1. FISCAL CONSOLIDATION PROGRAMS AND INCOME INEQUALITY
- Author
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Pedro Brinca, Francesco Franco, Laurence Malafry, Hans A. Holter, Miguel H. Ferreira, and NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,Labour economics ,Economics ,growth ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Government debt ,Distribution (economics) ,Monetary economics ,Overlapping generations model ,wealth ,Consolidation (business) ,Precautionary savings ,Economic inequality ,Debt ,öffentlicher Haushalt ,0502 economics and business ,ddc:330 ,multipliers ,difference in income ,050207 economics ,050205 econometrics ,media_common ,public budget ,050208 finance ,business.industry ,05 social sciences ,1. No poverty ,Wirtschaft ,SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities ,tax progressivity ,EU-SILC ,austerity ,Fiscal union ,budget consolidation ,Social security ,Öffentliche Finanzen und Finanzwissenschaft ,Haushaltskonsolidierung ,Public Finance ,Labour supply ,8. Economic growth ,elasticity ,heterogeneity ,Einkommensunterschied ,business ,policy - Abstract
Following the Great Recession, many European countries implemented fiscal consolidation policies aimed at reducing government debt. Using three independent data sources and three different empirical approaches, we document a strong positive relationship between higher income inequality and stronger recessive impacts of fiscal consolidation programs across time and place. To explain this finding, we develop a life-cycle, overlapping generations economy with uninsurable labour market risk. We calibrate our model to match key characteristics of a number of European economies, including the distribution of wages and wealth, social security, taxes and debt, and study the effects of fiscal consolidation programs. We find that higher income risk induces precautionary savings behaviour, which decreases the proportion of credit-constrained agents in the economy. Credit-constrained agents have less elastic labour supply responses to fiscal consolidation achieved through either tax hikes or public spending cuts, and this explains the relationship between income inequality and the impact of fiscal consolidation programs. Our model produces a cross-country correlation between inequality and the fiscal consolidation multipliers, which is quite similar to that in the data.
- Published
- 2020
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