1. Prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in patients with hepatitis C in the era of direct‐acting anti‐virals
- Author
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Yukinori Yamada, Takahiro Kodama, Hideki Hagiwara, Hayato Hikita, Taizo Hijioka, Ryoko Yamada, Yuichi Yoshida, Yoshinori Doi, Tomohide Tatsumi, Hiroyuki Fukui, Naoki Hiramatsu, Kazuyoshi Ohkawa, Tetsuo Takehara, Takayuki Yakushijin, Toshifumi Ito, Masahide Oshita, Keiji Yamamoto, Shinji Tamura, Yuki Tahata, Yasuharu Imai, and Ryotaro Sakamori
- Subjects
Liver Cirrhosis ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Carcinoma, Hepatocellular ,Sustained Virologic Response ,Antiviral Agents ,Gastroenterology ,Internal medicine ,Humans ,Medicine ,Pharmacology (medical) ,In patient ,Training set ,Hepatology ,Receiver operating characteristic ,business.industry ,Proportional hazards model ,Liver Neoplasms ,Anti virals ,Hepatitis C ,Hepatitis C, Chronic ,medicine.disease ,digestive system diseases ,Hepatocellular carcinoma ,business ,Direct acting - Abstract
BACKGROUND Several factors associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence after sustained virological response (SVR) in patients with hepatitis C have been reported. However, few validation studies have been performed in the era of direct-acting anti-virals (DAAs). AIMS To develop a prediction model for HCC occurrence after DAA-mediated SVR and validate its usefulness. METHODS We analysed 2209 patients with SVR and without a history of HCC who initiated DAA treatment at 24 Japanese hospitals. These patients were divided into a training set (1473 patients) and a validation set (736 patients). RESULTS In the training set, multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the baseline BMI (≥25.0 kg/m2 , P = 0.024), baseline fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index (≥3.25, P = 0.001), albumin level at SVR (
- Published
- 2021