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Background: The association between baseline triglyceride glucose index (TyG index) and incident non-communicable diseases, mainly in Asian populations, has been reported. In the current study, we aimed to evaluate the association between index-year, average, and visit-to-visit variability (VVV) of the TyG index with incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), hypertension, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and all-cause mortality among the Iranian population., Methods: The study population included 5220 participants (2195 men) aged ≥ 30 years. TyG index was calculated as Ln (fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2). Average values of the TyG index and also VVV (assessed by the standard deviation (SD) and variability independent of mean) were derived during the exposure period from 2002 to 2011 (index-year). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the TyG index for incident different health outcomes., Results: During more than 6 years of follow-up after the index year, 290, 560, 361, and 280 events of T2DM, hypertension, CVD, and all-cause mortality occurred. 1-SD increase in the TyG index values at the index-year was independently associated with the incident T2DM [HR (95% CI) 2.50 (2.13-2.93)]; the corresponding values for the average of TyG index were 2.37 (2.03-2.76), 1.12 (0.99-1.26, p value = 0.05), 1.18 (1.01-1.36), and 1.29 (1.08-1.53) for incident T2DM, hypertension, CVD, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Compared to the first tertile, tertile 3 of VVV of the TyG index was independently associated with incident hypertension [1.33 (1.07-1.64), P trend <0.01]. Likewise, a 1-SD increase in VVV of the TyG index was associated with an 11% excess risk of incident hypertension [1.11 (1.02-1.21)]. However, no association was found between the VVV of the TyG index and other outcomes. Moreover, the impact of index-year and average values of the TyG index was more prominent among women regarding incident CVD (P for interactions < 0.05)., Conclusion: Although the higher TyG index at index-year and its VVV were only associated with the incident T2DM and hypertension, respectively, its average value was capable of capturing the risk for all of the health outcomes., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: Despite the high burden of obesity and Type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in the Middle East/West Asia region, the effect of weight change on the development of T2DM is poorly addressed. Therefore, we aimed to assess the impact of 3-year body weight change on incident of T2DM over 3-, 6-, and 9-year periods among Iranian adults., Methods: A total of 6930 participants (men = 2567) aged ≥ 20 years free of T2DM or cancer at baseline were included. Weight measurements were taken at baseline (2002-2005) and approximately 3 years later. Participants were categorized based on their weight change ratio into  ≥ 5% loss, stable (± 5%), and ≥ 5% gain. Generalized estimating equations (GEE), adjusted with age, sex, education levels, baseline measurements of fasting plasma glucose, weight, waist circumference, triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, family history of diabetes, current smoker, hypertension, and prevalent cardiovascular disease were applied to estimate the Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of weight change categories for incident T2DM, considering stable weight as a reference., Results: During median follow-ups of 3-, 6-, and 9-year, 295, 505, and 748 cases of T2DM occurred, respectively. Weight gain of ≥ 5%, as compared to stable weight group (± 5%), was associated with increased T2DM risk, with ORs of 1.58 (95% CI 1.16-2.14), 1.76 (1.41-2.20), and 1.70 (1.40-2.05) for the 3-, 6-, and 9-year follow-ups, respectively, in multivariable analysis; corresponding values for weight loss ≥ 5% were 0.48 (0.29-0.80), 0.57 (0.40-0.81), and 0.51 (0.38-0.68), respectively. This association persisted even after adjusting for attained weight. Subgroup analysis showed consistent associations across age, gender, and body mass index categories., Conclusion: Weight gain and loss of ≥ 5% were associated with increased and decreased risks of incident T2DM, respectively, regardless of attained weight. This association was consistent over various follow-up durations among the Iranian population as recommended by guidelines., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Aims: We investigated the tracking correlations between fasting plasma glucose (FPG) in adolescence with both FPG and 2-hour post-load glucose (2 h-PG) in adulthood, and identified the predictors of FPG and 2 h-PG in young adulthood using traditional risk factors during adolescence and adulthood., Methods: We included 2188 participants (1033 male) from the Tehran lipid and glucose study within the age ranges 11-18 and 19-40 years during 1999-2018. The area under the curve (AUC) was computed using the growth curve models, and predictors were identified by the linear regression model., Results: The partial correlation between AUCs of FPG in adolescence and adulthood was 0.37 (P < 0.001). The correlation between AUCs of FPG in adolescence and 2 h-PG in adulthood was 0.17 (P < 0.001). The AUC of FPG was a significant positive predictor for both FPG and 2 h-PG in young adulthood. Other predictors of adult FPG included sex, as well as BMI and the ratio of triglycerides to HDL-cholesterol during both adolescence and adulthood., Conclusions: Tracking correlation was observed for FPG, suggesting that monitoring and managing risk factors in adolescence may have implications for future glucose metabolism in young adulthood., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Objective: Obesity and metabolic syndrome, which has an increasing prevalence among adolescence, are associated with metabolic abnormalities. This study investigates the role of adolescent obesity phenotypes in predicting the incidence of early adulthood type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM)., Research Design and Methods: Participants were divided into four obesity phenotypes: Metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolically healthy obese (MHO), metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW), and metabolically unhealthy obese (MUO). Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for T2DM incidence., Results: In this cohort study, 2306 Tehranian adolescents with an average age of 15.1 ± 2.4 years were included. The median (IQ 25-75) follow-up was 15.5 (12.8-17.1) years and the median (IQ 25-75) age of participants at the end of follow-up was 30 (26-32) years old. The incidence rate of T2DM during the early adulthood was [1.37 (95% CI: 0.89-2.10)] and [3.18 (95% CI: 2.44-4.16)] per 1000 person per year in boys and girls, respectively. MHO phenotype was not associated with an increased risk of T2DM for both sexes. Adjusted HRs for MUO were [4.30 95% CI (1.48-12.43)] and [3.39 95% CI (1.78-6.45)] in boys and girls, respectively. MUNW phenotype was associated with an increased risk of T2DM only in boys. After adjustment for adulthood BMI, all the phenotypes for both sexes lost their significance, except for boys with MUNW phenotype [HR = 3.46 95% CI (1.15-10.45)]., Conclusions: Unhealthy obesity phenotypes; in contrast with MHO; had an increased risk of T2DM incidence, apart from girls with MUNW. After adjusting the adulthood BMI, all phenotypes turn insignificant, except for boys with MUNW., (© 2021 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: This study investigates the trajectory of the risk factors of prediabetes progression to overt diabetes., Methods: The study retrospectively investigated 1610 prediabetic individuals. The trajectory of metabolic indicators was investigated using the generalized estimated equation method with autoregressive working correlation structure through a linear model with the identity link function., Results: During 15 years of follow-up, the trajectories of metabolic risk factors changed from 3 years before diabetes occurrence for fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and 2-hour plasma glucose (2hPG), 6 years for waist circumference (WC), 9 years for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and earlier for body mass index, triglyceride (TG), and TG:HDL ratio. It was shown that the differences in the trajectory of WC and HDL were stable after adjustment for other metabolic risk factors. The trajectories of FPG and 2hPG remained stable after considering multiple insulin resistance markers., Conclusions: Deterioration of metabolic risk factor status can be a predictor of diabetes many years before its occurrence, but the abrupt change in plasma glucose is evident 3 years before diabetes mellitus onset. It seems that the HDL-C and WC trajectories are two independent predictors for diabetes incidence. It was also found that when the rising trend in plasma glucose starts, preventive strategies to lessen insulin resistance might not be efficient., (© 2021 Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.)

Background: To investigate whether the Triglyceride-Glucose index (TyG-index) is associated with increased risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD)/coronary heart disease (CHD)., Methods: A total of 7521 Iranians aged ≥ 30 years (male = 3367) were included in the study. Multivariate Cox regression analyses (adjusted for age, gender, waist circumference, body mass index, educational level, smoking status, physical activity, family history of CVD, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, low and high density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid lowering drugs) were used to assess the risk of incident CVD/CHD across quintiles and for 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in the TyG-index. The cut off point for TyG-index was assessed by the minimum value of [Formula: see text]. We also examined the added value of the TyG-index in addition to the Framingham risk score when predicting CVD., Results: During follow-up, 1084 cases of CVD (male = 634) were recorded. We found a significant trend of TyG-index for incident CVD/CHD in multivariate analysis (both Ps for tend ≤ 0.002). Moreover, a 1-SD increase in TyG-index was associated with significant risk of CVD/CHD in multivariate analysis [1.16 (1.07-1.25) and 1.19 (1.10-1.29), respectively]. The cut-off value of TyG-index for incident CVD was 9.03 (59.2% sensitivity and 63.2% specificity); the corresponding value of TyG-index for incident CHD was 9.03 (60.0% sensitivity and 62.8% specificity), respectively. Although no interaction was found between gender and TyG-index for CVD/CHD in multivariate analysis (both Ps for interaction > 0.085), the significant trend of TyG-index was observed only among females for incident CVD (P = 0.035). A significant interaction was found between age groups (i.e. ≥ 60 vs < 60 years) and TyG-index for CVD outcomes in the multivariate model (P-value for interaction = 0.046). Accordingly, a significant association between the TyG-index and outcomes was found only among the younger age group. Among the population aged < 60 the addition of TyG-index to the Framingham risk score (FRS) did not show improvement in the predictive ability of the FRS, using integrated discrimination improvement., Conclusion: The TyG-index is significantly associated with increased risk of CVD/CHD incidence; this issue was more prominent among the younger population. However, adding TyG-index to FRS does not provide better risk prediction for CVD.

