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OBJECTIVES Only few studies compared the surgical morbidity and mortality of thoracoscopic segmentectomy versus lobectomy for non-small-cell lung cancer, in particular, by relating the segmental resections with the corresponding anatomical lobes. METHODS We enrolled a total of 7487 patients who underwent VATS lobectomy (7269) or segmentectomy (218) from January 2014 to July 2019. A propensity score matching approach was used to account for potential confounding factors between the 2 groups. After matching, 349 lobectomies and 208 segmentectomies were included in the analysis. We analysed the operative and postoperative outcomes of video-assisted anatomical segmentectomy compared with video-assisted lobectomy and, in details, the results of segmentectomy with its corresponding lobectomy in a large cohort of patients from the Italian VATS Group Registry. RESULTS The overall conversion rate to thoracotomy was not statistically different between the groups (27 patients 8% vs 7 patients 3%, P = 0.1). The lobectomy group had a greater number of resected lymph nodes (median 11 vs 8, P = 0.006). No significant differences were detected in 30-day mortality (1.4%, 5 patients vs 0.9%, 2 patients), overall complications (18%, 62 patients vs 14%, 29 patients) and prolonged air leakage (31 patients, 9% vs 12 patients, 6%) between lobectomy and segmentectomy, respectively. No statistical differences were found regarding the median duration of drainage (3.2 days, P = 1) and the overall median length of hospital stay (6.4 days, P = 0.1) between the 2 groups. In the context of segmentectomy versus corresponding lobectomy, the right upper lobectomy compared with right upper segmentectomy showed a higher number of resected lymph nodes (P = 0.027). No statistical differences were reported in terms of conversion rate and postoperative complication and mortality. CONCLUSIONS Segmentectomy could be considered a safe procedure without significant differences compared to thoracoscopic lobectomy in terms of postoperative morbidity and mortality.

Enormous progress has been made globally in the use of evidence derived from patients’ clinical information as they access their routine medical care. The value of real-world data lies in their complementary nature compared with data from randomised controlled trials: less detailed information on drug efficacy but longer observational periods and larger, more heterogeneous study populations reflecting clinical practice because individuals are included who would not usually be recruited in trials. Real-world data can be collected in various types of electronic sources, such as electronic health records, claims databases and drug or disease registries. These data sources vary in nature from country to country, according to national healthcare system structures and national policies. In Italy, a growing number of healthcare databases have been used to evaluate post-marketing drug utilisation and safety in the last two decades. The aim of this narrative review is to describe the available Italian sources of real-world data and their contribution to generating post-marketing evidence on drug use and safety. We also discuss the strengths and limitations of the most commonly used Italian healthcare databases in addressing various research questions concerning drug utilisation, comparative effectiveness and safety studies, as well as health technology assessment and other areas.

Objective: The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between adherence to statin therapy and the risk of exacerbation among elderly individuals affected by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cardiovascular disease. Methods: Using the healthcare utilisation databases of five Italian territorial units accounting for nearly 35% of the Italian population, we recruited a cohort of 6263 elderly persons (i.e. aged 65 years or older) with co-existing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cardiovascular disease who initiated statin therapy. Exposure was adherence to statins measured by the proportion of days of follow-up covered. Outcome was the first hospital admission for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease occurring in the period of observation. A proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio and 95% confidence intervals for the exposure–outcome association, after adjusting for several covariates. A set of sensitivity analyses was performed to account for sources of systematic uncertainty. Results: During an average follow-up of about 4 years, 1307 cohort members experienced the outcome. Compared with patients with low adherence (proportion of days of follow-up covered ≤ 40%), those with intermediate (proportion of days of follow-up covered 41–80%) and high (proportion of days of follow-up covered > 80%) adherence exhibited a lower risk of exacerbation of 16% (95% confidence interval 3–27) and 23% (95% confidence interval 10–34). Conclusions: In a real-world setting, we observed evidence that adherence to statin therapy markedly reduced the risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations in elderly patients with co-existing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cardiovascular disease. Given the limited and controversial evidence from trials, more randomised controlled trials are urgently needed to better examine the potential benefits of statins as adjunct therapy in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

Accurate staging of early non-small cell lung cancer is fundamental for selecting the best treatment. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for nodal upstaging after video-assisted thoracoscopic lobectomy for clinical T1-3N0 tumors.From 2014 to 2017, 3276 thoracoscopic lobectomies were recorded in the prospective database "Italian VATS Group". Linear and multiple logistic regression models were adapted to identify independent predictors of nodal upstaging and factors associated with progression in postoperative N status.Nodal upstaging was found in 417 cases (12.7%), including 206 cases (6.2%) of N1-positive nodes, 81 cases of N2 nodes (2.4%), and 130 cases (4%) of involvement of both N1 + N2 nodes. A total of 241 (7.3%) patients had single-station nodal involvement, whereas 176 (5.3%) had multiple-station involvement. In the final regression model, the tumor grade, histology, pathologic T status, and 12 resected nodes were independent predictors of nodal upstaging.The number of resected lymph nodes seems to predict nodal upstaging better than the type of intraoperative lymph node management. Other preoperative risk factors correspond to those for which the current guidelines of the European Society of Thoracic Surgery recommend more extensive preoperative mediastinal staging.

Background and Objective: Conflicting findings from studies evaluating the association between use of antidepressant drugs and mortality have been reported. We tested the hypothesis that better adherence to antidepressant therapy may reduce mortality. Methods: The cohort included 29,845 individuals aged ≥ 65 years from several Italian health units who were newly treated with antidepressant drugs after hospital discharge with a diagnosis for cardiovascular disease during 2008–2010. These individuals were observed from the first prescription until the end of data availability (i.e. 2012–2014, depending on the local database). During this period, information on (1) prescription of antidepressants and other medications and (2) death from any cause (outcome) was recorded. Proportional hazards models were fitted to estimate the association between better adherence to antidepressants (defined as proportion of days covered ≥ 75%) and outcome, by adjusting and stratifying for several covariates. Results: Patients with better adherence to antidepressants had a reduced mortality of 9% (95% CI 3–14). Patients who did not use other medicaments during follow-up had reduced mortality associated with better adherence to antidepressants of 21% (− 1–38), 14% (7–20), 20% (13–26) and 13% (7–19) for no users of antihypertensive agents, lipid-lowering agents, other cardiovascular drugs and antidiabetics, respectively. Conclusions: Better adherence to antidepressants is associated with reduced all-cause mortality, mainly in patients who did not use other pharmacological treatments. Behavioural changes to enhance adherence among the elderly with cardiovascular disease might offer important benefits in reducing their mortality.

