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Objective: Varus and valgus alignment are associated with progression of knee osteoarthritis, but their role in incident disease is less certain. Radiographic measures of incident knee osteoarthritis may be capturing early progression rather than disease development. The authors tested the hypothesis: in knees with normal cartilage morphology by MRI, varus is associated with incident medial cartilage damage and valgus with incident lateral damage., Methods: In MOST, a prospective study of persons at risk of or with knee osteoarthritis, baseline full-limb x-rays and baseline and 30-month MRI were acquired. In knees with normal baseline cartilage morphology in all tibiofemoral subregions, logistic regression was used with generalised estimating equations to examine the association between alignment and incident cartilage damage adjusting for age, gender, body mass index, laxity, meniscal tear and extrusion., Results: Of 1881 knees, 293 from 256 persons met the criteria. Varus versus non-varus was associated with incident medial damage (adjusted OR 3.59, 95% CI 1.59 to 8.10), as was varus versus neutral, with evidence of a dose effect (adjusted OR 1.38/1° varus, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.59). The findings held even excluding knees with medial meniscal damage. Valgus was not associated with incident lateral damage. Varus and valgus were associated with a reduced risk of incident lateral and medial damage, respectively., Conclusion: In knees with normal cartilage morphology, varus was associated with incident cartilage damage in the medial compartment, and varus and valgus with a reduced risk of incident damage in the less loaded compartment. These results support that varus increases the risk of the initial development of knee osteoarthritis.

Objective: We conducted a cross-sectional study to describe the prevalence of tibiofemoral joint space narrowing (JSN) in medial and lateral compartments and assess whether it differs by sex and ethnic groups, and, if it does, to what extent such a difference is accounted for by knee malalignment., Methods: The Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study is an observational study of persons ages 50-79 years with either symptomatic knee osteoarthritis or high risk of disease. Knee radiographs were assessed for JSN in each tibiofemoral compartment. Mechanical axis angle was measured using full-extremity films. We compared the proportion of knees with medial compartment JSN and with lateral JSN between men and women, as well as between whites and African Americans, using a logistic regression model adjusting for covariates (race or sex and body mass index, age, education, and clinic site). We used generalized estimating equations to account for correlation between 2 knees within a person., Results: Of 5,202 knees (2,652 subjects), 1,532 (29.5%) had medial JSN and 427 (8.2%) had lateral JSN. Lateral JSN was more prevalent in the knees of women than in men (odds ratio [OR] 1.9, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.5-2.4) and was also higher in the knees of African Americans than in whites (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.7-3.3). Further adjustment for malalignment attenuated the OR for sex but not the OR for race., Conclusion: Women and African Americans are more likely to have lateral JSN than men and whites, respectively. Valgus malalignment may contribute to the higher prevalence in women., (Copyright © 2012 by the American College of Rheumatology.)