Background: Hypertension, with a prevalence of 25.6% is a serious public health concern in Iran., Objective: To investigate the population-based incidence of hypertension and its potential risk factors in Tehranian adults during a median follow-up of 13.1 years., Methods: A total of 6,533 non-hypertensive participants (women = 3,639), aged ≥20 years participated in the study. Crude and age-standardized incidence rates per 1000 person-years were calculated for each sex, separately. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all potential risk factors., Results: The crude and age-standardized incidence rates (95% CI) of hypertension per 1000 person-years were 29.7 (27.8-31.6) and 34.9 (32.5-37.4) among men and 25.8 (24.3-27.3) and 38.7 (35.5-42.0) among women, respectively. The incidence rate of hypertension in younger age groups was higher among men. However, after the 4 th decade, the incidence rate was higher among women. Significant interactions of sex with age groups, body mass index categories, marital status, hypertriglyceridemia and glycemic categories were found in multivariable analyses (all p-values < 0.05). In the multivariable model, the risk in both sexes was found to be significantly associated with older age, obesity, and normal or high normal blood pressure (BP). Moreover, factors such as being overweight [HR: 1.20 (1.00-1.44)], former smoking [2.15 (1.52-3.04)], hypertriglyceridemia [1.23 (1.06-1.43)] and pre-diabetes status [1.19 (1.02-1.39)] were significant predictors of incident hypertension among women. Central obesity was found to be a significant predictor among men [1.26 (1.03-1.54)]. The optimism-corrected Harrell's C index (95% CI) in the categorical adjusted model was 0.75 (0.74-0.79) among men and 0.75 (0.74-0.76) among women., Conclusion: In the Tehranian population, nearly 2.7% of total participants (3% of men and 2.6% of women) develop hypertension each year. Obesity and high BP levels are the main modifiable risk factors in both sexes. Hypertriglyceridemia, prediabetes and former smoking are risk factors for hypertension among women., Competing Interests: The authors have no competing interests to declare., (Copyright: © 2020 The Author(s).)

Background: To assess the impact of changes in different glucose tolerance states on risk of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD)/coronary heart disease (CHD)., Methods: A total of 4094 Iranians (43.9% men) aged ≥ 30 years, without diabetes and CVD at enrolment were included. The following categories were defined both at baseline visit and 3 years later (second visit): normal fasting glucose (NFG), normal glucose tolerance (NGT), NFG and NGT (NFG/NGT), impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and IFG and/or IGT (IFG/IGT). Changes in the categories, i.e. regression to normoglycemia, remaining in previous status and progression to diabetes were assessed. We used Cox's proportional hazard models adjusted for traditional risk factors and their changes, to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) of different changing categories for incident CVD/CHD., Results: During a median follow-up of 12.42 years, 428 subjects (men = 265) experienced CVD. Considering persistent NFG/NGT as reference, participants who shifted from NFG/NGT to IFG/IGT showed a lower hazard of CVD in the fully adjusted model, HR 0.72 [95% CI 0.52-0.996, P = 0.048]. Moreover, subjects who shifted from IFG, IGT and IFG/IGT to diabetes had an increased risk of CVD/CHD. The risk however, was only statistically significant for those with IFG/IGT, 1.61 [(1.03-2.51), P = 0.04] for CVD and 1.75 [(1.10-2.78), P = 0.02] for CHD; considering IFG/IGT at both visits as reference. Furthermore, those who regressed from IFG/IGT to normoglycemia were at the same risk as those remained in IFG/IGT state, 1.12 [(0.79-1.60), P = 0.52] for CVD and 1.04 [(0.70-1.53), P = 0.85] for CHD. Among a subgroup of population with insulin data (n = 803) those with insulin resistance (IR) that converted to diabetes showed a higher risk for CVD, 3.68 [(1.49-9.06), P = 0.01] and CHD, 2.76 [(1.00-7.60), P = 0.05] events in the fully adjusted model., Conclusions: Among participants with IFG, IGT or IFG/IGT at baseline, only those who developed diabetes had a higher risk of developing CVD/CHD. Persistent IFG/IGT was not associated with higher risk, compared with those reverted to normoglycemia. Moreover, subjects who converted from NFG/NGT to incident IFG/IGT showed a signal for lower risk of CVD/CHD.

Obesity phenotypes can be regarded as an indicator of CVD risk factors. The aim of the present study was to determine the prevalence of adolescents with different obesity phenotypes and the role of obesity phenotypes in prediction of the metabolic syndrome (MetS) in adults. For this population-based cohort study, 2159 adolescents aged 11-18 years were included. Subjects were divided into four obesity phenotype groups: metabolically healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolically healthy obese (MHO), metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW) and metabolically unhealthy obese (MUO). Cox proportional hazard modelling was used to estimate the incidence of the MetS in adults after a median follow-up of 11·3 years. The incidence rate of the MetS in early adulthood was 111·6 (95 % CI 98·7, 126·3) per 10 000 person-years, with higher values in boys (210·1 (95 % CI 183·0, 241·3)), compared with girls (39·7 (95 % CI 30·2, 52·1)). In the age- and adult BMI-adjusted model, the hazard ratio of the MetS in adulthood for boys was 3·33 (95 % CI 2·08, 5·32) among MUO phenotype followed less than 6 years, 1·71 (95 % CI 1·01, 2·90) among MHO, and 2·52 (95 % CI 1·72, 3·68) among MUNW. All associations were attenuated in girls except for MUO phenotype followed less than 6 years (5·72 (95 % CI 2·14, 15·3)). In conclusion, MUNW and MHO phenotypes in boys, but not in girls, and MUO phenotype in both sexes with less than 6 years of follow-up increased the risk of adult MetS compared with MHNW. It seems that lack of obesity at least in boys does not protect them from MetS development in adulthood.

Diagnostic accuracy and optimal cutoff points of risk factors is one of the important issues in medical decisions. In order to reassess the cutoff points of markers, longitudinal and time-to-event data of elderly individuals were collected repeatedly through 3 follow-up stages in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. Time-dependent area under the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curves (AUCs) based on the joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data technique were measured. AUCs were considered to evaluate the discriminative potential of the models. The joint model produced higher AUC values than the Cox model; therefore, accuracy was improved although it is computationally complicated. The results had some differences with the thresholds reported in guidelines due to specificity to the population and/or the means of estimation methods. The estimated cutoff points with regard to sex can be used as a guideline for the Iranian elderly population.

Background: Abnormal levels of liver enzymes, particularly aminotransferases, are prognostic features of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Considering the important role of dietary intakes in development of NAFLD, we aimed to determine possible association of unhealthy foods (fast foods, soft drinks, sweet and salty snacks) consumption with elevated levels of aminotransferases., Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted within the framework of sixth phase of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (2014-2017), on 187 adult men and 249 adult women (19-70 y). Usual intakes of unhealthy foods (kcal/week) were measured using a validated semi-quantitative 147-items food frequency questionnaire. Serum levels of alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were measured. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds of elevated aminotransferases in each tertile of energy-dense unhealthy foods., Results: Mean age of participants was 44.44 ± 15.09 years, 43% of participants were men. Higher consumption of fast foods (> 11.39% kcal/week) was associated with elevated ALT to AST ratio (OR: 3.27; 95% CI: 1.90-5.63) and elevated ALT (OR: 2.74; 95% CI: 1.57-4.76). Also, each 1 SD increased energy intakes from fast foods was related to increased chance of having elevated ALT and ALT to AST ratio by 35% (OR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.08-1.68, OR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.10-1.66, respectively). There was no significant association between consumption of soft drinks, sweet or salty snacks and elevated aminotransferases., Conclusions: Higher intakes of energy from fast foods seems to be associated with an elevated serum levels of ALT and ALT to AST ratio, as indicators of development of NAFLD.

Aims: To investigate the sex-specific associations of prediabetes with major clinical outcomes including incident type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease, hypertension, coronary heart disease, stroke and all-cause mortality., Methods: Among 8498 Iranian adults from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, aged ≥30 years and without diagnosed type 2 diabetes, gender-interactions were assessed for each outcome, followed by sex-separated multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of different prediabetes categories, including impaired fasting glucose (IFG), defined by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and World Health Organization (WHO), as fasting plasma glucose of 5.6-6.9 mmol/L and 6.1-6.9 mmol/L, respectively, and impaired glucose tolerance, defined as 2-h post challenge plasma glucose of 7.8-11 mmol/L., Results: Sex-specific associations existed for men between IFG-ADA and chronic kidney disease (hazard ratio: 1.28, 95% CI 0.99-1.65; p interaction  = 0.008) and between IFG-WHO and stroke (hazard ratio: 2.15, 95% CI 1.08-4.27; p interaction  = 0.21); and for women between IFG-ADA and hypertension (hazard ratio: 1.24, 95% CI 1.04-1.48; p interaction  = 0.06) and between impaired glucose tolerance and coronary heart disease (hazard ratio: 1.57, 95% CI 1.14-2.16; p interaction  = 0.05). Among both genders, all prediabetes definitions were associated with type 2 diabetes but none with mortality., Conclusions: The hazards of prediabetes definitions may differ between genders depending on the outcome of interest. IFG-WHO among men and impaired glucose tolerance among women are particularly important because of their association with incident stroke and coronary heart disease, respectively. Considering these sex differences could improve personalized management of prediabetes.