Objectives To describe NSAID utilization for musculoskeletal conditions in a large cohort of Italian elderly with cerebro/cardiovascular disease, a population in which NSAIDs should be generally avoided due to the prothrombotic potential. Methods Administrative data from five Italian geographic areas were analyzed. Patients aged ≥ 65 with a cerebro/cardiovascular event recorded between 2008 and 2011 (cohort entry) were selected. Prescription NSAIDs reimbursed for musculoskeletal conditions and dispensed during 1 year follow-up were retrieved to describe (i) prevalence of use, (ii) average amount of defined daily doses of NSAIDs claimed by users per day of follow-up, and (iii) distribution of the received daily dose (RDD) among patients with ≥ 2 dispensings. Among new users, i.e., patients without NSAID dispensings during 2 years before cohort entry, the first dispensed NSAID molecule was observed. Results Overall, 511,989 patients were selected. Across the five geographic areas, prevalence of use ranged from 48 to 21% and average consumption ranged between 30 and 67 DDD/1000 users/day. Around 10% of patients in the overall cohort had a RDD > 1. Nimesulide (9.6%) and diclofenac (7.5%) had the highest prevalence of use. The most consumed NSAIDs were nimesulide and coxibs with 10.6 and 7.5 DDD/1000 users/day, respectively. Among new users recruited in 2011, 30% had diclofenac or a coxibs as the first prescription. Conclusions NSAID use was common in the study cohort, particularly in central-southern areas. In contrast with current recommendations, coxibs and diclofenac were among the most prescribed active principles, even in new users. Interventions to promote appropriateness of use are warranted. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1007/s00228-018-2411-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Infections are a major complication of solid organ transplants (SOTs). This study aimed to describe recipients’ characteristics, and the frequency and etiology of infections and transplant outcome in liver and lung SOTs, and to investigate exposures associated to infection and death in liver transplant recipients. The study population included recipients of SOTs performed in Italy during a 1-year period in ten Italian lung transplant units and eight liver transplant units. Data on comorbidities, infections, retransplantation, and death were prospectively collected using a web-based system, with a 6-month follow-up. The cumulative incidence of infection was 31.7% and 47.8% in liver and lung transplants, respectively, with most infections occurring within the first month after transplantation. Gram-negatives, which were primarily multidrug-resistant, were the most frequent cause of infection. Death rates were 0.42 per 1000 recipient-days in liver transplants and 1.41 per 1000 recipient-days in lung transplants. Infection after SOT in adult liver recipients is associated to an increased risk of death (OR = 13.25; p-value < 0.001). Given the frequency of infection caused by multidrug-resistant microorganisms in SOT recipients in Italy and the heavy impact of infections on the transplant outcome, the reinforcement of surveillance and control activities to prevent the transmission of multidrug-resistant microorganisms in SOT recipients represents a priority. The implementation of the study protocol in liver and lung transplant units and the sharing of results have increased the awareness about the threat due to antimicrobial resistance in the country.

Background and Objectives: Antihypertensive treatment with calcium channel blockers (CCBs) is consolidated in clinical practice; however, different studies observed increased risks of acute events for short-acting CCBs. This study aimed to provide real-world evidence on risks of acute cardiovascular (CV) events, hospitalizations and mortality among users of different CCB classes in secondary CV prevention. Methods: Three case–control studies were nested in a cohort of Italian elderly hypertensive CV-compromised CCBs users. Cases were subjects with CV events (n = 25,204), all-cause hospitalizations (n = 19,237), or all-cause mortality (n = 17,996) during the follow-up. Up to four controls were matched for each case. Current or past exposition to CCBs at index date was defined based on molecule, formulation and daily doses of the last CCB delivery. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using conditional logistic regression models. Results: Compared to past users, current CCB users had significant reductions in risks of CV events [OR 0.88 (95% CI: 0.84–0.91)], hospitalization [0.90 (0.88–0.93)] and mortality [0.48 (0.47–0.49)]. Current users of long-acting dihydropyridines (DHPs) had the lowest risk [OR 0.87 (0.84–0.90), 0.86 (0.83–0.90), 0.55 (0.54–0.56) for acute CV events, hospitalizations and mortality], whereas current users of short-acting CCBs had an increased risk of acute CV events [OR 1.77 (1.13–2.78) for short-acting DHPs; 1.19 (1.07–1.31) for short-acting non-DHPs] and hospitalizations [OR 1.84 (0.96–3.51) and 1.23 (1.08–1.42)]. Conclusions: The already-existing warning on short-acting CCBs should be potentiated, addressing clinicians towards the choice of long-acting formulations.

Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) is a promising strategy in the management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). The clinical effects of this practice are still largely unknown and unpredictable. In this study, two children affected by mild and moderate ulcerative colitis (UC), were pre- and post-FMT monitored for clinical conditions and gut bacterial ecology. Microbiota profiling relied on receipts’ time-point profiles, donors and control cohorts’ baseline descriptions. After FMT, the improvement of clinical conditions was recorded for both patients. After 12 months, the mild UC patient was in clinical remission, while the moderate UC patient, after 12 weeks, had a clinical worsening. Ecological analyses highlighted an increase in microbiota richness and phylogenetic distance after FMT. This increase was mainly due to Collinsella aerofaciens and Eubacterium biforme, inherited by respective donors. Moreover, a decrease of Proteus and Blautia producta, and the increment of Parabacteroides, Mogibacteriaceae, Bacteroides eggerthi, Bacteroides plebeius, Ruminococcus bromii, and BBacteroidesovatus were associated with remission of the patient’s condition. FMT results in a long-term response in mild UC, while in the moderate form there is probably need for multiple FMT administrations. FMT leads to a decrease in potential pathogens and an increase in microorganisms correlated to remission status.

With the improvement in survival rates after lung transplantation, concern has arisen about evaluating quality of life (QoL). This multicenter cross-sectional study aimed at describing QoL and identifying factors associated with it.We assessed QoL in 129 lung transplant recipients from 5 centres in Italy, during scheduled follow-up visits, using the SF-36, GHQ and St George's respiratory questionnaires (SGRQ).The SF-36 elicited impaired QoL in the physical, but not in the mental domains (PCS = 44; MCS = 53). The GHQ identified 29 patients (23%) with psychological discomfort and the SGRQ scores were significantly better than those of patients with chronic respiratory disease. On multivariate analysis, exertional dyspnea was an independent predictor of the PCS (adjusted delta -6.3 (p0.001), while osteoporosis (delta = -3.1), BOS (delta = -4.3), acute rejection (delta = -3.9) and heart and lung transplant (delta = +6.4) were only marginally associated. Dyspnea was also related to a GHQ score5.The study identified exertional dyspnea as the main determinant of QoL as measured both by SF36 (PCS) and GHQ. Other objective measures contributed only to the PCS. Thus, the SF-36 (PCS) and GHQ were useful in identifying patients who needed treatment not only for complications but also psychological support and continued physical rehabilitation.

ObjectivesTo develop a population-based risk stratification model (COVID-19 Vulnerability Score) for predicting severe/fatal clinical manifestations of SARS-CoV-2 infection, using the multiple source information provided by the healthcare utilisation databases of the Italian National Health Service.DesignRetrospective observational cohort study.SettingPopulation-based study using the healthcare utilisation database from five Italian regions.ParticipantsBeneficiaries of the National Health Service, aged 18–79 years, who had the residentship in the five participating regions. Residents in a nursing home were not included. The model was built from the 7 655 502 residents of Lombardy region.Main outcome measureThe score included gender, age and 29 conditions/diseases selected from a list of 61 conditions which independently predicted the primary outcome, that is, severe (intensive care unit admission) or fatal manifestation of COVID-19 experienced during the first epidemic wave (until June 2020). The score performance was validated by applying the model to several validation sets, that is, Lombardy population (second epidemic wave), and the other four Italian regions (entire 2020) for a total of about 15.4 million individuals and 7031 outcomes. Predictive performance was assessed by discrimination (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve) and calibration (plot of observed vs predicted outcomes).ResultsWe observed a clear positive trend towards increasing outcome incidence as the score increased. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the COVID-19 Vulnerability Score ranged from 0.85 to 0.88, which compared favourably with the areas of generic scores such as the Charlson Comorbidity Score (0.60). A remarkable performance of the score on the calibration of observed and predicted outcome probability was also observed.ConclusionsA score based on data used for public health management accurately predicted the occurrence of severe/fatal manifestations of COVID-19. Use of this score may help health decision-makers to more accurately identify high-risk citizens who need early preventive or treatment interventions.

