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Purpose To evaluate the long-term effect of subthreshold nanosecond laser (SNL) treatment on progression to late age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Design Observational extension study of a randomized, sham-controlled trial. Participants Two hundred twelve participants with bilateral large drusen. Methods The Laser Intervention in the Early Stages of AMD (LEAD) study was a 36-month trial where participants were randomized to receive SNL or sham treatment in 1 eye at 6-monthly intervals up to 30 months. After the completion of the LEAD study, the 2 largest recruiting sites offered remaining participants an opportunity to enroll in a 24-month observational extension study. This study thus examined all participants from these 2 sites who were enrolled in the LEAD study at baseline, including the additional observational data. Main Outcome Measures Time to develop late AMD, defined on multimodal imaging, between those randomized the SNL or sham treatment. Results Overall, no significant difference was found in the rate of progression over a 60-month period in those randomized to the SNL compared with the sham group (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.36–1.09; P = 0.098), similar to the findings at 36 months in the LEAD Study. However, evidence of treatment effect modification continued to emerge based on the coexistence of reticular pseudodrusen (RPD; P = 0.007, adjusted interaction). Namely, progression was slowed significantly with SNL treatment for those without coexistent RPD (adjusted HR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.16–0.71; P = 0.004), but it was not significantly different for those with RPD (adjusted HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 0.67–4.88; P = 0.239). Conclusions A 24-month observational extension study to the LEAD Study confirmed that SNL treatment did not significantly reduce the overall rate of progression to late AMD in a cohort with intermediate AMD. However, the persistence of a potential beneficial treatment effect in those without coexistent RPD over a longer follow-up duration of an additional 24 months without additional treatment is encouraging. These findings provide further justification for future trials to examine the potential value of SNL treatment for slowing progression in intermediate AMD.

Chronic rotator cuff tears can cause severe functional deficits. Addressing the chronic fatty and fibrotic muscle changes is of high clinical interest; however, the architectural and physiological consequences of chronic tear and repair are poorly characterized. We present a detailed architectural and physiological analysis of chronic tear and repair (both over 8 and 16 wk) compared with age-matched control rabbit supraspinatus (SSP) muscles. Using female New Zealand White Rabbits (n = 30, n = 6/group) under 2% isoflurane anesthesia, the SSP was surgically isolated and maximum isometric force was measured at four to six muscle lengths. Architectural analysis was performed, and maximum isometric stress was computed. Whole muscle length-tension curves were generated using architectural measurements to compare experimental physiology to theoretical predictions. Architectural measures are consistent with persistent radial and longitudinal atrophy over time in tenotomy that fails to recover after repair. Maximum isometric force was significantly decreased after 16 wk tenotomy and not significantly improved after repair. Peak isometric force reported here are greater than prior reports of rabbit SSP force after tenotomy. Peak stress was not significantly different between groups and consistent with prior literature of SSP stress. Muscle strain during contraction was significantly decreased after 8 wk of tenotomy and repair, indicating effects of tear and repair on muscle function. The experimental length-tension data were overlaid with predicted curves for each experimental group (generated from structural data), exposing the altered structure-function relationship for tenotomy and repair over time. Data presented here contribute to understanding the physiological implications of disease and repair in the rotator cuff. NEW & NOTEWORTHY We utilize an established method to measure the length-tension relationship for the rabbit supraspinatus in normal, torn, and repaired muscles. We then perform architectural analysis to evaluate structural changes after tear and repair. Although peak isometric force is lower in the tear and repair groups, there are no differences in peak stresses across groups. These findings indicate persistent structural changes (both radial and longitudinal atrophy) and physiological deficiencies (decreased peak force and uncoupling structure-function relationship) after tenotomy that do not significantly recover after repair.

Summary Background Since the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in late 2019, various public health and social measures (PHSMs) have been used to suppress and mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. With mass vaccination programmes against COVID-19 being rolled out in many countries in early 2021, we aimed to evaluate to what extent travel restrictions and other PHSMs can be relaxed without exacerbating the local and global spread of COVID-19. Methods We adapted an existing age-structured susceptible-infectious-removed model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics that can be parameterised with country-specific age demographics and contact patterns to simulate the effect of vaccination and PHSM relaxation on transmission. We varied assumptions by age-specific susceptibility and infectiousness, vaccine uptake, contact patterns, and age structures. We used Hong Kong as a case study and assumed that, before vaccination, the population is completely susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection. We applied our model to 304 jurisdictions (27 countries and 277 sub-national administrative regions from eight countries). We assumed that PHSMs have suppressed the effective reproductive number (Re) to fall between 1·0 and 9·0 locally before the commencement of vaccination programmes. We evaluated the levels of PHSMs that should be maintained during the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccination to avoid a large local outbreak of COVID-19, with different assumptions about vaccine efficacy, vaccination coverage, and travel restrictions. We assumed that the maximum capacity of the health system, in terms of daily hospital admissions, is 0·005% of the population size. Findings At vaccine efficacy of 0·80 in reducing susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection, 0·50 in reducing SARS-CoV-2 infectivity, and 0·95 in reducing symptomatic COVID-19 diseases, vaccination coverage would have to be 100% for all individuals aged 30 or older to avoid an outbreak, when relaxing PHSMs, that would overload the local health-care system, assuming a pre-vaccination Re of 2·5. Testing and quarantine of at least 5 days would have to be maintained for inbound travellers to minimise the risk of reintroducing a local outbreak until high vaccination coverages are attained locally and overseas in most countries. Interpretation Gradual relaxation of PHSMs should be carefully planned during the roll-out of vaccination programmes, and easing of travel restrictions weighed against risk of reintroducing outbreaks, to avoid overwhelming health systems and minimise deaths related to COVID-19. Funding Health and Medical Research Fund and the General Research Fund.

Stereo dense matching is a fundamental task for 3D scene reconstruction. Recently, deep learning based methods have proven effective on some benchmark datasets, for example Middlebury and KITTI stereo. However, it is not easy to find a training dataset for aerial photogrammetry. Generating ground truth data for real scenes is a challenging task. In the photogrammetry community, many evaluation methods use digital surface models (DSM) to generate the ground truth disparity for the stereo pairs, but in this case interpolation may bring errors in the estimated disparity. In this paper, we publish a stereo dense matching dataset based on ISPRS Vaihingen dataset, and use it to evaluate some traditional and deep learning based methods. The evaluation shows that learning-based methods outperform traditional methods significantly when the fine tuning is done on a similar landscape. The benchmark also investigates the impact of the base to height ratio on the performance of the evaluated methods. The dataset can be found in https://github.com/whuwuteng/benchmark_ISPRS2021.

Older age cleft palate (CP) repair in international settings has been associated with increased surgical morbidity. This study assesses the prevalence and risks associated with late-age CP repair (age 5 years) in the United States.Primary CP repair patients less than the age of 18 years were identified in the National Surgical Quality Improvement pediatric database from 2012 to 2018. Total postoperative complications, readmissions, reoperations, duration of surgery, and length of stay were recorded. T-tests and χA total of 10,022 primary CP procedures were identified from 2012 to 2018, of which 868 (8.6%) received repair at age 5 years. Hispanic patients constituted a larger proportion of CP repair from ages 11 to 17 years than repair at other ages (P .001). In comparison with children treated from ages 0 to 5 years, children operated on between ages 6 and 10 or 11 and 17 years experienced no increases in unplanned readmissions, reoperations, or complication rates after surgery. Patients of ages 6-10 years and 11-17 years had decreased operating room time (P .001) compared with younger patients. Patients of ages 11-17 years also had decreased hospital length of stay (P = .04).Many children in the United States received primary CP repair after the age of 5 years likely due to late treatment of submucosal clefts or delayed care among international immigrants/adoptees. Old age procedures were not associated with increased short-term surgical morbidity in comparison with surgery at earlier time points. The causes and implications of older age primary surgery warrant further study.

