1. Incidence and predictors of hospital readmission in children presenting with severe anaemia in Uganda and Malawi: a secondary analysis of TRACT trial data
- Author
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Charles Engoru, Gary Frost, Thomas N. Williams, Peter Olupot-Olupot, Florence Alaroker, M Boele van Hensbroek, Elizabeth C. George, Imelda Bates, C Williams Musika, Kevin Walsh, Macpherson Mallewa, Tonny Sennyondo, Sophie Uyoga, Margaret Nakuya, A. Sarah Walker, Roisin Connon, Julius Nteziyaremye, Neil Kennedy, Denis Amorut, Jennifer Evans, Cate Namayanja, George Chagaluka, Robert O. Opoka, Diana M. Gibb, Kathryn Maitland, Ayub Mpoya, Sarah Kiguli, Eva Nabawanuka, Global Health, General Paediatrics, Paediatric Infectious Diseases / Rheumatology / Immunology, AII - Infectious diseases, APH - Global Health, Medical Research Council, Medical Research Council, UK, and Wellcome Trust
- Subjects
Malawi ,medicine.medical_specialty ,030231 tropical medicine ,HIV Infections ,Disease ,Severe anaemia ,Lower risk ,Patient Readmission ,Anemia - epidemiology - therapy ,TRACT trial group ,1117 Public Health and Health Services ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Internal medicine ,Epidemiology ,medicine ,Humans ,Uganda ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Child ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Public health ,Incidence ,Hazard ratio ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Anemia ,medicine.disease ,Malawi - epidemiology ,Uganda - epidemiology ,Public Health ,Biostatistics ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,business ,Malaria ,Readmission ,Research Article - Abstract
Background Severe anaemia (haemoglobin Methods Secondary analyses of the trial examined 3894 children from Uganda and Malawi surviving a hospital episode of severe anaemia. Predictors of all-cause readmission within 180 days of discharge were identified using multivariable regression with death as a competing risk. Groups of children with similar characteristics were identified using hierarchical clustering. Results Of the 3894 survivors 682 (18%) were readmitted; 403 (10%) had ≥2 re-admissions over 180 days. Three main causes of readmission were identified: severe anaemia (n = 456), malaria (n = 252) and haemoglobinuria/dark urine syndrome (n = 165). Overall, factors increasing risk of readmission included HIV-infection (hazard ratio 2.48 (95% CI 1.63–3.78), p p p = 0.005); and missing ≥1 trial medication dose (proxy for care quality) (1.43 (1.21–1.69), p p = 0.04). Malaria (among children with no prior history of transfusion) (0.60(0.47–0.76), p p p = 0.001) also decreased risk of readmission. For anaemia re-admissions, gross splenomegaly and enlarged spleen increased risk by 1.73(1.23–2.44) and 1.46(1.18–1.82) respectively compared to no splenomegaly. Clustering identified four groups of children with readmission rates from 14 to 20%. The cluster with the highest readmission rate was characterised by very low haemoglobin (mean 3.6 g/dL). Sickle Cell Disease (SCD) predominated in two clusters associated with chronic repeated admissions or severe, acute presentations in largely undiagnosed SCD. The final cluster had high rates of malaria (78%), severity signs and very low platelet count, consistent with acute severe malaria. Conclusions Younger age, HIV infection and history of previous hospital admissions predicted increased risk of readmission. However, no obvious clinical factors for intervention were identified. As missing medication doses was highly predictive, attention to care related factors may be important. Trial registration ISRCTN ISRCTN84086586.
- Published
- 2021
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