No abstract available

Background The novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic spread rapidly worldwide increasing exponentially in Italy. To date, there is lack of studies describing clinical characteristics of the people at high risk of infection. Hence, we aimed (i) to identify clinical predictors of SARS-CoV-2 infection risk, (ii) to develop and validate a score predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection risk, and (iii) to compare it with unspecific scores. Methods Retrospective case-control study using administrative health-related database was carried out in Southern Italy (Campania region) among beneficiaries of Regional Health Service aged over than 30 years. For each person with SARS-CoV-2 confirmed infection (case), up to five controls were randomly matched for gender, age and municipality of residence. Odds ratios and 90% confidence intervals for associations between candidate predictors and risk of infection were estimated by means of conditional logistic regression. SARS-CoV-2 Infection Score (SIS) was developed by generating a total aggregate score obtained from assignment of a weight at each selected covariate using coefficients estimated from the model. Finally, the score was categorized by assigning increasing values from 1 to 4. Discriminant power was used to compare SIS performance with that of other comorbidity scores. Results Subjects suffering from diabetes, anaemias, Parkinson’s disease, mental disorders, cardiovascular and inflammatory bowel and kidney diseases showed increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Similar estimates were recorded for men and women and younger and older than 65 years. Fifteen conditions significantly contributed to the SIS. As SIS value increases, risk progressively increases, being odds of SARS-CoV-2 infection among people with the highest SIS value (SIS = 4) 1.74 times higher than those unaffected by any SIS contributing conditions (SIS = 1). Conclusion Conditions and diseases making people more vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection were identified by the current study. Our results support decision-makers in identifying high-risk people and adopting of preventive measures to minimize the spread of further epidemic waves.

Objectives A prospective cohort study was conducted in Italy in order to describe the microbiologic aspects of colonization/infection by carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) in donors and recipients of lung and liver transplants and the possible CPE transmission from donors to recipients. Methods Between 15 January 2014 and 14 January 2015, all recipients of solid organ transplants (SOT) at ten lung and eight liver transplantation centres and the corresponding donors were enrolled. Screening cultures to detect CPE were performed in donors, and screening and clinical cultures in recipients with a 28-day microbiologic follow-up after receipt of SOT. Detection of carbapenemase genes by PCR, genotyping by multilocus sequence typing, and pulsed-field gel electrophoresis and whole-genome sequencing were performed. Results Of 588 screened donors, 3.4% were colonized with CPE. Of the liver first transplant recipients (n = 521), 2.5% were colonized before receipt of SOT and 5% acquired CPE during follow-up. CPE colonization was higher in lung first transplant recipients (n = 111, 2.7% before SOT and 14.4% after SOT). CPE infections occurred in 1.9% and 5.3% of liver or lung recipients, respectively. CPE isolates were mostly Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase (KPC)-producing K. pneumoniae belonging to CG258. Three events of donor–recipient CPE transmission, confirmed by whole-genome sequencing and/or pulsed-field gel electrophoresis, occurred in lung recipients: two involving K. pneumoniae sequence type 512 and one Verona integron-encoded metallo-β-lactamase (VIM)-producing Enterobacter aerogenes. Conclusions This study showed a low risk of donor–recipient CPE transmission, indicating that donor CPE colonization does not necessarily represent a contraindication for donation unless colonization regards the organ to be transplanted. Donor and recipient screening remains essential to prevent CPE transmission and cross-infection in transplantation centres.

ObjectiveTo develop and validate a novel comorbidity score (multisource comorbidity score (MCS)) predictive of mortality, hospital admissions and healthcare costs using multiple source information from the administrative Italian National Health System (NHS) databases.MethodsAn index of 34 variables (measured from inpatient diagnoses and outpatient drug prescriptions within 2 years before baseline) independently predicting 1-year mortality in a sample of 500 000 individuals aged 50 years or older randomly selected from the NHS beneficiaries of the Italian region of Lombardy (training set) was developed. The corresponding weights were assigned from the regression coefficients of a Weibull survival model. MCS performance was evaluated by using an internal (ie, another sample of 500 000 NHS beneficiaries from Lombardy) and three external (each consisting of 500 000 NHS beneficiaries from Emilia-Romagna, Lazio and Sicily) validation sets. Discriminant power and net reclassification improvement were used to compare MCS performance with that of other comorbidity scores. MCS ability to predict secondary health outcomes (ie, hospital admissions and costs) was also investigated.ResultsPrimary and secondary outcomes progressively increased with increasing MCS value. MCS improved the net 1-year mortality reclassification from 27% (with respect to the Chronic Disease Score) to 69% (with respect to the Elixhauser Index). MCS discrimination performance was similar in the four regions of Italy we tested, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (95% CI) being 0.78 (0.77 to 0.79) in Lombardy, 0.78 (0.77 to 0.79) in Emilia-Romagna, 0.77 (0.76 to 0.78) in Lazio and 0.78 (0.77 to 0.79) in Sicily.ConclusionMCS seems better than conventional scores for predicting health outcomes, at least in the general population from Italy. This may offer an improved tool for risk adjustment, policy planning and identifying patients in need of a focused treatment approach in the everyday medical practice.

Aims To develop and to validate a Cancer Multimorbidity Score (CMS) predictive of mortality in elderly patients affected by solid tumor, by using population‐based administrative Italian databases. Methods Through administrative databases of Lombardy Region (Northern Italy), a cohort of patients aged ≥65 years with a new diagnosis of solid tumor during the period 2009–2014 was identified. Sixty‐one conditions and diseases, measured from hospital inpatient diagnosis and outpatient drug prescription within 2 years before cancer diagnosis in a training set randomly including 70% of the cohort patients were tested to predict 5‐year mortality using a Cox regression model. Regression coefficients were used for assigning a weight to the predictive conditions, selected by the LASSO method. Weights were summed up in order to produce an aggregate score (the CMS). CMS performance was evaluated on a validation set, including the remaining 30% of the cohort patients, in terms of discrimination and calibration. Results The study cohort included 148,242 cancer patients. Thirty conditions were selected as independent predictors of 5‐year mortality and were included in the computation of the CMS. The area under the receiving operating characteristics curve was 0.68, becoming 0.71 when considering 1‐year mortality as outcome and reaching values of 0.74 and 0.81 when focusing on patients with breast and prostate cancer, respectively. A strong increasing trend in mortality was observed with increasing CMS value. Conclusions CMS represents a new useful tool for identifying high‐risk elderly cancer patients in everyday clinical practice, as well as for risk adjustment in clinical and epidemiological studies.

Background Aim of our study was to compare adherence to antihypertensive drug therapy between newly treated patients in whom monotherapy or a 2-drug single-pill combination (SPC) was initially dispensed. Methods The 63,448 residents of Lombardy Region (Italy), aged 40–80 years, who were newly treated with antihypertensive drugs during 2016, were identified and followed for 1 year after the first prescription. The outcome of interest was adherence to drug therapy that was measured according to the “proportion of days covered” (PDC) criterion, i.e., the ratio between the number of days in which the drug was available and the days of follow-up. Patients who had a PDC >75% and Results About 46% and 17% of patients showed high and poor adherence, respectively. Compared with patients under initial monotherapy (85%), those who were initially treated with a SPC (15%) had higher propensity to be highly adherent and a lower propensity to be poorly adherent to antihypertensive treatment (risk ratio: 1.18, 95% confidence interval 1.16–1.21; 0.42, 0.39–0.45, respectively). This was the case regardless the sex, the age, the patient clinical status, and with almost any type of SPC. Conclusions In a real-life setting, patients who were initially prescribed a 2-drug SPC exhibited more frequently a good adherence to antihypertensive treatment than those starting with a single drug.