Objectives: To explore the association between sex-specific adiposity trajectories among Adolescents to early adulthood with incident high blood pressure (HBP) and high plasma glucose (HPG)., Methods: We studied body mass index (BMI) trajectories among1159 (male = 517) and 664 (male = 263) Iranian adolescents, aged 12-20 years, for incident HPG and HBP, respectively. Latent Class Growth Mixture Modeling (LCGMM) on longitudinal data was used to determine sex-specific and distinct BMI trajectories. Logistic regressions were applied to estimate the relationship between latent class membership with HBP and HPG, considering normal trajectory as the reference., Results: For both HBP and HPG, LCGMM determined two and three distinct BMI trajectories in males and females, respectively. During a follow-up of 12Years 104 (male = 62) and 111(male = 59) cases of HPG and HBP were found, respectively. Among females, faster BMI increases (i.e. overweight to early obese trajectory) but not overweight (i.e. those with BMI = 27.3 kg/m2 at baseline) trajectories increased the risk of HPG by adjusted odds ratios (ORs), 2.74 (1.10-5.80) and 0.79 (0.22-2.82), respectively; regarding HBP, the corresponding value for overweight to late obese trajectory was 3.72 (1.37-11.02). Among males, for HBP, the overweight trajectory increased the risk [2.09 (1.04-4.03)]; however, for incident HPG, none of the trajectories showed significant risk., Conclusions: Among females, trend of increasing BMI parallel with age can be a better predictor for risk of developing HPG and HBP than those with higher BMI at baseline., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Background: Data of studies focusing on the trends of adiposity indices among women with prior gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), are limited and controversial. The aim of this study was to compare overtime trends of adiposity indices in women with and without history of GDM, using data of the long term longitudinal population-based Tehran-Lipid and Glucose-Study (TLGS)., Methods: A total of 3395 eligible women aged (20-50 years), including 801 women with prior history of GDM and 2594 non-GDM controls were recruited from among Tehran-Lipid and Glucose-Study participants. Generalized estimating equations were applied to assess the time trend of adiposity indices including obesity, central obesity, body mass index (BMI), lipid accumulation product index (LAP), visceral adiposity index (VAI) and a body shape index (ABSI) in women with prior GDM and the non-GDM groups after further adjustment for age and BMI., Results: Median follow-up years for the GDM and non-GDM groups were 12.12 and 11.62 years, respectively. Women with GDM at initiation had worse adiposity indices than their healthy counterparts. While overall odds of obesity in women with prior GDM were significantly higher those of the non-GDM groups (OR: 1.35; 95% CI, 1.03-1.7; P = 0.03), both these groups overtime revealed a positive trend in obesity (P trend  < 0.001), an incremental trend which was less pronounced in GDM women (OR: 0.87; 95% CI, 0.80, 0.95; P interaction  = 0.001). Women with prior GDM had higher odds of central obesity, compared to non-GDM groups (OR: 1.44; 95% CI, 1.06-1.96; P = 0.02) and showed a significant an incremental trend overtime for both groups (P trend  < 0.001 for both) without statistically significant interaction in terms of their GDM status (P interaction  = 0.134). Mean VAI in women with prior GDM was significantly higher than the non-GDM group (19.7, 95%CI: 6.24, 33.15, P = 0.004), although both groups overtime experienced a negative trend (- 10.9, 95%CI: -13.1, - 2.1, P < 0.001); the GDM group showed a higher decrease in VAI (mean changes: -6.62; 95% CI, - 11,-2.1; P interaction  = 0.001). However overtime there was a positive trend in LAP and ABSI among both women with and without prior-GDM, though the mean changes were less obvious in women with prior GDM., Conclusion: Women with prior GDM gained better control of their adiposity than non-GDM women. Nevertheless the increasing numbers of individuals with GDM and uncontrolled adiposity indices, require prompt attention be paid to the issue.

Background: Lipid abnormalities are major risk factors for cardiovascular diseases. In addition to age and sex, other variables can affect serum lipid levels, warranting the determination of population-specific reference values. This study aimed to determine age- and sex-specific reference values for serum total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides (TG) in healthy Tehranian adults., Methods: TC, TG, and HDL-C were measured using the enzymatic colorimetric method and the Friedewald equation (LDL-C = TC - HDL-C - TG/5) was used to calculate LDL-C concentrations in individuals with TG <400 mg/dL. After applying the exclusion criteria, 1147 participants (548 men and 599 women) aged ≥20 years were included. For determining reference values, the International Federation of Clinical Chemistry guidelines (non-parametric method) and the robust method were used for sample sizes ≥120 and <120, respectively., Results: Reference values for serum TC, LDL-C, HDL-C, and TG were 121.0-261.0, 54.1-175.2, 30.9-71.9, and 46.9-301.2 mg/ dL in men and 117.8-235.9, 49.9-160.9, 36.0-83.9, and 38.1-184.2 mg/dL in women, respectively. All parameters except HDL-C were higher in men than women and showed an increasing trend with age., Conclusion: Reference values for serum TC, LDL-C, HDL-C, and TG in healthy Tehranian adults were determined, and these values could provide the basis for better decision making in both prevention and clinical settings., (© 2019 The Author(s). This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.)

Background & Aims: To determine the association of body mass index (BMI) and central adiposity measures with coronary heart disease (CHD)/stroke, and to quantify the impact of blood pressure, cholesterol and glucose as metabolic mediators on these associations., Methods: The study population included 4631 Iranian participants (males = 2066) aged ≥40 years. Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of BMI and central adiposity measures, using continuous and categorical variables, on CHD/stroke, with and without adjustment for three metabolic mediators, to calculate the attenuation of excess risk after adjustment for mediators., Results: During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 606 and 132 subjects experienced incident CHD and stroke, respectively. In the sex and confounders adjusted model, overweight and obesity were associated with increased risk for CHD (HR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.26-1.92) and [1.53 (1.21-1.94)], respectively; however, after further adjustment for all the mediators, the result was significant only for overweight status [1.29 (1.05-1.59)]. Considering stroke, a significant risk of 70% (1.05-2.72) was found only among obese population. The percentage of risk mediated by three mediators among obese population was 75.47% and 75.71% for CHD and stroke, respectively. Blood pressure was the most important mediator of obesity, accounting for at least 50% of the excess risk for CHD and 60% for stroke. Considering central obesity measures, in the presences of all mediators, a significant risk for CHD was demonstrated; regarding stroke events, the risk was marginally significant for waist to height [1.02 (0.99-1.05)] and waist to hip ratios [1.02 (1.00-1.05)]., Conclusions: Overweight and obesity for CHD and, obesity for stroke were associated with increased risk; the negative effect of obesity was potentially ameloriated about 70% after adjustment for mediators. However, overweight status and central adiposity highlighted significant risk that did not decrease after controlling for traditional risk factors., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd and European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism. All rights reserved.)

Aims: To compare the impact of triglyceride-glucose index (TyG-index), the product of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and triglycerides (TG) with FPG, 2 h post-challenge plasma glucose (2 h-PCPG), TG/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C), and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) indices for prediction of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in Iranian adults during a median follow-up of 12 years., Methods: Study population included 4419 (1858 men) subjects with mean age of 40.6 ± 13.2 years. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for each 1-standard deviation increase in each predictor. Areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUC) and 95% CIs were calculated., Results: During follow-up, 215 men and 288 women developed T2D. The multivariable HRs for FPG, 2 h-PCPG, TyG-index, HOMA-IR, HOMA2-IR, and TG/HDL-C were 2.20, 1.97, 1.71, 1.33, 1.30, and 1.35 in men and 2.13, 2.11, 1.44, 1.37, 1.32, and 1.36 in women (all P < 0.001). Among the total population, the AUC for FPG [0.752 (0.727-0.776)] was similar to 2 h-PCPG but higher than TyG-index [0.697 (0.673-0.720)], TG/HDL-C [0.644 (0.620-0.669)], HOMA-IR [0.684 (0.659-0.710)], and HOMA2-IR [0.656 (0.630-0.682)]. In men, AUC of TyG-index was higher than TG/HDL-C but did not differ with HOMA-IR indices. In women, the AUC of TyG-index was higher than HOMA2-IR and TG/HDL-C, but was similar to that of HOMA-IR., Conclusions: FPG is a stronger predictor of T2D than the TyG-index, TG/HDL-C, and HOMA-IR indices. Although TyG-index was better than TG/HDL-C in both genders, it did not rank above HOMA-IR.

