1. Clinical characteristics of COVID-19 in Osaka, Japan: Comparison of the first–third waves with the fourth wave
- Author
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Sayoko Shintani, Kazunobu Tachibana, Akihiro Tamiya, Yoshinobu Matsuda, Kyoichi Okishio, Reiko Sugawara, Yu Kurahara, Kazunari Tsuyuguchi, Takehiko Kobayashi, Toru Arai, and Hideo Matsui
- Subjects
Comorbidity ,AST, aspartate aminotransferase ,Severity of Illness Index ,Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive ,Japan ,Risk Factors ,Interquartile range ,Fourth wave ,COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019 ,Aged, 80 and over ,LDH, lactate dehydrogenase ,Mortality rate ,Middle Aged ,ICU, intensive care unit ,KL-6, Krebs von den Lungen-6 ,Hypertension ,Cohort ,CRP, C-reactive protein ,Original Article ,WBC, white blood cell ,Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,macromolecular substances ,SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 ,ALT, alanine aminotransferase ,Diabetes mellitus ,Internal medicine ,Severity of illness ,Diabetes Mellitus ,medicine ,Humans ,Pandemics ,IQR, interquartile range ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Asthma ,Infection Control ,Clinical characteristics ,VOC, variant of concern ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,COVID-19 ,Retrospective cohort study ,medicine.disease ,CI, confidence interval ,OR, odds ratio ,COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease ,Medical crisis ,Osaka ,business - Abstract
Background The fourth wave of COVID-19 in Osaka Prefecture, Japan, caused a medical crisis. Here, we aim to identify the risk factors for COVID-19 severity and compare patients between the first–third waves and the fourth wave. Methods We performed an observational retrospective study of COVID-19 cases at the National Hospital Organization Kinki-Chuo Chest Medical Center. Results We identified 404 patients (median age: 71.0 years [interquartile range: 56.0–80.0]), of whom 199 (49.1%) had mild disease, 142 (35.2%) had moderate disease, and 63 (15.6%) had severe disease. The overall mortality rate was 5.4% (22/404). Based on multivariate logistic regression analysis, cardiovascular disease, fever, dyspnea, and several inflammatory biomarkers were independent risk factors for moderate to severe disease. For every 1 mg/dL increase in C-reactive protein, 10 IU/L increase in lactate dehydrogenase, and 100 ng/mL increase in ferritin, the risk for moderate to severe disease increased by 18.3%, 12.9%, and 8.9%, respectively. Overall disease severity in the fourth wave was higher than in the first–third waves. However, there was no significant difference in mortality. Because of a shortage of beds, four of the 28 severe patients (14.3%) in the fourth wave could not be transferred to the advanced hospital. Conclusions Cardiovascular disease, fever, dyspnea, and several inflammatory biomarkers were risk factors for moderate to severe COVID-19 in our cohort. During the fourth wave, COVID-19 severity worsened, increasing the number of patients who could not be transferred to beds for severe cases, resulting in a medical crisis in Osaka.
- Published
- 2021
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