Search

Background: Macrophage activation-like syndrome (MALS) and complex immune dysregulation (CID) often underlie acute respiratory distress (ARDS) in COVID-19. We aimed to investigate the effect of personalized immunotherapy on clinical improvement of critical COVID-19. Methods: In this open-label prospective trial, 102 patients with ARDS by SARS-CoV-2 were screened for MALS (ferritin >4,420 ng/mL) and CID (ferritin ≤4,420 ng/mL and low human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR expression on CD14-monocytes). Patients with MALS or CID with increased aminotransferases received intravenous anakinra; those with CID and normal aminotransferases received tocilizumab. The primary outcome was ≥25% decrease in the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score and/or 50% increase in the respiratory ratio by day 8; 28-day mortality, change of SOFA score by day 28, serum biomarkers, and cytokine production by mononuclear cells were secondary endpoints. Results: The primary study endpoint was met in 58.3% of anakinra-treated patients and in 33.3% of tocilizumab-treated patients (p: 0.01). Most patients in both groups received dexamethasone as standard of care. No differences were found in secondary outcomes, mortality, and SOFA score changes. Ferritin decreased among anakinra-treated patients; interleukin-6, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, and HLA-DR expression increased among tocilizumab-treated patients. Survivors by day 28 who received anakinra were distributed to lower severity levels of the WHO clinical progression scale. Greater incidence of secondary infections was found with tocilizumab treatment. Conclusion: Immune assessment resulted in favorable anakinra responses among critically ill patients with COVID-19 and features of MALS.

Introduction The epidemiology of severe lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) is constantly changing. We aimed to describe it using the BioFire® FilmArray® Pneumonia plus (PNplus) Panel. Methods In a sub-study of the PROGRESS trial, sputum samples of 90 patients with sepsis and LRTI were retrospectively studied. The primary endpoint was the comparative detection rate of pathogens between conventional microbiology and PNplus Panel; secondary endpoints were microbiology and the association with the inflammatory host response. Results Fifty-six patients with community-acquired pneumonia without risk factors for multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogens and another 34 patients with risk factors for MDR were studied; median pneumonia severity index (PSI) was 113 (88–135). PNplus detection rate was 72.2% compared to 10% by conventional microbiology (p

Contains fulltext : 237989.pdf (Publisher’s version ) (Closed access) BACKGROUND: Anakinra might improve the prognosis of patients with moderate to severe COVID-19 (ie, patients requiring oxygen supplementation but not yet receiving organ support). We aimed to assess the effect of anakinra treatment on mortality in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19. METHODS: For this systematic review and individual patient-level meta-analysis, a systematic literature search was done on Dec 28, 2020, in Medline (PubMed), Cochrane, medRxiv, bioRxiv, and the ClinicalTrials.gov databases for randomised trials, comparative studies, and observational studies of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19, comparing administration of anakinra with standard of care, or placebo, or both. The search was repeated on Jan 22, 2021. Individual patient-level data were requested from investigators and corresponding authors of eligible studies; if individual patient-level data were not available, published data were extracted from the original reports. The primary endpoint was mortality after 28 days and the secondary endpoint was safety (eg, the risk of secondary infections). This study is registered on PROSPERO (CRD42020221491). FINDINGS: 209 articles were identified, of which 178 full-text articles fulfilled screening criteria and were assessed. Aggregate data on 1185 patients from nine studies were analysed, and individual patient-level data on 895 patients were provided from six of these studies. Eight studies were observational and one was a randomised controlled trial. Most studies used historical controls. In the individual patient-level meta-analysis, after adjusting for age, comorbidities, baseline ratio of the arterial partial oxygen pressure divided by the fraction of inspired oxygen (PaO(2)/FiO(2)), C-reactive protein (CRP) concentrations, and lymphopenia, mortality was significantly lower in patients treated with anakinra (38 [11%] of 342) than in those receiving standard of care with or without placebo (137 [25%] of 553; adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0·32 [95% CI 0·20-0·51]). The mortality benefit was similar across subgroups regardless of comorbidities (ie, diabetes), ferritin concentrations, or the baseline PaO(2)/FiO(2). In a subgroup analysis, anakinra was more effective in lowering mortality in patients with CRP concentrations higher than 100 mg/L (OR 0·28 [95% CI 0·17-0·47]). Anakinra showed a significant survival benefit when given without dexamethasone (OR 0·23 [95% CI 0·12-0·43]), but not with dexamethasone co-administration (0·72 [95% CI 0·37-1·41]). Anakinra was not associated with a significantly increased risk of secondary infections when compared with standard of care (OR 1·35 [95% CI 0·59-3·10]). INTERPRETATION: Anakinra could be a safe, anti-inflammatory treatment option to reduce the mortality risk in patients admitted to hospital with moderate to severe COVID-19 pneumonia, especially in the presence of signs of hyperinflammation such as CRP concentrations higher than 100 mg/L. FUNDING: Sobi.

