1. The avoiding late diagnosis of ovarian cancer (ALDO) project; a pilot national surveillance programme for women with pathogenic germline variants in BRCA1 and BRCA2 .
- Author
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Philpott S, Raikou M, Manchanda R, Lockley M, Singh N, Scott M, Evans DG, Adlard J, Ahmed M, Edmondson R, Woodward ER, Lamnisos A, Balega J, Brady AF, Sharma A, Izatt L, Kulkarni A, Tripathi V, Solomons JS, Hayes K, Hanson H, Snape K, Side L, Skates S, McGuire A, and Rosenthal AN
- Subjects
- Female, Humans, Delayed Diagnosis, Genetic Predisposition to Disease epidemiology, Germ Cells pathology, Mutation, Ovariectomy, State Medicine economics, Salpingectomy, United Kingdom epidemiology, Population Surveillance, Cost-Effectiveness Analysis, BRCA1 Protein genetics, BRCA2 Protein genetics, Ovarian Neoplasms diagnosis, Ovarian Neoplasms economics, Ovarian Neoplasms epidemiology, Ovarian Neoplasms genetics
- Abstract
Background: Our study aimed to establish 'real-world' performance and cost-effectiveness of ovarian cancer (OC) surveillance in women with pathogenic germline BRCA1/2 variants who defer risk-reducing bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO)., Methods: Our study recruited 875 female BRCA1/2 -heterozygotes at 13 UK centres and via an online media campaign, with 767 undergoing at least one 4-monthly surveillance test with the Risk of Ovarian Cancer Algorithm (ROCA) test. Surveillance performance was calculated with modelling of occult cancers detected at RRSO. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated using Markov population cohort simulation., Results: Our study identified 8 OCs during 1277 women screen years: 2 occult OCs at RRSO (both stage 1a), and 6 screen-detected; 3 of 6 (50%) were ≤stage 3a and 5 of 6 (83%) were completely surgically cytoreduced. Modelled sensitivity, specificity, Positive Predictive Value (PPV) and Negative Predictive Value (NPV) for OC were 87.5% (95% CI, 47.3 to 99.7), 99.9% (99.9-100), 75% (34.9-96.8) and 99.9% (99.9-100), respectively. The predicted number of quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained by surveillance was 0.179 with an ICER cost - saving of -£102,496/QALY., Conclusion: OC surveillance for women deferring RRSO in a 'real-world' setting is feasible and demonstrates similar performance to research trials; it down-stages OC, leading to a high complete cytoreduction rate and is cost-saving in the UK National Health Service (NHS) setting. While RRSO remains recommended management, ROCA-based surveillance may be considered for female BRCA -heterozygotes who are deferring such surgery., Competing Interests: Competing interests: The project was co-funded by Abcodia Ltd and North Central London Cancer Alliance. Abcodia Ltd had no role in the design of the project, nor in the interpretation of the findings or the drafting/editing of the manuscript. Sue Philpott has previously held a consulting role with Abcodia Ltd Adam Rosenthal has previously held a consulting role with Abcodia Ltd and Everything Genetic Ltd. Ranjit Manchanda has received funding from Yorkshire Cancer Research, GSK, Eve Appeal, Cancer Research UK, NHS Innovation Accelerator (NIA), Barts & the London Charity, Rose Trees Trust outside this work for research related to genetic testing and honorarium for advisory board membership or lectures from Astrazeneca/MSD/GSK/EGL. Naveena Singh has served on advisory boards for Astra-Zeneca-MSD and Glaxo SmithKline. Gareth Evans has a consultancy role with AstraZeneca. Helen Hanson has served on advisory boards for AstraZeneca. Steve Skates works at Massachusetts General Hospital which has co-licensed the software for early detection of ovarian cancer to Abcodia and has served on clinical advisory boards for Guardant Health and LUNGevity, has collaborated on early detection research with Freenome, participates in the Independent Data Monitoring Committee for GRAIL and has stock option for serving on the scientific Advisory Board for SISCAPA Assay Technologies. The other authors declare no competing interests., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
- Published
- 2023
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