Background: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between branched-chain amino acid (BCAA) intake and markers of insulin metabolism in adults., Methods: This cohort study was conducted within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study on 1205 subjects, aged ≥20 years, who were followed-up for a mean of 2.3 years. Dietary intake of BCAAs, including valine, leucine, and isoleucine, was determined using a valid and reliable food frequency questionnaire. Hyperinsulinemia, β-cell dysfunction, insulin resistance (IR), and insulin insensitivity were determined according to optimal cut-off values. Logistic regression was to estimate the occurrence of IR across tertiles of BCAA intake., Results: The mean (± SD) age and BCAA intake of participants (43% male) at baseline were 42.7 ± 13.1 years and 13.8 ± 5.1 g/day, respectively. The incidence of hyperinsulinemia, β-cell dysfunction, insulin insensitivity, and IR was 19.5%, 24.0%, 28.0%, and 12.5%, respectively. After adjustment for confounding variables, subjects in the highest tertile for total BCAAs (odds ratio [OR] 1.67; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-2.71), leucine (OR 1.75; 95% CI 1.09-2.82), and valine (OR 1.61; 95% CI 1.01-2.60) intake had a greater risk of incident IR than subjects in the lowest tertile. A higher intake of isoleucine was not associated with risk of incident IR. There was no association of total BCAAs, leucine, isoleucine, and valine intake with the risk of hyperinsulinemia, insulin insensitivity, or β-cell dysfunction., Conclusion: The findings of this study support the hypothesis that higher intakes of BCAAs may have adverse effects on the development of IR., (© 2017 Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.)

Background: Healthy dietary habits can prevent cardiovascular diseases (CVD). The aim of this study was to investigate the association between dietary patterns and predicted risk of CVD development using Framingham Risk Score (FRS) in Iranian population over 6 years of follow-up., Methods: In this prospective study, 2333 individuals aged 30-74 years with a 10-year predicted risk <10% and without a CVD diagnosis at baseline were recruited from participants in the third survey of Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. Usual dietary intake was assessed using a validated semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. Dietary patterns were identified using factor analysis. The risk of developing CVD was evaluated using FRS questionnaire. The association between dietary patterns and risk of development of CVD was evaluated using binary logistic regression models., Results: Three major dietary patterns were identified, which explained 32% of total variance in dietary intake of participants. The healthy dietary pattern was characterized by high intake of fruits, fruit juices, vegetables, liquid oils, and nuts and lower intake of refined grains. The western dietary pattern was characterized by high intake of fast foods, soft drinks, sweets and sugars, and red meat, organ meat, and egg. The traditional dietary pattern was characterized by high intake of legumes and vegetables and low intake of high-fat dairy products. After adjustment for all confounding factors, participants in the highest tertile of the healthy dietary pattern had a lower risk of CVD development (odds ratio [OR]: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.51-0.87, P-trend: 0.003)., Conclusion: Our findings in a large cohort of Iranian population confirm the current recommendation regarding consuming healthy dietary pattern for primary prevention of CVDs.

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of combinations of blood pressure and glucose tolerance status on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. A total of 7619 participants aged ⩾30 years old were stratified to nine categories as follows: (1) normotension (NTN) and normal glucose tolerance (NGT) (reference group), (2) NTN and pre-diabetes mellitus (pre-DM), (3) NTN and DM, (4) pre-hypertension (pre-HTN) and NGT, (5) pre-HTN and pre-DM, (6) pre-HTN and DM, (7) HTN and NGT, (8) HTN and pre-DM and (9) HTN and DM. Cox proportional hazards were applied to calculate the multivariate hazard ratios (HRs) of different groups for outcomes. For all-cause mortality outcomes, prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) was also adjusted. In a median follow-up of 11.3 years, 696 CVD and 412 all-cause mortality events occurred. Among the population free from CVD at baseline (n=7249), presence of HTN was associated with increased risk of CVD, regardless of glucose tolerance status with HRs of 1.97 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.49-2.61), 2.25 (1.68-3.02) and 3.16 (2.28-4.37) for phenotypes of HTN and NGT, HTN and pre-DM and HTN and DM for CVD, respectively; corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.65 (95% CI, 1.15-2.37), 1.69 (1.15-2.49) and 2.73 (1.80-4.14), respectively. Phenotypes of NTN and pre-DM (1.48; 1.03-2.14) and NTN and DM (2.04; 1.06-3.92) were also associated with CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively. HTN was significantly associated with CVD/mortality events, regardless of glucose tolerance status. Blood pressure <120/80 mm Hg among pre-diabetic/diabetic population, not on antihypertensive medications, was generally associated with worse outcomes.

This study aimed to assess the association of various types of nut per se, and total nut consumption with the incidence of metabolic syndrome (MetS). A 6.2 ± 0.7-year population-based prospective study was conducted among 1265 adults, aged 19-74 years, participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. A 168-item semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire was used to collect information on nut consumption. MetS was defined according to the Joint Interim Statement guidelines and 276 new cases of MetS were identified. Median ± interquartile range of nut consumption was 2.08 (0.88-5.68) servings/week. After adjusting for family history of diabetes, age, gender, smoking, physical activity, fasting serum glucose at baseline, serum high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) at baseline, energy intake, fiber, macronutrients, cholesterol intake, fruit, vegetables, dairy products and body mass index (BMI), a statistically significant decrease was observed in MetS in the third (≥5 servings/week) tertile of nuts (odds ratio: 0.68, 95% CI: 0.44-0.91, p trend: 0.03) compared with the lowest (≤1 serving/week). Walnut consumption showed a significant, inverse association with MetS risk; associations for other nut varieties were not significant. For each additional serving/week of walnuts consumed, incidence of MetS decreased by 3% (ORs: 0.97 CI: 0.93-0.99), after adjusting for confounding factors. Total nut consumption, especially walnuts, reduces the risk of MetS., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest.

The aim of the current study was to determine the effect of a daily intake of three grams of cinnamon over eight weeks on glycemic indicators, advanced glycation end products, and antioxidant status in patients with type 2 diabetes. In a double-blind, randomized, placebo controlled clinical trial study, 44 patients with type 2 diabetes, aged 57 ± 8 years, were randomly assigned to take either a three g/day cinnamon supplement ( n = 22) or a placebo ( n = 22) for eight weeks. We measured the fasting blood glucose, insulin, hemoglobinbA1c, homeostasis model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), carboxymethyl lysine, total antioxidant capacity, and malondialdehyde levels at the beginning and the end of the study. Thirty-nine patients (20 in the intervention group and 19 in the control group) completed the study. After an eight-week intervention, changes in the level of fasting blood glucose, insulin, hemoglobinbA1c, HOMA-IR, carboxymethyl lysine, total antioxidant capacity, and malondialdehyde were not significant in either group, nor were any significant differences between groups observed in these glycemic and inflammatory indicators at the end of the intervention. Our study revealed that cinnamon supplementation had no significant effects on glycemic and inflammatory indicators in patients with type 2 diabetes., Competing Interests: The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.

Considering the limited knowledge on the effects of dietary amino acid intake on dysglycemia, we assessed the possible association of dietary protein and amino acid patterns with the risk of pre-diabetes in a prospective population-based study. Participants without diabetes and pre-diabetes ( n = 1878) were recruited from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study and were followed for a mean of 5.8 years. Their dietary protein and amino acid intakes were assessed at baseline (2006-2008); demographic, lifestyle, and biochemical variables were evaluated at baseline and in follow-up examinations. Pre-diabetes was defined according to the American Diabetes Association criteria. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models, adjusted for potential confounders, were used to estimate the risk of pre-diabetes across tertiles of dietary protein and amino acid pattern scores. The mean age of the participants (44.9% men) was 38.3 ± 12.7 years at baseline. Three major amino acid patterns were characterized: (1) higher loads of lysine, methionine, valine, aspartic acids, tyrosine, threonine, isoleucine, leucine, alanine, histidine, and serine; (2) higher loads of glycine, cysteine, arginine, and tryptophan; and (3) higher loads of proline and glutamic acid. Dietary total protein intake Hazard Ratio (HR) = 1.13, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) = 0.92-1.38 and HR = 1.00, 95% CI = 0.81-1.23, in the second and third tertile, respectively) was not related to the development of pre-diabetes. The highest score of second dietary amino acid pattern tended to be associated with a decreased risk of pre-diabetes (HR = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.65-1.01), whereas the third pattern was related to an increased risk in the fully adjusted model (HR = 1.24, 95% CI = 1.02-1.52; p for trend = 0.05). These novel data suggest that the amino acid composition of an individual's diet may modify their risk of pre-diabetes., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Sequence variants that affect mean fasting glucose levels do not necessarily affect risk for type 2 diabetes (T2D). We assessed the effects of 36 reported glucose-associated sequence variants on between- and within-subject variance in fasting glucose levels in 69,142 Icelanders. The variant in TCF7L2 that increases fasting glucose levels increases between-subject variance (5.7% per allele, P = 4.2 × 10 -10 ), whereas variants in GCK and G6PC2 that increase fasting glucose levels decrease between-subject variance (7.5% per allele, P = 4.9 × 10 -11 and 7.3% per allele, P = 7.5 × 10 -18 , respectively). Variants that increase mean and between-subject variance in fasting glucose levels tend to increase T2D risk, whereas those that increase the mean but reduce variance do not (r 2 = 0.61). The variants that increase between-subject variance increase fasting glucose heritability estimates. Intuitively, our results show that increasing the mean and variance of glucose levels is more likely to cause pathologically high glucose levels than increase in the mean offset by a decrease in variance.