Objective: to investigate both muscular manifestations and CK levels of a large cohort of patients with COVID-19 infection and to determine whether hyperckemia is associated with morbidity and mortality.Methods: Data of 615 patients discharged from ASST Ovest Milanese (Milan, Lombardy, Italy) with final diagnosis of COVID-19 infection were retrospectively extracted from electronical medical records from 21 February to 1 May 2020. Patients were descriptively analyzed with respect to the following variables: sex, age, muscular manifestations (including myalgia/arthralgia and fatigue), respiratory involvement (SARS pneumonia or respiratory failure) and history of falls. Association between patients’ characteristics and CK levels was investigated. In addition, the proportion of patients who died following access to the ER was calculated. Finally, the effect of CK levels and other patients’ features on mortality was estimated using a logistic regression model.Results: 176 (28.6%) patients had raised serum CK levels. 88 (14.3%) had muscular manifestations, of which 81 (13.2%) complained fatigue and 17 (2.8%) had myalgia and/or arthralgia. CK levels were significantly associated with respiratory involvement and fatal outcome.Conclusions: Our study provides preliminary evidence that hyperckemia is a predictor of respiratory involvement and fatal outcome in patients with COVID-19 infection. For patients with muscle damage symptoms, screening for COVID-19 infection is recommended together with the dosage of CK level.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to assess clinical presentation, endoscopic findings, antibiotic susceptibility and treatment success of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infected pediatric patients. METHODS: Between 2013 and 2016, 23 pediatric hospitals from 17 countries prospectively submitted data on consecutive H. pylori-infected (culture positive) patients to the EuroPedHP-Registry. RESULTS: Of 1333 patients recruited (55.1% girls, median age 12.6 years), 1168 (87.6%) were therapy naïve (group A) and 165 (12.4%) had failed treatment (group B). Patients resided in North/Western (29.6%), Southern (34.1%) and Eastern Europe (23.0%), or Israel/Turkey (13.4%). Main indications for endoscopy were abdominal pain or dyspepsia (81.2%, 1078/1328). Antral nodularity was reported in 77.8% (1031/1326) of patients, gastric or duodenal ulcers and erosions in 5.1% and 12.8%, respectively. Primary resistance to clarithromycin (CLA) and metronidazole (MET) occurred in 25% and 21%, respectively, and increased after failed therapy. Bacterial strains were fully susceptible in 60.5% of group A, but in only 27.4% of group B. Primary CLA resistance was higher in Southern and Eastern Europe (adjusted odds ratio [ORadj] = 3.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.22-5.32, P, SCOPUS: ar.j, info:eu-repo/semantics/published

Background Pregnant women who suffer from depressive disorders are likely to be treated with antidepressant (AD) medications. Recent meta-analyses underlined the possible relation between AD use and several neonatal outcomes, although the underlying mechanisms remains unclear. Methods To summarise and evaluate the associations between AD use in pregnancy and neonatal outcomes, we conducted an umbrella review of meta-analyses of observational studies published up to December 2019 in PubMed and Embase. Summary risk estimates for the associations between use of AD as a whole, or specific AD classes and drugs, and the risk of neonatal outcomes were reported. Results Our review included 22 meta-analyses investigating 69 associations. However, none were supported by convincing evidence. Highly suggestive evidence regarded the associations between (i) any time AD exposure and the risk of preterm birth (relative risk, 1.68; 95% confidence interval 1.52, 1.86), (ii) any time exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) and the risk of preterm birth (1.43; 1.22, 1.37) and (iii) respiratory distress (1.33; 1.14, 1.55), and (iv) SSRI exposure during the first trimester of pregnancy and the risk of cardiovascular malformations (1.25; 1.13, 1.39). Suggestive evidence was obtained for any time AD exposure on 1-min low Apgar score (absolute average difference, −0.34; −0.53, −0.14). Conclusions Overall, the effects of AD exposure during pregnancy on neonatal outcomes have been extensively studied, but few of the associations are graded as high quality evidence. More prospective studies and large collaborations with comprehensive standardised reporting of analyses are needed.

Purpose The purpose of this study was to assess the possible relation between use of antidepressant (AD) drugs, that is, tricyclic ADs, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), and atypical ADs (AAs), and the risk of hospitalization for cardiovascular (CV) events among older patients with previous CV diseases. Methods A nested case-control study was carried out among patients aged 65 years and older from 5 Italian health care territorial units who were discharged for CV disease during 2008 to 2010. The cohort was composed by 344,747 individuals, and of these, 97,739 (28%) experienced hospital admission for CV events (myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, stroke, heart failure) during follow-up (until 2014) and were included as cases. Up to 5 controls were randomly selected and matched to each. A conditional logistic regression was fitted to estimate the risk of CV events associated with ADs past or current use. A within-patient comparison was performed by the case-crossover design to account the effect of depression. Findings Current users of SSRIs and AAs were at increased risk of CV events with odds ratios of 1.25 (95% confidence interval, 1.21-1.29) and 1.31 (1.25-1.37), respectively. An increased risk of arrhythmia and stroke was associated with current use of SSRIs and AAs, whereas an increased risk of heart failure was detected with current use of any ADs. The results were confirmed by the case-crossover approach. Implications Evidence that AD use is associated with an increased risk of CV events in accordance with specific mechanisms of action among older people with CV disease was added by this study.

OBJECTIVES Although it has been postulated that patients might benefit from the centralization of high-volume specialized centres, conflicting results have been reported on the relationship between the number of lung resections performed and the long-term, all-cause mortality rates among patients who underwent surgery for lung cancer. A population-based observational study was performed to contribute to the ongoing debate. METHODS The 2613 patients, all residents of the Lombardy region (Italy), who underwent lung resection for lung cancer from 2012 to 2014 were entered into the cohort and were followed until 2018. The hospitals were classified according to the annual number of pulmonary resections performed. Three categories of lung resection cases were identified: low (≤30), intermediate (31–95) and high (>95). The outcome of interest was all-cause death. A frailty model was used to estimate the death risk associated with the categories of numbers of lung resections performed, taking into account the multilevel structure of the data. A set of sensitivity analyses was performed to account for sources of systematic uncertainty. RESULTS The 1-year and 5-year survival rates of cohort members were 90% and 63%. Patients operated on in high-volume centres were on average younger and more often women. Compared to patients operated on in a low-volume centre, the mortality risk exhibited a significant, progressive reduction as the numbers of lung resections performed increased to intermediate (−13%; 95% confidence interval +10% to −31%) and high (−26%; 0% to −45%). Sensitivity analyses revealed that the association was consistent. CONCLUSIONS Further evidence that the volume of lung resection cases performed strongly affects the long-term survival of lung cancer patients has been supplied.

Objective Several factors affect adherence to antihypertensive drug treatment, but whether these factors include a sex difference is unclear. Aim of the study was to compare persistence with antihypertensive drug therapy between men and women in a large cohort of patients. Methods The 60 526 residents of the Italian Lombardy Region aged 40-80 years newly treated with antihypertensive drugs during 2010 were identified and followed for 1 year after the first prescription. Discontinuation of treatment was defined as lack of prescription renewal for at least 90 days. Log-binomial regression models were fitted to estimate the risk ratio of treatment discontinuation in relation to sex. Other than for the whole population, analyses were stratified according to age, comorbidity status and the initial antihypertensive treatment strategy. Results Thirty-seven percent of the patients discontinued the drug treatment during follow-up. Compared with women, men had a 10% lower risk of discontinuation of drug treatment (95% confidence interval: 8-12). Persistence on antihypertensive treatment was better in men than in women, this being the case in both younger (40-64 years) and older patients (65-80 years), in patients starting treatment with any major antihypertensive drug and in patients who had a low comorbidity status. There was no evidence that men and women had a different risk of treatment discontinuation when their comorbidity status was worse, or initial antihypertensive treatment was based on drug combinations. Conclusion Our data show that in a real-life setting, men are more persistent to antihypertensive drug therapy than women.

Objectives The aim of this study was to develop a new population-based risk stratification tool (Chronic Related Score [CReSc]) for predicting 5-year mortality and other outcomes. Study Design and Setting The score included 31 conditions selected from a list of 65 candidates whose weights were assigned according to the Cox model coefficients. The model was built from a sample of 5.4 million National Health Service (NHS) beneficiaries from the Italian Lombardy Region and applied to the remaining 2.7 million NHS beneficiaries. Predictive performance was assessed by discrimination and calibration. CReSc ability in predicting secondary endpoints (i.e., hospital admissions and health care costs) was investigated. Finally, the relationship between CReSc and income was considered. Results Among individuals aged 50–85 years, CReSc performance showed (1) an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.730, (2) an improved reclassification from 44% to 52% with respect to other scores, and (3) a remarkable calibration. A trend toward increasing rates of all the considered endpoints as CReSc increases was observed. Compared with individuals on low–intermediate income, NHS beneficiaries on high income showed better CReSc profile. Conclusion We developed a risk stratification tool able to predict mortality, costs, and hospital admissions. The application of CReSc may generate clinically and operationally important effects.