RationaleMacrophage activation syndrome (MAS) and complex immune dysregulation (CID) often underlie acute respiratory distress (ARDS) in COVID-19.ObjectiveTo investigate the outcome of personalized immunotherapy in critical COVID-19.MethodsIn this open-label prospective trial, 102 patients with SOFA (sequential organ failure assessment) score ≥2 or ARDS by SARS-CoV-2 were screened for MAS (ferritin more than 4420 ng/ml) and CID (ferritin ≤4420 ng/ml and low expression of HLA-DR on CD14-monocytes). Patients with MAS and CID with increased aminotransferases were assigned to intravenous anakinra; those with CID and normal aminotransferases to tocilizumab. The primary outcome was at least 25% decrease of SOFA score and/or 50% increase of respiratory ratio by day 8; 28-day mortality, change of SOFA score by day 28; serum biomarkers and cytokine production by mononuclear cells were secondary endpoints.Measurements and Main ResultsThe primary study endpoint was met in 58.3% of anakinra-treated patients and in 33.3% of tocilizumab-treated patients (odds ratio 3.11; 95% CIs 1.29-7.73; P: 0.011). No differences were found in mortality and in SOFA score changes. By day 4, ferritin was decreased among anakinra-treated patients; interleukin (IL)-6, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) and the expression of HLA-DR were increased among tocilizumab-treated patients. Anakinra increased capacity of mononuclear cells to produce IL-6. Survivors by day 28 who received anakinra were distributed to scales of the WHO clinical progression of lower severity. Greater incidence of secondary infections was found with tocilizumab treatment.ConclusionsBiomarkers may guide favourable anakinra responses in critically ill patients with COVID-19.Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04339712

Background COVID-19 is a pandemic caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that shares and differs in clinical characteristics of known viral infections. Methods We obtained RNAseq profiles of 62 prospectively enrolled COVID-19 patients and 24 healthy controls (HC). We collected 23 independent studies profiling 1,855 blood samples from patients covering six viruses (influenza, RSV, HRV, Ebola, Dengue and SARS-CoV-1). We studied host whole-blood transcriptomic responses in COVID-19 compared to non-COVID-19 viral infections to understand similarities and differences in host response. Gene signature threshold was absolute effect size ≥1, FDR ≤ 0.05%. Results Differential gene expression of COVID-19 vs HC are highly correlated with non-COVID-19 vs HC (r=0.74, p< 0.001). We discovered two gene signatures: COVID-19 vs HC (2002 genes) (COVIDsig) and non-COVID-19 vs HC (635 genes) (nonCOVIDsig). Pathway analysis of over-expressed signature genes in COVIDsig or nonCOVIDsig identified similar pathways including neutrophil activation, innate immune response, immune response to viral infection and cytokine production. Conversely, for under-expressed genes, pathways indicated repression of lymphocyte differentiation and activation (Fig1). Intersecting the two gene signatures found two genes significantly oppositely regulated (ACO1, ATL3). We derived a third gene signature using COCONUT to compare COVID-19 to non-COVID-19 viral infections (416 genes) (Fig2). Pathway analysis did not result in significant enrichment, suggesting identification of novel biology (Fig1). Statistical deconvolution of bulk transcriptomic data found M1 macrophages, plasmacytoid dendritic cells, CD14+ monocytes, CD4+ T cells and total B cells changed in the same direction across COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 infections. Cell types that increased in COVID-19 relative to non-COVID-19 were CD56bright NK cells, M2 macrophages and total NK cells. Those that decreased in non-COVID-19 relative to COVID-19 were CD56dim NK cells & memory B cells and eosinophils (Fig3). Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 Conclusion The concordant and discordant responses mapped here provide a window to explore the pathophysiology of COVID-19 vs other viral infections and show clear differences in signaling pathways and cellularity as part of the host response to SARS-CoV-2. Disclosures Simone A. Thair, PhD, Inflammatix, Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Yudong He, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee) Yehudit Hasin-Brumshtein, PhD, Inflammatix (Employee, Shareholder) Suraj Sakaram, MS in Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Inflammatix (Employee, Other Financial or Material Support, stock options) Rushika R. Pandya, MS, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) David C. Rawling, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Purvesh Khatri, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Shareholder) Timothy Sweeney, MD, PHD, Inflammatix, Inc. (Employee, Shareholder)