Purpose: Thyroid concentrates radioactive iodine by sodium-iodide symporter; this is used for treating hyperthyroidism and thyroid cancer. Pancreas expresses NIS and radioactive iodine uptake may damage pancreatic beta-cells and predispose patients to type 2 diabetes. The aim of this study was to determine whether radioactive iodine is associated with glucose metabolism in thyroidectomized rats., Methods: Forty male Wistar rats were divided into four groups (n = 10/each); control, thyroidectomized, thyroidectomized-treated with 131-I (TX+I), and thyroidectomized-treated with 131-I and L-thyroxine (TX+I+T 4 ). At the end of study, serum fasting glucose, insulin, thyroid-stimulating hormone, and free tetraiodothyronine were measured, intraperitoneal glucose tolerance test was performed, and homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance was calculated. In in vitro experiments, glucose-stimulated insulin secretion from pancreatic islets and sodium-iodide symporter mRNA expression in thyroid and islets were determined., Results: Compared to control group, free tetraiodothyronine was lower by 41 and 77% and thyroid-stimulating hormone was higher by 36 and 126% in thyroidectomized and TX+I groups, respectively. Compared to controls, rats in TX+I group had glucose intolerance as assessed using the area under curve of intraperitoneal glucose tolerance test (12,376 ± 542 vs. 20,769 ± 1070, P < 0.001) and L-thyroxine replacement therapy restored the value (14,286 ± 328.24) to near normal. Fasting insulin and homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance were comparable in all groups, however fasting glucose was higher in TX+I group. In in vitro experiments, glucose-stimulated insulin secretion from islets did not differ between groups., Conclusion: Radioactive iodine therapy per se had no effect on glucose metabolism, just intensified thyroid hormone deficiency and the alterations on glucose metabolism in thyroidectomized rats. L-thyroxine therapy restored the glucose intolerance observed in radioactive iodine-treated thyroidectomized rats.

Background and Aims: Considering the inconsistent data available on cardiovascular (CV) risk of different obesity phenotypes, the aim of this study was to investigate the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in different obesity phenotypes over a median follow-up of 12 years., Methods: In this large population-based cohort, 7842 participants (44.8% men), aged ≥ 30 years, were enrolled. Participants were divided into six phenotypes based on body mass index and metabolic status. Metabolic health was defined based on two definitions: 1) having ≤1 component of metabolic syndrome using the Joint Interim Statement (JIS) criteria and 2) homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) < 2.6 mole × μU/L 2 . Multivariate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for cardiovascular events., Results: A total of 712 new CVD events occurred. CV risk increased in all metabolically unhealthy phenotypes. Multivariable adjusted HRs for CVD events in metabolically healthy overweight (MHOW) and metabolically healthy obese (MHO) participants were 1.22 (0.73-2.04) and 1.74 (0.68-4.44), respectively. CV risk increased in all obesity phenotypes based on insulin resistance except the insulin resistance-normal weight group. However, this increased risk disappeared after further adjustment for metabolic risk factors., Conclusions: Our findings showed that CV risk did not increase in MHOW and MHO phenotypes over a 12-year follow-up. However, all metabolically unhealthy phenotypes were associated with increased incident CVD. Further studies with longer follow-up are needed to confirm the benign nature of MHOW/MHO phenotypes., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aim: Long-term health risks in the so-called "healthy obesity" phenotypes remain controversial. Also it is unknown if "metabolically healthy abdominal obese" (MHAO) phenotype is at increased risk of all-cause mortality compared to their non-abdominally obese counterparts. In this study we assessed the risk of all-cause mortality in different abdominal obesity phenotypes., Methods and Results: In this large population-based cohort, 8804 participants (aged ≥ 30 years), from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) were enrolled and followed for a median of 12.0 (8.7-12.5) years. Abdominal obesity was defined using national waist circumference (WC) cut-off points of ≥89 cm for men and ≥91 cm for women. Metabolic health was defined as ≤1 components of metabolic syndrome (excluding WC), using the Joint Interim Statement (JIS) definition. Baseline prevalence of MHAO phenotype was 12.8% in the whole population and 23.4% in those with abdominal obesity. A total of 540 all-cause death occurred during the follow-up. After multivariate adjustment, all-cause mortality risk in MHAO phenotype was not significantly increased compared to "metabolically healthy non abdominal obese" (MHNAO) as the reference group (HR: 1.35, CI: 0.89-2.03)., Conclusion: Our results indicate that MHAO individuals were not at higher risk for all-cause mortality over a median of 12 years follow-up. However, considering inadequate power of our analysis for fully adjusted model, larger studies with more follow-ups are needed., (Copyright © 2016 The Italian Society of Diabetology, the Italian Society for the Study of Atherosclerosis, the Italian Society of Human Nutrition, and the Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, Federico II University. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: To investigate the risk factors for premature cardiovascular disease (CVD) and to quantify their population attributable fractions (PAFs) among an Iranian population during a median follow-up of 12years., Methods: A total of 2235 men and 3703 women, aged ≥30years, free of CVD at baseline were entered into the study. Premature CVD was defined as having a history of CVD events before the age of 55 and 65 for men and women, respectively. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to determine the risk factors associated with premature CVD events., Results: During the study, incident rates of premature CVD were 4.8 and 3.9 per 1000 person years for men and women, respectively. Low HDL-C [Hazard ratio: 1.74, 95% confidence interval: 1.11-2.74], hypercholesterolemia [3.01: 2.02-4.49], current smoker [1.68: 1.12-2.51], family history of premature CVD [2.04: 1.36-3.07], hypertension [1.65: 0.97-2.81, P=0.06] and type 2 diabetes(T2D) [1.98: 1.16-3.40] were significant predictors among men; the corresponding PAFs were 32.7, 29.4, 19.4, 14.9, 8.7 and 7.9%, respectively. Among women, T2D [3.02: 2.08-4.39], hypercholesterolemia [1.65: 1.19-2.29], being overweight [1.79: 1.01-3.17], hypertension [1.54: 1.01-2.34], family history of premature CVD [1.65: 1.19-2.29], high physical activity [0.67: 0.46-0.96] and prediabetes [1.48: 1.00-2.18] were significant predictors; the corresponding PAFs were 25.4, 22.5, 18.5, 16.8, 11.4, -10.3 and 9.1%, respectively., Conclusions: Considering the high burden imposed on health system by cardio-metabolic risk factors, dietary, behavioral and pharmacological interventions are need to be initiated early to prevent premature CVD, taking into account the sex-related differences between risk factors., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background and Aim: The association of habitual intakes of dietary nitrate (NO₃ - ) and nitrite (NO₂ - ) with blood pressure and renal function is not clear. Here, we investigated a potential effect of dietary NO₃ - and NO₂ - on the occurrence of hypertension (HTN) and chronic kidney disease (CKD)., Methods: A total of 2799 Iranian adults aged ≥20 years, participating in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS), were included and followed for a median of 5.8 years. Dietary intakes of NO₃ - and NO₂ - were estimated using a semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire. Demographics, anthropometrics, blood pressure and biochemical variables were evaluated at baseline and during follow-up examinations. To identify the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of HTN and CKD across tertile categories of residual energy-adjusted NO₃ - and NO₂ - intakes, multivariate logistic regression models were used., Results: Dietary intake of NO₃ - had no significant association with the risk of HTN or CKD. Compared to the lowest tertile category (median intake < 6.04 mg/day), the highest intake (median intake ≥ 12.7 mg/day) of dietary NO₂ - was accompanied with a significant reduced risk of HTN, in the fully adjusted model (OR = 0.58, 95% CI = 0.33-0.98; p for trend = 0.054). The highest compared to the lowest tertile of dietary NO₂ - was also accompanied with a reduced risk of CKD (OR = 0.50, 95% CI = 0.24-0.89, p for trend = 0.07)., Conclusion: Our findings indicated that higher intakes of NO₂ - might be an independent dietary protective factor against the development of HTN and CKD, which are major risk factors for adverse cardiovascular events., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflict of interest.