Background: Limited evidence is available on the safety and efficacy of antimicrobials during pregnancy, with even less according to the trimester of their use. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the association between exposure to antibiotics therapy (AT) during pregnancy and short-term neonatal outcomes. Methods: We considered 773,237 deliveries that occurred between 2007–2017 in the Lombardy region of Italy. We evaluated the risk of neonatal outcomes among infants that were born to mothers who underwent AT during pregnancy. The odds ratios and the hazard ratios, with the 95% confidence intervals, were estimated respectively for early (first/second trimester) and late (third trimester) exposure. The propensity score was used to account for potential confounders. We also performed subgroup analysis for the class of AT. Results: We identified 132,024 and 76,921 singletons that were exposed to AT during early and late pregnancy, respectively. Infants born to mothers with early exposure had 17, 11, and 16% increased risk of preterm birth, low birth weight, and low Apgar score, respectively. Infants that were exposed in late pregnancy had 25, 11, and 13% increased risk of preterm birth, low birth weight, and low Apgar score, respectively. The results were consistent in the subgroup analysis. Conclusion: Our results suggested an increased risk of several neonatal outcomes in women exposed to ATs during pregnancy, albeit we were not able to assess to what extent the observed effects were due to the infection itself. To reduce the risk of neonatal outcomes, women that are prescribed AT during pregnancy should be closely monitored.

Objective Methodological challenges for investigating the changes in healthcare utilization during COVID-19 pandemic must be considered for obtaining unbiased estimates. Study design and setting A population-based study in the Lombardy region (Italy) measured the association between the level of epidemic restrictions (increasing exposure during pre-epidemic, post-lockdown, and lockdown periods) and the recommended healthcare (outcome) for patients with schizophrenia, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, breast cancer and pregnancy women. Two designs are applied: the self-controlled case series (SCCS) and the usual cohort design. Adjustments for between-patients unmeasured confounders and seasonality of medical services delivering were performed. Results Compared with pre-epidemic, reductions in delivering recommended healthcare during lockdown up to 73% (95% confidence interval: 63%-80%) for timeliness of breast cancer surgery, and up to 20% (16%-23%) for appropriated gynaecologic visit during pregnancy were obtained from SCCS and cohort design, respectively. Healthcare provision came back to pre-epidemic levels during the post-lockdown, with the exception of schizophrenic patients for whom the SCCS showed a reduction in continuity of care of 11% (11%-12%). Conclusion Strategies for investigating the changes in healthcare utilization during pandemic must be implemented. Recommendations for taking into account sources of systematic uncertainty are discussed and illustrated by using motivating examples.

Blood pressure (BP) control in patients with hypertension is variable worldwide, and in general, it results largely unsatisfactory. Factors responsible for this phenomenon include insufficient national cardiovascular healthcare policies for prevention, poor patient compliance with prescribed treatment schedules, and the reluctance of physicians to modify treatment strategies when BP is still elevated, that is, the so-called therapeutic inertia. A further important factor favoring poor BP control is the limited use of combination drug treatment, despite evidence of its superior ability to control BP in patients with difficult-to-treat hypertension. In addition, combination treatment allows to achieve BP control more easily (and more quickly) as compared with monotherapy. This article, after briefly examining the main features of BP control, will review the importance in the treatment of hypertension of the drug combination strategy, based on the recommendations of the 2018 European Society of Cardiology/European Society of Hypertension guidelines. Empahsis will be given to the drug combination treatment as first step of the antihypertensive therapeutic intervention. The potential drawbacks and barriers to combination drug treatment as initial therapeutic strategy will also be briefly discussed.

Background: Little is known about the comparative risk of death with atypical or conventional antipsychotics (APs) among persons with cardiovascular or cerebrovascular disease (CCD). Research design and methods: A cohort study was conducted using five Italian claims databases. New atypical AP users with CCD aged ≥65 (reference) were matched to new conventional AP users. Mortality per 100 person-years (PYs) and hazard ratios (HR), estimated using Cox models, were reported. Incidence and risk of death were estimated for persons having drug–drug interactions. Outcome occurrence was evaluated 180 days after AP initiation. Results: Overall 24,711 and 27,051 elderly new conventional and atypical AP users were identified. The mortality rate was 51.3 and 38.5 deaths per 100 PYs for conventional and atypical AP users. Mortality risk was 1.33 (95%CI: 1.27–1.39) for conventional APs. There was no increased mortality risk with single drug–drug interactions (DDIs) vs. no DDI. AP users with ≥1 DDI had a 29% higher mortality risk compared to no DDI in the first 90 days of treatment (HR: 1.29 (95% CI: 1.00–1.67)). Conclusions: Conventional APs had a higher risk of death than atypical APs among elderly persons with CCD. Having ≥1 DDI was associated with an increased risk of death.

In many hypertensive patients, treatment is not upgraded despite lack of blood pressure control because of therapeutic inertia. Information is limited, however, on the extent of this phenomenon in real-life medicine. We studied 125 635 patients (age 40–85 years) from the Lombardy region (Italy) who started antihypertensive treatment with 1 drug (n=100 982) or a 2-drug fixed-dose or free combination (n=24 653). A log-binomial regression model was used to estimate the prevalence ratio of combination therapy in relation to the initial treatment strategy. In the initial monotherapy group, patients under drug combinations were 22%, 27%, 32%, and 36% at 6 months, 1, 2, and 3 years later. In the initial combination treatment group, the corresponding percentages were 85%, 82%, 79%, and 78%. This translated into a markedly greater covariate-adjusted propensity of being under a multidrug prescription throughout the follow-up: 3.92 (95% CI, 3.84–4.00) after 6 months and 3.18 (3.12–3.25), 2.56 (2.51–2.60), and 2.23 (2.19–2.27) after 1, 2 and 3 years of treatment. In a propensity score analysis, initial 2-drug combination treatment was also associated with significant reductions in the risk of death (−20%, 11% to 28%) and hospitalization for cardiovascular events (−16%, 10% to 21%) compared with initial monotherapy. Thus, in real life, a large number of patients prescribed initial monotherapy fails to move to combination treatment, as recommended by guidelines. This implies that therapeutic inertia frequently prevents proper treatment uptitration, thereby playing a major role in the low rate of hypertension control that exists worldwide.

OBJECTIVE: Several online sources provide up-to-date open-access data on numbers, rates and proportions of COVID-19 deaths. Our article aims of comparing and interpreting between-country trends of mortality rate, case-fatality and all-cause excess mortality. METHODS: We used data from open databases (Our World in Data mostly) for comparing mortality of eleven western countries (Austria, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, UK, USA). Between-country trends in mortality rate and case-fatality (both including deaths for COVID-19 as numerator and therefore labelled as COVID-19 mortality metrics) and all-cause excess mortality (i.e. observed deaths during the epidemic compared with those expected based on mortality in the same periods of previous years) were compared. RESULTS: Although Belgium ranks first in mortality from COVID-19 (possibly due to the broadest criterion for attributing a death to COVID-19), it does not rank first for all-cause excess mortality. Conversely, compared with Belgium, the UK, Italy and Spain have reported lower COVID-19 mortality (possibly due to the narrower definitions for a COVID-19 death) but higher all-cause excess mortality. Germany and Austria are the unique countries for which COVID-19 mortality, case-fatality and all-cause excess mortality consistently exhibited the lowest rates. CONCLUSION: Between-country heterogeneity of COVID-19 mortality metrics could be largely explained by differences of criteria for attributing a death to COVID-19; in age/comorbidity structures; in policies for identifying asymptomatic people affected from SARS-CoV-2 infection. All-cause excess mortality is recommended as a more reliable metric for comparing countries.

