1. Association of public health interventions and COVID-19 incidence in Vietnam, January to December 2020
- Author
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Thai Quang Pham, Ngoc-Anh Thi Hoang, Hung Thai Do, Dinh Cong Phung, Khanh Cong Nguyen, Lan Trong Phan, Nghia Duy Ngu, Ha-Linh Quach, Duc-Anh Dang, Tan Quang Dang, Florian Vogt, Chien Chinh Vien, Mai Thi Quynh Le, Quang Dai Tran, Duong Nhu Tran, and Tu Anh Tran
- Subjects
Microbiology (medical) ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Isolation (health care) ,public health intervention ,Psychological intervention ,Infectious and parasitic diseases ,RC109-216 ,Article ,contact tracing ,law.invention ,law ,Environmental health ,Quarantine ,Humans ,Medicine ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,Incidence ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,quarantine ,COVID-19 ,General Medicine ,Infectious Diseases ,Transmission (mechanics) ,Vietnam ,Communicable Disease Control ,Public Health ,business ,containment delay ,Contact tracing ,Serial interval - Abstract
Background: Vietnam implemented various public health interventions such as contact tracing and testing, mandatory quarantine, and lockdowns in response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the effects of these measures on the epidemic remain unclear. Methods: This article describes the public health interventions in relation to COVID-19 incidence. Maximum likelihood estimations were used to assess containment delays (time between symptom onset and start of isolation) and multivariable regression was employed to identify associated factors between interventions and COVID-19 incidence. The effective reproductive numbers (Rt) were calculated based on transmission pairs. Results: Interventions were introduced periodically in response to the epidemic. Overall, 817 (55.4%) among 1474 COVID-19 cases were imported. Based on a serial interval of 8.72 ± 5.65 days, it was estimated that Rt decreased to below 1 (lowest at 0.02, 95% CI 0–0.12) during periods of strict border control and contact tracing, and increased ahead of new clusters. The main method to detect cases shifted over time from passive notification to active case-finding at immigration or in lockdown areas, with containment delays showing significant differences between modes of case detection. Conclusions: A combination of early, strict, and consistently implemented interventions is crucial to control COVID-19. Low-middle income countries with limited capacity can contain COVID-19 successfully using non-pharmaceutical interventions.
- Published
- 2021