Background: To examine the association between potentially modifiable risk factors with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality and to quantify their population attributable fractions (PAFs) among a sample of Tehran residents., Methods: Overall, 8108 participants (3686 men) aged≥30 years, were investigated. To examine the association between risk factors and outcomes, multivariate sex-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were conducted, using age as time-scale in two models including general/central adiposity: 1)adjusted for different independent variables including smoking, education, family history of CVD and sex for both outcomes and additionally adjusted for prevalent CVD for all-cause mortality 2)further adjusted for obesity mediators (hypertension, diabetes, lipid profile and chronic kidney disease). Separate models were used including either general or central adiposity., Results: During median follow-up of >10 years, 827 first CVD events and 551 deaths occurred. Both being overweight (hazard ratio (HR), 95%CI: 1.41, 1.18-1.66, PAF 13.66) and obese (1.51, 1.24-1.84, PAF 9.79) played significant roles for incident CVD in the absence of obesity mediators. Predicting CVD, in the presence of general adiposity and its mediators, significant positive associations were found for hypercholesterolemia (1.59, 1.36-1.85, PAF 16.69), low HDL-C (1.21, 1.03-1.41, PAF 12.32), diabetes (1.86, 1.57-2.27, PAF 13.87), hypertension (1.79, 1.46-2.19, PAF 21.62) and current smoking (1.61, 1.34-1.94, PAF 7.57). Central adiposity remained a significant positive predictor, even after controlling for mediators (1.17, 1.01-1.35, PAF 7.55). For all-cause mortality, general/central obesity did not have any risk even in the absence of obesity mediators. Predictors including diabetes (2.56, 2.08-3.16, PAF 24.37), hypertension (1.43, 1.11-1.84, PAF 17.13), current smoking (1.75, 1.38-2.22, PAF 7.71), and low education level (1.59, 1.01-2.51, PAF 27.08) were associated with higher risk, however, hypertriglyceridemia (0.83, 0.68-1.01) and being overweight (0.71, 0.58-0.87) were associated with lower risk., Conclusions: Modifiable risk factors account for more than 70% risk for both CVD and mortality events., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

We aimed to investigate associations of the dietary inflammatory index (DII) with glucose-insulin homeostasis markers, and the risk of glucose intolerance. This cross-sectional study included 2975 adults from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. Fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h post-load glucose (2h-PG), and fasting serum insulin were measured. Homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR) and β-cell function (HOMA-B), and the quantitative insulin sensitivity check index (QUICKI) were calculated. Glucose tolerance abnormalities included impaired fasting glucose (IFG), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and type 2 diabetes (T2DM). DII scores were positively associated with 2h-PG (β = 0.04; p = 0.05). There was no significant linear trend across quartiles of DII for adjusted means of glucose-insulin homeostasis markers. Participants in the highest quartile of DII score tended to have higher FPG compared to those in the second quartile of DII score (5.46 vs. 5.38 mmol/L, p = 0.07) and higher fasting insulin and HOMA-IR compared to those in the lowest quartile (8.52 vs. 8.12 µU/mL for fasting insulin, p = 0.07; 2.06 vs. 1.96 for HOMA-IR, p = 0.08). No significant associations were observed between DII and risk of IFG, IGT, T2DM, and insulin resistance. Among glucose-insulin homeostasis markers, DII had a positive weak association only with 2h-PG., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Background and aim This study was conducted to investigate the association between serum nitric oxide metabolites (NOx) and the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods We recruited 3462 and 2504 participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS), for a cross-sectional and prospective analysis, respectively. Serum NOx concentrations were measured at baseline (2006-2008), and demographics, anthropometrics and biochemical variables were evaluated at baseline and again after 3 years (2009-2011). Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and CKD were defined. Association between serum NOx and CKD in the cross-sectional phase and the predictability of NOx in CKD occurrence were assessed using multivariable logistic regression models with adjustment for confounders. Results Mean age of participants was 45.0 ± 15.9 years at baseline and 40.5% were male. The prevalence of CKD was 17.9% (13.4% in men, 21.0% in women) at baseline, at which point, marginally significant odds of CKD in the highest tertile of serum NOx in men (OR = 1.53, 95% CI = 0.96-2.45, p for trend = 0.047) and a significant odds of CKD in women (OR = 2.48, 95% CI = 1.76-3.49, p for trend = 0.001) were observed. After a 3-year follow-up, in women, risk of CKD was higher in the highest compared to the lowest NOx tertiles (OR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.10-3.14, p for trend = 0.032) but no significant association was observed in men. Conclusion Serum NOx level was found to be an independent predictor of CKD in women; it could be a valuable surrogate for prediction of renal dysfunction in women and help to identify high-risk subjects.

The objective of this study is to examine the incidence and risk factors of isolated systolic hypertension (ISH) and isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH) in a Middle Eastern population, during a median follow-up of 9.6 years. In total, 8573 subjects without hypertension, cardiovascular disease and known diabetes were recruited into the study. To calculate the incidence of ISH, those with diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg during follow-up, and for calculating IDH those with systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg during follow-up, were excluded. During follow-up, 235 new cases of ISH were identified, with a crude incidence rate of 5.7/1000 person-years; the corresponding values for IDH were 470 and 10.9/1000 person-years. Using backward stepwise Cox regression analysis, older age, baseline SBP and body mass index were related to incident ISH. Regarding IDH, younger age, baseline DBP and waist circumference were associated with higher risk, whereas female gender and being married were associated with lower risk (all p < 0.05). The C-statistics for the prediction model were 0.91 for ISH and 0.76 for IDH. In conclusion, after a decade of follow-up of this Iranian population, we found an incidence of about 0.5% and 1% per year for ISH and IDH, respectively.

Objective: To investigate the association between changes in fasting plasma glucose (FPG) values and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) in a cohort of the Iranian population., Design: Prospective cohort study., Setting: This study was conducted within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) to investigate the association between change in FPG between baseline examination (1999-2001) and the second visit (2002-2005) with incident T2D., Participants: A total of 3981 non-diabetic participants aged ≥20 years., Outcome Measure: T2D was defined if the participant was using antidiabetic drugs or if FPG was ≥7 mmol/L or if the 2 h post-challenge plasma glucose (2-hPCG) was ≥11.1 mmol/L., Results: During a median follow-up of 6.17 years, after the second examination, 288 new cases of T2D were identified. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis using age as timescale, we presented a simple model including FPG change (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.33) and baseline waist circumference (WC) (HR 1.004, 95% CI 1.001 to 1.008) with a discriminative power (C-index) of 72%. Furthermore, we showed that the highest quartile of FPG change enhanced the T2D risk to 1.65 (95% CI 1.2 to 2.27) compared with the lowest quartile (p for trend=0.004).The independent risk of FPG change resisted further adjustment with 2-hPCG change. Adding the 2-hPCG change only slightly increased the discriminative power of the model including FPG change and baseline value of WC (0.73% vs 0.72%). After the study population had been limited to those with normal fasting glucose/normal glucose tolerance, FPG change remained an independent predictor (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.88)., Conclusions: Two measurements of FPG obtained about 3 years apart can help to identify populations at risk of incident T2D independently of important traditional risk factors and their changes, including 2-hPCG change., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://www.bmj.com/company/products-services/rights-and-licensing/)

The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between micronutrient intakes and the 3.6-year incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in adults. This cohort study was conducted, within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, on 1692 subjects, aged ≥30 years, without CKD at the baseline. Dietary intakes were collected using a valid and reliable food-frequency questionnaire. Anthropometrics and biochemical measurements were taken. Chronic kidney disease was defined as eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m². The mean age of participants was 43.3 ± 11.4 years. In the fully adjusted model, individuals in the top quintile of folate (OR: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.24-0.80), cobalamin (OR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.34-0.93), vitamin C (OR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.21-0.69), vitamin E (OR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.22-0.92), vitamin D (OR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.21-0.70), potassium (OR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.23-0.97) and magnesium (OR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.22-0.76) had decreased risk of CKD, and in the top quintile of sodium (OR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.03-2.61), subjects had increased risk of CKD, in comparison to the bottom quintile. No significant associations were found between the intakes of other micronutrients. High intake of several micronutrients including vitamins C, E, D, cobalamin, folate, magnesium, and potassium was associated with a decreased risk, while sodium was associated with an increased risk of incident CKD.

Purpose: To examine whether a body shape index (ABSI) calculated by using waist circumference (WC) adjusted for height and weight could improve the predictive performances for cardiovascular disease (CVD) of the Framingham's general CVD algorithm and to compare its predictive performances with other anthropometric measures., Methods: We analyzed data on a 10-year population-based follow-up of 8,248 (4,471 women) individuals aged ≥30 years, free of CVD at baseline. CVD risk was estimated for a 1 SD increment in ABSI, body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHpR) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), by incorporating them, one at a time, into multivariate accelerated failure time models., Results: ABSI was associated with multivariate-adjusted increased risk of incident CVD among both men (1.26, 95% CI 1.09-1.46) and women (1.17, 1.03-1.32). Among men, for a one-SD increment, ABSI conferred a greater increase in the hazard of CVD [1.26 (1.09-1.46)] than did BMI [1.06 (0.94-1.20)], WC [1.15(1.03-1.28)], WHpR [1.02 (1.01-1.03)] and WHtR [1.16 (1.02-1.31)], and the corresponding figures among women were 1.17 (1.03-1.32), 1.02 (0.90-1.16), 1.11 (0.98-1.27), 1.03 (1.01-1.05) and 1.14 (0.99-1.03), respectively. ABSI as well as other anthropometric measures failed to add to the predictive ability of the Framingham general CVD algorithm either., Conclusions: Although ABSI could not improve the predictability of the Framingham algorithm, it provides more information than other traditional anthropometric measures in settings where information on traditional CVD risk factors are not available, and it can be used as a practical criterion to predict adiposity-related health risks in clinical assessments.