BackgroundDetermining the severity of COVID-19 remains an unmet medical need. Our objective was to develop a blood-based host-gene-expression classifier for the severity of viral infections and validate it in independent data, including COVID-19.MethodsWe developed the classifier for the severity of viral infections and validated it in multiple viral infection settings including COVID-19. We used training data (N=705) from 21 retrospective transcriptomic clinical studies of influenza and other viral illnesses looking at a preselected panel of host immune response messenger RNAs.ResultsWe selected 6 host RNAs and trained logistic regression classifier with a cross-validation area under curve of 0.90 for predicting 30-day mortality in viral illnesses. Next, in 1,417 samples across 21 independent retrospective cohorts the locked 6-RNA classifier had an area under curve of 0.91 for discriminating patients with severe vs. non-severe infection. Next, in independent cohorts of prospectively (N=97) and retrospectively (N=100) enrolled patients with confirmed COVID-19, the classifier had an area under curve of 0.89 and 0.87, respectively, for identifying patients with severe respiratory failure or 30-day mortality. Finally, we developed a loop-mediated isothermal gene expression assay for the 6-messenger-RNA panel to facilitate implementation as a rapid assay.ConclusionsWith further study, the classifier could assist in the risk assessment of COVID-19 and other acute viral infections patients to determine severity and level of care, thereby improving patient management and reducing healthcare burden.

Background: Small intestinal bacterial overgrowth (SIBO), characterized by either increased numbers or presence of colonic type bacteria in the small bowel has been previously described in functional dyspepsia (FD), based on breath testing. In this study, we aim to examine the prevalence of SIBO among FD patients using small bowel aspirate culture. Methods: We prospectively enrolled outpatients fulfilling Rome IV criteria for FD. Severity of symptoms was graded using the patient assessment of upper gastrointestinal symptom severity index (PAGI-SYM) questionnaire. Patients underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy and duodenal fluid was aspirated in sterile traps. SIBO was defined as ≥103 colony forming units/mL of duodenal aspirate and/or presence of colonic type bacteria. Patients undergoing gastroscopy due to gastroesophageal reflux symptoms – control group (CG) – and patients with irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) fulfilling Rome IV criteria were also recruited. Results: We enrolled 227 FD subjects, 30 CG, and 90 IBS patients. Among FD patients, 144 (63.4%), 64 (28.2%), and 19 (8.4%) had postprandial distress syndrome (PDS), epigastric pain syndrome (EPS), and overlapping PDS-EPS syndrome, respectively. SIBO prevalence was 20.8%, 12.5%, and 31.6% among PDS, EPS, and overlapping PDS-EPS FD subtypes, respectively. Overall, SIBO prevalence was significantly higher in FD (44/227 [19.4%]) compared to CG (1/30 [3.3%]) (p = 0.037) and similar to IBS (44/227 [19.4%] vs. 15/90 [16.7%], p = 0.63) subjects. SIBO presence was associated neither with total nor with any subscale score of the PAGI-SYM questionnaire. Conclusion: In a cohort of Greek FD patients, SIBO prevalence was similar to that of IBS subjects and higher compared to that of controls.