Background With the increasing use of medications that alter the risk of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB), comprising aspirin, proton pump inhibitors (PPIs), and Helicobacter pylori eradication therapies, the trends of GIB are evolving. Objective The aim of this study is to determine and predict the trends of GIB and to evaluate the effects of population prescriptions of these medications on GIB incidences. Methods We retrieved patients hospitalized for GIB in all public hospitals in Hong Kong between 2009 and 2019. Monthly age- and sex-standardized GIB data were fitted and predicted, based on population prescriptions of aspirin, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), anticoagulants, other antiplatelet drugs, PPIs, and H. pylori therapies, using autoregressive integrated moving average model for time series analysis. Results The incidence of upper GIB (UGIB) showed a clear declining trend while lower GIB (LGIB) decreased slightly. Older population (>80 years) had the greatest decline in UGIB but was associated with an increase in LGIB. Prescriptions of PPIs and aspirin increased significantly with time. PPIs prescriptions were negatively associated with UGIB incidence (coefficient log(PPIs) -4.58; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -5.69, -3.47). H. pylori eradication in the previous month showed a nonsignificant trend on UGIB (coefficient -0.14; 95% CI: -0.30, 0.02). In contrast, aspirin increased the incidences of UGIB (coefficient 0.06; 95% CI: 0.04, 0.07) and LGIB (coefficient 0.04; 95% CI: 0.03, 0.05). NSAIDs, anticoagulants, and other antiplatelet drugs were not significantly associated with the trend of either UGIB or LGIB. UGIB is predicted to decline continuously but LGIB is projected to rise, particularly with increasing use of aspirin. Conclusions UGIB incidences were decreasing and had been surpassed by LGIB. Based on population prescriptions of aspirin and PPIs, divergent trends of upper and lower GIB are expected, especially in elderly.

Hybrid wing body is a fuel-efficient aircraft configuration where the pressurized center section is confined by almost-flat panels jointed at right angles. The combination of internal pressure and ...

To examine opioid prescribing and consumption patterns after hysterectomy and identify factors associated with postoperative opioid consumption.Prospective cohort study.Single university medical center.Women undergoing hysterectomy for benign, nonobstetric indications.Participant preoperative and surgical characteristics were obtained through chart review and patient report of baseline pain score. During the third postoperative week, participants completed a telephone interview, including a direct count of remaining opioid pills and assessment of satisfaction with pain management. We assessed factors associated with opioid consumption in oral morphine equivalents (OME) using a linear regression model.Of the 129 participants, 113 (88%) completed the postoperative survey after hysterectomy: 16 vaginal, 43 robotic-assisted, 42 conventional laparoscopic, and 12 abdominal hysterectomies. The median amount of opioid prescribed was 150 OME (interquartile range [IQR] 113-200), while the median amount consumed was 75 (IQR 10-135), reflecting an average consumption of about 50% of the prescription. Opioid prescription size was associated with consumption; for every additional oral morphine equivalent prescribed, on average, an additional 0.5 was consumed (p.001). If the indication for hysterectomy was related to pain, participants consumed 25.3 additional OME (p = .04). The amount of opioid prescribed was inversely correlated with pain management satisfaction; every additional point on a 1 through 5 Likert scale of increasing satisfaction was associated with 44 fewer OME prescribed (standard error 9 OME, p.001). For the 1464 total unused pills among the 104 participants with leftover opioids, only 20% reported an Food and Drug Administration -compliant opioid disposal plan.Gynecologic surgeons can respond to the opioid epidemic by reducing excess opioid pills after hysterectomy by providing both the smallest effective prescription size and concrete resources for safe opioid disposal. These actions may contribute to a reduction in opioid use disorder cases or overdose deaths.

Background The nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine has been shown to extend protection against oncogenic HPV types 31/33/45/52/58 (HPV-OV) not covered by the bivalent and quadrivalent HPV vaccines. Besides its clinical benefit, evidence on the economic value of the nonavalent vaccine is required to inform local vaccination strategies and funding decisions. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of replacing the bivalent vaccine with the nonavalent vaccine in the national school-based HPV vaccination programme in Singapore. Methods An existing age-structured dynamic transmission model coupled with stochastic individual-based simulations was adapted to project the health and economic impact of vaccinating 13-year-old girls with two doses of the nonavalent or bivalent HPV vaccines in Singapore. Direct costs (in Singapore dollars, S$) were obtained from public healthcare institutions in Singapore, while health state utilities were sourced from the literature. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated over a lifetime horizon, from a healthcare system perspective. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed to obtain the ICERs and corresponding variations across variable uncertainty. Particularly, this study tested the scenarios of lifelong and 20-year vaccine-induced protection, assumed 96.0% and 22.3% cross-protection against HPV-OV by nonavalent and bivalent vaccines respectively, and fixed vaccine prices per dose at S$188 for nonavalent and S$61.50 for bivalent vaccines. Results Compared with the bivalent vaccine, the use of the nonavalent vaccine was associated with an ICER of S$61,629 per quality-adjusted life year gained in the base case. The result was robust across a range of plausible input values, and to assumptions regarding the duration of vaccine protection. Conclusion Given the high ICER, the nonavalent vaccine is unlikely to represent a cost-effective option compared with the bivalent vaccine for school-based HPV vaccination of 13-year old female students in Singapore. Substantial price reductions would be required to justify its inclusion in the school-based programme in the future.

Epidemic nowcasting broadly refers to assessing the current state by understanding key pathogenic, epidemiologic, clinical and socio-behavioral characteristics of an ongoing outbreak. Its primary objective is to provide situational awareness and inform decisions on control responses. In the event of large-scale sustained emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, scientists need to constantly update their aims and analytics with respect to the rapidly evolving emergence of new questions, data and findings in order to synthesize real-time evidence for policy decisions. In this Perspective, we share our views on the functional aims, rationale, data requirements and challenges of nowcasting at different stages of an epidemic, drawing on the ongoing COVID-19 experience. We highlight how recent advances in the computational and laboratory sciences could be harnessed to complement traditional approaches to enhance the scope, timeliness, reliability and utility of epidemic nowcasting.

Health systems capture injuries using International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) diagnostic codes and share data with public health to inform injury surveillance. This study analyses provider-assigned ICD-10-CM injury codes among self-reported injuries to determine the effectiveness of ICD-10-CM coding in capturing injury and assault.MethodsSelf-reported injury screen records from an urban, level 1 trauma centre collected between 20 November 2015 and 30 September 2019 were compared with corresponding provider-assigned ICD-10-CM codes discerning the frequency in which intentions are indicated among patients reporting (1) any injury and (2) assault.ResultsOf 380 922 patients screened, 32 788 (8.61%) reported any injury and 6763 (1.78%) reported assault. ICD-10-CM codes had a sensitivity of 67.40% (95% CI 66.89% to 67.91%) for any injury and specificity of 89.79% (95% CI 89.69% to 89.89%]). For assault, ICD-10-CM codes had sensitivity of 2.25% (95% CI 1.91% to 2.63%) and specificity of 99.97% (95% CI 99.97% 99.98%).DiscussionThis study found provider-assigned ICD-10-CM had limited sensitivity to identify injury and low sensitivity for assault. This study more fully characterises ICD-10-CM coding system effectiveness in identifying assaults.