Background and aims To validate a set of indicators for monitoring the quality of care of patients with diabetes in ‘real-life’ practice through its relationship with measurable clinical outcomes and healthcare costs. Methods and results A population-based cohort study was carried out by including the 20,635 patients, residents in the Lombardy Region (Italy), who in the year 2012 were newly taken-in-care for diabetes. Adherence with clinical recommendations (i.e., controls for glycated haemoglobin, lipid profile, urine albumin excretion and serum creatinine) was recorded during the first year after the patient was taken-in-care, and categorized according whether he/she complied with none or almost none (0 or 1), just some (2) or all or almost all (3 or 4) the recommendations, respectively denoted as poor, intermediate and high adherence. Short- and long-term complications of diabetes, and healthcare cost incurred by the National Health Service, were assessed during follow-up. Compared with patients with poor adherence, those with intermediate and high adherence respectively showed (i) a delay in outcome occurrence of 13 days (95% CI, -2 to 27) and 23 days (9 to 38), and (ii) a lower healthcare cost of 54 € and 77 €. In average, a gain of 18 Euros and 15 Euros for each day free from diabetic complication by increasing adherence respectively from poor to intermediate and from poor to high were observed. Conclusion Close control of patients with diabetes through regular clinical examinations must be considered the cornerstone of national guidance, national audits, and quality improvement incentive schemes.

Introduction Although several studies have shown that a simplified cardiovascular drug treatment leads to better treatment adherence, limited and conflicting findings have been reported on the separate or single-pill combination of the now recommended association between a statin and ezetimibe. We addressed this issue in a large cohort of patients newly treated with statins to whom ezetimibe was additionally administered, either separately or as a single-pill combination. Methods A total of 256,012 patients (age 40–80 years) from the Lombardy Region (Italy) newly treated with statins during 2011–2013 were followed until 2018 to identify those to whom ezetimibe was added. The 2881 and 5351 patients who started a two-pill or a single-pill combination, respectively, of statin and ezetimibe were identified and matched for propensity score. Adherence to drug therapy at 1 year was measured as the ratio between the number of days in which the drug was available and the days of follow-up (the proportion of days covered; PDC). Patients who had a PDC > 75% or

Aim To assess and compare the persistence with drug therapy between patients treated with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2-I) therapy. Methods The 126,493 residents of the Lombardy Region (Italy) aged ≥ 40 years newly treated with metformin during 2007–2015 were followed until 2017 to identify those who started therapy with GLP1-RA or SGLT2-I. To make GLP1-RA and SGLT2-I users more comparable, a 1:1 matched cohort design was adopted. Matching variables were sex, age, and adherence to the first-line therapy with metformin. Log-binomial regression models were fitted to estimate the propensity to 1-year treatment persistence in relation to the therapeutic strategy. Results The final matched cohort was composed by 1,276 GLP1-RA─SGLT2-I pairs. About 24% and 29% of cohort members respectively on GLP1-RA and SGLT2-I discontinued the drug treatment. Compared with patients starting SGLT2-I, those on GLP1-RA had 15% (95% confidence interval, 3–25%) lower risk of discontinuation of the treatments of interest and 45% (28–57%) lower risk of discontinuing any antidiabetic drug therapy. Persistence was better among GLP1-RA users who received a once-weekly administration. Conclusions In a real-life setting, patients who were prescribed a GLP1-RA exhibited more frequently better persistence to treatment than those prescribed a SGLT2-I therapy.

Aims To assess the protective effect of statins in a large and unselected cohort of frail elderly subjects. Methods and results The 460 460 Lombardy residents (Italy), aged ≥65 years, who received ≥3 consecutive prescriptions of a statin during 2011–2012 were identified. A case–control study was performed, the cases being the cohort members who died during 2011–2018. Logistic regression was used to model the outcome risk associated with statin adherence. Adherence to drug therapy was measured by the proportion of the follow-up covered by prescriptions. The analysis was stratified according to four clinical categories (good, medium, poor, and very poor clinical status), based on different life expectancies, as assessed by a prognostic score which had been found to sensitively predict the risk of death. The 7-year death probability increased from 11% (good) to 52% (very poor clinical status). In each clinical status, there was a significant reduction of all-cause mortality as adherence to statin treatment increased. The reduction in the adjusted risk of mortality from the lowest to the highest adherence level was greatest among patients with a good clinical status (−56%) and progressively less among other cohort members, i.e. −48%, −44% and −47% in medium, poor, and very poor groups, respectively. Similar findings were obtained for the risk of cardiovascular mortality. Conclusion In a real-life setting, adherence to statin treatment reduced the death risk also in frail elderly patients. However, in these patients, the benefit of statin treatment may be lower than in those in good clinical conditions.

This study aimed to illustrate and account for immortal time bias in pregnancy observational investigations, using the relationship between late use of antibiotics and risk of preterm birth as an example. We conducted a population-based cohort study including 549,082 deliveries between 2007 and 2017 in Lombardy, Italy. We evaluated the risk of preterm births, low birth weight, small for gestational age, and low Apgar score associated with antibiotic dispensing during the third trimester of pregnancy. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the outcomes, considering the use of antibiotics as time-fixed (with biased classification of exposure person-time) and time-varying (with proper classification of exposure person-time) exposure. There were 23,638 (4.3%) premature deliveries. There was no association between time-fixed exposure to antibiotics and preterm delivery (adjusted HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92 to 1.01) but an increased risk of preterm birth when time-varying exposure to antibiotics was considered (1.27, 1.21 to 1.34). The same trend was found for low birth weight and low Apgar score. Immortal time bias is a common and sneaky trap in observational studies involving exposure in late pregnancy. This bias could be easily avoided with suitable design and analysis.

Background: A potential association between the use of angiotensin-receptor blockers (ARBs) and angiotensin-converting-enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and the risk of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) has not been well studied. Methods: We carried out a population-based case-control study in the Lombardy region of Italy. A total of 6272 case patients in whom infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was confirmed between February 21 and March 11, 2020, were matched to 30,759 beneficiaries of the Regional Health Service (controls) according to sex, age, and municipality of residence. Information about the use of selected drugs and patients' clinical profiles was obtained from regional databases of health care use. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for associations between drugs and infection, with adjustment for confounders, were estimated by means of logistic regression. Results: Among both case patients and controls, the mean (±SD) age was 68±13 years, and 37% were women. The use of ACE inhibitors and ARBs was more common among case patients than among controls, as was the use of other antihypertensive and non-antihypertensive drugs, and case patients had a worse clinical profile. Use of ARBs or ACE inhibitors did not show any association with Covid-19 among case patients overall (adjusted odds ratio, 0.95 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.86 to 1.05] for ARBs and 0.96 [95% CI, 0.87 to 1.07] for ACE inhibitors) or among patients who had a severe or fatal course of the disease (adjusted odds ratio, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.63 to 1.10] for ARBs and 0.91 [95% CI, 0.69 to 1.21] for ACE inhibitors), and no association between these variables was found according to sex. Conclusions: In this large, population-based study, the use of ACE inhibitors and ARBs was more frequent among patients with Covid-19 than among controls because of their higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease. However, there was no evidence that ACE inhibitors or ARBs affected the risk of COVID-19.

Aim of our study was to assess the relationship between adherence with antihypertensive drugs and the risk of death in frail versus nonfrail old individuals. Using the database of the Lombardy Region (Italy), we identified 1 283 602 residents aged ≥65 years (mean age 76) who had ≥3 prescriptions of antihypertensive drugs between 2011 and 2012. A nested case-control design was applied, with cases being the cohort members who died during the observation period (7 years). Logistic regression was used to model the association of interest, with adjustment for potential confounders. Adherence was measured by the proportion of the follow-up covered by prescriptions, and the analysis was separately performed in patients with a good, medium, poor, and very poor clinical status, as assessed by a score that has been shown to be a sensitive predictor of death in the Italian population. The 7-year death probability increased from 16% (good) to 64% (very poor) clinical status. Compared with patients with very low adherence with antihypertensive treatment (75% of time covered by prescriptions) exhibited a lower risk of all-cause mortality in each group, the difference decreasing progressively (−44%, −43%, −40%, and −33%) from the good to the very poor clinical status. Adherence with antihypertensive drug treatment was also associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular mortality. Adherence with antihypertensive appears to be protective in frail old patients, but the benefit is less marked than in patients with a good clinical status.

