patients died and 33 reached complete recovery. Infarction volume, nucleosomes, NSE, S100, and CRP correlated significantly with clinical status at admission. The same markers except CRP and initial BI correlated with recovery after 12 months. Almost all patients with initial BI ‡ 50 reached complete recovery. In patients with initially severe defects (BI < 50), nucleosomes and S100, both at day 3, were found to be prognostically relevant. At 100%-specificity for non-recovery, only nucleosomes maintained their prognostic power (sensitivity 52.6%; p = 0.014), whereas S100 did not (sensitivity 16.7%; p = 0.25). In multivariate analysis, nucleosomes and BI at admission showed independent prognostic relevance (p = 0.039). Circulating nucleosomes and clinical scores provide independent prognostic information concerning the later outcome in patients with initially severe defects after stroke. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]