Author(s): Magbanua, MJM; Swigart, LB; Wu, H-T; Hirst, GL; Yau, C; Wolf, DM; Tin, A; Salari, R; Shchegrova, S; Pawar, H; Delson, AL; DeMichele, A; Liu, MC; Chien, AJ; Tripathy, D; Asare, S; Lin, C-HJ; Billings, P; Aleshin, A; Sethi, H; Louie, M; Zimmermann, B; Esserman, LJ; van 't Veer, LJ | Abstract: BackgroundPathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is strongly associated with favorable outcome. We examined the utility of serial circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing for predicting pCR and risk of metastatic recurrence.Patients and methodsCell-free DNA (cfDNA) was isolated from 291 plasma samples of 84 high-risk early breast cancer patients treated in the neoadjuvant I-SPY 2 TRIAL with standard NAC alone or combined with MK-2206 (AKT inhibitor) treatment. Blood was collected at pretreatment (T0), 3 weeks after initiation of paclitaxel (T1), between paclitaxel and anthracycline regimens (T2), or prior to surgery (T3). A personalized ctDNA test was designed to detect up to 16 patient-specific mutations (from whole-exome sequencing of pretreatment tumor) in cfDNA by ultra-deep sequencing. The median follow-up time for survival analysis was 4.8 years.ResultsAt T0, 61 of 84 (73%) patients were ctDNA positive, which decreased over time (T1: 35%; T2: 14%; and T3: 9%). Patients who remained ctDNA positive at T1 were significantly more likely to have residual disease after NAC (83% non-pCR) compared with those who cleared ctDNA (52% non-pCR; odds ratio 4.33, Pn= 0.012). After NAC, all patients who achieved pCR were ctDNA negative (nn= 17, 100%). For those who did not achieve pCR (nn= 43), ctDNA-positive patients (14%) had a significantly increased risk of metastatic recurrence [hazard ratio (HR) 10.4; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.3-46.6]; interestingly, patients who did not achieve pCR but were ctDNA negative (86%) had excellent outcome, similar to those who achieved pCR (HR 1.4; 95% CI 0.15-13.5).ConclusionsLack of ctDNA clearance was a significant predictor of poor response and metastatic recurrence, while clearance was associated with improved survival even in patients who did not achieve pCR. Personalized monitoring of ctDNA during NAC of high-risk early breast cancer may aid in real-time assessment of treatment response and help fine-tune pCR as a surrogate endpoint of survival.

INTRODUCTION Optimal age at surgery in nonsyndromic sagittal craniosynostosis continues to be debated. Previous reports suggest that earlier age at whole vault cranioplasty more frequently requires reoperation. It is unknown, however, whether reoperation affects neurocognitive outcome. This study examined the impact of reoperation on neurocognitive outcome in children with nonsyndromic sagittal craniosynostosis using comprehensive neurocognitive testing. METHODS Forty-seven school-age children (age 5-16 years) with nonsyndromic sagittal craniosynostosis who underwent whole-vault cranioplasty were included in this analysis. Participants were administered a battery of standardized neuropsychological testing to measure neurocognitive outcomes. RESULTS Thirteen of the 47 participants underwent reoperation (27.7%); 11 out of the 13 reoperations were minor revisions while 2 reoperations were cranioplasties. Reoperation rate was not statistically different between patients who had earlier surgery (at age ≤6 months) versus later surgery (at age >6 months) (P > 0.05). Nonreoperated patients who had only one later-in-life surgery did not perform statistically better than reoperated patients on any outcome measure of neurocognitive function, including IQ, academic achievement, visuomotor integration, executive function, and behavior. Comparing reoperated earlier surgery patients with nonreoperated later surgery patients, reoperated earlier surgery patients had higher full-scale and verbal IQ (P

BACKGROUND: We explored the safety and efficacy of ablative doses of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for unresectable pancreatic cancer. METHODS: This phase I/II trial included patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer previously treated with any number of cycles of induction chemotherapy. Patients were enrolled according to a 3+3 dose escalation design at 10, 12.5, and 15 Gy ×3, with subsequent patients at the maximally tolerated dose (MTD). Treatment was delivered to gross tumor delineated with MRI fusion using image-guidance to fiducial markers. Dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) was defined as grade 3+ toxicity within 30 days. Secondary endpoints included late gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity, freedom from local failure (FFLF), and survival. RESULTS: Fifteen patients received a median 10 cycles of chemotherapy. There were no DLTs, and the MTD was 15 Gy ×3. Thirty-day toxicity included grade 2 nausea (46%) and grade 2 diarrhea (7%). Median survival after SBRT was 12.8 months (23 months after diagnosis) and median relapse-free survival was 7 months. At 1-year, FFLF was 80%. Four patients had grade 3+ GI bleeding after 30 days (median 6 months). Grade 3+ GI bleeding was associated with tumor volume (P=0.01), heterogeneity of dose within the planning target volume (PTV) (V120, P=0.03), and duodenal dose (V26–30 Gy, P

We agree with Alfandre and colleagues that ethics guidance for contingency conditions in public health emergencies is urgently needed (Alfandre et al. 2021, 4). The Minnesota COVID Ethics Collabora...

Background Inflammatory pain is the most common type of pain treated clinically. However, the currently available treatments for inflammatory pain have limited effects and can cause severe side effects. The aim of this study is to describe the effect of miRNA-485-5p on osteoarthritis-related inflammatory pain. Methods Paw withdrawal threshold (PWT) of rats was measured by von Frey filaments. The expressions of miRNA-485-5p and acid-sensing ion channel 1 (ASIC1) in the dorsal root ganglion (DRG) were measured with real-time quantitative PCR and Western blotting analysis. Fluorescent in situ hybridization and fluorescent immunohistochemistry were employed to detect expression of miRNA-485-5p, acid-sensing ion channelASIC1 and co-location of miRNA-485-5p with ASIC1. Results The PWT of rats was significantly reduced after complete Freund’s adjuvant (CFA) injection. The miRNA-485-5p expression level clearly decreased while the ASIC1 expression level was upregulated in the L4-6 dorsal root ganglion (DRG) of CFA rats. MiRNA-485-5p and ASIC1 were co-expressed in the same DRG cells of CFA rats. Amiloride, an inhibitor of ASIC1, clearly increased the PWT of CFA rats. Further, miRNA-485-5p agomir reversed the upregulation of ASICI1 and alleviated CFA-induced mechanical hypersensitivity of CFA rats. Conclusion These results suggest that reduced expression of miRNA-485-5p contributes to inflammatory pain through upregulating ASIC1 expression, implying a promising strategy for pain therapy.

In a large observational study in patients with COVID-19 and cancer, survival was not significantly influenced by receipt of COVID-19 treatments, except hydroxychloroquine plus any other treatment, which was associated with reduced survival., Among 2,186 U.S. adults with invasive cancer and laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, we examined the association of COVID-19 treatments with 30-day all-cause mortality and factors associated with treatment. Logistic regression with multiple adjustments (e.g., comorbidities, cancer status, baseline COVID-19 severity) was performed. Hydroxychloroquine with any other drug was associated with increased mortality versus treatment with any COVID-19 treatment other than hydroxychloroquine or untreated controls; this association was not present with hydroxychloroquine alone. Remdesivir had numerically reduced mortality versus untreated controls that did not reach statistical significance. Baseline COVID-19 severity was strongly associated with receipt of any treatment. Black patients were approximately half as likely to receive remdesivir as white patients. Although observational studies can be limited by potential unmeasured confounding, our findings add to the emerging understanding of patterns of care for patients with cancer and COVID-19 and support evaluation of emerging treatments through inclusive prospective controlled trials. Significance: Evaluating the potential role of COVID-19 treatments in patients with cancer in a large observational study, there was no statistically significant 30-day all-cause mortality benefit with hydroxychloroquine or high-dose corticosteroids alone or in combination; remdesivir showed potential benefit. Treatment receipt reflects clinical decision-making and suggests disparities in medication access. This article is highlighted in the In This Issue feature, p. 1426

Background Controversy exists regarding the optimal surgical approach for non-syndromic sagittal synostosis. This study provides the first comparative analysis of the long-term behavioral, psychological, and executive function outcomes for patients who underwent either cranial vault remodeling (CVR) or spring-assisted strip craniectomy (SAS). Methods Thirty-six CVR patients and 39 SAS patients were evaluated. Parents and caregivers completed the Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function (BRIEF) and the Behavior Assessment System for Children, Second Edition (BASC-2) to evaluate behavioral, emotional, social, adaptive, and executive functioning skills. Results There were no statistically significant differences between the CVR and the SAS groups (P > 0.05) in any of the BRIEF areas of function. Furthermore, the BASC-2 battery illustrated no significant differences in all areas analyzed except one. Among the 2 groups, the CVR group was rated as having fewer social withdrawal symptoms on the BASC-2 (47.00 ± 10.27) compared to the SAS cohort (54.64 ± 10.96), F = 6.79, P = 0.012, Cohen d = 0.688. However, both means were still within the normal range. Conclusions Children undergoing SAS and CVR procedures for isolated sagittal synostosis were not rated as having clinically significant behavioral, emotional, social, adaptive, or executive functioning problems on parental forms.