Objectives Because observational studies often use imperfect measurements, results are prone to misclassification errors. We used as a motivating example the possible teratogenic risks of antiemetic agents in pregnancy since a large observational study recently showed that first-trimester exposure to doxylamine-pyridoxine was associated with significantly increased risk of congenital malformations as a whole, as well as central nervous system defects, and previous observational studies did not show such associations. A meta-analysis on this issue was carried out with the aim to illustrate how differential exposure and outcome misclassifications may lead to uncertain conclusions. Methods Medline, searched to October 2019 for full text papers in English. Summary Odds Ratios (ORs) with confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random-effect models. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed for evaluating the extension of differential misclassification required to account for the exposure-outcome association. Results Summary ORs were 1.02 (95 % CI, 0.92–1.15), 0.99 (0.82–1.19) and 1.25 (1.08–1.44) for overall congenital, cardiocirculatory, and central nervous system malformations respectively. By assuming exposure and outcome bias factor respectively of 0.95 (i.e., newborns with congenital defects had exposure specificity 5% lower than healthy newborns) and 1.12 (i.e., exposed newborns had outcome sensitivity 12 % higher than unexposed newborns), summary OR of central nervous system defects became 1.13 (95 % CI, 0.99–1.29) and 1.17 (95 % CI, 0.99–1.38). Conclusion Observational investigations and meta-analyses of observational studies need cautious interpretations. Their susceptibility to several, often sneaky, sources of bias should be carefully evaluated.

Background: Several process-of-care indicators have been developed and implemented to improve the quality of heart failure (HF) patients care. The aim of this study is to assess the relationship between a set of recommendations for HF care with measurable clinical outcomes, also in terms of outcomes that could be avoided. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was carried out on subjects with at least one hospitalization with a primary diagnosis of HF in 2007. Data were retrieved from healthcare utilization databases of Lombardy region (Italy). Exposure to selected recommendations (periodic control of echocardiogram and use of blockers of the renin-angiotensin system and beta-blockers) was recorded. All cause mortality and hospitalization with primary diagnosis of HF were considered as outcomes. Multivariable Cox models and Poisson model were fitted to estimate the exposure-outcome association. Results: Among 8207 cases of HF, those who adhered to none, one or all recommendations during the first year after diagnosis were 11%, 60% and 30%, respectively. Compared to patients who adhered to no recommendation, a significant mortality risk reduction of 24% (95% CI 17-31%) and 44% (36 52%) were observed for those who adhered to one and all recommendations, respectively. A significant reduction in the rate of re-hospitalizations in subjects adhered to at least one recommendation was also observed. A decreased trend in Population Attributable Fraction for death cases according to follow-up time was observed. Conclusion: A strict control of patients with HF through regular clinical examinations must be considered as fundamental for the reduction of mortality and re-hospitalizations.

Aim To provide information on the balance between the cardiovascular (CV) benefit and the diabetogenic harm of statin therapy in the current clinical practice. Methods All the 115,939 residents (older than 50 years) in the Italian Lombardy Region newly treated with statins between 2003 and 2005, were followed from the first statin prescription until 2012 to identify those experiencing a macrovascular complication and those with at least one sign suggestive of new onset diabetes. The proportion of days of follow-up covered by statin prescriptions measured adherence with statins. Hazard ratio, and relative 95% confidence interval (CI), for the two considered outcomes associated with statin adherence, were separately estimated (proportional hazard models). Number needed to treat (NNT) and number needed to harm (NNH), i.e., number of individuals who must be treated with statins in order to prevent a macrovascular complication, or to generate a new onset diabetes, respectively, were calculated to evaluate the balance between CV benefit and diabetogenic harm of statin therapy. Results Compared to those at very low adherence with statins, patients at high adherence showed a significant reduction of macrovascular risk (28%, 95% CI: 23%–33%) and a greater risk of developing diabetic condition (67%, 50%-86%). In the whole cohort, the NNT was 26, whereas the NNH 65. NNT was lower than NNH also in all considered strata of age, gender, clinical profile. Conclusions This large cohort investigation provides real-world evidence that the balance between CV benefit and diabetogenic harm of statin therapy is largely favourable to treatment benefits.

Background Multimorbidity is a growing concern for healthcare systems, with many countries experiencing demographic transition to older population profiles. A simple multisource comorbidity score (MCS) has been recently developed and validated. A very large real-world investigation was conducted with the aim of measuring inequalities in the MCS distribution across Italy. Methods Beneficiaries of the Italian National Health Service aged 50–85 years who in 2018 were resident in one of the 10 participant regions formed the study population (15.7 million of the 24.9 million overall resident in Italy). MCS was assigned to each beneficiary by categorizing the individual sum of the comorbid values (i.e. the weights corresponding to the comorbid conditions of which the individual suffered) into one of the six categories denoting a progressive worsening comorbidity status. MCS distributions in women and men across geographic partitions were compared. Results Compared with beneficiaries from northern Italy, those from centre and south showed worse comorbidity profile for both women and men. MCS median age (i.e. the age above which half of the beneficiaries suffered at least one comorbidity) ranged from 60 (centre and south) to 68 years (north) in women and from 63 (centre and south) to 68 years (north) in men. The percentage of comorbid population was lower than 50% for northern population, whereas it was around 60% for central and southern ones. Conclusion MCS allowed of capturing geographic variability of multimorbidity prevalence, thus showing up its value for addressing health policy in order to guide national health planning.

Background Patients who experience a hospital admission for acute coronary syndromes (ACS) exhibit poor prognosis over the years. The purposes of this study were to evaluate the real-world patterns of out-of-hospital practice in the management of ACS patients and to assess their impact on the risk of selected outcomes. Methods The cohort of 87,530 residents in the Lombardy Region (Italy) who were newly hospitalised for ACS during 2011–2015 was followed until 2018. Exposure to medical treatment including use of selected drugs, diagnostic procedures and laboratory tests was recorded. The main outcome of interest was re-hospitalisation for cardiovascular (CV) outcomes. Proportional hazards models were fitted to estimate hazard ratio, and 95% confidence intervals (CI), for the exposure-outcome association. Analyses were stratified according to the ACS type. Results The cumulative incidence of re-hospitalisation for CV disease was 33%, 42% and 38% at 5 years after index discharge among STEMI, NSTEMI and unstable angina patients. Within one year from index discharge, between 70% and 80% of patients had at least a prescription of statins, beta-blockers and renin–angiotensin-system blocking agents, underwent ECG and lipid profile examination, and had a cardiologic examination. One patient in five underwent cardiac rehabilitation. Compared with patients who did not adhere to healthcare recommendations, the risk of CV hospital readmission was reduced from 10% (95% CI: 4%–10%) to 23% (12%–32%) among patients who underwent lipid profile examinations and who experienced cardiac rehabilitation. Conclusion Close out-of-hospital healthcare must be considered the cornerstone for improving the long-term prognosis of ACS patients.