Aim: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between hydrogenated- (HVOs) and non-hydrogenated vegetable oils (non-HVOs) and butter and the metabolic syndrome (MetS) after 3-years of follow-up in adults., Methods: This study was conducted between 2006-2008 and 2009-2011 within the framework of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, on 1582 adults, aged 19-84 years. Intakes of HVOs, non-HVOs and butter were assessed by a validated semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire. Based on the consumption of food rich in fat including HVOs, non-HVOs and butter, participants were categorized to consumers and non-consumers., Results: Of 1582 participants during a 3-year follow-up, 15.2% developed MetS. Non-consumption of butter was associated with lower MetS risk compared with its consumption. Among consumers of food rich in fat, intake of HVOs and butter were associated with an increased risk of MetS; ORs in the final multivariate model were 2.70 (95% CI: 1.52-4.78) for HVOs and 2.03 (95% CI: 1.20-3.41) for butter, in the highest, compared to the lowest category of dietary intakes. Intake of non-HVOs was not associated with risk of MetS., Conclusions: Consumption of HVOs and butter were positively associated with an increase risk of MetS., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To investigate the predictive role of adolescent metabolic phenotypes in development of early adult metabolic syndrome (MetS)., Study Design: A group of 1446 adolescents (44.8% boys), participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, with a mean (SD) of age 14.6 (2.2) years, followed for 10.4 years. Logistic regression models were developed to evaluate the predictive power of different metabolic phenotypes for adult MetS. Moreover, areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were estimated to compare the prediction power of metabolic phenotypes for adult MetS., Results: The prevalence of MetS was 14.6% (29.7% and 2.4% for adult males and females, respectively) at the end of follow up. The most frequent metabolic phenotype in adolescent was high TGs/low HDL-C (23.7%), while the prevalence of high TGs/high WC was 10.4% and the other phenotypes were less than 10%. After adjustment for baseline BMI Z-Score and BMI change, high TGs/low HDL-C (OR: 1.70, 95%CI: 1.23-2.37), high WC/high BP (OR: 1.75., 95%CI: 1.08-2.84), high BP/low HDL-C (OR:1.68, 95%CI: 1.05-2.60) and high WC/low HDL-C (OR: 2.41, 95% CI: 1.37-4.23) phenotypes were associated with adult MetS. However, their AUCs were significantly lower than overweight or obesity., Conclusion: Some combinations of metabolic abnormalities in adolescence predict early adult MetS, independent of baseline BMI Z-Score and BMI change. However, the discriminative power of these phenotypes was weak, in comparison to adolescent overweight or obesity., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background: To determine the impact of silent coronary artery disease (CAD), in different levels of glucose regulation at baseline, i.e., those with normal fasting glucose/normal glucose tolerance (NFG/NGT), pre-diabetic and newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus (NDM), on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and total mortality in Iranian populations., Methods: The study population included 1809 individuals, aged ≥50years, free of CVD at baseline with a median follow-up of 12.1years. To explore the risk of CVD and mortality associated with the presence of silent CAD (as defined by Minnesota coding criteria for baseline electrocardiogram (ECG) in the absence of a history of CVD) in each of the glucose regulation categories, multivariate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for the presence of silent CAD, compared to the corresponding non-silent CAD counterpart, as reference., Results: During follow-up 382 CVD (321 coronary heart disease) and 208 deaths (91 CVD mortality) occurred. Among the female population, the presence of silent CAD, independent of traditional risk factors, significantly increased the risk of CVD for population with NFG/NGT [2.40 (1.33-4.35)] and pre-diabetes [HR: 2.04 (1.14-3.63)]; however, in the male population the risk was significant for CVD [3.04 (1.53-6.05)] and mortality events [2.60 (1.22-5.56)] in the NDM population and marginally significant for mortality events in NFG/NGT., Conclusion: Different strategies should be considered for silent CAD in males and females with different levels of glucose regulation. It might be justified that screening ECG for prevention of CVD events should be considered mainly among non-diabetic women and men with NDM., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Objective: Obesity is a heterogeneous condition and risk of related health outcomes in different obesity phenotypes is a controversial subject. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in different abdominal obesity phenotypes during a decade-long follow-up., Methods: In this large population-based cohort, 7122 participants (42.7% men), aged ≥30 years, from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS) were enrolled. Abdominal obesity was defined using national waist circumference cut-off points of ≥89 cm for men and ≥91 cm for women. Metabolic health was defined as ≤1 components of metabolic syndrome (excluding waist circumference), using the Joint Interim Statement (JIS) definition., Results: At baseline, 3745 individuals (52.7%) were abdominal obese and 23.5% (n = 881) of these were categorized as "metabolically healthy abdominal obese" (MHAO). A total of 638 CVD events occurred during a median follow-up of 10 years (1999-2011). "Metabolically healthy non-abdominal obese" was considered as the reference group. After adjustment for various variables, MHAO individuals were at increased risk for CVD events compared with the reference group (HR: 1.64, CI: 1.09-2.47). Both the metabolically unhealthy phenotypes (with and without abdominal obesity) were also at increased risk. We also observed the same pattern using insulin resistance data for categorizing abdominal obesity phenotypes., Conclusion: Abdominal obesity and presence of metabolic derangements are both important risk factors for future CVD. MHAO may not be a benign condition regarding future CVD events, which highlights the importance of prevention and treatment of abdominal obesity, even in the absence of metabolic derangements., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

We aimed to examine the relationship between total dairy and dairy subtypes with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) in an Asian population. A nested case-control study of 178 cases of incident T2DM and 520 matched controls was conducted within the Tehran lipid and glucose study (TLGS). A 27% lower risk of T2DM was found per 100 g/d total dairy consumption that tend to be significant (95% CI: 0.52-1.02). Milk intake was inversely associated with diabetes after adjustment for confounders (p-trend: 0.042). Milk intake was associated with decreased T2DM risk in men (p-trend: 0.025), but not in women (p-trend: 0.527). Each 100 g/d increase in milk intake corresponded to 41% lower T2DM risk in fully adjusted model (95% CI: 0.39-0.89) in men. In conclusion, there is no significant association between diabetes and total dairy intake in the present study, but high intake of milk may reduce T2DM risk among men.

Background: The serum concentration of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is one of the important heritable risk factors for cardiovascular disease and is a target for therapeutic intervention. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the effects of lecithin cholesterol acyltransferase (LCAT) gene polymorphism rs5923 on LCAT enzyme activity and serum HDL-C concentration., Methods: The study population was selected from consecutive individuals with HDL-C ≤ 5th percentile (n = 73) and extremely high HDL-C ≥ 95th percentile (n = 57) who had participated in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. The rs5923 polymorphism was genotyped using direct sequencing. LCAT activity was measured by fluorometric assay kit, and lipid concentrations were measured using the enzymatic colorimetric method., Results: The genotype frequencies were significantly different between the high HDL-C group (CC 94.7%, CT 5.3%) and the low HDL-C group (CC 83.6%, CT 16.4%) (P = 0.048). The T-allele frequencies in subjects with low and high HDL-C were 0.082 and 0.026, respectively (P = 0.16). The association of the single-nucleotide polymorphism rs5923 with low HDL-C was not statistically significant after adjustment for age, sex, and BMI (odd ratio = 2.65, 95% confidence interval = 0.32-21.5, P = 0.36, regression logistic analysis). Also, the effects of LCAT enzyme activity did not depend on the HDL-C level (P = 0.24)., Conclusion: rs5923 polymorphism is not associated with low HDL-C levels in Iranian population.

Objectives: Increased insulin concentration is a surrogate for insulin resistance and early assessment of fasting insulin may help in identifying those who are potentially at high risk of type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease. The aim of this study was to determine age- and sex-related reference values for serum insulin and insulin resistance/sensitivity indices in Iranian subjects., Design and Methods: Serum insulin levels were measured by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay in 5786 participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study. After application of exclusion criteria, 309 non-obese healthy subjects (124 men and 185 women), aged 24-83 y, were included. The International Federation of Clinical Chemistry guidelines (non-parametric method) and the robust method were used for determining reference values., Results: Overall 95% reference values for fasting insulin were 1.61-11.37, 2.34-11.98, and 2.11-12.49 μU/mL in men, women, and total population respectively. Mean fasting insulin concentration showed a decreasing trend with age in both genders (p for trend ≤0.001). Age, waist circumference, and systolic blood pressures were biological determinants of fasting insulin in both genders; in addition, insulin was modulated by triglycerides in men and fasting glucose in women. Reference intervals for HOMA1-IR, HOMA2-IR, and QUICKI were 0.63-2.68, 0.40-1.80, and 0.33-0.42, respectively., Conclusion: This study presents the first set of reference values for fasting serum insulin to be 2-12 μU/mL for both genders in a healthy sample of Iranian adults along with the reference values for insulin resistance/sensitivity indices. These values could be used for identifying subjects with insulin resistance in epidemiological and clinical research., (Copyright © 2014 The Canadian Society of Clinical Chemists. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: To determine the association between fatty acid intake and the prevalence of risk factors for the metabolic syndrome., Methods: In this population-based cross-sectional study, a sample of 2750 Tehranian subjects (44% men and 56% women) aged 20-74 years, who completed a validated food frequency questionnaire, was studied. The metabolic syndrome (MetS) was defined in accordance with the modified guidelines of the National Cholesterol Education Program Adults Treatment Panel III, and waist circumference was coded according to the newly-introduced cut-off points for Iranian adults (≥95 cm for both sexes). Metabolic risk factors across quartile categories of each type of dietary fat [total fat intake, total poly-unsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) intake, total MUFA intake, total saturated fatty acid (SFA) intake expressed as percentage of energy and quartiles of the ratio of polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat (P : S)] were compared., Results: The mean (SD) ages of participants were 40.8 (14.6) and 38.6 (12.9) years, respectively, for men and women. The mean contribution of fat to energy intake was approximately 26% in men and women. A positive trend over successive quartiles of SFA intake with low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-C) and triglyceride, as well as P/S ratio intake with high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-C), was found. An inverse association between HDL-C with SFA and PUFA intake and a positive association with MUFA and the P/S ratio was found. A significant association of fatty acid consumption and risk of the MetS in this population was observed, except for total PUFA intake., Conclusions: Special dietary fatty acids are associated with metabolic risk factors among the Iranian population. Because of the high prevalence of cardiovascular disease and MetS, national nutrition policies must be developed accordingly for the modification of dietary fatty acid intake with respect to causation and prevention., (© 2013 The Authors Journal of Human Nutrition and Dietetics © 2013 The British Dietetic Association Ltd.)