Unilateral coronal nonsyndromic craniosynostosis is associated with asymmetric skull growth, which may influence cerebral long-term function. Twenty affected adolescents who underwent cranial vault remodeling at a mean age of 8.2 months (12 from the Yale Craniofacial Clinic and eight from the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia) all completed a double-blinded neurodevelopmental assessment at an average age of 12.1 years. The study cohort included 55 percent female and 50 percent right-sided craniosynostosis. Mean verbal intelligence quotient was highest at 117.3, and mean performance intelligence quotient was 106.4, for a mean full-scale intelligence quotient of 112.5. Patients performed above the national average on all academic achievements except for numerical operations, which was significantly lower than word reading (p = 0.022). Patients performed below average on all Beery-Buktenica visual motor tests; motor-coordination was poorer than both visual motor integration and visual perception (p = 0.027 and p = 0.005). Significant positive correlations existed between paternal education/visual perception (r = 0.450; p = 0.046) and household income/verbal intelligence quotient (r = 0.628; p = 0.004). Patients with right unilateral coronal nonsyndromic craniosynostosis had improved spelling compared with left-sided patients on multivariate regression (p = 0.033). Female patients had higher motor coordination (p = 0.024). Breast-fed patients had better performance intelligence quotient (p = 0.024), visual motor integration (p = 0.014), and visual perception (p = 0.031). Adolescents who underwent cranial vault remodeling at two institutions had above average intelligence quotient scores, but worse mathematical and visual motor achievement compared with control subjects. Left-side craniosynostosis patients performed worse in spelling than right-side patients. Breast-feeding was an independent predictor for improved performance intelligence quotient, visual motor achievement, and visual perception performance. Study findings are limited by the cohort size. A larger population study is required, which could validate or modify the study conclusions.

Summary Background Patients with plaque psoriasis treated with biologic therapies need more efficacious, safe and convenient treatments to improve quality of life. Risankizumab and secukinumab inhibit interleukin‐23 and interleukin‐17A, respectively, and are effective in adult patients with moderate‐to‐severe plaque psoriasis but have different dosing regimens. Objectives To compare directly the efficacy and safety of risankizumab vs. secukinumab over 52 weeks. Methods IMMerge was an international, phase III, multicentre, open‐label, efficacy–assessor‐blinded, active‐comparator study, in which adult patients with chronic, moderate‐to‐severe plaque psoriasis were randomized in a 1 : 1 ratio to treatment with risankizumab 150 mg or secukinumab 300 mg. Primary efficacy endpoints were the proportions of patients achieving ≥ 90% improvement from baseline in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI 90) at week 16 (noninferiority comparison with margin of 12%) and week 52 (superiority comparison). Results In total 327 patients from nine countries were treated with risankizumab (n = 164) or secukinumab (n = 163). Risankizumab was noninferior to secukinumab in the proportion of patients achieving PASI 90 at week 16 [73·8% vs. 65·6%; difference of 8·2%, 96·25% confidence interval (CI)−2·2 to 18·6; within the 12% noninferiority margin] and superior to secukinumab at week 52 (86·6% vs. 57·1%; difference of 29·8%, 95% CI 20·8–38·8; P < 0·001), thus meeting both primary endpoints. All secondary endpoints (PASI 100, static Physician's Global Assessment 0 or 1, and PASI 75) at week 52 demonstrated superiority for risankizumab vs. secukinumab (P < 0·001). No new safety concerns were identified. Conclusions At week 52, risankizumab demonstrated superior efficacy and similar safety with less frequent dosing compared with secukinumab., What is already known about this topic? The need remains for treatments with sustained efficacy and a more convenient dosing schedule in moderate‐to‐severe psoriasis.Risankizumab and secukinumab are indicated for the treatment of adults with moderate‐to‐severe plaque psoriasis and target interleukin‐23 and interleukin‐17, respectively.To date, risankizumab and secukinumab have not been directly compared. What does this study add? IMMerge directly compared the safety and efficacy of risankizumab and secukinumab in patients with moderate‐to‐severe plaque psoriasis using ≥ 90% improvement in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index at weeks 16 (noninferiority) and 52 (superiority) as primary endpoints.In terms of efficacy risankizumab was noninferior to secukinumab at week 16 and superior to secukinumab at week 52 of treatment based on primary endpoint analyses. The two medications had a similar safety profile. Linked Comment: Schmitt-Egenolf. Br J Dermatol 2021; 184: 3–4. Plain language summary available online

Background: People with schizophrenia have higher rates of smoking than the general population, and lower quit rates. Several randomised controlled trials have investigated the effectiveness of pharmacological interventions for smoking cessation over the past 20 years. We did a systematic review and pairwise and network meta-analysis of smoking abstinence to guide decision making in offering pharmacological interventions for smoking cessation for people with schizophrenia spectrum disorders. Methods: We systematically reviewed PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, PsycINFO, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure from inception to Sept 30, 2019, for randomised controlled trials of varenicline, bupropion, and nicotine replacement therapy for smoking cessation for people with schizophrenia spectrum disorders or psychotic disorders who were smokers at the time of study recruitment. Data were extracted from published studies on smoking abstinence outcomes and psychotic symptoms. We did pairwise and network meta-analyses for the primary outcome of smoking abstinence. Sensitivity analyses were done on study inclusion criteria, duration, quality, and location. This study is registered with the international prospective register of systematic reviews PROSPERO, CRD42018102343. Findings: A total of 15 111 records were identified by the database searches, and 163 full-text articles were assessed for eligibility. 145 articles were then excluded for several reasons including insufficient data, or abstracts published in later studies, and 18 studies were included in the meta-analysis. In the pairwise meta-analyses, four studies with 394 participants assessed varenicline (RR 3·75, 95% CI 1·96–7·19, p2=0%), four studies with bupropion and 292 participants (RR 3·40, 95% CI 1·58–7·34, p=0·0002; I2=0%), and three studies with 561 participants assessed nicotine replacement therapy (RR 4·27, 95% CI 1·71–10·65, p=0·0002; I2=0%). All three treatments were deemed superior to placebo. In the network meta-analysis, varenicline was superior to bupropion (RR 2·02, 95% CI 1·04–3·93; p=0·038) but no significant difference was found between varenicline and nicotine replacement therapy, or bupropion and nicotine replacement therapy. No agents were associated with changes in psychiatric symptoms, but varenicline was associated with higher rates of nausea than was placebo. Interpretation: We found evidence to support use of pharmacological agents for smoking cessation for people with psychosis. Varenicline might be superior to bupropion; however, additional direct testing and combination trials of pharmacological agents for smoking cessation are required to inform clinical decision making for people with psychosis. Funding: None.

Objectives Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a serious public health issue worldwide, and DM patients have higher risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), which is the leading cause of DM-related deaths. China has the largest DM population, yet a robust model to predict CVDs in Chinese DM patients is still lacking. This systematic review is carried out to summarize existing models and identify potentially important predictors for CVDs in Chinese DM patients. Study design Systematic review. Methods Medline and Embase were searched for data from April 1st, 2011 to May 31st, 2018. A study was eligible if it developed CVD (defined as total CVD or any major cardiovascular component) risk prediction models or explored potential predictors of CVD specifically for Chinese people with type 2 DM. Standardized forms were utilized to extract information, appraise applicability, risk of bias, and availabilities. Results Five models and 29 studies focusing on potential predictors were identified. Models for a primary care setting, or to predict total CVD, are rare. A number of common predictors (e.g. age, sex, diabetes duration, smoking status, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), blood pressure, lipid profile, and treatment modalities) were observed in existing models, in which urine albumin:creatinine ratio (ACR) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are highly recommended for the Chinese population. Variability of blood pressure (BP) and HbA1c should be included in prediction model development as novel factors. Meanwhile, interactions between age, sex, and risk factors should also be considered. Conclusions A 10-year prediction model for CVD risk in Chinese type 2 DM patients is lacking and urgently needed. There is insufficient evidence to support the inclusion of other novel predictors in CVDs risk prediction functions for routine clinical use.

