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Background and Objective: In low and middle-income countries where HIV infection is prevalent, identifying patients at high risk of dying from lower respiratory tract infections is challenging and validated prognostic models are lacking. Serum procalcitonin may be a useful prognostic tool in these settings. We sought to determine if elevated serum procalcitonin is associated with increased in-hospital mortality and to combine serum procalcitonin with available clinical characteristics to create a clinically useful prognostic model., Methods: We conducted a prospective, nested case-control study of 241 HIV-infected adults admitted to Mulago Hospital in Kampala, Uganda with cough ≥2 weeks in duration. We collected demographic and clinical information, baseline serum for procalcitonin analysis, and followed patients to determine in-hospital mortality., Results: Serum procalcitonin was a strong and independent predictor of inpatient mortality (aOR = 7.69, p = 0.01, sensitivity = 93%, negative predictive value = 97%). Best subset multivariate analysis identified 3 variables that were combined into a prognostic model to risk stratify patients; these variables included respiratory rate ≥30 breaths/minute (aOR = 2.07, p = 0.11), oxygen saturation <90% (aOR = 3.07, p = 0.02), and serum procalcitonin >0.5 ng/ml (aOR = 7.69, p = 0.01). The predicted probability of inpatient mortality ranged from 1% when no variables were present, to 42% when all variables were present., Conclusions: Elevated serum procalcitonin >0.5 ng/ml is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. Elevated serum procalcitonin, tachypnea, and hypoxemia may be combined into a prognostic model to identify patients at high risk of dying in the hospital. This model may be used to estimate the probability of death and to guide triage and treatment decisions., (© 2014 The Authors. Respirology © 2014 Asian Pacific Society of Respirology.)

The aim of this article is to review the current literature examining the use of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy for management of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations. Procalcitonin is a serum marker that rises in response to bacterial infections, but remains low in nonbacterial infections and other proinflammatory conditions. To date, there are four randomized clinical trials which compare procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy to standard therapy in patients with COPD exacerbations. In all four trials the use of procalcitonin was associated with a reduction in antibiotic use (prescription and/or duration) without an increase in the rates of adverse patient outcomes including death, admission to the intensive care unit, re-exacerbation and readmission to the hospital. This data is clinically significant and suggests that the use of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy has the potential to decrease unnecessary antibiotic use in nonbacterial COPD exacerbations, thereby curtailing the spread of antibiotic-resistant bacteria, reducing antibiotic-related adverse reactions, including Clostridium difficile infection, and potentially reducing healthcare costs.

RationaleFrailty is associated with morbidity and mortality in abdominal organ transplantation but has not been examined in lung transplantation.ObjectivesTo examine the construct and predictive validity of frailty phenotypes in lung transplant candidates.MethodsIn a multicenter prospective cohort, we measured frailty with the Fried Frailty Phenotype (FFP) and Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB). We evaluated construct validity through comparisons with conceptually related factors. In a nested case-control study of frail and nonfrail subjects, we measured serum IL-6, tumor necrosis factor receptor 1, insulin-like growth factor I, and leptin. We estimated the association between frailty and disability using the Lung Transplant Valued Life Activities disability scale. We estimated the association between frailty and risk of delisting or death before transplant using multivariate logistic and Cox models, respectively.Measurements and main resultsOf 395 subjects, 354 completed FFP assessments and 262 completed SPPB assessments; 28% were frail by FFP (95% confidence interval [CI], 24-33%) and 10% based on the SPPB (95% CI, 7-14%). By either measure, frailty correlated more strongly with exercise capacity and grip strength than with lung function. Frail subjects tended to have higher plasma IL-6 and tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 and lower insulin-like growth factor I and leptin. Frailty by either measure was associated with greater disability. After adjusting for age, sex, diagnosis, and transplant center, both FFP and SPPB were associated with increased risk of delisting or death before lung transplant. For every 1-point worsening in score, hazard ratios were 1.30 (95% CI, 1.01-1.67) for FFP and 1.53 (95% CI, 1.19-1.59) for SPPB.ConclusionsFrailty is prevalent among lung transplant candidates and is independently associated with greater disability and an increased risk of delisting or death.