NLRP3 inflammasome is a multimolecular cytosol complex that, when activated, contributes to the cleavage of pro-interleukin (IL)-1β to IL-1β. To investigate NLRP3 inflammasome activation in inflammatory bowel disease. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells from Crohn’s disease (CD), ulcerative colitis (UC) patients and controls were stimulated with LPS in the absence or presence of MSU. After incubation, concentrations of IL-1β, IL-6, and TNFα were measured in cell supernatants and concentration of pro-IL-1β was measured in cell lysates. NLRP3 activation was defined as more than 30% increase in IL-1β production after MSU addition. In separate experiments, PBMCs were lysed for RNA isolation transcripts of IL-1β, TNFα, NLRP3, and CASP1 were measured by RT-PCR. DNA was isolated from CD patients for ATG16L1 gene genotyping. NLRP3 inflammasome was activated in 60% of CD patients compared to 28.6% of controls (p = 0.042); no significant difference was detected between UC and controls. Among UC patients, NLRP3 activation was associated (p = 0.008) with long-standing disease (>1.5 years). IL-1β levels were significantly higher in CD patents in comparison with controls (p = 0.032). No difference was detected in the levels of IL-6, TNFα, pro-IL-1β and in the numbers IL-1β, TNFα, NLRP3, and CASP1 transcripts among groups. IL-1β production was similar between carriers of wild-type and of SNP alleles of the rs2241880. NLRP3 inflammasome is activated in CD patients and in UC patients with long-standing disease.

This study was designed to identify changes in the monocytic membrane marker HLA-DR and heat shock proteins (HSPs) in relation to T-regulatory cells (T-regs) and other immunological marker changes in patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) or sepsis/septic shock.Healthy volunteers, intensive care unit (ICU) patients with SIRS due to head injury and ICU patients with severe sepsis/septic shock were enrolled in the current study. Determination of CD14+/HLA-DR+ cells, intracellular heat-shock proteins and other immunological parameters were performed by flow cytometry and RT-PCR techniques as appropriate. Univariate and multivariate analysis examined associations of CD14/HLA-DR, HSPs, T-regs and suppressor of cytokine signalling (SOCS) proteins with SIRS, sepsis and outcome.Fifty patients (37 with severe sepsis and 13 with SIRS) were enrolled, together with 20 healthy volunteers used as a control group. Compared to healthy individuals, patients with SIRS and severe sepsis showed progressive decline of their CD14/HLA-DR expression (0% to 7.7% to 50% within each study subpopulation, p0.001). Mean fluorescent intensity (MFI) levels of HSP70 and HSP90 on monocytes and polymorphonuclear cells were significantly higher in SIRS patients compared to controls and fell significantly in severe sepsis/septic shock patients (p0.05 for all comparisons). There was no statistically significant difference between subgroups for levels of T-regulatory cells or relative copies of Suppressor of Cytokine Signalling 3 (SOCS3) proteins. In univariate models percent of CD14/HLA-DR was associated with mortality (OR: 1.8 95%CI 1.02-3.2, p=0.05), while in multivariate models after adjusting for CD14/HLA-DR only younger age and lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores were associated with increased chances of survival (beta -0.05, OR 0.9, 95% CI 0.9-0.99, p=0.038 for age and beta -0.11, OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.8-0.99, p=0.037 for APACHE II score).Significant associations with SIRS and sepsis were found for CD14/HLA-DR expression and monocyte and polymorphonuclear cell levels of HSP70 and 90. The role of these biomarkers in assessing the prognosis of sepsis needs to be further explored and validated in prospective studies.

