1. A simple prediction score for in-hospital mortality in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding
- Author
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Waku Hatta, Takahiro Dohmen, Motoki Ohyauchi, Sho Fukuda, Katsunori Iijima, Norihiro Hanabata, Tetsuya Tatsuta, Tomohiro Nakamura, Yohei Ogata, Tatsuya Mikami, Atsushi Masamune, Hidemichi Imamura, Kae Sugawara, Yoichi Kakuta, Yasuhiko Abe, Hirotaka Ito, Yasumitsu Araki, Takumi Yanagita, Yusuke Onozato, Jun Nakamura, Tamotsu Matsuhashi, Shuichi Ohara, Tsuyotoshi Tsuji, Takuto Hikichi, Yohei Horikawa, and Yutaka Kondo
- Subjects
Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Hemorrhage ,Logistic regression ,Risk Assessment ,Severity of Illness Index ,Cohort Studies ,Upper Gastrointestinal Tract ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,Humans ,Glasgow-Blatchford score ,Medicine ,Hospital Mortality ,Statistic ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,business.industry ,Gastroenterology ,Retrospective cohort study ,Middle Aged ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Comorbidity ,Colorectal surgery ,ROC Curve ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Female ,030211 gastroenterology & hepatology ,Upper gastrointestinal bleeding ,Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage ,business ,Rockall score - Abstract
No prediction scores for the mortality of both inpatients and outpatients who developed nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) without endoscopic findings have been established. We aimed to derive and validate a novel prediction score for in-hospital mortality. We conducted a three-stage, multicenter retrospective study. In the derivation stage, patients with nonvariceal UGIB at six institutions were enrolled to derive the prediction score by logistic regression analysis. External validation of the score was performed to analyze discrimination by patients at six other institutions. Then the performance of this score was compared with that of four existing scores. We enrolled 1380 and 825 patients in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. A prediction score (CHAMPS-R Score) comprising seven variables (Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 2, in-hospital onset, albumin
- Published
- 2021