1. A Socioeconomic Ripple Effect Analysis of Integrative National Construction Standards Codification Efforts: System Dynamics Approach
- Author
-
Jae-Ho Choi, Young Hoon Kwak, and Yongsoo Lee
- Subjects
Emergency management ,business.industry ,Computer science ,Process (engineering) ,Strategy and Management ,Investment (macroeconomics) ,System dynamics ,Term (time) ,Risk analysis (engineering) ,Order (exchange) ,Code (cryptography) ,Electrical and Electronic Engineering ,business ,Uncertainty analysis - Abstract
South Korea established the National Construction Standards Center to efficiently manage the national construction standards and orchestrate various efforts such as the development and export of the unified code system, and the conduction of code reform research for securing safety and ever increasing disaster prevention of buildings and infrastructure. Significant national budgets must be put in place to develop, promote, and continually improve the unified construction code system. In order to confirm the appropriateness of this continuous investment, this article intends to estimate the socioeconomic ripple effect of the coordinated efforts over the next 30 years by developing a hybrid method that combines an analytical hierarchical process and system dynamics (SD). In this article, the interacting behavior of the developed SD model is illustrated parametrically. We found that the center's integrative codification efforts including the development and diffusion of the unified code system has the effect of offsetting the decreasing national construction budget. We also found that the Monte Carlo multivariate simulation-based uncertainty analysis on the developed SD model is well-suited for effectively quantifying and integrating various benefits to empower decision makers; in particular, providing information both on the mean and the most conservative socioeconomic ripple effects over the long term.
- Published
- 2022