Background While major progress has been made to establish diagnostic tools for the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection, determining the severity of COVID-19 remains an unmet medical need. With limited hospital resources, gauging severity would allow for some patients to safely recover in home quarantine while ensuring sicker patients get needed care. We discovered a 5 host mRNA-based classifier for the severity of influenza and other acute viral infections and validated the classifier in COVID-19 patients from Greece. Methods We used training data (N=705) from 21 retrospective clinical studies of influenza and other viral illnesses. Five host mRNAs from a preselected panel were applied to train a logistic regression classifier for predicting 30-day mortality in influenza and other viral illnesses. We then applied this classifier, with fixed weights, to an independent cohort of subjects with confirmed COVID-19 from Athens, Greece (N=71) using NanoString nCounter. Finally, we developed a proof-of-concept rapid, isothermal qRT-LAMP assay for the 5-mRNA host signature using the QuantStudio 6 qPCR platform. Results In 71 patients with COVID-19, the 5 mRNA classifier had an AUROC of 0.88 (95% CI 0.80-0.97) for identifying patients with severe respiratory failure and/or 30-day mortality (Figure 1). Applying a preset cutoff based on training data, the 5-mRNA classifier had 100% sensitivity and 46% specificity for identifying mortality, and 88% sensitivity and 68% specificity for identifying severe respiratory failure. Finally, our proof-of-concept qRT-LAMP assay showed high correlation with the reference NanoString 5-mRNA classifier (r=0.95). Figure 1. Validation of the 5-mRNA classifier in the COVID-19 cohort. (A) Expression of the 5 genes used in the logistic regression model in patients with (red) and without (blue) mortality. (B) The 5-mRNA classifier accurately distinguishes non-severe and severe patients with COVID-19 as well as those at risk of death. Conclusion Our 5-mRNA classifier demonstrated very high accuracy for the prediction of COVID-19 severity and could assist in the rapid, point-of-impact assessment of patients with confirmed COVID-19 to determine level of care thereby improving patient management and healthcare burden. Disclosures ljubomir Buturovic, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Purvesh Khatri, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Shareholder) Oliver Liesenfeld, MD, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) James Wacker, n/a, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Uros Midic, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Roland Luethy, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) David C. Rawling, PhD, Inflammatix Inc. (Employee, Shareholder) Timothy Sweeney, MD, Inflammatix, Inc. (Employee)

To investigate the impact of carriage of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the Toll-like receptor-4 (TLR4) and of autophagy-related gene 16-like-1 (ATG16L1) in preterm delivery (PTD). A prospective cohort of 145 pregnant women was studied. Women were prospectively followed-up until delivery. Genotyping for rs4986790 (Asp299Gly transition) and rs4986791 (Thr399Ile transition) of TLR4 and for rs2241880 of ATG16L1 was done by PCR-restriction fragment length polymorphism. The primary study endpoint was the impact of carriage of minor alleles of TLR4 on early PTD before gestational week 32. Associations with human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) were also analyzed. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were isolated from 15 healthy women and stimulated for cytokine production. No difference in clinical characteristics was observed between women delivering full term and preterm. The frequency of early PTD was 25% among women carrying minor alleles of TLR4 and 6.8% among women carrying major alleles (P: .032). Odds ratios for PTD were 3.85 among women carrying the GG genotype of rs2241880 and major alleles of TLR4 and 0.26 among carriers of GG genotype and minor alleles of TLR4 (P: .030). The co-presence of GG genotype of rs2241880 and hCG above 70 U/L was an independent variable for PTD. Stimulated production of interleukin-6 was greater among women with GG genotypes of rs2241880. Minor alleles of SNPs of TLR4 predispose to early PTD. The GG genotype of rs2241880 of ATG16L1 is associated with PTD when hCG is supra-elevated.