Background and objectiveIn low and middle-income countries where HIV infection is prevalent, identifying patients at high risk of dying from lower respiratory tract infections is challenging and validated prognostic models are lacking. Serum procalcitonin may be a useful prognostic tool in these settings. We sought to determine if elevated serum procalcitonin is associated with increased in-hospital mortality and to combine serum procalcitonin with available clinical characteristics to create a clinically useful prognostic model.MethodsWe conducted a prospective, nested case-control study of 241 HIV-infected adults admitted to Mulago Hospital in Kampala, Uganda with cough ≥2 weeks in duration. We collected demographic and clinical information, baseline serum for procalcitonin analysis, and followed patients to determine in-hospital mortality.ResultsSerum procalcitonin was a strong and independent predictor of inpatient mortality (aOR = 7.69, p = 0.01, sensitivity = 93%, negative predictive value = 97%). Best subset multivariate analysis identified 3 variables that were combined into a prognostic model to risk stratify patients; these variables included respiratory rate ≥30 breaths/minute (aOR = 2.07, p = 0.11), oxygen saturation 0.5 ng/ml (aOR = 7.69, p = 0.01). The predicted probability of inpatient mortality ranged from 1% when no variables were present, to 42% when all variables were present.ConclusionsElevated serum procalcitonin >0.5 ng/ml is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. Elevated serum procalcitonin, tachypnea, and hypoxemia may be combined into a prognostic model to identify patients at high risk of dying in the hospital. This model may be used to estimate the probability of death and to guide triage and treatment decisions.

Chronic lung allograft dysfunction in lung transplant recipients (LTxRs) has 2 phenotypes: obstructive bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) and restrictive allograft syndrome (RAS). Our goal was to define distinct immunologic markers of exosomes from LTxRs with BOS or RAS. Plasma was collected from LTxRs with BOS (n = 18), RAS (n = 13), and from stable LTxRs (n = 5). Antibodies to lung self-antigens (SAgs) were determined by ELISA. Exosomes were isolated by ultracentrifugation. Donor specific antibodies to HLA were quantified using Luminex. Exosomes were characterized for lung SAgs, transcription factors, 20S proteasome, HLA class I and II, and polymeric immunoglobulin receptor protein using western blot. Exosome miRNA was analyzed using NanoString. The exosome-induced immune response was determined in mice. LTxRs with RAS, but not BOS, had donor specific antibodies at diagnosis. CIITA, NFkB, polymeric immunoglobulin receptor protein, 20S proteasome, HLA-DQ, and HLA-DR were significantly higher in RAS exosomes than in BOS exosomes. RAS plasma had high levels of proinflammatory cytokines and distinct exosomal miRNA. Immunization of C57BL/6 mice with RAS exosomes showed severe inflammation and peribronchial fibrosis, whereas BOS exosomes induced patchy inflammation and fibrosis. LTxRs with BOS or RAS had exosomes with distinct molecular and immunologic profiles. RAS samples had a higher concentration of proinflammatory factors, HLA class II, lung SAgs, and antibodies to HLA class II molecules, indicating severe allograft injury. Mice immunized with RAS exosomes developed lesions in airways, pleura, interlobular septum, and alveoli, whereas BOS exosomes induced mild to patchy inflammation with lung fibrosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Exosomes isolated from plasma of lung transplant recipients (LTxRs) with bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) contain human leukocyte antigens and lung self-antigens (SAgs), K-alpha 1 tubulin (Kα1T) and collagen type V (Col-V). The aim was to determine the use of circulating exosomes with lung SAgs as a biomarker for BOS. Circulating exosomes were isolated retrospectively from plasma from LTxRs at diagnosis of BOS and at 6 and 12 months before the diagnosis (n = 41) and from stable time-matched controls (n = 30) at 2 transplant centers by ultracentrifugation. Exosomes were validated using Nanosight, and lung SAgs (Kα1T and Col-V) were detected by immunoblot and semiquantitated using ImageJ software. Circulating exosomes from BOS and stable LTxRs demonstrated 61- to 181-nm vesicles with markers Alix and CD9. Exosomes from LTxRs with BOS (n = 21) showed increased levels of lung SAgs compared with stable (n = 10). A validation study using 2 separate cohorts of LTxRs with BOS and stable time-matched controls from 2 centers also demonstrated significantly increased lung SAgs–containing exosomes at 6 and 12 months before BOS. Circulating exosomes isolated from LTxRs with BOS demonstrated increased levels of lung SAgs (Kα1T and Col-V) 12 months before the diagnosis (100% specificity and 90% sensitivity), indicating that circulating exosomes with lung SAgs can be used as a non-invasive biomarker for identifying LTxRs at risk for BOS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]