Background/objective: There is limited data from long-term prospective studies on the natural course of metabolic syndrome (MetS) incidence in healthy obese phenotypes. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence and predictors of the MetS in healthy obese subjects without the MetS at baseline after a decade of follow-up., Subjects/methods: In this prospective cohort study, 438 obese subjects free from MetS at baseline, aged ≥20 years, were selected from among the participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study and followed up for 10 years for development of MetS. Based on national data, central obesity was defined as waist circumference cutoff point of 89 cm for men and 91 cm for women., Results: Initially, subjects had a mean age of 41.1 ± 11.8 years and a body mass index of 32.7 ± 2.7 kg/m(2). At the end of follow-up, the cumulative incidence (95% confidence interval) of MetS was 44.0 (36.8-51.1)%. In the multivariable analysis, the adjusted odds ratios of hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and insulin resistance for the development of MetS were 3.08 (1.39-6.79), 2.84 (1.26-6.42), 6.49 (3.18-13.25) and 2.87 (1.55-5.32), respectively. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of all the components was significantly higher than various combinations of MetS components, except for the two models including combinations of three components, that is, triglycerides (TGs), HDL-C and fasting blood sugar, as well as, TGs, HDL-C and systolic blood pressure., Conclusions: Our findings demonstrate that MetS developed in nearly half of the individuals during the 10 years of follow-up. Predictors of MetS in healthy obese subjects may differ from the general population, and waist circumference does not have an independent role.

Background and Aim: This study assessed the association of dietary factors with 3-year changes in serum triglycerides (TG), HDL-C and the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) among Iranian adults., Methods: This longitudinal study was conducted with 1938 adults. Demographics, anthropometrics and biochemical measurements, including serum (TG) and HDL-C and AIP, were assessed at baseline (2006 - 2008) and after a 3 year follow-up (2009 - 2011). Dietary data was collected using a validated food frequency questionnaire at baseline. The associations of dietary factors with 3-year changes in lipid parameters were evaluated using linear regression models and the incidence of hypertriglyceridemia after 3 years was assessed using logistic regression models with adjustment for potential confounders., Results: The mean age of the participants at baseline was 41.0 ± 13.0 years. Dietary energy density was negatively associated with HDL-C and positively associated with AIP changes (P < 0.05). A three-year change of serum TG was inversely related to energy intake from phytochemical rich foods, whole grains, and legumes (P < 0.05). Fast food intake was positively related to serum TG and AIP changes. Higher compared to lower intakes of dietary fiber and phytochemical-rich foods had similar impacts on a decreased risk of hypertriglyceridemia (OR = 0.58, 95 % CI = 0.34 - 1.00). Higher - compared to lower - dietary sodium to potassium ratios (Na/K ratio) increased the risk of hypertriglyceridemia by 63 % (OR = 0.1.63, 95 % CI = 0.34 - 1.00)., Conclusion: These findings suggested that more dense diets, and a higher intake of fast food and fat, could have undesirable effects on lipid and lipoprotein levels; in contrast, higher intakes of fiber, and phytochemical rich foods, especially whole grain and legumes, could have protective effects against undesirable changes in lipid and lipid profiles.

Background: We investigated non-linear contribution of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and 2-hour post-challenge plasma glucose (2h-PCPG) to the risk of CVD and mortality. We hypothesized that glucose measures improve risk-stratification made by the Framingham's general CVD risk algorithm., Methods: Among participants aged ≥ 30 (n=8071), not taking glucose-lowering agents, 6169 (3477 women) remained eligible. Non-linear contribution of FPG and 2h-PCPG to incident CVD and mortality were assessed using Cox models incorporating restricted cubic splines functions. Risk reclassification improvement conferred by FPG and 2h-PCPG was examined using an extended version of net reclassification index (NRI) that takes into account the censoring nature of survival data., Results: We documented 465 incident CVD events (402 CHD), 212 deaths from any cause (94 CVD deaths). Excluding the contribution of the 2h-PCGP to mortality (that was linear) dose-response relationships between glucose measures and CVD and mortality were curvilinear with nadirs below which decreasing levels of glucose were unlikely to offer any benefit. These nadirs were assigned to FPG of 4.9-5.3 and 2h-PCPG of 6.0 mmol.l(-1). Glucose measures added to the predictive ability of the Framingham's general CVD risk algorithm with cutpoint-free NRIs ranging from 19 to 54%., Conclusion: Glucose measures contributed to the risk of CVD and mortality in a curvilinear fashion, we observed increased risk below glucose thresholds currently used to define diabetes, supporting criteria for the diagnosis of impaired fasting glycemia and impaired glucose tolerance. Glucose measures were observed to add to predictive ability of the predictive model which included established cardiovascular risk factors., (Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Studies have shown that cardiovascular risk factors, such as obesity, blood lipid levels, start early in childhood and some are on the rise in children. Data on trends are important in order to identify if there is a problem. This study, part of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, determined and compared the prevalence of overweight and its associated risk factors in 2555, 1 329 and 1158 Tehran children and adolescents in 2000, 2003 and 2006 respectively. The participants were categorized into age groups 3-6, 7-12 and 13-17 years. Body mass index measurements were taken and blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, cholesterol and triglycerides measured. Overall the prevalence of obesity in Tehran children and adolescents increased significantly from 2000 to 2006 while blood pressure and serum lipid concentrations decreased. The causes for the decreased blood pressure and serum lipid concentrations should be evaluated. The increased prevalence of obesity in Tehran children and adolescents is of concern and requires monitoring.

Background: Data available on the effect of quality (glycemic index [GI]) and quantity (glycemic load [GL]) of carbohydrates on the risk factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) are inconsistent. The objective of this study was to examine the association between dietary GI, GL, and CVD risk factors among Tehranian adults, the participants of the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study., Methods: This population- based cross-sectional study was conducted on 2457 subjects (46% men and 54% women), aged 19 to 84 years. Dietary GI and GL were measured using a validated 168- item semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. Anthropometrics, blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, and lipid profiles were measured., Results: The mean intakes of GI and GL were 68.3 and 244.8, respectively. Rice (26.6%) and bread (19.0%) were the major contributors to dietary GI and GL, respectively. Higher dietary GI and GL were associated with high intakes of carbohydrate, fiber, refined grain, fruits, simple sugar, snack, and desserts. After adjustment for lifestyle and dietary variables, a higher dietary GI was positively associated with triglycerides and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol concentrations among obese subjects. Dietary GL was positively associated with fasting and 2-h blood glucose among nonobese subjects, after adjustment for confounders.  , Conclusion: Dietary GI and GL were associated with a few CVD risk factors, and body mass index levels may modulate these associations.

Aims: We examined hypertriglyceridemic waist (HTGW) predictability for CVD and mortality., Methods: Among Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study's participants aged ≥30 (n=8071), we selected those who participated in the follow-up study until 20-March-2009 (n=7154). After exclusions (320 missing data on waist circumference or triglycerides), 6834 (3830 women) participants remained eligible with a total of 59,873 person-year follow-up. When CVD was outcome, we further excluded 426 participants with history of previous CVD., Results: All-cause mortality, CVD mortality, and incident CVD rate among men (per 1000-person-year) were 7.9 (95% CIs: 6.9-9.1), 4.1 (95% CIs: 3.4-5.0), and 13.0 (95% CIs: 11.7-14.6), respectively. Among women, corresponding figures were 3.7 (95% CIs: 3.1-4.4), 1.7 (95% CIs: 1.3-2.1), and 7.3 (95% CIs: 6.4-8.3), respectively. After adjustment for potential confounders, HTGW came to be inversely associated with all-cause mortality among both men (HR 0.384, 95% CIs 0.281-0.526) and women (HR 0.642, 95% CIs 0.430-0.958). Multivariate adjusted HR (95% CIs) of HTGW for CVD mortality was 0.453 (95% CIs 0.298-0.688) among men and 0.760 (95% CIs 0.431-1.338) among women. HTGW increased the age-adjusted risk of incident CVD, among both men (40%) and women (97%). The multivariate hazard ratio of HTGW for incident CVD was 0.945 (95% CIs 0.746-0.1.198, P value=0.640) among men and 1.470 among women (HR 95% CIs 1.111-1.944, P value=0.007)., Conclusion: HTGW was the point of divergence for prediction of CVD vs. mortality. HTGW, despite its predictive value for CVD, might not help in capturing risk of all-cause or CVD mortality. Individuals without HTGW constitute a heterogeneous subgroup with a jumble of risk factors that put them at risk for all-cause or CVD mortality., (Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)