Summary Background Complex spine surgery in patients with major comorbidities leads to increased need for midline back wound reconstruction by plastic surgeons. Literature suggests that back wound reconstruction concurrent with high-risk immediate/index spine surgery may lead to fewer complication. This study aimed to validate this claim in a large cohort treated at a tertiary center. We hypothesize that immediate reconstruction may lead to fewer adverse events in comparison to delayed reconstruction. Methods This was a retrospective single-center review of 659 patients who underwent spinal surgery with/without reconstruction by plastic surgeons between November 2011 and December 2015. Three main cohorts were evaluated: patients who underwent spinal surgery with no reconstruction, patients with delayed reconstruction after spine surgery, and patients with immediate back wound reconstruction with index spine surgery. Demographic, clinical, and outcomes data were collected from electronic medical records. Primary endpoints were the incidence of any complications such as dehiscence, infection, seroma/hematoma, and exposed hardware. The secondary endpoint was return to the operating room and most recent follow-up. Results Forty-three patients underwent index reconstruction (follow-up 25.3 ± 12.7 months), 33 were delayed (follow-up 23.7 ± 12.5 months), and 583 had no reconstruction (follow-up 22.1 ± 15.2 months). Patients who underwent index reconstruction had more spinal levels involved than delayed reconstruction (7.8 ± 0.75 vs 5.6 ± 0.68 ; p = 0.03). The overall complications rate was 7.7%, most commonly wound dehiscence (2.7%), infections (0.9%), exposed hardware (2.0%), cerebrospinal fluid leaks (0.6%), and return to OR (3.8%). Patients who underwent index spinal wound reconstruction had a significantly lower complication rate (4.65%) than secondary spinal surgery patients (27.3%; p = 0.048). Conclusions The data confirmed significantly decreased complication rates for index back wound reconstructions for high-risk patients compared to delayed spine wound reconstruction. Increased rates of wound dehiscence, exposed hardware, and revisions occurred with delayed reconstruction. Early employment of tension free, robust vascular flap closure may attribute to a decreased complication profile.

Many expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) studies have been conducted to investigate the biological effects of variants in gene regulation. However, these eQTL studies may suffer from low or moderate statistical power and overly conservative false-discovery rate. In practice, most algorithms for eQTL identification do not model the joint effects of multiple genetic variants with weak or moderate influence. Here we present a novel machine-learning algorithm, lasso least-squares kernel machine (LSKM-LASSO) that model the association between multiple genetic variants and phenotypic traits simultaneously with the existence of nongenetic and genetic confounding. With a more general and flexible framework for the estimation of genetic confounding, LSKM-LASSO is able to provide a more accurate evaluation of the joint effects of multiple genetic variants. Our simulations demonstrate that our approach outperforms three state-of-the-art alternatives in terms of eQTL identification and phenotype prediction. We then apply our method to genotype and gene expression data of 11 tissues obtained from the Genotype-Tissue Expression project. Our algorithm was able to identify more genes with eQTL than other algorithms. By incorporating a regularization term and combining it with least-squares kernel machine, LSKM-LASSO provides a powerful tool for eQTL mapping and phenotype prediction.

BACKGROUND Despite surgical correction of unilateral craniosynostosis (ULC), complex cranial base angulation can result in partial reversion to preoperative deformity with growth and time. Using 3-dimensional imaging, dysmorphic facial features of ULC in school-age patients were quantified and related to how they contribute to overall facial asymmetry and patient-reported outcomes. METHODS Children who underwent surgical correction of ULC were recruited from Yale University and Children's Hospital of Philadelphia. The 3D photographs were analyzed utilizing a Procrustes analysis of shape. Pearson's correlation was used to determine dysmorphic features' impact on overall asymmetry. Patients were stratified into "moderate" and "severe" asymmetry. Finally, asymmetry was correlated to patient-reported outcome scores. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS-25 with P

To compare rates of recurrent instability, revision surgery and functional outcomes following arthroscopic anterior capsulolabral repair for recurrent anterior instability using knot-tying versus knotless suture anchor techniques. Patients who had undergone arthroscopic anterior labrum and capsular repair for recurrent anterior glenohumeral instability using knotless anchors were identified. Those with minimum 2-year follow-up were matched (1:2) to knot-tying anchor repair patients. Rates of failure and recurrent instability were compared, as well as Visual Analog Scale (VAS), Single Assessment Numeric Evaluation (SANE), Quick Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (QuickDASH), University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) and Rowe scores. One hundred and two patients (89 males, 13 females) with a mean age of 24.3 ± 9.6 were included. Repair was performed with knotless anchors in 34 and knot-tying anchors in 68 shoulders. At mean follow-up of 4.8 ± 2.5 years, re-dislocation rates between groups were not significantly different (knotless anchor: 9% versus knot-tying group: 15%, n.s.), but the knot-tying group showed a higher re-subluxation rate (p = 0.039). 12 (18%) revisions were performed in the knot-tying group at a mean 2.9 years after surgery and 1 (3%) revision in the knotless anchors group at 1.4 years (n.s.). There was no difference in mean VAS with use (1.3 ± 1.9 versus 0.8 ± 1.5, n.s.), SANE scores (91.8 ± 12.7 versus 92.0 ± 11.0, n.s.), QuickDASH scores (4.1 ± 5.5 versus 3.0 ± 6.5, n.s.), UCLA Shoulder Score (32.5 ± 3.6 versus 33.2 ± 3.1, n.s.), or Rowe scores (90.5 ± 18.5 versus 92.2 ± 16.6, n.s.) between knotless and knot-tying groups, respectively. VAS at rest was higher in the knotless group (0.7 ± 1.5 vs 0.1 ± 0.4, p = 0.021). Knotless anchors demonstrated similar rates of re-dislocation and revision surgery, and lower rates of recurrent subluxation, compared to knot-tying anchors. Patients achieved good-to-excellent functional outcomes. This supports the efficacy of knotless anchors as an alternative to knot-tying anchors for arthroscopic anterior labral repair of recurrent anterior shoulder dislocation. III.

BACKGROUND Reports of neurodevelopmental delays in adolescents with metopic craniosynostosis have ranged from 15 to 61 percent. Previously, event-related potentials have correlated preoperative radiographic severity with language deficiencies in infancy. This study sought to characterize neurocognitive testing at cranial maturity and correlate outcomes to preoperative radiographic severity. METHODS Patients diagnosed with metopic craniosynostosis who underwent surgical correction in infancy completed a neurodevelopmental battery evaluating age-normalized intelligence quotient, academic achievement, and visuomotor integration. Data were stratified by preoperative endocranial bifrontal angle (moderate, >124 degrees; severe

Objective Multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions are heterogeneous with regard to inflammation, demyelination, axonal injury, and neuronal loss. We previously developed a diffusion basis spectrum imaging (DBSI) technique to better address MS lesion heterogeneity. We hypothesized that the profiles of multiple DBSI metrics can identify lesion‐defining patterns. Here we test this hypothesis by combining a deep learning algorithm using deep neural network (DNN) with DBSI and other imaging methods. Methods Thirty‐eight MS patients were scanned with diffusion‐weighted imaging, magnetization transfer imaging, and standard conventional MRI sequences (cMRI). A total of 499 regions of interest were identified on standard MRI and labeled as persistent black holes (PBH), persistent gray holes (PGH), acute black holes (ABH), acute gray holes (AGH), nonblack or gray holes (NBH), and normal appearing white matter (NAWM). DBSI, diffusion tensor imaging (DTI), and magnetization transfer ratio (MTR) were applied to the 43,261 imaging voxels extracted from these ROIs. The optimized DNN with 10 fully connected hidden layers was trained using the imaging metrics of the lesion subtypes and NAWM. Results Concordance, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were determined for the different imaging methods. DBSI‐DNN derived lesion classification achieved 93.4% overall concordance with predetermined lesion types, compared with 80.2% for DTI‐DNN model, 78.3% for MTR‐DNN model, and 74.2% for cMRI‐DNN model. DBSI‐DNN also produced the highest specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy. Conclusions DBSI‐DNN improves the classification of different MS lesion subtypes, which could aid clinical decision making. The efficacy and efficiency of DBSI‐DNN shows great promise for clinical applications in automatic MS lesion detection and classification.

