1. The EndoPredict score provides prognostic information on late distant metastases in ER+/HER2- breast cancer patients.
- Author
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Dubsky P, Brase JC, Jakesz R, Rudas M, Singer CF, Greil R, Dietze O, Luisser I, Klug E, Sedivy R, Bachner M, Mayr D, Schmidt M, Gehrmann MC, Petry C, Weber KE, Fisch K, Kronenwett R, Gnant M, and Filipits M
- Subjects
- Anastrozole, Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal administration & dosage, Antineoplastic Agents, Hormonal therapeutic use, Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols administration & dosage, Breast Neoplasms drug therapy, Breast Neoplasms genetics, Cell Differentiation physiology, Cell Growth Processes physiology, Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic, Female, Gene Expression Profiling, Humans, Neoplasm Metastasis, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local drug therapy, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local genetics, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local metabolism, Neoplasm Recurrence, Local pathology, Nitriles administration & dosage, Prognosis, Proportional Hazards Models, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Receptor, ErbB-2 genetics, Receptor, ErbB-2 metabolism, Receptors, Estrogen genetics, Receptors, Estrogen metabolism, Retrospective Studies, Signal Transduction, Tamoxifen administration & dosage, Tamoxifen therapeutic use, Treatment Outcome, Triazoles administration & dosage, Breast Neoplasms metabolism, Breast Neoplasms pathology, Receptor, ErbB-2 biosynthesis, Receptors, Estrogen biosynthesis
- Abstract
Background: ER+/HER2- breast cancers have a proclivity for late recurrence. A personalised estimate of relapse risk after 5 years of endocrine treatment can improve patient selection for extended hormonal therapy., Methods: A total of 1702 postmenopausal ER+/HER2- breast cancer patients from two adjuvant phase III trials (ABCSG6, ABCSG8) treated with 5 years of endocrine therapy participated in this study. The multigene test EndoPredict (EP) and the EPclin score (which combines EP with tumour size and nodal status) were predefined in independent training cohorts. All patients were retrospectively assigned to risk categories based on gene expression and on clinical parameters. The primary end point was distant metastasis (DM). Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were used in an early (0-5 years) and late time interval (>5 years post diagnosis)., Results: EP is a significant, independent, prognostic parameter in the early and late time interval. The expression levels of proliferative and ER signalling genes contribute differentially to the underlying biology of early and late DM. The EPclin stratified 64% of patients at risk after 5 years into a low-risk subgroup with an absolute 1.8% of late DM at 10 years of follow-up., Conclusion: The EP test provides additional prognostic information for the identification of early and late DM beyond what can be achieved by combining the commonly used clinical parameters. The EPclin reliably identified a subgroup of patients who have an excellent long-term prognosis after 5 years of endocrine therapy. The side effects of extended therapy should be weighed against this projected outcome.
- Published
- 2013
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