ObjectivesPoor worldwide rate of blood pressure control is largely due to poor adherence to antihypertensive (AHT) drug treatment. The question of whether sex affects adherence has long been debated but conflicting findings have been reported on this issue. Our objective was to evaluate sex differences in the adherence to AHT therapy.Research design and methodsStudies were identified through a systematic search of PubMed, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Web of Science and Google Scholar (through January 2020) and manual handsearching of relevant articles. Observational studies reporting adherence to AHT drugs measured by self-report or pharmacy refill prescription-based methods among men and women were included. Summarised estimates of ORs with 95% CIs were calculated using random-effects model and meta-regression models.ResultsFrom 12 849 potentially relevant publications, 82 studies (15 517 457 men and 18 537 599 women) were included. No significant between-sex differences in adherence to AHT were observed, whether all study-specific estimates were summarised (ORs 1.04, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.09, p=0.07), nor estimates were pooled according to the method for measuring adherence. Among patients aged 65 years or older, lower self-reported adherence was observed in women (ORs 0.84, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.97, p=0.02), while the main result remained unchanged according to other subgroup analyses.ConclusionsDefinitive evidence of sex differences in adherence to AHT therapy cannot be drawn. Our little knowledge about factors affecting adherence, in particular of sex effect among elderly, urgently requires high-quality studies investigating these issues.

Background A set of indicators to assess the quality of care for women operated for breast cancer was developed by an expert working group of the Italian Health Ministry in order to compare the Italian regions. A study to validate these indicators through their relationship with survival was carried out. Methods The 16,753 women who were residents in three Italian regions (Lombardy, Emilia-Romagna and Lazio) and hospitalized for breast cancer surgery during 2011 entered the cohort and were followed until 2016. Adherence to selected recommendations (i.e., surgery timeliness, medical therapy timeliness, appropriateness of complementary radiotherapy and mammographic follow-up) was assessed. Multivariable proportional hazards models were fitted to estimate hazard ratios for the association between adherence with recommendations and the risk of all-cause mortality. Results Adherence to recommendations was 53% for medical therapy timeliness, 73% for appropriateness of mammographic follow-up, 74% for surgery timeliness and 82% for appropriateness of complementary radiotherapy. Risk reductions of 26%, 62% and 56% were observed for adherence to recommendations on medical therapy timeliness, appropriateness of complementary radiotherapy and mammographic follow-up, respectively. There was no evidence that mortality was affected by surgery timeliness. Conclusions Clinical benefits are expected from improvements in adherence to the considered recommendations. Close control of women operated for breast cancer through medical care timeliness and appropriateness of radiotherapy and mammographic monitoring must be considered the cornerstone of national guidance, national audits, and quality improvement incentive schemes., Highlights • 4 indicators to assess the quality of care in operated breast cancer were developed. • High heterogeneity across regions in breast cancer-related care was observed. • Almost all the indicators are associated with improved overall survival. • Benefits are expected from improving adherence with the considered recommendations.

Introduction Acute otitis media (AOM) is the most common childhood disease leading to antibiotic use. More than 80% of children under three years of age experience at least one episode, and about one-third of these report significant recurrence of episodes. In recent years, several studies reported that normal nasopharyngeal flora inhibits growth of common otopathogens, suggesting that maintenance of an “adequate” nasopharyngeal flora might prevent occurrence of upper respiratory tract infections, including AOM. This study aims to determine whether five-month treatment with Streptococcus salivarius 24SMB and Streptococcus oralis 89a nasal spray prevents recurrence of AOM and prescription of antibiotics in children with diagnosis of recurrent AOM. Methods Observational prospective cohort study including children aged 1–6 years with diagnosis of recurrent AOM registered with 31 Italian family pediatricians. 81 children were enrolled in the study from September 2016 to the end of the five therapeutic cycles of the Streptococcus salivarius 24SMB and Streptococcus oralis 89a supplied 7 days each month for 5 consecutive months. For each treated child, one untreated control was randomly selected, 1:1 matched for gender, age, and follow-up. Results 158 children (79 treated and 70 untreated) were included into the analysis (mean age, 3.9 years; 47% female). Univariate analysis showed a statistically significant 34% (95% CI 1%–56%) reduction in number of AOM episodes in treated children compared with those not treated. Significantly fewer antibiotics were dispensed among treated children (24%, 95% CI 1%–41%). Conclusions Our findings suggest that intermittent treatment of children with diagnosis of recurrent AOM with nasal spray containing Streptococcus salivarius 24SMB and Streptococcus oralis 89a for a period of five months might be effective in preventing antibiotic use associated with recurrent episodes of AOM. Additional larger studies to address this important clinical problem are recommended.

Aims: Guidelines support use of drug combinations in most hypertensive patients, and recently treatment initiation with two drugs has been also recommended. However, limited evidence is available on whether this leads to greater cardiovascular (CV) protection compared to initial monotherapy. Methods and results: Using the healthcare utilization database of the Lombardy Region (Italy), the 44 534 residents of the region (age 40-80 years) who in 2010 started treatment with one antihypertensive drug (n = 37 078) or a two-drug fixed-dose combination (FDC, n = 7456) were followed for 1 year after treatment initiation to compare the risk of hospitalization for CV disease associated with the two treatment strategies. To limit the confounding associated with non-randomized between-group comparisons, data were also analysed by: (i) matching the two groups by the high-dimensional propensity score (HDPS) and (ii) comparing, in patients experiencing one or more CV events (n = 2212), the CV event incidence during subperiods in which patients were prescribed mono- or FDC therapy (self-controlled case series design). Compared to initial monotherapy, patients on initial FDC therapy showed a reduced 1 year risk of hospitalization for any CV event (-21%, P

Introduction: Nimesulide is the most prescribed non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug in Italy, and it is currently marketed in about 50 countries worldwide. The association between the use of nimesulide in early pregnancy and the risk of birth defects was investigated in a large cohort of pregnant women from Italy. Methods: Data were from the healthcare utilization databases of the Italian region of Lombardy. The cohort of 353,081 newborns occurring in Lombardy during the period 2005–2010 was investigated. Exposure to nimesulide during the first trimester of pregnancy, and congenital malformations detected at presentation and within 90 days after birth (outcome), were investigated. Exposure–outcome association was measured by the ratio between the prevalence of congenital malformations among users and non-users of nimesulide. Propensity score stratification was used to control for potential confounders, including maternal medical comorbidities, concomitant medications and sociodemographic characteristics. Results: The 627 (0.18%) women who filled prescriptions for nimesulide in the first trimester of pregnancy had a 2.6-fold risk of having children with congenital urinary tract anomalies compared to those who did not (adjusted prevalence ratio 2.6; 95% CI 1.2–5.7). Weaker and non-significant evidence for congenital malformations as a whole was found (adjusted prevalence ratio 1.2, 95% CI 0.9–1.6). Conclusion: Our study suggests that the use of nimesulide in early pregnancy may result in a greater risk of having births with congenital urinary tract anomalies. Funding: This study was funded by grants from the Italian Ministry of the Education, University and Research (’Fondo d’Ateneo per la Ricerca’ portion, year 2015)

Background: The thoracoscopic approach has become a standard procedure in the field of lung resections. However, its advantage in single-lung patients has not yet been well studied. We describe a series of successful thoracoscopic wedge resections in patients presenting with lung cancer after contralateral pneumonectomy. Methods: Eight patients, with a previous pneumonectomy (5 right and 3 left) for lung cancer, underwent resection for a suspicious neoplasm on the remaining lung. All lesions were detected in the asymptomatic phase during regular follow-up after pneumonectomy based on repeated computer tomography (CT). Only single peripheral lesions less than 2 cm were eligible for wedge resection were eligible for surgery. Videoassisted thoracoscopic, margin-free tumor wedge resections, were performed during apnea windows with the lung in a deflated position. Results: All patients were treated by a wedge resections smaller than a single segment. Only one patient needed a mini-thoracotomy conversion to accomplish a safe margin-free resection. Median total surgical operative time was 37 minutes. There were no postoperative deaths, while morbidity was 12.5%. Conclusions: Thoracoscopic surgery represents a feasible surgical option in selected patients after contralateral pneumonectomy, with careful preoperative assessment and using short apnea windows in good collaboration with anesthesiologists. Histological definition, made possible by the surgical-procedure, gives patients the possibility to eventually undergo further targeted therapies. Randomized prospective trials are necessary to assess the best management of peripheral small lung nodules in single-lung patients, in particular to define which patients can benefit from a surgical approach.