Background The initial cases of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)–infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, in December 2019 and January 2020. We analyzed data on the first 425 confirmed cases in Wuhan to determine the epidemiologic characteristics of NCIP. Methods We collected information on demographic characteristics, exposure history, and illness timelines of laboratory-confirmed cases of NCIP that had been reported by January 22, 2020. We described characteristics of the cases and estimated the key epidemiologic time-delay distributions. In the early period of exponential growth, we estimated the epidemic doubling time and the basic reproductive number. Results Among the first 425 patients with confirmed NCIP, the median age was 59 years and 56% were male. The majority of cases (55%) with onset before January 1, 2020, were linked to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, as compared with 8.6% of the subsequent cases. The mean incubation period was 5.2 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1 to 7.0), with the 95th percentile of the distribution at 12.5 days. In its early stages, the epidemic doubled in size every 7.4 days. With a mean serial interval of 7.5 days (95% CI, 5.3 to 19), the basic reproductive number was estimated to be 2.2 (95% CI, 1.4 to 3.9). Conclusions On the basis of this information, there is evidence that human-to-human transmission has occurred among close contacts since the middle of December 2019. Considerable efforts to reduce transmission will be required to control outbreaks if similar dynamics apply elsewhere. Measures to prevent or reduce transmission should be implemented in populations at risk. (Funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China and others.)

As of 29 February 2020 there were 79,394 confirmed cases and 2,838 deaths from COVID-19 in mainland China. Of these, 48,557 cases and 2,169 deaths occurred in the epicenter, Wuhan. A key public health priority during the emergence of a novel pathogen is estimating clinical severity, which requires properly adjusting for the case ascertainment rate and the delay between symptoms onset and death. Using public and published information, we estimate that the overall symptomatic case fatality risk (the probability of dying after developing symptoms) of COVID-19 in Wuhan was 1.4% (0.9–2.1%), which is substantially lower than both the corresponding crude or naive confirmed case fatality risk (2,169/48,557 = 4.5%) and the approximator1 of deaths/deaths + recoveries (2,169/2,169 + 17,572 = 11%) as of 29 February 2020. Compared to those aged 30–59 years, those aged below 30 and above 59 years were 0.6 (0.3–1.1) and 5.1 (4.2–6.1) times more likely to die after developing symptoms. The risk of symptomatic infection increased with age (for example, at ~4% per year among adults aged 30–60 years). An estimation of the clinical severity of COVID-19, based on the data available so far, can help to inform the public health response during the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

Purpose To compare the risk of vision loss following contemporary laser-assisted in situ keratomileusis (LASIK) with different types and modality of use of contact lenses. Methods Data from a previously published study were used to derive the incidence of vision loss (≥ 2 line loss of best corrected spectacle acuity) following microbial keratitis for different contact lens types and wearing modality, stratified by duration of lens wear. A literature search on vision loss following LASIK was performed between 2003 and 2019. The prevalence of vision loss at six months post-surgery was captured from clinical trials published after 2003. A proportion meta-analysis was applied to derive the prevalence of vision loss following LASIK. A least-squares fitting of cumulative vision loss (P, /10 000 wearers) over time (t, years) using an exponential model estimated the years of contact lens wear to which the risk of vision loss with LASIK was equivalent. Results Vision loss following LASIK occurred in 66 (95% confidence interval [CI] 34-108) per 10 000 wearers. As a conservative estimate based on the lower confidence interval of the estimated equivalent years of contact lens wear, daily wear contact lenses and extended overnight silicone wear hydrogel contact lens need to be worn for 103 (95% [CI] 103-391) and 25 (95% [CI] 25-79) years respectively, to equal the rate of vision loss equivalent to a one-off LASIK procedure. Conclusions The risk of vision loss to the individual is low with either contact lens wear or refractive surgery. Contact lens wear does not pose a higher risk of vision loss than LASIK surgery for the most common wear modalities.

Objective: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a chronic condition resulting from insulin resistance and insufficient β-cell secretion, leading to improper glycaemic regulation. Previous studies have found that excessive fat deposits in organs such as the liver and muscle can cause insulin resistance through lipotoxicity that affects β-cell function. The relationships between fat deposits in pancreatic tissue, the function of β-cells, the method of visceral fat evaluation and T2DM have been sought by researchers. This study aims to elucidate the role of pancreatic fat deposits in the development of T2DM using quantitative computed tomography (QCT), especially their effects on islet β-cell function. Methods: We examined 106 subjects at the onset of T2DM who had undergone abdominal QCT. Estimated pancreatic fat and liver fat were quantified using QCT and calculated. We analysed the correlations with Homeostatic Model Assessment of Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) scores and other oral glucose tolerance test-derived parameters that reflect islet function. Furthermore, correlations of estimated pancreatic fat and liver fat with the area under the curve for insulin (AUCINS) and HOMA-IR were assessed with partial correlation analysis and demonstrated by scatter plots. Results: Associations were found between estimated liver fat and HOMA-IR, AUCINS, the modified β-cell function index (MBCI) and Homeostatic Model Assessment β (HOMA-β). However, no significant differences existed between estimated pancreas fat and those parameters. Similarly, after adjustment for sex, age and body mass index, only estimated liver fat was correlated with HOMA-IR and AUCINS. Conclusions: This study suggests no significant correlation between pancreatic fat deposition and β-cell dysfunction in the early stages of T2DM using QCT as a screening tool. The deposits of fat in the pancreas and the resulting lipotoxicity may play an important role in the late stage of islet cell function dysfunction as the course of T2DM progresses.

In this study, a novel patterned sapphire substrate (PSS) was used to obtain mesa-type light-emitting diodes (LED), which can efficiently reduce the threading dislocation densities. Silicon nitride (Si3N4) was used as a barrier to form the PSS, replacing the commonly used silicon dioxide (SiO2). The refractive index of Si3N4 is 2.02, which falls between those of sapphire (1.78) and GaN (2.4), so it can be used as a gradient refractive index (GRI) material, enhancing the light extraction efficiency (LEE) of light-emitting diodes. The simulation and experimental results obtained indicate that the LEE is enhanced compared with the conventional PSS-LED. After re-growing, we observed that an air void exists on the top of the textured Si3N4 layer due to GaN epitaxial lateral overgrowth (ELOG). Temperature-dependent PL was used to estimate the internal quantum efficiency (IQE) of the PSS-LED and that of the PSS-LED with the Si3N4 embedded air void (PSA-LED). The IQE of the PSA-LED is 4.56 times higher than that of the PSS-LED. Then, a TracePro optical simulation was used to prove that the air voids will affect the final luminous efficiency. The luminous efficiency of the four different structures considered is ranked as Si3N4 (PSN-LED) > PSA-LED > PSS-LED with SiO2 (PSO-LED) > PSS-LED. Finally, we fabricated LED devices with different thickness of the Si3N4 barrier. The device shows the best luminance–current–voltage (LIV) performance when the Si3N4 thickness is 220 nm.

Nowadays, coherent and conventional supersonic jets are widely used in electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking processes. Generally, these jets are installed in the EAF oven wall with a tilt angle of 35?45?. However, limited studies have been conducted on the impact characteristics of these inclined supersonic jets. This study developed an optimized theoretical model to calculate the penetration depth of inclined coherent and conventional supersonic jets by combining theoretical modeling and numerical simulations. The computational fluid dynamics results are validated against water model experiments. A variable k is newly defined to reflect the velocity variation, which is related to the jet exit at the jet free distance. The results of the optimized theoretical model show that the lance height and lance angle influence the penetration depth of the inclined supersonic jet. At the same lance angle, the penetration depth decreases with the increase in the lance height. Similarly, it decreases with the decrease in lance angle at the same lance height. In addition, the penetration depth of an inclined coherent supersonic jet is larger than that of an inclined conventional supersonic jet under the same conditions. An optimized theoretical model can accurately predict the penetration depths of the inclined coherent and conventional supersonic jets.

