1. Accuracy of the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium Model Among Women with LCIS
- Author
-
Anna Park, Tari A. King, Melissa Pilewskie, Varadan Sevilimedu, and Idil Eroglu
- Subjects
Oncology ,Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Cancer Research ,business.industry ,Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium ,Breast Neoplasms ,Article ,Carcinoma, Lobular ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Female ,Breast Carcinoma In Situ ,business ,Carcinoma in Situ ,Breast Density ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
PurposeThe Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) model predicts risk of invasive breast cancer risk based on age, race, family history, breast density, and history of benign breast disease, including lobular carcinoma in situ (LCIS). However, validation studies for this model included few women with LCIS. We sought to evaluate the accuracy of the BCSC model among this cohort. MethodsWomen with LCIS diagnosed between 1983 and 2017 were identified from a prospectively maintained database. The BCSC score was calculated; those with prior breast cancer, unknown breast density, aged 74 or history of chemoprevention use were excluded. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate incidence rates. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to analyze the discriminative capacity of the model. Results1302 women with LCIS were included. At a median follow-up of 7 years, 152 women (12%) developed invasive cancer (6 with bilateral disease). Cumulative incidences of invasive breast cancer were 7.1% (95% CI 5.6, 8.7) and 13.3% (95% CI 10.9,15.6), respectively, and the median BCSC risk scores were 4.9 and 10.4, respectively, at 5 and 10 years. The median 10year BCSC score was significantly lower than the 10-year Tyrer-Cuzick score (10.4 vs 20.8, p
- Published
- 2022