Heterogeneous results of published studies led to conduct a randomized clinical trial to assess the efficacy of a new formulation of four probiotics as prophylaxis for complications after colorectal surgery. A double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized study was conducted enrolling patients undergoing colorectal surgery for cancer. Capsules of placebo or of a formulation containing Lactobacillus acidophilus, L. p lantarum, Bifidobacterium lactis and Saccharomyces boulardii were administered starting one day before operation and continuing for another 15 days postoperatively. Patients were followed up for 30 days with the development of postoperative complications as the primary outcome. Gene expression and serum levels of cytokines were measured on postoperative day 4 ( www.clinicaltrials.gov NCT02313519). The study was prematurely stopped after enrolment due to efficacy in the primary outcome. Administration of probiotics significantly decreased the rate of all postoperative major complication (28.6 vs. 48.8 % of the placebo arm, p 0.010, odds ratio 0.42). Major benefit was found in the reduction of the rate of postoperative pneumonia (2.4 vs. 11.3 %, p 0.029), of surgical site infections (7.1 vs. 20.0 %, p 0.020) and of anastomotic leakage (1.2 vs. 8.8 %, p 0.031). The time until hospital discharge was shortened as well. Gene expression of SOCS3 was positively related with gene expression of TNF and of circulating IL-6 in the probiotic group but not in the placebo group. The studied probiotic formulation significantly decreased the risk of postoperative complications, namely mechanical ventilation, infections and anastomotic leakage. Modulation of the gene expression of SOCS3 is one suggested mechanism ( www.clinicaltrials.gov NCT02313519).

We investigated the efficacy of recombinant human interferon-γ in experimental pyelonephritis due to Escherichia coli.Pyelonephritis was induced by intrapelvic inoculation of bacteria after ureteral ligation in 38 rabbits assigned to 1 of 3 groups, including group 1-16 controls, group 2-14 rabbits treated with intravenous recombinant human interferon-γ and group 3-8 rabbits treated with intravenous recombinant human interferon-γ plus amikacin. Bacterial counts, cytokines and malondialdehyde were measured in blood. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were isolated to measure TNFα transcripts, cytokine stimulation and apoptosis. Survival was recorded, and the tissue bacterial load and myeloperoxidase activity were measured after sacrifice.The mortality rate in groups 1, 2 and 3 was 66.7%, 25% and 12.5%, respectively. The circulating bacterial count and tissue bacterial load were less in group 2 than in group 1. Circulating malondialdehyde negatively correlated with the bacterial load of the spleen. Although the number of TNFα transcripts in circulating peripheral blood mononuclear cells did not differ, peripheral blood mononuclear cells isolated from group 2 at 48 hours produced much greater concentrations of tumor necrosis factor-α after stimulation with Pam3Cys. In parallel, the apoptosis rate of circulating monocytes was increased in group 2 at 48 hours. Lung myeloperoxidase activity at 24 hours, serving as indirect evidence of neutrophil infiltration, was decreased in group 2.Recombinant human interferon-γ administration prolonged survival in rabbits with experimental E. coli urosepsis. Its action was probably related to increased bacterial phagocytosis after modulation of oxidant status and reversal of monocyte immunoparalysis.

Background Former studies have shown that Propionibacterium acnes may stimulate expression of toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) in keratinocytes of patients with acne vulgaris. Objective To investigate the impact of single nucleotide polumorphisms (SNPs) of the TLR4 gene in acne vulgaris. Methods Genomic DNA was isolated from 191 patients with acne vulgaris and 75 healthy controls. Asp299Gly and Thr399Ile SNPs were defined after cutting of the PCR products by restriction enzymes. Sebum of lesions was cultured for P. acnes. Results No differences in SNP allele frequencies were found between patients and healthy controls. 46.5% of carriers of wild-type alleles were suffering from acne conglobata compared with 28.6% of carriers of SNP alleles (P = 0.040). After adjusting for gender, family history of acnes, intake of any therapy and skin isolation of P. acnes, carriage of TLR4 gene SNPs was the only independent variable linked with a protective role against acne conglobata (OR = 0.269, P = 0.014). No differences were found in the amount of pro-inflammatory cytokines released by peripheral blood mononuclear cells isolated from patients with acne conglobata carrying only wild-type alleles and SNP alleles. Conclusions Carriage of gene SNPs is protective against the development of acne conglobata even in the presence of P. acnes.

Heterogeneous published Results led us to conduct a clinical trial to assess the efficacy of a new formulation of four probiotics (P) as prophylaxis for complications after colorectal surgery.