1. COVID-19 pandemic modifies temperature and heat-related illness ambulance transport association in Japan: a nationwide observational study
- Author
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Chris Fook Sheng Ng, Masahiro Hashizume, Lina Madaniyazi, Xerxes Seposo, and Yasushi Honda
- Subjects
Distributed lag ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Ambulances ,Psychological intervention ,Heat Stress Disorders ,Effect modification ,Japan ,Covariate ,Pandemic ,Humans ,Medicine ,Association (psychology) ,Pandemics ,business.industry ,Research ,Public health ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,COVID-19 ,Ambulance transport ,Industrial medicine. Industrial hygiene ,RC963-969 ,Heat-related illness ,Observational study ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,business ,Demography - Abstract
Background: During the COVID-19 pandemic, several illnesses were reduced. In Japan, heat-related illnesses were reduced by 22% compared to pre-pandemic period. However, it is uncertain as to what has led to this reduction. Here, we model the association of maximum temperature and heat-related illnesses in the 47 Japanese prefectures. We specifically examined how the exposure and lag associations varied before and during the pandemic. Methods: We obtained the summer-specific, daily heat-related illness ambulance transport (HIAT), exposure variable (maximum temperature) and covariate data from relevant data sources. We utilized a stratified (pre-pandemic and pandemic), two-stage approach. In each stratified group, we estimated the 1) prefecture-level association using a quasi-Poisson regression coupled with a distributed lag non-linear model, which was 2) pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. The difference between pooled pre-pandemic and pandemic associations was examined across the exposure and the lag dimensions. Results: A total of 321,655 HIAT cases was recorded in Japan from 2016 to 2020. We found an overall reduction of heat-related risks for HIAT during the pandemic, with a wide range of reduction (10.85 to 57.47%) in the HIAT risk, across exposure levels ranging from 21.69 °C to 36.31 °C. On the contrary, we found an increment in the delayed heat-related risks during the pandemic at Lag 2 (16.33%; 95% CI: 1.00, 33.98%). Conclusion: This study provides evidence of the impact of COVID-19, particularly on the possible roles of physical interventions and behavioral changes, in modifying the temperature-health association. These findings would have implications on subsequent policies or heat-related warning strategies in light of ongoing or future pandemics., Environmental Health: A Global Access Science Source, 20, art. no. 122; 2021
- Published
- 2021