For people with metabolic syndrome (MetS), altering the macronutrient composition of their diets might ameliorate metabolic abnormalities. The common method of clinical assessment only measures total lipid concentrations but ignores the individual species that contribute to these total concentrations. Thus, to predict the amelioration of MetS following caloric restriction (CR) and the intake of fish oil, we used lipidomics to investigate changes in plasma lipids and identify potential lipid metabolites. Lipidomics was performed using ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography–tandem mass spectrometry on plasma samples from a clinical trial conducted over 12 weeks. Subjects were randomized into two groups: CR (n = 12) and CR with fish oil (CRF, n = 9). Anthropometric and clinical parameters were measured and correlated with plasma lipidomics data. Compared with baseline, significant differences were observed in body weight, waist circumference, blood pressure and interleukin-6 in both groups, but triglyceride (TG) levels significantly decreased in only the CRF group (all p

During the COVID-19 pandemic, more than ever, data science has become a powerful weapon in combating an infectious disease epidemic and arguably any future infectious disease epidemic. Computer scientists, data scientists, physicists and mathematicians have joined public health professionals and virologists to confront the largest pandemic in the century by capitalizing on the large-scale ‘big data’ generated and harnessed for combating the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we review the newly born data science approaches to confronting COVID-19, including the estimation of epidemiological parameters, digital contact tracing, diagnosis, policy-making, resource allocation, risk assessment, mental health surveillance, social media analytics, drug repurposing and drug development. We compare the new approaches with conventional epidemiological studies, discuss lessons we learned from the COVID-19 pandemic, and highlight opportunities and challenges of data science approaches to confronting future infectious disease epidemics. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Data science approaches to infectious disease surveillance’.

BackgroundWe aimed to evaluate the impact of various allocation strategies of COVID-19 vaccines and antiviral such that the pandemic exit strategy could be tailored to risks and preferences of jurisdictions in the East Asia and Pacific region (EAP) to improve its efficiency and effectiveness.MethodsVaccine efficacies were estimated from the titre distributions of 50% plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT50), assuming that PRNT50 titres of primary vaccination decreased by 2-10 folds due to antibody waning and emergence of VOCs, and an additional dose of vaccine would increase PRNT50 titres by 3- or 9-fold. We then used an existing SARS-CoV-2 transmission model to assess the outcomes of vaccine allocation strategies with and without the use of antivirals for symptomatic patients in Japan, Hong Kong and Vietnam.FindingsIncreasing primary vaccination coverage was the most important contributing factor in reducing the total and peak number of COVID-19 hospitalizations, especially when population vaccine coverage or vaccine uptake among older adults was low. Providing antivirals to 50% of symptomatic infections only further reduced total and peak hospitalizations by 10-13%. The effectiveness of an additional dose of vaccine was highly dependent on the immune escape potential of VOCs and antibody waning, but less dependent on the boosting efficacy of the additional dose.InterpretationIncreasing primary vaccination coverage should be prioritised in the design of allocation strategies of COVID-19 vaccines and antivirals in the EAP region. Heterologous vaccination with any available vaccine as the additional dose could be considered when planning pandemic exit strategies tailored to the circumstances of EAP jurisdictions.FundingHealth and Medical Research Fund, General Research Fund, AIR@InnoHK

Background New monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and vaccines against RSV with promising efficacy and protection duration are expected to be available in the near future. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of the administration of maternal immunisation (MI), infant mAb (IA) and paediatric immunisation (PI) as well as their combinations in eight Chinese cities. Methods We used a static model to estimate the impact of these preventive interventions on reducing the burden of RSV-ALRI in twelve monthly birth cohorts from a societal perspective. In addition to year-round administration, we also considered seasonal administration of MI and IA (i.e., administered only to children born in selected months). The primary outcome was threshold strategy cost (TSC), defined as the maximum costs per child for a strategy to be cost-effective. Results With a willingness-to-pay threshold of one national GDP per capita per QALY gained for all the cities, TSC of year-round strategies was: (i) US$2.4 (95% CI: 1.9-3.4) to US$14.7 (11.6-21.4) for MI; (ii) US$19.9 (16.9-25.9) to US$144.2 (124.6-184.7) for IA; (iii) US$28.7 (22.0-42.0) to US$201.0 (156.5-298.6) for PI; (iv) US$31.1 (24.0-45.5) to US$220.7 (172.0-327.3) for maternal plus paediatric immunisation (MPI); and (v) US$41.3 (32.6-58.9) to US$306.2 (244.1-441.3) for infant mAb plus paediatric immunisation (AP). In all cities, the top ten seasonal strategies (ranked by TSC) protected infants from 5 or fewer monthly birth cohorts. Conclusions Administration of these interventions could be cost-effective if they are suitably priced. Suitably-timed seasonal administration could be more cost-effective than their year-round counterpart. Our results can inform the optimal strategy once these preventive interventions are commercially available.

Additive manufacturing (AM) is the automated production of three-dimensional (3D) structures through successive layer-by-layer deposition of materials directed by computer-aided-design (CAD) software. While current clinical procedures that aim to reconstruct hard and soft tissue defects resulting from periodontal disease, congenital or acquired pathology, and maxillofacial trauma often utilize mass-produced biomaterials created for a variety of surgical indications, AM represents a paradigm shift in manufacturing at the individual patient level. Computer-aided systems employ algorithms to design customized, image-based scaffolds with high external shape complexity and spatial patterning of internal architecture guided by topology optimization. 3D bioprinting and surface modification techniques further enhance scaffold functionalization and osteogenic potential through the incorporation of viable cells, bioactive molecules, biomimetic materials and vectors for transgene expression within the layered architecture. These computational design features enable fabrication of tissue engineering constructs with highly tailored mechanical, structural, and biochemical properties for bone. This review examines key properties of scaffold design, bioresorbable bone scaffolds produced by AM processes, and clinical applications of these regenerative technologies. AM is transforming the field of personalized dental medicine and has great potential to improve regenerative outcomes in patient care.

Background: Policy makers aiming to reduce micronutrient deficiencies (MNDs) and their health effects must choose among alternative definitions of impact when evaluating cost-effectiveness. Objective: Estimate the cost-effectiveness of a mandatory wheat flour fortification program for reducing cases of MNDs (iron, zinc, folate, vitamin B12), anemia and neural tube defects (NTDs) averted, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted in urban Cameroon. Methods: A 13-year predictive model was developed, including a 3-year start-up period and 10 years of program activity. Costs were estimated using historical program budgets. Effects were calculated based on observed changes in prevalence of MND and anemia 1 year postfortification and predicted reductions in NTDs based on NTD burden and wheat flour intake. Total DALYs averted were estimated for anemia and NTDs. Results: The program cost ∼$2.4 million over 13 years and averted an estimated ∼95 000 cases of maternal anemia and ∼83 500 cases of iron deficiency among children after 1 year. Cost/case-year averted for MNDs ranged from $0.50 for low plasma folate to $3.30 for iron deficiency and was $2.20 for maternal anemia. The program was predicted to avert 1600 cases of NTDs over 10 years at ∼$1500 per case averted. Estimated cost/DALY averted was $50 for NTDs and $115 for anemia. Conclusions: In Cameroon, cost-effectiveness of wheat flour fortification varied by the measure of impact employed, but was classified as “very cost-effective” for all outcomes using World Health Organization criteria. Policy makers and their advisors must determine how best to use information on program costs and benefits to inform their decisions.

Rotator cuff (RC) tears present a treatment challenge due to muscle atrophy and degeneration, fatty infiltration, and fibrosis. The purpose of this study was to generate a high time-resolution model of RC tear in rabbits and to characterize the progression of architectural and histological changes. Thirty-five female New Zealand White rabbits (age: 6 months) underwent left supraspinatus tenotomy. Five rabbits were used to evaluate immediate muscle architectural changes. The remaining 30 rabbits underwent right shoulder sham surgery and sacrifice at 1, 2, 4, 8, or 16 weeks. Histology was used to quantify muscle fiber cross-sectional area (CSA), muscle degeneration and regeneration, and fat localized to inter- versus intrafascicular regions. Muscle fiber CSA decreased by 26.5% compared to sham at 16 weeks (effect of treatment, p

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text., OBJECTIVES: A statewide working group in Minnesota created a ventilator allocation scoring system in anticipation of functioning under a Crisis Standards of Care declaration. The scoring system was intended for patients with and without coronavirus disease 2019. There was disagreement about whether the scoring system might exacerbate health disparities and about whether the score should include age. We measured the relationship of ventilator scores to in-hospital and 3-month mortality. We analyzed our findings in the context of ethical and legal guidance for the triage of scarce resources. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Multihospital within a single healthcare system. PATIENTS: Five-hundred four patients emergently intubated and admitted to the ICU. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The Ventilator Allocation Score was positively associated with higher mortality (p < 0.0001). The 3-month mortality rate for patients with a score of 6 or higher was 96% (42/44 patients). Age was positively associated with mortality. The 3-month mortality rate for patients 80 and older with scores of 4 or greater was 93% (40/43 patients). Of patients assigned a score of 5, those with end stage renal disease had lower mortality than patients without end stage renal disease although the difference did not achieve statistical significance (n = 27; 25% vs 58%; p = 0.2). CONCLUSIONS: The Ventilator Allocation Score can accurately identify patients with high rates of short-term mortality. However, these high mortality patients only represent 27% of all the patients who died, limiting the utility of the score for allocation of scarce resources. The score may unfairly prioritize older patients and inadvertently exacerbate racial health disparities through the inclusion of specific comorbidities such as end stage renal disease. Triage frameworks that include age should be considered. Purposeful efforts must be taken to ensure that triage protocols do not perpetuate or exacerbate prevailing inequities. Further work on the allocation of scarce resources in critical care settings would benefit from consensus on the primary ethical objective.

Pathway-based differential expression analysis allows the incorporation of biological domain knowledge into transcriptomics analysis to enhance our understanding of disease mechanisms. To integrate information among multiple studies at the pathway level, pathway-based meta-analysis can be performed. Paired or partially paired samples are common in biomedical research. However, there are currently no existing pathway-based meta-analysis methods appropriate for paired or partially paired study designs. In this study, we developed a pathway-based meta-analysis approach for paired or partially paired samples. Meta-analysis on the transcriptomics profiles were conducted using p-value-based, rank-based, and effect size-based algorithms. The application of our approach was demonstrated using partially paired data from psoriasis transcriptomics studies. Upon combining six transcriptomics studies, genes related to the cell cycle and DNA replication pathways are found to be highly perturbed in psoriatic lesional skin samples. Results were validated externally with independent RNA-Seq data. Comparison with existing pathway meta-analysis methods revealed consistent results, with our method showing higher detection power. This study demonstrated the utility of our newly developed pathway-based meta-analysis that allows the incorporation of partially paired or paired samples. The proposed framework can be applied to omics data including but not limited to transcriptomics data.

The Chinese National Twin Registry (CNTR) currently includes data from 61 566 twin pair from 11 provinces or cities in China. Of these, 31 705, 15 060 and 13 531 pairs are monozygotic, same-sex dizygotic and opposite-sex dizygotic pairs, respectively, determined by opposite sex or intrapair similarity. Since its establishment in 2001, the CNTR has provided an important resource for analysing genetic and environmental influences on chronic diseases especially cardiovascular diseases. Recently, the CNTR has focused on collecting biologic specimens from disease-concordant or disease-discordant twin pairs or from twin pairs reared apart. More than 8000 pairs of these twins have been registered, and blood samples have been collected from more than 1500 pairs. In this review, we summarize the main findings from univariate and multivariate genetic effects analyses, gene-environment interaction studies, omics studies exploring DNA methylation and metabolomic markers associated with phenotypes. There remains further scope for CNTR research and data mining. The plan for future development of the CNTR is described. The CNTR welcomes worldwide collaboration.

Purpose To (1) define the rate of delayed surgery, between 1 and 10 years after injury, in a population-based study of patients with posterior shoulder instability (PSI), (2) evaluate predictive factors associated with delayed repair, and (3) identify differences between the nonoperative and operative groups at long-term follow-up. Methods A population-based retrospectively reviewed study of all patients with PSI from January 1, 1994, to December 31, 2015, was performed. Inclusion required a clinical diagnosis of PSI combined with supporting imaging. Complete medical records were reviewed for 2,091 potential cases. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to calculate survival. Landmark survival analysis was performed to identify predictors of conversion to surgery. Results The study included 143 patients with PSI, 79 of whom were managed nonoperatively for at least 1 year after diagnosis. After the first year, survival free of surgery was 78.3% at 1 year, 63.1% at 5 years, and 51.5% at 10 years. There was a trend toward increased surgery in patients with a body mass index > 35 (P = .10; hazard ratio = 2.32; confidence interval, 0.8-6.8). Nonthrowing athletes (including contact/weight-lifting athletes) showed a trend toward an increased risk for surgery (P = .07). Patients who underwent surgery were significantly more likely to have progression in arthritis (P = .02; hazard ratio = 4.0; confidence interval, 1.2-13.2). Conclusions Nonoperative management was performed for at least 1 year in over half of patients diagnosed with PSI. Overall, long-term follow-up demonstrates that 46% of these patients converted to surgery between 1 and 10 years after initial diagnosis. Ultimately, 70% of patients diagnosed with PSI go on to surgical intervention. Patients who underwent surgery at any time point were at an increased risk of radiographic progression of arthritis at a minimum of 5 years of follow-up. Level of Evidence Level III, cohort study.

Objectives Enterovirus 71 (EV71) and coxsackievirus A16 (CA16) were responsible for 43.3% (235 123/543 243) and 24.8% (134 607/543 243) of all laboratory-confirmed hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) cases during 2010–2015 in China. Three monovalent EV71 vaccines have been licensed in China while bivalent EV71/CA16 vaccines are under development. A comparative cost-effectiveness analysis of bivalent EV71/CA16 versus monovalent EV71 vaccination would be useful for informing the additional value of bivalent HFMD vaccines in China. Methods We used a static model parameterized with the national HFMD surveillance data during 2010–2013, virological HFMD surveillance records from all 31 provinces in mainland China during 2010–2013 and caregiver survey data of costs and health quality of life during 2012–2013. We estimated the threshold vaccine cost (TVC), defined as the maximum additional cost that could be paid for a cost-effective bivalent EV71/CA16 vaccine over a monovalent EV71 vaccine, as the outcome. The base case analysis was performed from a societal perspective. Several sensitivity analyses were conducted by varying assumptions governing HFMD risk, costs, discounting and vaccine efficacy. Results In the base case, choosing the bivalent EV71/CA16 over monovalent EV71 vaccination would be cost-effective only if the additional cost of the bivalent EV71/CA16 compared with the monovalent EV71 vaccine is less than €4.7 (95% CI 4.2–5.2). Compared with the TVC in the base case, TVC increased by up to €8.9 if all the test-negative cases were CA16-HFMD; decreased by €1.1 with an annual discount rate of 6% and exclusion of the productivity loss; and increased by €0.14 and €0.3 with every 1% increase in bivalent vaccine efficacy against CA16-HFMD and differential vaccine efficacy against EV71-HFMD, respectively. Conclusions Bivalent EV71/CA16 vaccines can be cost-effective compared with monovalent EV71 vaccines, if suitably priced. Our study provides further evidence for determining the optimal use of HFMD vaccines in routine paediatric vaccination programme in China.

BACKGROUND High volume centers (HVC) is commonly associated with increased resources and improved patient outcomes. This study assesses efficacy and outcomes of high volume centers in cleft palate repair. METHODS Cleft palate procedures were identified in the Kids' Inpatient Database from 2003-2009. Demographics, perioperative factors, co-morbidities, and complications in HVC (90th percentile, >48 cases/year) and non-high volume centers (NHVC) were compared across various cohorts of cleft repair. RESULTS Four thousand five hundred sixty-three (61.7%) total cleft palate surgeries were performed in HVC and 3388 (38.3%) were performed in NHVC. The NHVC treated a higher percentage of Medicaid patients (P = 0.005) and patients from low-income quartiles (P = 0.018). HVC had larger bedsizes (P